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href="/es/economia-y-mercados/actividad-y-crecimiento/perspectivas-globales-2025-busca-nueva-normalidad"><span property="schema:name">Perspectivas globales 2025: en busca de una nueva normalidad</span></a></h2><div class="category primary_color"><div class="field_seccion field"> Dossier</div></div><div class="box_author_date box_ad box_with_image"><div class="field_author multiple"><div class="autor"><div about="/es/autor/jose-ramon-diez" class="author-complete-teaser"> <a href="/es/autor/jose-ramon-diez"><div class="field_fotografia field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/index_autor/public/content/image/2022/03/22/34454/joseramondiez-bn-cuadrada.jpg?itok=onBpj1ja" width="136" height="136" alt="José Ramón Díez" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div><div class="author-info"><div class="nom"><div class="name field"> José Ramón Díez</div></div></div> </a></div></div></div><div class="created">12 de noviembre de 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Photo by Michael Lechner on Unsplash" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div><h2><a href="/es/analisis-sectorial/agroalimentario/sector-agroalimentario-comienza-salir-del-bache-2024"><span property="schema:name">El sector agroalimentario comienza a salir del bache en 2024</span></a></h2><div class="category primary_color"><div class="field_seccion field"> Economía española</div></div><div class="box_author_date box_ad box_with_image"><div class="field_author multiple"><div class="autor"><div about="/es/autor/pedro-alvarez-ondina" class="author-complete-teaser"> <a href="/es/autor/pedro-alvarez-ondina"><div class="field_fotografia field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/index_autor/public/content/image/2022/03/22/34454/pedroalvarez-bn-cuadrada.jpg?itok=UeXzHu7H" width="136" height="136" alt="Pedro Álvarez" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div><div class="author-info"><div class="nom"><div class="name field"> Pedro Álvarez Ondina</div></div></div> </a></div></div></div><div class="created">12 de noviembre de 2024</div></div></article></div></div></div></div></li><li class="menu-item menu-item--expanded"> <a href="/es/areas-geograficas" data-drupal-link-system-path="taxonomy/term/211">Áreas geográficas</a><div class="menu-desplegable menu_visual_1"><div class="container menu_visual_1"><div class="col-left"><div class="content-visual-menu"><div class="menu_link_content menu-link-contentmain view-mode-default menu-dropdown menu-dropdown-0 menu-type-default"><ul class="menu menu-level-1"><li class="menu-item"> <a href="/es/areas-geograficas/espana" data-drupal-link-system-path="taxonomy/term/212">España</a><div class="menu_link_content menu-link-contentmain view-mode-default menu-dropdown menu-dropdown-1 menu-type-default"></div></li><li class="menu-item"> <a href="/es/areas-geograficas/portugal" data-drupal-link-system-path="taxonomy/term/213">Portugal</a><div class="menu_link_content menu-link-contentmain view-mode-default menu-dropdown menu-dropdown-1 menu-type-default"></div></li><li class="menu-item"> <a href="/es/areas-geograficas/internacional" data-drupal-link-system-path="taxonomy/term/792">Internacional</a><div class="menu_link_content menu-link-contentmain view-mode-default menu-dropdown menu-dropdown-1 menu-type-default"></div></li><li class="menu-item"> <a href="/es/areas-geograficas" data-drupal-link-system-path="taxonomy/term/211">Ver todo sobre Áreas geográficas</a><div class="menu_link_content menu-link-contentmain view-mode-default menu-dropdown menu-dropdown-1 menu-type-default"></div></li></ul></div></div></div><div class="js-view-dom-id-a8fd0447bb070e9061ff977d3c73a4fc1be56d37541d7a784f5630105c1fb756 col-right"><div class="content-article-menu"> <article data-history-node-id="12957" role="article" about="/es/analisis-sectorial/inmobiliario/mercado-inmobiliario-espanol-2024-2025-modo-expansivo" typeof="schema:Article" data-type="article"><div class="field_thumbnail field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/menu_destacado/public/content/image/2024/11/11/34529/inmobiliario-grua-tye-doring-a7xke_rxzrs-unsplash.jpg?itok=Q2DFdyye" width="400" height="200" alt="Grúas de construcción. Photo by Tye Doring on Unsplash" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div><h2><a href="/es/analisis-sectorial/inmobiliario/mercado-inmobiliario-espanol-2024-2025-modo-expansivo"><span property="schema:name">Mercado inmobiliario español 2024-2025: en modo expansivo</span></a></h2><div class="category primary_color"><div class="field_seccion field"> Economía española</div></div><div class="box_author_date box_ad box_with_image"><div class="field_author multiple"><div class="autor"><div about="/es/autor/judit-montoriol-garriga" class="author-complete-teaser"> <a href="/es/autor/judit-montoriol-garriga"><div class="field_fotografia field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/index_autor/public/content/image/2019/12/05/1/juditmontoriol.jpg?itok=zOJfPpmw" width="136" height="136" alt="Judit Montoriol CaixaBank Research" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div><div class="author-info"><div class="nom"><div class="name field"> Judit 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system_main_block block-caixabank-content"> <article data-history-node-id="12946" role="article" about="/es/analisis-sectorial/agroalimentario/sector-agroalimentario-comienza-salir-del-bache-2024" typeof="schema:Article" class="plantilla_articulo"><div class="content-header bottom-short"><div class="info"><div class="category "><div class="item"> <a href="/es/sector-analysis/agroalimentario" hreflang="es">Agroalimentario</a></div></div><h1><span property="schema:name">El sector agroalimentario comienza a salir del bache en 2024</span></h1> <span property="schema:name" content="El sector agroalimentario comienza a salir del bache en 2024" class="hidden"></span><div property="schema:text" class="body field"><p>A falta de valorar el impacto que la DANA de finales de octubre en el levante peninsular haya podido tener sobre la producción agraria de la región, en los próximos trimestres esperamos que la tendencia positiva del sector se afiance, si bien seguirá muy condicionada a la evolución de los costes y la mejora de la situación de sequía.</p></div><div class="translations"><div class="available">Contenido disponible en</div><div class="languages"> <a href="/ca/analisi-sectorial/agroalimentari/sector-agroalimentari-comenca-superar-lensopegada-del-2024" hreflang="ca">catalán</a> <a href="/en/sectoral-analysis/agrifood/agrifood-sector-begins-recover-2024" hreflang="en">inglés</a></div></div><div class="autor-fecha slash has_photo"><div class="field_author single "><div class="autor"><div about="/es/autor/pedro-alvarez-ondina" class="author-complete-teaser"> <a href="/es/autor/pedro-alvarez-ondina"><div class="field_fotografia field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/index_autor/public/content/image/2022/03/22/34454/pedroalvarez-bn-cuadrada.jpg?itok=UeXzHu7H" width="136" height="136" alt="Pedro Álvarez" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div><div class="author-info"><div class="nom"><div class="name field"> Pedro Álvarez Ondina</div></div></div> </a></div></div></div><div class="fecha"><div class="created-time">12 de noviembre de 2024</div></div></div><div class="download"><div class="print"><a href="/es/node/12946/printable/print" target="_blank">Imprimir</a></div><div class="field_media_file field"> <a download alt=" download" href="/sites/default/files/content/file/2024/11/06/34411/im11_24-07-ee-focus-4-es.pdf"> Descargar fichero </a></div></div></div><div class="image"><div class="field_thumbnail field"> <img loading="eager" src="/sites/default/files/styles/destacado/public/content/image/2024/11/11/34529/agroalimentario-espana-michael-lechner-ky2e8df3gxo-unsplash.jpg?h=15d5cb51&itok=U9XVTaGM" width="670" height="399" alt="Campo de trigo segado. 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1.25.266 1.5 1.5 1.5h17c1.266 0 1.5-.22 1.5-1.5zm-.015-10.765c0-.91-.265-1.235-1.485-1.235h-17c-1.255 0-1.5.39-1.5 1.3l.015.14s9.035 6.22 10 6.56c1.02-.395 9.985-6.7 9.985-6.7l-.015-.065z"></path></svg></span> </a></div> <a href="#" title="Share Close" id="share_close" class="share_toggle" style="display: none"> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="14.147" height="13.777"><path fill="none" stroke="#0297cc" stroke-width="1.636" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-miterlimit="10" d="M1.629 1.538l10.999 11m-10.999 0l10.999-11"/></svg> </a></div><div class="col-left" style="display: none"><div class="menu_anchors_fixed"> <label>En este artículo</label><ul></ul></div></div><div class="col-right"><div class="field_paragraphs"><div class="paragraph ptype_title-html-text pmode_default"><div class="field_descripcion field"><div class="tex2jax_process"><p>El <a href="https://www.caixabankresearch.com/es/agroalimentario/octubre-2024/agroalimentario-sector-agroalimentario-espanol-se-reactiva">Informe Sectorial Agroalimentario 2024</a>, publicado en octubre, ofrece un exhaustivo repaso de los principales indicadores de actividad del sector agroalimentario español y confirma la reactivación del sector primario en 2024. Esta recuperación ha sido impulsada por la moderación de los costes de producción y una esperanzadora mejora en las condiciones meteorológicas, lo que permite, además, albergar cierto optimismo para la campaña 2024-2025. A falta de valorar el impacto que la DANA de finales de octubre en el levante peninsular haya podido tener sobre la producción agraria de la región,<a class="see-footnote" id="footnoteref1_df877o6" title="Nuestras estimaciones preliminares, empleando datos del censo agrario de 2020, señalan que la mitad de la superficie agraria útil de la provincia de Valencia estaría afectada. Teniendo en cuenta la especialización productiva de las comarcas afectadas, la oferta de cítricos (que produce el 28% del total nacional) y frutas tropicales (el 18%) se podría ver gravemente mermada." href="#footnote1_df877o6">1</a> en los próximos trimestres esperamos que la tendencia positiva del sector se afiance, si bien seguirá muy condicionada a la evolución de los costes y la mejora de la situación de sequía.<a class="see-footnote" id="footnoteref2_5ft0hcm" title="Las cifras de los indicadores de actividad y precios que aparecen en este artículo están actualizadas hasta el último dato disponible a fecha de este&nbsp;Informe Mensual. Por lo tanto, los datos difieren levemente de los que aparecen en el&nbsp;IS Agroalimentario 2024&nbsp;que se cerró con fecha 27 de septiembre de 2024." href="#footnote2_5ft0hcm">2</a></p></div><ul class="footnotes"><li class="footnote" id="footnote1_df877o6"><a class="footnote-label" href="#footnoteref1_df877o6">1.</a> Nuestras estimaciones preliminares, empleando datos del censo agrario de 2020, señalan que la mitad de la superficie agraria útil de la provincia de Valencia estaría afectada. Teniendo en cuenta la especialización productiva de las comarcas afectadas, la oferta de cítricos (que produce el 28% del total nacional) y frutas tropicales (el 18%) se podría ver gravemente mermada.</li><li class="footnote" id="footnote2_5ft0hcm"><a class="footnote-label" href="#footnoteref2_5ft0hcm">2.</a> Las cifras de los indicadores de actividad y precios que aparecen en este artículo están actualizadas hasta el último dato disponible a fecha de este Informe Mensual. Por lo tanto, los datos difieren levemente de los que aparecen en el IS Agroalimentario 2024 que se cerró con fecha 27 de septiembre de 2024.</li></ul></div></div><div class="paragraph ptype_title-html-text pmode_default"><div class="field_g_titulo field"> El sector primario se repone de los lastres de los últimos años</div><div class="field_descripcion field"><p>El sector ha dejado atrás el periodo de deterioro significativo registrado entre finales de 2021 y la primera mitad de 2023, marcado por unas condiciones meteorológicas adversas y un aumento de los costes de producción debido, en gran parte, a la guerra en Ucrania. En el acumulado entre el 1T y el 3T 2024, el valor añadido bruto (VAB) del sector primario creció un 7,7%, superando ampliamente el crecimiento del conjunto de la economía (3,0%). A pesar de esta mejora, el VAB del sector aún se encuentra un 5,5% por debajo del nivel del 4T 2019 y lejos de recuperar su peso en el conjunto de la economía (2,6% frente al 3,0% en 2015-2019).</p><p>Uno de los factores clave en la recuperación del sector ha sido la moderación de los costes de producción: los precios pagados por los agricultores han caído un 18% desde máximos (a mediados de 2022), si bien permanecen más de un 20% por encima de los niveles de 2019 (véase el primer gráfico). Las mayores correcciones desde máximos se producen en los costes energéticos, en los fertilizantes y, en menor medida, en los piensos, que es la partida que más pesa en los consumos intermedios del sector (supone en torno al 55% del total). Además, todo apunta a que esta tendencia se mantendrá en los próximos meses: los mercados internacionales de productos energéticos y de materias primas agrícolas apuntan hacia una estabilidad de precio o incluso una ligera tendencia descendente. Con todo, los riesgos se mantienen sesgados al alza, teniendo en cuenta factores sensibles como el clima o la geopolítica.</p></div></div><div class="paragraph ptype_imagen pmode_default"><div class="field_imagen field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/container_1400/public/content/image/2024/11/06/34411/im11_24_f4_01_es.jpg?itok=JWed6Pmn" width="900" height="768" alt="España: VAB real sector primario" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div></div><div class="paragraph ptype_title-html-text pmode_default"><div class="field_descripcion field"><p>La sequía ha sido el otro factor clave en el comportamiento de la producción agrícola en los últimos años. En 2023, la producción vegetal volvió a caer (12,2%) y con más fuerza que en otros grandes productores europeos, afectando especialmente a los cultivos de secano como el aceite de oliva (–58,6%), los cereales (–34,8%) y el vino y el mosto (–21,1%). Desde mediados de 2023, se observa una esperanzadora mejora en la situación de sequía, con una reducción del territorio afectado, por lo que se espera que la producción vegetal mejore en 2024. En media del año hasta septiembre, en torno al 13% del territorio estaba afectado por la sequía, en comparación con el 35%-45% en la segunda mitad de 2022.</p><p>La gradual moderación de los lastres de años pasados es clave para la mejora que ya se observa y alimenta las perspectivas favorables para la campaña 2024-2025. Se espera que la producción de cereales se incremente un 88% respecto a la campaña anterior y que la producción de uva para mosto y vino lo haga en un 17%. También han mejorado de forma significativa las perspectivas para el aceite de oliva, donde se anticipa un repunte cercano al 50% de la producción respecto a la última campaña.</p><p>Por su parte, la industria agroalimentaria española también ha comenzado a reactivarse tras dos años de deterioro debido al incremento de los costes de producción y de los insumos. En lo que llevamos de año hasta agosto, la producción industrial creció un 1,4% interanual (primer aumento desde 2021), gracias a la moderación en el crecimiento de los costes de producción, sobre todo, en energía y fertilizantes. Sin embargo, la fabricación de bebidas cayó un 4,2% en el mismo periodo, corrigiéndose tras un fuerte repunte en 2021 y 2022.</p></div></div><div class="paragraph ptype_imagen pmode_default"><div class="field_imagen field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/container_1400/public/content/image/2024/11/06/34411/im11_24_f4_02_es_0.jpg?itok=b4oxA6mc" width="900" height="828" alt="España: costes de producción del sector primario" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div></div><div class="paragraph ptype_title-html-text pmode_default"><div class="field_g_titulo field"> La inflación de los alimentos da un respiro a las familias</div><div class="field_descripcion field"><div class="tex2jax_process"><p>El repunte en los costes de producción de la industria alimentaria se trasladó en gran parte a los precios que paga el consumidor final en los últimos años. Así, la inflación de los alimentos alcanzó un máximo en febrero de 2022 (16,7%) para iniciar una clara tendencia de moderación hasta situarse en el 1,6% en septiembre de 2024. En cualquier caso, el aumento acumulado en la inflación de los alimentos desde 2019 (32%) ha provocado un significativo esfuerzo para los bolsillos de los hogares españoles: el gasto en alimentación supuso el 26% del gasto total de las familias en 2023 frente al 23,4% en 2019, <a href="https://www.caixabankresearch.com/es/economia-y-mercados/inflacion/precio-alimentos-empieza-dar-respiro?index">reduciéndose en consecuencia otras partidas de gasto</a>.<a class="see-footnote" id="footnoteref3_xfo9wmq" title="Para un análisis en profundidad del comportamiento reciente de la inflación de los alimentos y del impacto sobre el gasto en alimentación por parte de los hogares en España, véase al artículo «El precio de los alimentos empieza a dar un respiro» del&nbsp;IS Agroalimentario 2024." href="#footnote3_xfo9wmq">3</a></p></div><ul class="footnotes"><li class="footnote" id="footnote3_xfo9wmq"><a class="footnote-label" href="#footnoteref3_xfo9wmq">3.</a> Para un análisis en profundidad del comportamiento reciente de la inflación de los alimentos y del impacto sobre el gasto en alimentación por parte de los hogares en España, véase al artículo «El precio de los alimentos empieza a dar un respiro» del <em>IS Agroalimentario 2024</em>.</li></ul></div></div><div class="paragraph ptype_imagen pmode_default"><div class="field_imagen field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/container_1400/public/content/image/2024/11/06/34411/im11_24_f4_03_es.jpg?itok=vN0ArzBs" width="900" height="788" alt="España: unidades territoriales en situación de sequía prolongada" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div></div><div class="paragraph ptype_title-html-text pmode_default"><div class="field_g_titulo field"> La buena salud de las exportaciones agroalimentarias</div><div class="field_descripcion field"><div class="tex2jax_process"><p>Las exportaciones agroalimentarias han mostrado una notable recuperación en 2024, con un crecimiento del 4,6% en volumen (tras dos años de caídas) y del 6,7% en valor en el acumulado entre enero y agosto. El sector agroalimentario ha mantenido un superávit comercial significativo desde 1996, siendo uno de los más elevados entre todos los sectores económicos. En el primer semestre de 2024, este superávit alcanzó el 1,1% del PIB, una cifra muy elevada, solo superada por los registros extraordinarios de 2020 y 2021 marcados por la pandemia.</p><p>La diversificación de los destinos exportadores y la mejora en la producción han sido factores clave en esta recuperación. Los principales destinos de las exportaciones agro-alimentarias españolas incluyen países de la UE, pero el sector ha conseguido gradualmente diversificar destinos hacia mercados emergentes en Asia y América Latina, lo que le ha permitido sortear los múltiples desafíos a los que se ha enfrentado en los últimos años.<a class="see-footnote" id="footnoteref4_zcnpwof" title="El artículo «La buena salud de las exportaciones agroalimentarias españolas» del&nbsp;IS Agroalimentario 2024&nbsp;realiza un análisis pormenorizado de las exportaciones agroalimentarias del sector español." href="#footnote4_zcnpwof">4</a></p></div><ul class="footnotes"><li class="footnote" id="footnote4_zcnpwof"><a class="footnote-label" href="#footnoteref4_zcnpwof">4.</a> El artículo «La buena salud de las exportaciones agroalimentarias españolas» del <em>IS Agroalimentario 2024</em> realiza un análisis pormenorizado de las exportaciones agroalimentarias del sector español.</li></ul></div></div><div class="paragraph ptype_imagen pmode_default"><div class="field_imagen field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/container_1400/public/content/image/2024/11/06/34411/im11_24_f4_04_es.jpg?itok=skese0Wz" width="900" height="786" alt="España: exportaciones e importaciones del sector agroalimentario" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div></div></div><div class="field_author single "><div class="autor"><div about="/es/autor/pedro-alvarez-ondina" class="author-complete-teaser"> <a href="/es/autor/pedro-alvarez-ondina"><div class="field_fotografia field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/index_autor/public/content/image/2022/03/22/34454/pedroalvarez-bn-cuadrada.jpg?itok=UeXzHu7H" width="136" height="136" alt="Pedro Álvarez" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div><div class="author-info"><div class="nom"><div class="name field"> Pedro Álvarez Ondina</div></div></div> </a></div></div></div><div class="field_tags"><div class="label">Etiquetas:</div><div class="tag_list"> <a href="/es/tags/agroalimentario" property="schema:about" hreflang="es">Agroalimentario</a> <a href="/es/tags/espana" property="schema:about" hreflang="es">España</a> <a href="/es/tags/inflacion" property="schema:about" hreflang="es">Inflación</a> <a href="/es/tags/sector-exterior" property="schema:about" hreflang="es">Sector exterior</a></div></div><ul class="custom footnotes"></ul></div></div><div class="relacionados upper_menu_anchors"><div class="field_monografics"><div class="slide"><div about="/es/temas-clave/politica-monetaria-y-fiscal" class="term collections temas_destacados_en_articulos"><div class="monografic"><div class="etiqueta">Temas clave</div></div><div class="col"> <a href="/es/temas-clave/politica-monetaria-y-fiscal"><h2>Política monetaria y fiscal</h2> </a><div class="navigator"> <a href="/es/temas-clave" class="more">Todo sobre Temas clave</a></div></div><div class="col"> <a href="/es/temas-clave/politica-monetaria-y-fiscal"><div class="field_imagen field"><div class="field_media_image field"> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/destacado/public/content/image/2022/03/15/49/tc-politica-monetaria-y-fiscal.jpg?itok=3ugavApO" width="670" height="399" alt="Política monetaria y fiscal" loading="lazy" typeof="foaf:Image" /></div></div> </a></div></div></div></div><div class="three-col border-bottom view view-eva view-articulos-relacionados view-id-articulos_relacionados view-display-id-relacionados js-view-dom-id-3882911d3f0cd9b89916af75a5d3d2d1b129e997ed03b3083b8198eb430e0827 view-lista-articulos"> <header><div class="tex2jax_process"><h3>Artículos relacionados</h3></div> </header><div class="flex three-columns-gap20 wrap"> <article data-history-node-id="12874" role="article" about="/es/economia-y-mercados/inflacion/precio-alimentos-empieza-dar-respiro?16" class="node sectorial-report-article teaser-llista-articles"> <a 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href="/es/autor/pedro-alvarez-ondina"><div class="name field"> Pedro Álvarez Ondina</div> </a></div></div></div><div class="autor"><div about="/es/autor/sergio-diaz" class="author-name-teaser"><div class="nom"><a href="/es/autor/sergio-diaz"><div class="name field"> Sergio Díaz</div> </a></div></div></div></div><div class="fecha"> 7 oct 2024</div></div></article></div></div></div></article></div></div></div></main><footer role="contentinfo"><div class="container"><div class="logo_caixa_footer"> <a href="https://www.caixabankresearch.com/es" title="CaixaBank Research footer logo"> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" version="1.1" x="0px" y="0px" viewBox="0 0 469.7 126" style="enable-background:new 0 0 469.7 126;" xml:space="preserve"> <g> <path class="st0" d="M35.3,52.9c1,0.7,0.9,2,1.8,2.7l0.4,3l-2.2,3.2c-2.8,1.5-6.9,2.1-9.5-0.2c-1.5-1.3-1.9-3.2-1.5-5.1l1-2.8 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