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Parameter Estimation with Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis for the SARS Outbreak in Hong Kong
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syndrome (SARS). Based on the SARS epidemic in 2003, the parameters are estimated using Runge-Kutta (Dormand-Prince pairs) and least squares methods. Possible graphical and numerical techniques are used to validate the estimates. Then effect of the model parameters on the dynamics of the disease is examined using sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. Sensitivity and uncertainty analytical techniques are used in order to analyze the affect of the uncertainty in the obtained parameter estimates and to determine which parameters have the largest impact on controlling the disease dynamics. <iframe src="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/8087.pdf" style="width:100%; height:400px;" frameborder="0"></iframe> <p class="card-text"><strong>Keywords:</strong> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/search?q=infectious%20disease" title="infectious disease">infectious disease</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/search?q=severe%20acute%20respiratory%20syndrome%20%28SARS%29" title=" severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)"> severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/search?q=parameter%20estimation" title=" parameter estimation"> parameter estimation</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/search?q=sensitivity%20analysis" title=" sensitivity analysis"> sensitivity analysis</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/search?q=uncertainty%20analysis" title=" uncertainty analysis"> uncertainty analysis</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/search?q=Runge-Kutta%20methods" title=" Runge-Kutta methods"> Runge-Kutta methods</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/search?q=Levenberg-Marquardt%20method" title=" Levenberg-Marquardt method"> Levenberg-Marquardt method</a> </p> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/8087/parameter-estimation-with-uncertainty-and-sensitivity-analysis-for-the-sars-outbreak-in-hong-kong" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">Procedia</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts/8087.pdf" target="_blank" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">PDF</a> <span class="bg-info text-light px-1 py-1 float-right rounded"> Downloads <span class="badge badge-light">361</span> </span> </div> </div> </div> </main> <footer> <div id="infolinks" class="pt-3 pb-2"> <div 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