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NFL Week 12 Best Upset Bets: Titans, Panthers Among Underdogs to Watch - Newsweek
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In fact, eight games left this weekend feature a favorite laying at least 5.5 points at most sportsbooks.Any NFL fan or bettor can tell you that doesn't mean every favorite is going to roll, though.Below are a couple underdogs we like to cover, as well as the reasons why we're bullish on them.More From Newsweek Vault: Best Live TV Streaming Service in 2024All kickoff times below are ET.Titans vs. Texans -- 1 p.m. (CBS)\nWith losses in five of their last six games, the 2-8 Titans aren't exactly peaking as they enter Week 12. This team has played better in recent weeks, though, even if its 27-17 loss to the Chargers in Week 10 and 23-13 loss to the Vikings last Sunday don't reflect as much.It all starts with second-year QB Will Levis, who is coming off two of the best games of his season, if not his career. Levis completed less than 55 percent of his passes in last week's loss to Minnesota, but he still had a solid day (17-for-31 for 295 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception) against a Vikes defense that creates a ton of pressure on quarterbacks.More From Newsweek Vault: Find Expert Guidance For Every Step Of Your Financial JourneyLevis quietly also played well against the Chargers the previous week, when he completed 18-of-23 passes for 175 yards, 2 TDs and no picks. While Levis is finally playing well enough to keep the Titans in games, the real reason we like Tennessee to keep this game within one score is how the Tennessee D matches up with Houston.The Texans are 7-4, but outside of last week's blowout of a Dallas team that is in shambles, C.J. Stroud and Co. have struggled to move the ball in recent weeks due to their inability to keep Stroud upright.He has been sacked at least four times in three of the last five games. On the season, he's gone down 35 times, the second-most in the NFL behind Bears rookie Caleb Williams.Last week's win over Dallas showed how well the Texans can move the ball when they're able to establish the running game, but against a Titans D that only allows 4.1 yards per carry, it's unlikely that Joe Mixon will be able to run wild.If the Texans have to beat the Titans in third-and-long, underrated pass rushers Arden Key and Harold Landry, as well as stud DT Jeffery Simmons, will have a real chance to make this a hard-fought, low-scoring battle.The Texans have played in just three games all year that were decided by more than one score, and we expect this one to be tight enough for the Titans to cover.Best bet: Titans +7.5 (-110 at DraftKings) 1 unitChiefs vs. Panthers -- 1 p.m. (CBS)Speaking of teams that have found themselves in close games much more often than not, the Kansas City Chiefs' nine wins this year include just two by more than seven points.With the Chiefs coming off a tough road loss to Buffalo, it makes sense that they're heavily favored to bounce back in a big way against the 3-7 Carolina Panthers.We like the home team to keep this matchup at least somewhat respectable, though.Since re-inserting Bryce Young into the lineup, Carolina has looked competent for three straight weeks, and it's coming off a bye following an overtime win over the Giants in Week 10.The Panthers would need a minor miracle to give Kansas City its second consecutive loss, but they have been playing better on D the last couple weeks after getting a boost from Jadeveon Clowney, Josey Jewell and D.J. Wonnum up front. All three missed time earlier this year, and Wonnum had a sack and two TFLs in his season debut against New York two weeks ago.The Panthers will also welcome back veteran WR Adam Thielen -- who was Young's top target in 2023 -- for this game. In addition, second-round rookie RB Jonathon Brooks will finally make his NFL debut after a lengthy recovery from a torn ACL that cut short his final season at Texas last fall.Most bettors are probably taking the Chiefs to cover against a Panthers team that lost a number of uncompetitive games early this season.Carolina, however, has recently shown enough signs of life -- albeit against the lowly Saints and Giants -- that we trust it to keep this game close against the reigning champs, who have won only one game this year by more than 10 points.Best bet: Panthers +11 (-110 at bet365) 1 unitNewsweek may earn an affiliate commission if you sign up through the links in this article. See the sportsbook operator's terms and conditions for important details. Sports betting operators have no influence over newsroom coverage.","thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/d.newsweek.com\/en\/full\/2528609\/nfl-week-12-upsets.jpg","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/d.newsweek.com\/en\/full\/2528609\/nfl-week-12-upsets.jpg?w=1600&h=900&q=88&f=eeaf6f88556302d8abbe0c6aa33233cc","width":1600,"height":900,"caption":"Titans DL Jeffery Simmons leads a unit that could keep Sunday's game against the Texans close for 60 minutes."},{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/d.newsweek.com\/en\/full\/2528609\/nfl-week-12-upsets.jpg?w=1600&h=1200&q=88&f=382107d46905eef3a549116d0365c594","width":1600,"height":1200,"caption":"Titans DL Jeffery Simmons leads a unit that could keep Sunday's game against the Texans close for 60 minutes."},{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/d.newsweek.com\/en\/full\/2528609\/nfl-week-12-upsets.jpg?w=1600&h=1600&q=88&f=5252efc864c44d0d8af65e964e454733","width":1600,"height":1600,"caption":"Titans DL Jeffery Simmons leads a unit that could keep Sunday's game against the Texans close for 60 minutes."}],"alternativeHeadline":"NFL Week 12 best upset bets: Titans, Panthers among underdogs to watch","articleSection":"Sports Betting","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Tyler Everett","url":"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/authors\/tyler-everett"}],"keywords":["sports betting","Football"],"isAccessibleForFree":"True"}</script> </head><body class="html not-front not-logged-in no-sidebars page-node-1990736 node-type-article standard-article lemon fontf" data-gtm-category="NWUS-ARTICLE"> <noscript><iframe src="https://www.googletagmanager.com/ns.html?id=GTM-TVS8NW5" height="0" width="0" style="display:none;visibility:hidden"></iframe></noscript><div class="page-top"><div id="block-nw-nw-breaking-news-bar"></div></div><div id="block-nw-nw-header" class="block block-nw"><div class="container-fluid"> <header class="header-menu-global"><div class="desktop-menu"><div id="nav-menu"><div class="header-left" data-gtm-action="NW-Menu"> 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links=document.querySelectorAll('.list-horizontal li a');links.forEach(function(link){if(link.querySelector('img')&&link.href===window.location.href){link.parentElement.classList.add('active')}})</script> </div> <article id="header-container" class="container"> <header class="article-header"><h1>NFL Week 12 Best Upset Bets: Titans, Panthers Among Underdogs to Watch</h1><div class="article_pubTime"> <time class="article-time" datetime="2024-11-24T08:45:01-05:00" data-timestamp="1732455901"><b>Published</b> Nov 24, 2024 at 8:45 AM EST</time> <span class="article_pubDivider"></span> <time class="article-time" datetime="2024-11-24T09:42:30-05:00" data-timestamp="1732459350"><b>Updated</b> Nov 24, 2024 at 9:42 AM EST</time></div> </header> </article><div id="topad"><div class="block block-fusion-ads"><div class="content"><div id="dfp-ad-top-wrapper" class="dfp-tag-wrapper dfp-ad-count"><div id="dfp-ad-top" class="dfp-tag-wrapper"></div></div></div></div><script>googletag.cmd.push(function 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media="(min-width: 992px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.webp?w=737&f=ca07bf6b6bedc5b6f5f3dc5e0bdddb72 1x"><source type="image/jpeg" media="(min-width: 992px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.jpg?w=737&f=ca07bf6b6bedc5b6f5f3dc5e0bdddb72 1x"><source type="image/webp" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.webp?w=961&f=2dade67eaeea29d05c24405a468f72ba 1x"><source type="image/jpeg" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.jpg?w=961&f=2dade67eaeea29d05c24405a468f72ba 1x"><source type="image/webp" media="(min-width: 481px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.webp?w=737&f=ca07bf6b6bedc5b6f5f3dc5e0bdddb72 1x"><source type="image/jpeg" media="(min-width: 481px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.jpg?w=737&f=ca07bf6b6bedc5b6f5f3dc5e0bdddb72 1x"><source type="image/webp" media="(min-width: 0px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.webp?w=450&f=bd625b7e252f35e7c51d0c811af70c88 1x"><source type="image/jpeg" media="(min-width: 0px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.jpg?w=450&f=bd625b7e252f35e7c51d0c811af70c88 1x"><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.webp"><img fetchpriority="high" class="mapping-embed imgPhoto" id="i2528609" src="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528609/nfl-week-12-upsets.jpg" alt="nfl week 12 upsets" /></picture></div><figcaption class="caption ar23-caption"> <span class="cap" id="short-cap-description">Titans DL Jeffery Simmons leads a unit that could keep Sunday's game against the Texans close for 60 minutes.</span> <span class="cap" id="full-cap-description" style="display: none;">Titans DL Jeffery Simmons leads a unit that could keep Sunday's game against the Texans close for 60 minutes.</span> <span 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jQuery('.article-comments').on('click',function(e){e.preventDefault();scrollToElement("#block-ibtmedia-facebook-facebook-comment",500)});jQuery('.fairness-icon').on('click',function(e){e.preventDefault();scrollToElement(".fairness-metter",500)});function scrollToElement(selector,duration=500){return new Promise((resolve,reject)=>{var $element=jQuery(selector);if($element.length){jQuery('html, body').animate({scrollTop:$element.offset().top},duration,resolve)}else{reject()}})}})})</script> <div class="article-body v_text"><p>Of the 12 games remaining in Week 12 of the 2024 <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/sports/nfl" data-sys="1" class="multivariate">NFL</a> season, oddsmakers only see a few as evenly matched. In fact, eight games left this weekend feature a favorite laying at least 5.5 points at most sportsbooks.</p><p>Any <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/sports/nfl" data-sys="1" class="multivariate">NFL</a> fan or bettor can tell you that doesn't mean every favorite is going to roll, though.</p><p>Below are a couple underdogs we like to cover, as well as the reasons why we're bullish on them.</p><p><strong>More From Newsweek Vault:</strong> <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/vault/home-services/streaming/best-streaming-services-for-live-tv/" class="multivariate">Best Live TV Streaming Service in 2024</a></p><figure class="fullCode"><div class="innerBox"><div class="code"><link href="https://cdn.lineicons.com/3.0/lineicons.css" rel="stylesheet" /><link href="https://dsa.system114.info/adCSS/offer-list.css" rel="stylesheet" /><div class="wrapperSBL"><div class="bookSBL"><div class="logoSBL"> <img src="https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/app/uploads/media/3/icon-draftkings-1.png" /></div><div class="contentSBL"><p class="titleSBL">BET $5, GET $150 BONUS BETS</p><p class="subtitleSBL"> DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK</p></div><div> <button type="button" value="Claim Offer"> <a href="https://actionrush.com/go/newsweek-draftkings-promo/" target="_blank">CLAIM OFFER</a> </button></div></div><div class="bookSBL"><div class="logoSBL"> <img src="https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/ESPN-Bet-List-Logo.png" /></div><div class="contentSBL"><p class="titleSBL">$100 BONUS OR $1,500 FIRST BET RESET (MUST USE CODE NEWSWEEK)</p><p class="subtitleSBL"> ESPN BET</p></div><div> <button type="button" value="Claim Offer"> <a href="https://links.actionrush.com/go/newsweek-espn-bet/" target="_blank">CLAIM OFFER</a> </button></div></div><div class="bookSBL"><div class="logoSBL"> <img src="https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/app/uploads/media/3/icon-betmgm-2.png" /></div><div class="contentSBL"><p class="titleSBL">$1,500 FIRST-BET OFFER</p><p class="subtitleSBL"> BETMGM</p></div><div> <button type="button" value="Claim Offer"> <a href="https://actionrush.com/go/newsweek-betmgm/" target="_blank">CLAIM OFFER</a> </button></div></div><div class="bookSBL"><div class="logoSBL"> <img src="https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/app/uploads/media/3/icon-bet365-1.png" /></div><div class="contentSBL"><p class="titleSBL">$150 BONUS OR $1,000 FIRST-BET SAFETY NET</p><p class="subtitleSBL"> BET365</p></div><div> <button type="button" value="Claim Offer"> <a href="https://links.actionrush.com/go/newsweek-bet365/" target="_blank">CLAIM OFFER</a> </button></div></div><div class="bookSBL"><div class="logoSBL"> <img src="https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/app/uploads/media/3/caesars-NY-app.png" /></div><div class="contentSBL"><p class="titleSBL">$1,000 FIRST BET</p><p class="subtitleSBL"> CAESARS SPORTSBOOK</p></div><div> <button type="button" value="Claim Offer"> <a href="https://actionrush.com/go/newsweek-caesars-offer/" target="_blank">CLAIM OFFER</a> </button></div></div><div class="bookSBL"><div class="logoSBL"> <img src="https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/app/uploads/media/3/icon-fanduel.png" /></div><div class="contentSBL"><p class="titleSBL">BET $5, WIN $150 BONUS BETS</p><p class="subtitleSBL"> FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK</p></div><div> <button type="button" value="Claim Offer"> <a href="https://actionrush.com/go/newsweek-fanduel/" target="_blank">CLAIM OFFER</a> </button></div></div></div></div> </figure><p>All kickoff times below are ET.</p><h2><span style="color: black;">Titans vs. Texans -- 1 p.m. (CBS)<br> </span></h2><p>With losses in five of their last six games, the 2-8 Titans aren't exactly peaking as they enter Week 12. This team has played better in recent weeks, though, even if its 27-17 loss to the Chargers in Week 10 and 23-13 loss to the Vikings last Sunday don't reflect as much.</p><p>It all starts with second-year QB Will Levis, who is coming off two of the best games of his season, if not his career. Levis completed less than 55 percent of his passes in last week's loss to Minnesota, but he still had a solid day (17-for-31 for 295 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception) against a Vikes defense that creates a ton of pressure on quarterbacks.</p><p><strong>More From Newsweek Vault:</strong> <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/vault/" class="multivariate">Find Expert Guidance For Every Step Of Your Financial Journey</a></p><p>Levis quietly also played well against the Chargers the previous week, when he completed 18-of-23 passes for 175 yards, 2 TDs and no picks. While Levis is finally playing well enough to keep the Titans in games, the real reason we like Tennessee to keep this game within one score is how the Tennessee D matches up with Houston.</p><p>The Texans are 7-4, but outside of last week's blowout of a Dallas team that is in shambles, C.J. Stroud and Co. have struggled to move the ball in recent weeks due to their inability to keep Stroud upright.</p><p>He has been sacked at least four times in three of the last five games. On the season, he's gone down 35 times, the second-most in the <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/sports/nfl" data-sys="1" class="multivariate">NFL</a> behind Bears rookie Caleb Williams.</p><p>Last week's win over Dallas showed how well the Texans can move the ball when they're able to establish the running game, but against a Titans D that only allows 4.1 yards per carry, it's unlikely that Joe Mixon will be able to run wild.</p><p>If the Texans have to beat the Titans in third-and-long, underrated pass rushers Arden Key and Harold Landry, as well as stud DT Jeffery Simmons, will have a real chance to make this a hard-fought, low-scoring battle.</p><p>The Texans have played in just three games all year that were decided by more than one score, and we expect this one to be tight enough for the Titans to cover.</p><p><strong>Best bet</strong>: Titans +7.5 (-110 at DraftKings) 1 unit</p><h2>Chiefs vs. Panthers -- 1 p.m. (CBS)</h2><p>Speaking of teams that have found themselves in close games much more often than not, the Kansas City Chiefs' nine wins this year include just two by more than seven points.</p><p>With the Chiefs coming off a tough road loss to Buffalo, it makes sense that they're heavily favored to bounce back in a big way against the 3-7 Carolina Panthers.</p><p>We like the home team to keep this matchup at least somewhat respectable, though.</p><p>Since re-inserting Bryce Young into the lineup, Carolina has looked competent for three straight weeks, and it's coming off a bye following an overtime win over the Giants in Week 10.</p><p>The Panthers would need a minor miracle to give Kansas City its second consecutive loss, but they have been playing better on D the last couple weeks after getting a boost from Jadeveon Clowney, Josey Jewell and D.J. Wonnum up front. All three missed time earlier this year, and Wonnum had a sack and two TFLs in his season debut against New York two weeks ago.</p><p>The Panthers will also welcome back veteran WR Adam Thielen -- who was Young's top target in 2023 -- for this game. In addition, second-round rookie RB Jonathon Brooks will finally make his <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/sports/nfl" data-sys="1" class="multivariate">NFL</a> debut after a lengthy recovery from a torn ACL that cut short his final season at Texas last fall.</p><p>Most bettors are probably taking the Chiefs to cover against a Panthers team that lost a number of uncompetitive games early this season.</p><p>Carolina, however, has recently shown enough signs of life -- albeit against the lowly Saints and Giants -- that we trust it to keep this game close against the reigning champs, who have won only one game this year by more than 10 points.</p><p><strong>Best bet</strong>: Panthers +11 (-110 at bet365) 1 unit</p><p><em>Newsweek may earn an affiliate commission if you sign up through the links in this article. See the sportsbook operator's terms and conditions for important details. 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Blind'"> <picture> <source type="image/webp" media="(max-width: 400px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528421/impact-indian-ocean-2004-tsunami.webp?w=400&h=266&f=64fe0038f1adfb8ad54c4e9b08e6301a 1x"><source type="image/jpeg" media="(max-width: 400px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528421/impact-indian-ocean-2004-tsunami.jpg?w=400&h=266&f=64fe0038f1adfb8ad54c4e9b08e6301a 1x"><source type="image/webp" media="(max-width: 768px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528421/impact-indian-ocean-2004-tsunami.webp?w=768&h=512&f=a9619dfaf0224b1b2b80a5e4bbb896d4 1x"><source type="image/jpeg" media="(max-width: 768px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528421/impact-indian-ocean-2004-tsunami.jpg?w=768&h=512&f=a9619dfaf0224b1b2b80a5e4bbb896d4 1x"><source type="image/webp" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528421/impact-indian-ocean-2004-tsunami.webp?w=600&h=400&f=e904088b9ff3222d0d5870476a01eeac 1x"><source type="image/jpeg" 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srcset="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528536/jerome-adams.webp"> <img alt="" class="article-img " loading="lazy" src="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2528536/jerome-adams.jpg" /> </picture> </a></div><h3 class="news-title"> <a href="/trumps-ex-surgeon-general-raises-alarms-over-public-health-threats-1990690">Trump's Ex-Surgeon General Raises Alarms Over Public Health Threats</a></h3></article></div></div> </section><section class="about-writer" data-gtm-action="About_The_Writer"><h3 class="side-lines">About the writer</h3> <span class="author"> <a href="/authors/tyler-everett" class="author-name" rel="author"> Tyler Everett </a> </span> <br> <button class="follow-btn"><a href="https://www.newsweek.com/authors/tyler-everett">FOLLOW </a></button><div class="social-links" style="display: none;"></div><div class="description-writer"> <span id="more-description" style="display: none;"><p>Tyler Everett is a longtime sportswriter who turned his attention to sports betting back in 2019. He has been breaking down everything from Champions League, Premier League and World Cup soccer to the NFL, NBA, college football and college basketball as a writer and podcaster ever since.</p><p>His journalism experience dates back to his freshman year of college in 2008, when he joined the sports section of NC State's student daily, <em>Technician</em>. Previous stops include a 10-year stint with SportsBusiness Journal as well as extensive freelance sports writing for outlets including Gaming Today, High Press Soccer, the Charlotte Observer, the Raleigh News & Observer, the North State Journal, Bleacher Report and Pack Pride.<br></p><p>He lives in Charlotte, NC, with his wife, Ali, and dog, Lola.<br></p></span> <span id="dots-description"><p>Tyler Everett is a longtime sportswriter who turned his attention to sports betting back in 2019. 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