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<!DOCTYPE html><html lang="en" class="no-js"><head><meta charSet="utf-8"/><meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width"/><title>Wagner mutiny leads to questions about Russia’s military leadership - The World from PRX</title><meta name="description" content="Last week, mercenaries from the Wagner Group, led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, seized a major Russian city. Fighters eventually stopped their march toward Moscow, but the mutiny put Putin’s leadership — and the military — into question."/><link rel="canonical" href="https://theworld.org/stories/2023/06/30/wagner-mutiny-leads-questions-about-russia-s-military-leadership"/><meta property="fb:admins" content="16800048"/><meta property="fb:app_id" content="619002999344013"/><meta property="og:site_name" content="The World from PRX"/><meta property="og:type" content="article"/><meta property="og:title" content="Wagner mutiny leads to questions about Russia’s military leadership - The World from PRX"/><meta property="og:url" content="https://api.theworld.org/stories/2023/06/30/wagner-mutiny-leads-questions-about-russia-s-military-leadership"/><meta property="og:description" content="Last week, mercenaries from the Wagner Group, led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, seized a major Russian city. Fighters eventually stopped their march toward Moscow, but the mutiny put Putin’s leadership — and the military — into question."/><meta property="og:image" content="https://media.pri.org/s3fs-public/images/2023/06/2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg"/><meta property="og:image:width" content="2500"/><meta property="og:image:height" content="1406"/><meta name="twitter:account_id" content="24953039"/><meta name="twitter:card" content="summary"/><link rel="preload" as="image" imageSrcSet="/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.pri.org%2Fs3fs-public%2Fimages%2F2023%2F06%2F2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg&w=370&q=75 370w, /_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.pri.org%2Fs3fs-public%2Fimages%2F2023%2F06%2F2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg&w=600&q=75 600w, /_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.pri.org%2Fs3fs-public%2Fimages%2F2023%2F06%2F2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg&w=960&q=75 960w, 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Sergei Surovikin, left, and Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, center, attend the meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin." sizes="100vw" srcSet="/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.pri.org%2Fs3fs-public%2Fimages%2F2023%2F06%2F2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg&w=370&q=75 370w, /_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.pri.org%2Fs3fs-public%2Fimages%2F2023%2F06%2F2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg&w=600&q=75 600w, /_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.pri.org%2Fs3fs-public%2Fimages%2F2023%2F06%2F2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg&w=960&q=75 960w, /_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.pri.org%2Fs3fs-public%2Fimages%2F2023%2F06%2F2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg&w=1280&q=75 1280w, /_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.pri.org%2Fs3fs-public%2Fimages%2F2023%2F06%2F2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg&w=1920&q=75 1920w" src="/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.pri.org%2Fs3fs-public%2Fimages%2F2023%2F06%2F2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg&w=1920&q=75" decoding="async" data-nimg="fill" class="image" style="position:absolute;top:0;left:0;bottom:0;right:0;box-sizing:border-box;padding:0;border:none;margin:auto;display:block;width:0;height:0;min-width:100%;max-width:100%;min-height:100%;max-height:100%;object-fit:cover"/></span></div><div class="MuiBox-root mui-style-da22zv-content"><div class="MuiContainer-root MuiContainer-maxWidthLg MuiContainer-fixed mui-style-10u9cmn-header"><div class="MuiBox-root mui-style-1qm1lh"><a class="MuiTypography-root MuiTypography-inherit MuiLink-root MuiLink-underlineNone mui-style-8f57j9-categoryLink-root" href="/categories/conflict-justice/wagner-group">Wagner Group</a></div><div class="MuiBox-root mui-style-i3pbo"><h1 class="MuiTypography-root MuiTypography-h1 mui-style-j61p6z">Wagner mutiny leads to questions about Russia’s military leadership</h1><div class="MuiTypography-root MuiTypography-body1 mui-style-17rnym1-teaser"><p>Last week, mercenaries from the Wagner Group, led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, seized a major Russian city. Fighters eventually stopped their march toward Moscow, but the mutiny put Putin’s leadership — and the military — into question.</p></div></div><div class="MuiBox-root mui-style-111boms"><div class="MuiBox-root mui-style-16djoje-info"><div class="MuiTypography-root MuiTypography-subtitle1 mui-style-1plbpyc-date"><time dateTime="2023-06-30T21:31:15.000Z">June 30, 2023</time></div><ul class="mui-style-fol0bf-byline"><li class="mui-style-lloic3-bylineItem">By <span class="MuiBox-root mui-style-j9gegf-bylinePeople"><span class="MuiBox-root mui-style-1pajl0l-bylinePerson"><a class="MuiTypography-root MuiTypography-inherit MuiLink-root MuiLink-underlineNone mui-style-dg2cgg-bylineLink-root" href="/contributors/daniel-ofman">Daniel Ofman</a></span></span></li></ul></div><div class="MuiBox-root mui-style-h2b8up-audio"><div class="MuiBox-root mui-style-d0bi7-root" data-variant="feature" data-size="medium"></div></div></div></div></div></header><div class="MuiContainer-root MuiContainer-maxWidthLg MuiContainer-fixed mui-style-13xjx2g-footer"><span class="MuiTypography-root MuiTypography-caption mui-style-1qqc970-caption"><p>The top Russian military commander in Ukraine, Gen. Sergei Surovikin, left, and Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, center, attend the meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin during his visit to the joint staff of troops involved in Russia’s military operation in Ukraine, at an unknown location, Dec. 17, 2022. Some reports alleged that Surovikin, who had longtime ties with mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, has been detained after his abortive rebellion.</p></span><span class="MuiTypography-root MuiTypography-caption mui-style-9c3gfo-root-credit">&nbsp;Gavriil Grigorov/Sputnik/Kremlin/Pool/Photo/File/AP</span></div><div class="MuiContainer-root MuiContainer-maxWidthLg MuiContainer-fixed mui-style-1i0ok2z"><div class="MuiBox-root mui-style-1e5498j-body"><audio class="mui-style-1orlj4t-root" src="https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/dovetail.prxu.org/_/300/2c85baab-9282-45ec-980b-4679e8f0bcd7/2023_06_30_02.mp3" controls="" preload="none"></audio><p>Last week, in the early hours of a mutiny led by the Wagner Private Military Company,<span><span><span><span><span></span></span></span></span></span>their leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, posted a message on social media.</p><p>“Evil perpetrated by the country’s military leadership must be stopped,” he wrote. </p><p>The Wagner fighters seized the city of Rostov-on-Don, but eventually stopped their march toward Moscow. Still, the mutiny put the leadership of Russian President Vladimir Putin — and the military — into question.</p><p>To be clear, Prigozhin was not speaking out against the war in Ukraine, but he claimed that Russia’s military leaders were incompetent, failing the war effort and now trying to get rid of him.</p><p>In the hours that followed, high-ranking Russian generals spoke out against the Wagner mutiny.</p><p>In a video circulated online, Russian Gen. Sergey Surovikin called on Wagner to stop what they were doing.</p><p>“We can’t play into the hands of our enemies in this difficult moment,” he said. </p><p>Andrei Soldatov, a London-based investigative reporter who specializes in Russian security services, said Surovikin and Prigozhin have known each other for a long time.</p><p>“The paths of Surovikin and Wagner crossed in several regions, not only in Ukraine,” he said, adding that Surovikin played a key role in managing the relationship between Wagner and the Kremlin.</p><p>“Surovikin was assigned to be a sort of go-between Wagner and the Russian army. His official position was to help Wagner to get ammunition for fighting in Bakhmut,” Soldatov said. </p><p>Surovikin speaking out against Wagner meant that the Kremlin had lost its patience.</p><p>Later, Putin doubled down, stating that anyone involved in this betrayal, “will be punished.”</p><p>Soldatov said that Putin’s message was aimed at Wagner, but perhaps more importantly, at his own armed forces, letting them know that Prigozhin, in his eyes, is a traitor that cannot be supported. </p><p>“After that, it was just a matter of time when Prigozhin would give up because he didn’t get any support from the military,” Soldatov said. </p><p>And that’s exactly what happened.</p><p>Wagner fighters stopped their march on Moscow and no Russian troops dared to support Prigozhin. </p><p>Yet many questions remain unanswered.</p><p>“There’s so much intrigue going on at this exact moment. It really is like the game of thrones,” said Dara Massicot, a senior policy researcher at the Rand Corporation, where she studies the Russian military.</p><p>President Putin has signaled that Wagner’s days as a fighting force in Ukraine are over.</p><p>“We know that they are dismantling Wagner, that’s pretty clear. They are not going to be a player in Ukraine, in terms of being a heavily armed force, that’s no longer acceptable, they’re stripping them of their heavy equipment,” Massicot said. </p><p>On top of Wagner losing its standing as a reliable fighting force in Ukraine, there’s also a lot of speculation about the state of Russia’s military leadership, including Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the Gen. Staff Valery Gerasimov.</p><p>“[They] disappeared from public view during this event, in the moment where they should’ve been visible, they were gone,” she said. </p><p>Their absence was especially significant since the goal of Prigozhin’s mutiny was to remove them from their jobs.</p><p>Massicot said that even before the events of last week, Gerasimov wasn’t seen as a particularly popular figure in the military.</p><p>“He has not been an effective wartime leader in Ukraine. And I have not ever seen in the last 16 months or more any real enthusiasm for him among the military,” she said. </p><p>Prigozhin’s insurrection has led to speculation that perhaps there will be a shakeup among the Russian military command.</p><p>As of now though, Massicot is skeptical that Putin will make any big changes. </p><p>In recent days, there have been reports that Gen. Surovikin was detained and brought in for questioning by Russian officials.</p><p>But it’s unclear if he’s under investigation.</p><p>“Maybe they just try to cover this up, pin the blame on Prigozhin, and say everything else is fine…That’s probably the quickest and easiest pathway back to the status quo, and Putin is signaling that desperately wants to return to the status quo,” Massicot said.</p></div><div class="MuiBox-root mui-style-1t8i9fu-root"><div class="MuiPaper-root MuiPaper-elevation MuiPaper-rounded MuiPaper-elevation0 MuiCard-root mui-style-16ppwy0"><div class="MuiCardHeader-root mui-style-faujvq"><div class="MuiCardHeader-content mui-style-11qjisw"><span class="MuiTypography-root MuiTypography-h5 MuiCardHeader-title mui-style-emgn6d">Will you support The World with a monthly donation? </span></div></div><div class="MuiCardContent-root mui-style-1qw96cp"><div class="MuiTypography-root MuiTypography-body1 mui-style-78nqug"><p><span>We rely on support from listeners and readers like you to keep our stories free and accessible to all. 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type="application/json">{"props":{"pageProps":{"type":"post--story","id":"cG9zdDo1OTU0MTk=","shareLinks":[{"key":"twitter","link":{"url":"http://twitter.com/share?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheworld.org%2Fstories%2F2023%2F06%2F30%2Fwagner-mutiny-leads-questions-about-russia-s-military-leadership\u0026text=Wagner+mutiny+leads+to+questions+about+Russia%E2%80%99s+military+leadership","title":"Twitter"}},{"key":"facebook","link":{"url":"http://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Ftheworld.org%2Fstories%2F2023%2F06%2F30%2Fwagner-mutiny-leads-questions-about-russia-s-military-leadership","title":"Facebook"}},{"key":"linkedin","link":{"url":"https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=1\u0026url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheworld.org%2Fstories%2F2023%2F06%2F30%2Fwagner-mutiny-leads-questions-about-russia-s-military-leadership\u0026title=Wagner+mutiny+leads+to+questions+about+Russia%E2%80%99s+military+leadership","title":"LinkedIn"}},{"key":"flipboard","link":{"url":"https://share.flipboard.com/bookmarklet/popout?v=2\u0026url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheworld.org%2Fstories%2F2023%2F06%2F30%2Fwagner-mutiny-leads-questions-about-russia-s-military-leadership\u0026utm_campaign=tools\u0026utm_medium=article-share\u0026utm_source=theworld.org\u0026title=Wagner+mutiny+leads+to+questions+about+Russia%E2%80%99s+military+leadership","title":"Flipboard"}},{"key":"whatsapp","link":{"url":"https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=Check+out+what%27s+on+TheWorld.org%3A+https%3A%2F%2Ftheworld.org%2Fstories%2F2023%2F06%2F30%2Fwagner-mutiny-leads-questions-about-russia-s-military-leadership","title":"WhatsApp"}},{"key":"email","link":{"url":"mailto:?body=Check+out+what%27s+on+TheWorld.org%3A+https%3A%2F%2Ftheworld.org%2Fstories%2F2023%2F06%2F30%2Fwagner-mutiny-leads-questions-about-russia-s-military-leadership\u0026subject=Wagner+mutiny+leads+to+questions+about+Russia%E2%80%99s+military+leadership","title":"Email"}}],"data":{"id":"cG9zdDo1OTU0MTk=","link":"https://api.theworld.org/stories/2023/06/30/wagner-mutiny-leads-questions-about-russia-s-military-leadership","title":"Wagner mutiny leads to questions about Russia’s military leadership","excerpt":"\u003cp\u003eLast week, mercenaries from the Wagner Group, led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, seized a major Russian city. Fighters eventually stopped their march toward Moscow, but the mutiny put Putin’s leadership — and the military — into question.\u003c/p\u003e\n","content":"\u003cp\u003eLast week, in the early hours of a mutiny led by the Wagner Private Military Company,\u003cspan\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cspan\u003e \u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003etheir leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, posted a message on social media.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“Evil perpetrated by the country’s military leadership must be stopped,” he wrote.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThe Wagner fighters seized the city of Rostov-on-Don, but eventually stopped their march toward Moscow. Still, the mutiny put the leadership of Russian President Vladimir Putin — and the military —\u0026nbsp;into question.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eTo be clear, Prigozhin was not speaking out against the war in Ukraine, but he claimed that Russia’s military leaders were incompetent, failing the war effort and now trying to get rid of him.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eIn the hours that followed, high-ranking Russian generals spoke out against the Wagner mutiny.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eIn a video circulated online, Russian Gen. Sergey Surovikin called on Wagner to stop what they were doing.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“We can’t play into the hands of our enemies in this difficult moment,” he said.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eAndrei Soldatov, a London-based investigative reporter who specializes in Russian security services, said Surovikin and Prigozhin have known each other for a long time.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“The paths of Surovikin and Wagner crossed in several regions, not only in Ukraine,” he said, adding that Surovikin played a key role in managing the relationship between Wagner and the Kremlin.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“Surovikin was assigned to be a sort of go-between Wagner and the Russian army. His official position was to help Wagner to get ammunition for fighting in Bakhmut,” Soldatov said.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eSurovikin speaking out against Wagner meant that the Kremlin had lost its patience.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eLater, Putin doubled down, stating that anyone involved in this betrayal, “will be punished.”\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eSoldatov said that Putin’s message was aimed at Wagner, but perhaps more importantly, at his own armed forces, letting them know that Prigozhin, in his eyes, is a traitor that cannot be supported.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“After that, it was just a matter of time when Prigozhin would give up because he didn’t get any support from the military,” Soldatov said.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eAnd that’s exactly what happened.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eWagner fighters stopped their march on Moscow and no Russian troops dared to support Prigozhin.\u0026nbsp;\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eYet many questions remain unanswered.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“There’s so much intrigue going on at this exact moment. It really is like the game of thrones,\u0026#8221; said Dara Massicot, a senior policy researcher at the Rand Corporation, where she studies the Russian military.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003ePresident Putin has signaled that Wagner’s days as a fighting force in Ukraine are over.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“We know that they are dismantling Wagner, that’s pretty clear. They are not going to be a player in Ukraine, in terms of being a heavily armed force, that’s no longer acceptable, they’re stripping them of their heavy equipment,” Massicot said.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eOn top of Wagner losing its standing as a reliable fighting force in Ukraine, there’s also a lot of speculation about the state of Russia’s military leadership, including Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the Gen. Staff Valery Gerasimov.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“[They] disappeared from public view during this event, in the moment where they should’ve been visible, they were gone,” she said.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eTheir absence was especially significant since the goal of Prigozhin’s mutiny was to remove them from their jobs.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eMassicot said that even before the events of last week, Gerasimov wasn’t seen as a particularly popular figure in the military.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“He has not been an effective wartime leader in Ukraine. And I have not ever seen in the last 16 months or more any real enthusiasm for him among the military,” she said.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003ePrigozhin’s insurrection has led to speculation that perhaps there will be a shakeup among the Russian military command.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eAs of now though, Massicot is skeptical that Putin will make any big changes.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eIn recent days, there have been reports that Gen. Surovikin was detained and brought in for questioning by Russian officials.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eBut it’s unclear if he’s under investigation.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e“Maybe they just try to cover this up, pin the blame on Prigozhin, and say everything else is fine…That’s probably the quickest and easiest pathway back to the status quo, and Putin is signaling that desperately wants to return to the status quo,” Massicot said.\u003c/p\u003e\n","date":"2023-06-30T16:31:15","featuredImage":{"node":{"id":"cG9zdDo1OTU0MjA=","sourceUrl":"https://media.pri.org/s3fs-public/images/2023/06/2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg","mediaItemUrl":"https://media.pri.org/s3fs-public/images/2023/06/2023-06-30-russian-military-5.jpg","altText":"The top Russian military commander in Ukraine, Gen. 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Over 43,000 people have been killed in Israeli attacks, and many have been injured and displaced. Most of Gaza lies in ruins. 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It\u0026#8217;s being supported by an unlikely ally: Beijing.\u003c/p\u003e\n","link":"https://api.theworld.org/stories/2024/11/20/in-okinawa-an-independence-movement-finds-an-unlikely-ally","featuredImage":{"node":{"id":"cG9zdDo2NDkyMTk=","sourceUrl":"https://media.pri.org/s3fs-public/uploads/2024/11/LEDE-13.jpg","mediaItemUrl":"https://media.pri.org/s3fs-public/uploads/2024/11/LEDE-13.jpg","altText":"","mediaDetails":{"width":1920,"height":1080,"__typename":"MediaDetails"},"imageFields":{"mediaCredit":"Rebecca Rosman/The World","mediaCreditUrl":null,"__typename":"MediaItem_Imagefields"},"__typename":"MediaItem"},"__typename":"NodeWithFeaturedImageToMediaItemConnectionEdge"},"primaryCategory":{"id":"dGVybToxNDI1OTg=","name":"Japan in Focus","link":"https://api.theworld.org/categories/lifestyle-belief/japan-in-focus","__typename":"Category"},"additionalMedia":{"audio":{"id":"cG9zdDo2NDkwNDc=","audioFields":{"audioTitle":"Disinformation campaign takes root in 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