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Study: Ocean warming has intensified recent hurricanes | PreventionWeb
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} if (getRandomArbitrary(0,99) > 95) { openDialog(); } </script></div> </section> <section id="block-pw-content" class="block block-system block-system-main-block clearfix"> <article class="custom-full-content full-content-2-column-9-3-header" data-history-node-id="91025"> <section class="layout-first"> <div class="layout-first__wrapper container"> <div class="layout-first__content"> <div class="dp-ib field field--name-field-release-date field--type-datetime field--label-hidden field--item"><time datetime="2024-11-21T12:00:00Z">21 November 2024</time> </div> <div class="field field--name-node-title field--type-ds field--label-hidden field--item"><h1> Study: Ocean warming has intensified recent hurricanes </h1> </div> <div class="source-organizations"> <span class="field--label field-label-inline">Source(s):</span> <span class="mg-u-comma-between"> <span><a href="/organization/climate-central" hreflang="en">Climate Central</a></span> </span> </div> </div> <section class="content-suggest-edit-buttons"> <a class="button upload-your-content" href="/upload-your-content">Upload your content</a> </section> </div> </section> <div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-xs-12 col-md-9 layout-main"> <div class="field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field--item"><h2>Key concepts</h2><ul><li>Ocean temperatures made higher by human-caused climate change are fueling more intense hurricanes in the Atlantic.</li><li>Climate Central's new study, published in <a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ad8d02">Environmental Research: Climate</a>, shows that climate change increased the intensity for most Atlantic hurricanes between 2019 and 2023 - and for every storm so far in 2024.</li><li>Thirty hurricanes in the study (out of 38) reached intensities roughly one category higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale compared to their expected strength in a world without climate change.</li><li>Climate Central published an additional report, <a href="https://www.climatecentral.org/report/2024-hurricane-attribution">Climate change increased wind speeds for every 2024 Atlantic hurricane</a>, expanding the analysis framework to the 2024 Atlantic Basin hurricane season.</li><li>Findings show it's unlikely that Hurricanes Beryl and Milton in 2024 would have developed into Category 5 hurricanes without the influence of climate change.</li></ul><p>This Climate Central analysis was made possible in part by open access data from NOAA and the National Hurricane Center.</p><div class="button-link"><a href="https://www.climatecentral.org/report/2024-hurricane-attribution">Read the report</a></div><p>Climate change caused the maximum wind speeds generated by roughly 80% of Atlantic Basin hurricanes from 2019 and 2023 to intensify by an average of 18 miles per hour, according to a new Climate Central study published in <a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ad8d02">Environmental Research: Climate</a>.</p><p>These hurricanes were fueled by sea surface temperatures made higher by human-caused global warming.</p><p>Thirty hurricanes out of 38 in the study reached intensities roughly one category higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale compared to their expected strength in an environment without influence of human-caused climate change.</p><p>The study identified three storms that strengthened into Category 5 (strongest) hurricanes because of climate change: Lorenzo (2019), Ian (2022), and Lee (2023).</p><p>Potential damages from winds associated with each storm category (1 to 5) increase by roughly four times with each jump in category, according to <a href="https://www.noaa.gov/jetstream/tc-potential">NOAA's assessment of hurricane damage potential</a>. But even smaller increases in wind speed, without a category change, can dramatically increase potential damage.</p><div class="button-link"><a href="https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad8d02">View the study</a></div><h3>Climate change intensified every Atlantic hurricane in 2024</h3><p>Alongside this peer-reviewed study, Climate Central published a report, <a href="https://www.climatecentral.org/report/2024-hurricane-attribution"><strong>Climate change increased wind speeds for every 2024 Atlantic hurricane</strong></a>, expanding the framework to the 2024 Atlantic Basin hurricane season.</p><p>Findings show that maximum wind speeds for all eleven hurricanes to date in 2024 were increased by 9 to 28 miles per hour because of elevated sea surface temperatures caused by climate change.</p><p>The analysis also identifies two additional storms - Beryl and Milton - whose development into Category 5 hurricanes would have been unlikely without the influence of climate change.</p><h3>Warmer seas fuel more intense hurricanes</h3><p>Climate Central's <a href="https://csi.climatecentral.org/ocean">Climate Shift Index: Ocean</a> measures the influence of climate change on daily ocean temperatures and helps connect human-caused ocean warming to consequences, such as <a href="https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/hurricane-rapid-intensification">hurricane rapid intensification</a>.</p><p>Hurricane Milton rapidly intensified by 120 miles per hour in less than 36 hours over waters whose temperatures were made <a href="https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-shift-index-alert/hurricane-milton-october-2024">400-800 times more likely by climate change</a>, according to a Climate Shift Index: Ocean analysis.</p><p>Those record-setting temperatures - commonly more than 3℉ above normal - would be virtually impossible without the influence of carbon pollution.</p><h2>Local story angles</h2><h3>Five ways to use the Climate Shift Index: Ocean </h3><ul><li><a href="https://csi.climatecentral.org/ocean">Use the tool</a>. The online map tool allows you to explore data showing which parts of the world are experiencing high Ocean CSI levels — every day.</li><li><a href="https://csi.climatecentral.org/ocean">Share custom maps</a>. Use yellow buttons in the tool’s left panel to share a direct link to a custom map or download the current map view as a PNG file.</li><li><a href="https://csi.climatecentral.org/ocean">Download maps in KML format</a>. The tool’s left panel also includes a link to download daily Ocean CSI maps in KML format for use in TV broadcasts.</li><li><a href="https://climatecentral.org/climate-shift-index-ocean#faq">Read the FAQs</a>. Review common questions and answers on the science behind the Ocean CSI and expert guidance and caveats on using the tool in climate reporting.</li><li><a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ad4815">Go deeper: read the peer-reviewed paper</a>. Published by Climate Central scientists in May 2024, this openly accessible peer-reviewed paper presents the science behind the Ocean CSI system.</li></ul></div> <div class="mt-15 lb-wg--no_bd mr-15 dp-bl"> <span><a href="https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/hurricane-strength-attribution">Read the original story here</a></span> </div> <section data-vf-google-analytics-region="undrr-editors-links" class="st-mlt gp-related-info-container"> <h2 class="field-group-title" > Editors' recommendations </h2> <ul > <li class="field--item"><a href="https://www.preventionweb.net/news/hurricane-beryls-rapid-intensification-category-5-winds-so-early-season-are-alarming-heres-why">Hurricane Beryl’s rapid intensification, Category 5 winds so early in a season are alarming: Here’s why more tropical storms are exploding in strength</a></li> <li class="field--item"><a href="https://www.preventionweb.net/news/climate-crises-qa-why-have-some-recent-storms-gained-so-much-strength-so-quickly">Climate crises Q&A: Why have some recent storms gained so much strength, so quickly?</a></li> <li class="field--item"><a href="https://www.preventionweb.net/news/el-nino-starting-lose-strength-after-fueling-hot-stormy-year-its-still-powerful-atmospheric">El Niño is starting to lose strength after fueling a hot, stormy year, but it’s still powerful − an atmospheric scientist explains what’s ahead for 2024</a></li> <li class="field--item"><a href="https://www.preventionweb.net/news/human-caused-ocean-warming-intensified-recent-hurricanes-including-all-11-atlantic-hurricanes">Human-caused ocean warming intensified recent hurricanes, including all 11 Atlantic hurricanes in 2024</a></li> <li class="field--item"><a href="https://www.preventionweb.net/news/four-ways-climate-change-likely-made-hurricane-helene-worse">Four ways climate change likely made Hurricane Helene worse</a></li> </ul> </section> <section data-vf-google-analytics-region="undrr-explore-further" class="st-mlt gp-keywords-container"> <h2 class="field-group-title" > Explore further </h2> <div class="mb-10"> <span class="field--item field-label-above">Hazards</span> <sapn class="field--item st-tag--spl"><a href="/hazards/cyclone-hurricane-and-typhoon" hreflang="en">Cyclone, Hurricane and Typhoon</a></sapn> </div> <div class="mb-10"> <span class="field--item field-label-above">Themes</span> <span class="field--item st-tag--spl"><a href="/themes/climate-change" hreflang="en">Climate change</a></span> <span class="field--item st-tag--spl"><a href="/theme/risk-identification-assessment" hreflang="en">Risk identification and assessment</a></span> </div> </section> </div> <div class="col-xs-12 col-md-3 layout-right"> <section data-mg-share-buttons><!-- mg share this --></section> <section data-vf-google-analytics-region="domain-badge" class="domain-badges-container"></section> </div> </div> </div> </article> </section> <section id="block-pwcontentbottomtext" class="block block-simple-block block-simple-blockpw-content-bottom-text clearfix"> <p class="field--name-body | info-box container">Please note: Content is displayed as last posted by a PreventionWeb community member or editor. 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