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高通與聯發科的 AI 晶片角力戰,會被 Arm 攪局成什麼樣? - INSIDE
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<section class="js-article-content-body"> <p class="p1 ck-section">站在 AI 運算爆發的十字路口,高通與聯發科正上演一場精彩的產業大戲。這兩大晶片龍頭不約而同選在 2024 年第四季推出各自的年度壓軸之作,高通端出 Snapdragon 8 Elite,聯發科則搶先亮出天璣 9400。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">表面上,這是一場規格數字的較量,實則暗藏產業版圖重組的序曲。更弔詭的是,就在這場 AI 晶片戰火方熾之際,智慧財產授權商 Arm 突然對高通祭出法律威脅,讓這齣戲碼更添戲劇性。</p><div class="ad-content" style="min-height:294px"><div class="tmgad tmgad-type-flux tmgad-new"> <script type="application/json">{"type":"flux","slot":"\/21870649235\/in_a_p2","size":[[640,360],[640,480],[300,250],[1,1]],"mapping":[[[1210,0],[[640,360],[640,480],[1,1]]],[[0,0],[[300,250],[1,1]]]],"targeting":{"advertising":["0"],"cabinet":["739806"],"page_key":["article"],"page_name":["article"],"author_key":["ericlin"],"author_name":["\u6797\u5b97\u8f1d"],"category_key":["semiconductor","ai"],"category_name":["\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4","\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167"],"tag_key":["1384","2099","3389"],"tag_name":["\u9ad8\u901a","ARM","\u806f\u767c\u79d1"]},"name":"in_a_p2"}</script> </div> </div><p class="p1 ck-section">AI 運算時代的來臨,不僅徹底改變了手機處理器的設計思維,更對晶片產業的競爭規則帶來根本性的衝擊。在這場新格局之爭中,各大廠商的策略運籌,將決定未來整個行動運算產業的發展方向。</p><h3 class="p2 ck-section"><strong>聯發科搶先出招的如意算盤</strong></h3><p class="p3 ck-section">在這場晶片大戰中,聯發科一反常態,首次搶在高通之前發表年度旗艦處理器。天璣 9400 採用台積電最先進的 3 奈米製程,不僅在 CPU 架構上導入最新的 Arm Cortex-X925。</p><p class="p3 ck-section">市場測試顯示,搭載 Mali-G925 Immortalis MP12 GPU 的天璣 9400,在 3DMark Steel Nomad Light 等圖形測試項目上,與 Snapdragon 8 Elite 的 Adreno 830 互有勝負。但聯發科祭出更具競爭力的價格策略,天璣 9400 的報價僅約 155 美元,比高通的 180 美元低了將近 15%。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">聯發科在 AI 運算能力上也同樣搶眼。天璣 9400 搭載全新的 MediaTek NPU 890,支援多模態運算和 MoE 大型語言模型,不僅具備 LoRA 訓練能力,更可執行 Google 的 Gemini Nano 等先進 AI 模型。</p><div class="ad-content" style="min-height:294px"><div class="tmgad tmgad-type-general tmgad-new"> <script type="application/json">{"type":"general","slot":"\/21870649235\/in_a_p6_special","size":[[640,360],[640,480],[300,250],[320,480],[1,1]],"mapping":[[[1210,0],[[640,360],[640,480],[1,1]]],[[0,0],[[300,250],[320,480],[1,1]]]],"targeting":{"advertising":["0"],"cabinet":["739806"],"page_key":["article"],"page_name":["article"],"author_key":["ericlin"],"author_name":["\u6797\u5b97\u8f1d"],"category_key":["semiconductor","ai"],"category_name":["\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4","\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167"],"tag_key":["1384","2099","3389"],"tag_name":["\u9ad8\u901a","ARM","\u806f\u767c\u79d1"]},"name":"in_a_p6_special"}</script> </div> </div><p class="p1 ck-section">在功耗效率上,較前代提升 45%,這數字恰好與高通宣稱的效能提升幅度不分軒輊。市場分析師指出,聯發科這次的產品定位相當清晰,就是要在 AI 時代搶佔先機,並藉由更優異的性價比,撼動高通在高階市場的主導地位。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">特別值得關注的是,聯發科這次還瞄準了 AI PC 市場。據傳該公司已與英偉達展開合作,計畫開發採用 Arm 架構的 PC 處理器,預計採用台積電 3 奈米製程與 CoWoS 封裝技術,目標直指高通的 Snapdragon X 系列。此舉顯示聯發科不再滿足於智慧型手機市場,而是要在 AI 驅動的新一波運算革命中,搶佔更大的市場版圖。</p><h3 class="p2 ck-section"><strong>你動不了我的大客戶!高通的品牌防線</strong></h3><p class="p1 ck-section">然而,聯發科的野心卻遭遇意料之外的頓挫。就在市場傳出聯發科可能打入三星 Galaxy S25 系列之際,三星總裁暨行動通訊事業部負責人盧泰文親自現身高通的發表會,明確宣示將在下一代旗艦機採用 Snapdragon 8 Elite。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">這一手直接澆熄了外界對聯發科切入三星高階產品線的期待。除了三星,小米、榮耀等品牌也相繼表態支持高通新品,顯示高通在高階市場布建多年的品牌信任度,並非聯發科單靠效能與價格就能輕易撼動。</p><div class="ad-content" style="min-height:294px"><div class="tmgad tmgad-type-flux tmgad-new"> <script type="application/json">{"type":"flux","slot":"\/21870649235\/in_a_p10","size":[[640,360],[640,480],[300,250],[1,1]],"mapping":[[[1210,0],[[640,360],[640,480],[1,1]]],[[0,0],[[300,250],[1,1]]]],"targeting":{"advertising":["0"],"cabinet":["739806"],"page_key":["article"],"page_name":["article"],"author_key":["ericlin"],"author_name":["\u6797\u5b97\u8f1d"],"category_key":["semiconductor","ai"],"category_name":["\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4","\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167"],"tag_key":["1384","2099","3389"],"tag_name":["\u9ad8\u901a","ARM","\u806f\u767c\u79d1"]},"name":"in_a_p10"}</script> </div> </div><p class="p1 ck-section">市場分析師指出,品牌廠商在選擇晶片供應商時,考量的層面遠比效能數字更為複雜。高通憑藉其在無線通訊技術上的深厚累積,以及完整的產品生態系統,在高階市場建立了難以撼動的優勢。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">根據統計,2023 年第二季全球手機晶片市場,聯發科雖以 32% 的佔有率領先,但高通緊追在後,佔比 31%。更關鍵的是,在高階市場的營收與獲利上,高通仍遙遙領先。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">高通的優勢不僅體現在手機市場。在 AI PC 領域,高通的 Snapdragon X Elite 已獲得微軟等大廠的支持,其第二代 Oryon CPU 在效能表現上甚至超越了英特爾與 AMD 的產品。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">市場預期,隨著 Windows on Arm 生態系統的成熟,高通在 PC 市場的影響力將進一步擴大。這也說明了為何品牌廠商在選擇合作夥伴時,往往更重視長期的技術支援與產品穩定性。</p><h3 class="p1 ck-section"><strong>授權費不給?Arm 對高通祭出斷頭台</strong></h3><p class="p1 ck-section">正當市場聚焦於高通與聯發科的產品之爭時,Arm 突然對高通發出震撼彈。因不滿高通在收購 Nuvia 後未重新談判授權條款,Arm 發出 60 天取消授權通知,要求高通停止銷售包括 Snapdragon 8 Elite 在內的諸多產品。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">這場專利戰的導火線,源於高通在 2021 年斥資 14 億美元收購 Nuvia 後,堅持其現有的 Arm 架構授權已涵蓋 Nuvia 的技術開發。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">對此,高通強硬回應,指責 Arm 此舉是「反競爭行為」,並暗示這是 Arm 企圖藉機大幅提高授權費用的伎倆。高通強調,目前的架構授權協議已涵蓋廣泛權利,Arm 的終止通知毫無依據,更像是在即將到來的法庭審判前的施壓手段。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">事實上,這場爭議反映了 Arm 在 AI 時代重新定位其商業模式的企圖。值得注意的是,Arm 最新的 Armv9 架構授權費用已較前代翻倍,這可能暗示 Arm 正試圖在 AI 運算浪潮中擴大其利益。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">根據市場消息,Arm 目前每顆晶片收取約 0.5 至 1 美元的權利金,若以高通每年出貨量計算,金額相當可觀。但在 AI PC 市場,由於處理器單價更高,Arm 可能希望提高授權費率。然而,這種做法引發了高通的強烈反彈,也讓其他晶片製造商開始警惕。特別是在 Arm 剛完成上市,市值突破千億美元的背景下,其商業策略的轉變更引人注目。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">筆者認為,高通堅持的點是,他收購的是 Nuvia 的設計,在重新調整之後整合進自己的產品線中,因此沒有再付一次版權費的道理,而 Arm 堅持原本 Nuvia 出售給高通之後屬於 Nuvia 的智慧財產仍須額外付費,其實無視了「收購行為」本身對兩家企業產品線整合的現實狀況,Arm 的作法可能會使未來向 Arm 授權的企業在面對收購同樣向 Arm 進行授權的第三方晶片業者時,必須考量額外的成本支出,為此,甚至迫使客戶直接放棄 Arm 架構,Arm 發起法律訴訟阻擋此類產品整併恐有殺雞取卵之嫌。</p><h3 class="p2 ck-section"><strong>表面上是晶片戰爭,背後 IP 勢力運作暗潮洶湧</strong></h3><p class="p1 ck-section">這場三方混戰,表面上是一場商業競爭,實則暗藏產業秩序重組的危機。若 Arm 真的中止高通的授權,不僅會重創高通的產品線,更可能引發連鎖效應。市場分析指出,此舉恐推動更多廠商轉向開源的 RISC-V 架構。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">值得注意的是,RISC-V 核心的出貨量已超過 130 億個,預計到 2030 年將佔據全球市場近四分之一的份額。在 AI 運算崛起的當下,RISC-V 的高度客製化優勢可能成為產業新選項。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">特別令人玩味的是,聯發科反而可能成為這場風暴的最大受益者。市場預期,聯發科將加強與 Arm 的合作,特別是在 Windows on ARM 領域。分析師指出,品牌廠商在專利爭議的陰影下,可能更傾向選擇如聯發科這樣的「無爭議供應商」。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">然而,這種短期利益恐難掩產業隱憂。一旦 Arm 的商業模式受到挑戰,不僅可能影響整個行動運算產業的創新步調,更可能加速產業向開源架構遷移。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">更深層的隱憂在於,這場風暴可能重塑整個晶片產業的創新模式。傳統上,晶片業仰賴授權、專利等智慧財產權體系運作,但 RISC-V 等開源架構的崛起,正在挑戰這種模式。</p><p class="p1 ck-section">責任編輯:Chris<br>核稿編輯:Sisley</p><p class="ck-section" style="margin-left:auto;text-align:justify;"><strong>快加入 </strong><a href="https://news.google.com/publications/CAAqBwgKMJWgjgswlI2hAw?ceid=TW:zh-Hant&oc=3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><strong>INSIDE Google News</strong></a><strong> 按下追蹤,給你最新、最 IN 的科技新聞!</strong></p><ul><li class="post_title"><a href="https://www.inside.com.tw/article/36559-arm-cancel-qualcomm-chip-design"><strong>Arm 與高通授權之爭白熱化!取消架構授權協議,撼動智慧型手機市場</strong></a></li><li class="post_title"><a href="https://www.inside.com.tw/article/36544-qualcomm-8-elite"><strong>高通推全新手機晶片 Snapdragon 8 Elite!傳三星 Galaxy S25 系列將獨家搭載</strong></a></li><li class="post_title"><a 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