Mysteel：铁合金全品种分析师视点（10月31日）-我的钢铁网

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try { ap.audio.addEventListener('ended', function () { ap.audio.play() setTimeout(function(){ ap.audio.currentTime=0 ap.audio.pause() if($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth()>$('.sub-t').outerWidth()){ $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } },400) }, false); } catch (error) { } try { document.addEventListener('visibilitychange', function() { if (document.hidden) { // 关闭背景音乐 ap.pause() } else { // 开启背景音乐 // ap.play() } }) } catch (err) { } if($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth()>$('.sub-t').outerWidth()){ $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } </script> <div data-val="6083" id="article-content"> <div id="text"> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 309.375px;" src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/10/31/1c20c660190c4d30a893724140658e64.jpg" width="600" height="309" /></p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【北方<a href='https://thj.m.mysteel.com/meng/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锰矿</a>】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">近期锰矿市场保持坚挺，市场对宏观政策方面仍有一定预期，且目前结合到港成本来看，多数仍是倒挂状态，大部分矿商暂不考虑低价出货，价格方面本周报价有1元/吨度左右的上行，成交有0.5元/吨度左右上行，从到港来看，下周有加蓬大船到港，且成本暂不统一，有个别低成本货源，后期不排除现货价格混乱情况，外盘方康密劳报价平盘，市场接受度较好，价格在市场预期范围内，南32投标结束，也将展开最终定价，外盘整体再次向下可能性较小，短期锰矿方面价格还将保持坚挺，但向上行幅也不能过高预期。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【南方锰矿】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">近日钦州港锰矿价格盘整，整体波动范围较小。周初随着盘面价格上行及大厂锰矿询盘展开，市场活跃度增加。南非半碳酸到港，货权较为集中，报价32.5-33元/吨度，氧化矿南北价格较大，本周澳矿报盘向下调整至44元/吨度，加蓬货源较少，价格围绕42元/吨度。康密劳12月对华锰矿装船加蓬块报价为3.95美元/吨度（平），市场接货意愿较好。短期来看，南方开工稳定，锰矿需求维持不变，价格保持盘整震荡，仍需关注11月贵州电费及下游开工情况。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【北方硅锰】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">本周合金产量波动不大，个别炉子检修结束，产量缓慢增加，暂未恢复到正常水平，个别工厂近期新炉子点火，且下月仍有其他工厂存在炉子点火预期，预计产量仍有上涨空间。成本端，锰矿价格偏坚挺，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050106-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>化工焦</a>价格暂无波动，合金成本支撑尚可，近日盘面整体表现较好，工厂报价相对坚挺，报价在6000-6100元/吨左右，钢厂端，近日有南方钢厂钢招价格在6300元/吨承兑含税，北方多数钢厂暂未开启新一轮招标，以观望市场为主，后面重点关注内蒙新增产能情况以及新一轮钢招情况。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【南方硅锰】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">本周南方硅锰盘整运行，南方钢厂新一轮招标陆续开启，钢招价格围绕6300左右，目前钢招进度较缓慢，再盘面处于较高位置下，钢厂招标数量较少，对后市仍持看空态度，南方钢厂仍处于亏损阶段。广西地区开工难有增加，桂林市工信局发文要去明年年底完成技改，因电费长期处于高位，大多厂家并无明显技改意愿，大厂也无更多增产计划，百色地区5毛以上的电费，与北方成本差距较大。贵州地区开工稳步上升，近期有传兴义地区地网和南网无法共同使用，目前部分厂家存在复产情况，对后市态度较谨慎。云南地区明天正式进入枯水期，电费涨至5毛左右，近几天已有个别工厂出现减产情况，预计后期产量持续走弱，大厂目前生产较坚挺，减产意愿较低。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【富锰渣】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">富锰渣市场价格本周企稳，各地区价格无明显调整，宁夏地区38度富锰渣厂家报价40-42元/吨度，辽宁地区40度富锰渣报价41-42元/吨度，山西地区28度富锰渣报价27-28元/吨度，近期富锰渣生产成本压力有所缓解，厂家出货以供长协为主，下游采购按需进行，后期需持续关注最新的成交情况。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【高碳锰铁】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">高碳锰铁现货价格暂稳。成本端，锰矿价格小幅探涨，高锰南北方成本差异逐步拉大，锰矿成本差异明显。当前未对现货市场产生影响。今日华东区域大厂开启新一轮招标，市场观望情绪较浓。中低锰价格暂稳运行，成交偏弱，厂家让利出货，北港新材料10月招标：低碳锰铁（FeMn80C0.7）9620元/吨，较上月上涨270元/吨，含税现金进厂。综合来看，锰铁市场短期内弱势运行，将持续关注钢招情况。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----030301-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>硅铁</a>】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">硅铁主产区72硅铁自然块现金含税出厂6050-6200元/吨，75硅铁价格报6700-6800元/吨。河南硅铁价格稍显混乱，72铁自然块不含税价格围绕在5900-6000元/吨左右，75自然块不含税价格6500元/吨。<br />今日<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050103-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>兰炭</a>市场持稳运行，神木市场<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050103-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>兰炭价格</a>行情小料价格890-980元/吨，供应方面硅铁生产比较稳定，且生产成本居高不下。最近硅铁价格弱稳运行，受期货盘面影响较大，下游采购积极性不高，采买更显谨慎。同时，部分产区价格已接近成本线，贸易商近期有囤货计划。钢厂端沙钢硅铁定价6765元/吨，承兑含税到厂；叠加海外需求表现不尽人意，在需求不确定因素叠加下，下游客户有担忧情绪。<br />总体来说，目前硅铁下游消费仍显疲弱，供应方面达到预期，供需双方处于博弈阶段，不过从长期来看，还不能放松警惕。预计硅铁现货短期价格震荡运行。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【电解锰】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">电解锰市场持续偏弱，行情暂保持在12100-12300元/吨左右，代表性钢招定价小幅下跌，对后期市场给予持稳支撑，加之市场暂无利好因素刺激，多数业者多看稳为主，且下游市场需求恢复缓慢，锰市承压明显，出口市场需求端较为平稳，高价成交有限，整体国内外市场相对较为疲软，还需更多钢招及需求指引变更。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【硫酸锰】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">硫酸锰保持平稳运行，行情暂无较大波动，下游三元前驱体市场需求较为疲软，本月或将持续保持去库状态，对原料采买相对谨慎，且目前硫酸锰市场受前期高价原料采买原因，利润空间相对有限，市场现货采买现象较少，多以长协为主，整体市场承压运行，硫酸锰企业为保障自身利益，行情下调心态较小，今日电池级硫酸锰价格为6200-6500元/吨，<a href='https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/siliao/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>饲料</a>级硫酸锰价格在3000-3200元/吨。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【工业硅】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">本周工业硅市场现货报价探涨，但实际成交价格提涨幅度有限，下游光伏产业链的提涨并未给工业硅走势形成强有力支撑，盘面震荡运行，交投倾向于谨慎，目前华东区域421成交价格在11合约升水2100元至2200元/吨区间。供应情况来看，11月进入枯水期，电价已有上涨成本支撑走强，西南产区大幅减产，川滇区域减产数量预计将在30台以上，下游部分多晶硅厂也传减产消息，需求量将有同步减少，仓单流出情况不理想，整体社会库存在年前枯水期仍有待消耗。预计短期工业硅区间震荡为主。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【钛】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">国产钛精矿市场情绪表现不一，由于攀矿近期市场报价及实际成交不及预期，其他主产区主流矿价表现均有下行调整，但基础资源<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-458-------------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>原矿</a>价格支撑下，<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/gck/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>国产矿</a>价预期降幅或有限。承德45%报价1750-1850元/吨、攀枝花46%2100-2150元/吨、云南45%1850-1950元/吨。<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0311-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>进口矿</a>方面，主流矿报盘相对稳定，但实际成交有小幅让步空间，其他非主流国家矿有低价资源流通，但供应上不及预期。莫桑比克46%2450-2550元/吨、尼日利亚50%2600-2700元/吨。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">国内钛白粉市场整理为主。供应端有些许减量，部分钛企库存压力缓解，但是下游工厂接单并不积极，整体供应仍显正常；终端拿货压价心态明显，钛企不乏有让利出货表现，具体走货情况还需观察，实单看单看量，市场观望情绪较浓。目前钛白粉主流出厂价格，金红石型14200-15200元/吨，锐钛型13200-13600元/吨，氯化法16500-17500元/吨，实际成交单议为主。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【钨】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">钨价上下两难，基本面上多空博弈，钨矿供应维持偏紧逻辑，但冶炼与合金产能较为宽松，市场成本压力增加，需求动能不足；宏观面上信心反复，国内宽松政策激励消费，但海外经济与地缘政治风险不断抬升，市场实际需求修复情况存在不确定性。65%黑钨精矿价格盘整在14.1万元/标吨左右，矿商挺市态度仍旧坚定，而采购商维持刚需采购议价，市场交投活跃度有限。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【钒】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">钒市近日受大厂提价影响报价有所回升，但由于终端限制，整体成交仍略显僵持，片钒报价受大厂提振多上涨至8-8.2万元/吨附近，低价采货难度较大，钒氮合金招标价格略显混乱，围绕现金11.8-12.3万元/吨，厂家报价围绕12.2-12.5万元/吨，贸易商跟进较慢，还需观望钢招定价情况。钒铁厂家报价围绕现金9.-9.2万元/吨附近，成本支撑之下让价幅度有限。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">含钒<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0305-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>生铁</a>：本周含钒生铁依旧保持上涨趋势，近期厂家反馈，市场下游询盘较为积极，出货较为频繁，目前厂家主要以去库为主，市场开始回暖，厂家生产积极性有所体量，10月产量有所提升，近期钢厂招标价格有所上涨，目前2.0报价4000-4500元/吨，3.0报价5900-6200元/吨。</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">【铌】</p> <p style="margin: 5pt 0pt; text-align: left;">国产铌铁：国产铌铁受原料氧化铌价格高位影响，铌铁厂家生产成本压力较大，被迫提高销售价格，大部分厂家以接单生产为主，下游需求持续疲软，成交多以刚需采购为主，60A市场报价28万元-32万元/吨，目前铌铁市场受成本支撑影响，整体处于弱势运行，暂无利好因素支撑。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：刘金泽 021-26093015 </br> 资讯监督：查佐栋 021-26093218 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a 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