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Ilmari Käihkön kolumni: Ukraina on pulassa – suhtaudumme tilanteeseen tekopyhästi | Kolumnit | Yle
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11V10.8122C15.113 10.5699 14.9748 10.4239 14.7432 10.4239Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M12.0846 8.41359C12.1301 7.57715 12.4701 7.20312 13.1831 7.20312H13.1838C13.8614 7.20312 14.1661 7.56532 14.1975 8.41202L12.0846 8.41359Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M31.4197 13.2932H25.348L23.7136 18.0002H20.0957L26.4898 0.198242H30.7749L37.0436 18.0002H33.1032L31.4197 13.2932ZM28.4689 3.60924L26.1405 10.5302H30.6719L28.4689 3.60924Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M49.178 18L45.1885 11.925H42.4616V18H38.9421V0.621C38.9421 0.621 41.1944 0 45.2332 0C49.8676 0 52.6393 1.62 52.6393 5.2515C52.6393 8.9595 50.3601 10.5525 48.7258 11.277L53.3826 18H49.178ZM42.466 9.1125H46.4556C48.1661 8.3925 48.9586 7.47 48.9586 5.6025C48.9586 3.6585 47.5706 2.889 45.2914 2.889C43.8541 2.889 42.466 3.1365 42.466 3.1365V9.1125Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M55.4691 17.9996V0.24707H67.5319V3.25757H59.0109V7.71257H66.3677V10.6016H59.0109V14.9846H67.7558V17.9996H55.4691Z" 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class="Tagstyles__AnimatedTag-sc-13ensuq-0 Tagstyles__TagBase-sc-13ensuq-1 WzDym cSBVea">Mielipide</span><a href="/web/20240425172147/https://yle.fi/t/18-334977/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Venäjän hyökkäys" class="TagLinkstyles__TagLinkBase-sc-w5hh4y-0 doqXHU">Venäjän hyökkäys</a></div><h1 class="sc-beySPh kuTmyG yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--1">Ilmari Käihkön kolumni: Ukraina on pulassa – suhtaudumme tilanteeseen tekopyhästi</h1><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-5vja16 dvotnq YVZwc yle__article__paragraph">Jo kaksi vuotta lännessä on hehkutettu ukrainalaisten seisovan yhdessä rintamassa Venäjää vastaan. Samalla sodan haasteet kasataan epäreilusti vain ja ainoastaan Ukrainalle. </p><figure class="aw-u5oz0a eiswpX yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20082990","@context":"https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://schema.org","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","copyrightHolder":"Benjamin Suomela / Yle","url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.4992486851990985,c_fill,g_faces,h_511,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-103070563691a8364f54","keywords":"kolumnit (Yle Uutiset Etusivu),kolumnistit"}}</script><div class="aw-1a00tic ekscUg"><div class="aw-1qvmjke iZSzNK"><div class="aw-1njknqq jaRXHA"><picture><source data-testid="source-for-S" media="(max-width: 767px)" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.4992486851990985,c_fill,g_faces,h_511,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1673448605/39-103070563691a8364f54 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.4992486851990985,c_fill,g_faces,h_511,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1673448605/39-103070563691a8364f54 1x"/><source data-testid="source-for-M" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.4992486851990985,c_fill,g_faces,h_424,w_636/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1673448605/39-103070563691a8364f54 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.4992486851990985,c_fill,g_faces,h_424,w_636/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1673448605/39-103070563691a8364f54 1x"/><img alt="Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö." src="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/c_crop,h_4489,w_7982,x_0,y_279/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_431,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1673448605/39-103070563691a8364f54" class="aw-1l9m598 kDMeTj"/></picture></div><div class="aw-45s348 rjAqP"><button aria-disabled="false" class="Buttonstyles__ButtonBase-sc-17sr1bx-0 Buttonstyles__ButtonSecondary-sc-17sr1bx-2 kVAHoB jUvsxe"><span class="Buttonstyles__TextWrapper-sc-17sr1bx-7 fTwJAM yds-button__content">Avaa kuvien katselu</span></button></div></div></div></figure><div class="aw-too27b dACdjA"><span class="aw-z7z0zi aw-1ba4um8 jvmail hwIHUD">Ilmari Käihkö</span><span class="aw-j4ghib aw-1zflyl boqvgn ddCxZl">sotatieteiden dosentti</span></div><div class="aw-1hwlbbb dUitsS"><div class="aw-kzjed4 hdUrXi yle__article__date"><time class="aw-lsqctp iTvOCQ yle__article__date--published" datetime="2024-04-12T06:45:36+03:00">12.4. 6:45</time><span aria-hidden="true" class="aw-131q90r hSduuB">•</span><time class="aw-lsqctp iTvOCQ yle__article__date--modified" datetime="2024-04-12T16:21:52+03:00">Päivitetty<!-- --> <!-- -->12.4. 16:21</time></div></div></header><section class="yle__article__content"><aside class="aw-hvvcsw iNjXTu yle__article__aside" aria-label="Faktalaatikko"><div class="aw-x2e1x8 cPqbjB"><h2 class="sc-guDLey kEXXRR yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">Kolumni</h2><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">Kolumneja kirjoittaa laaja joukko Ylen ulkopuolisia tekijöitä.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/http://yle.fi/uutiset/18-166542" role="link">Lue kolumneja</a><br/> <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://areena.yle.fi/audio/1-61222404" role="link">Kuuntele kolumneja Yle Areenassa</a></p></div></aside><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><strong class="aw-ak79eh fyQnLO yle__article__strong">Ukraina kamppailee jo kolmatta vuotta</strong> Venäjän laajamittaista hyökkäystä vastaan.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">On syntynyt kierre. Venäjää heikompana Ukraina tarvitsee ulkopuolista tukea saavuttaakseen onnistumisia. Onnistumiset taas varmistaisivat tuen jatkuvuuden.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">Maa kipuilee nyt yhtä aikaa miehistöpulan kanssa ja ilman varmuutta aseiden ja ammusten riittävyydestä. Ollaan tilanteessa, jossa on vaikea vakuuttaa kansalaisia riskeeraamaan henkensä ja terveytensä taistelussa.</p><blockquote class="aw-5b7r8f fCLglf"><svg aria-hidden="true" fill="var(--yds-color-text-default)" stroke="none" height="32" role="img" viewbox="0 0 31 19" width="32"><path d="M0.996094 18.9644L3.29009 0.982422H15.5741L10.3201 18.9644H0.996094ZM15.4261 18.9644L17.7201 0.982422H30.0041L24.7501 18.9644H15.4261Z"></path></svg><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-c9wyj2 dvotnq jzFXiI">On syntynyt kierre. Ukraina tarvitsee tukea saavuttaakseen onnistumisia. Onnistumiset taas varmistaisivat tuen jatkuvuuden.</p></blockquote><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><strong class="aw-ak79eh fyQnLO yle__article__strong">Ukrainalta tuntuu puuttuvan teoria</strong> siitä, miten sota voitetaan. Siksi uutta liikekannallepanoa pidetään tärkeänä. Ilman uusia joukkoja Ukraina ei pysty jatkamaan pitkään kuluttavaa sotaa, venäläisten karkottamisesta puhumattakaan.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">Lakihanke liikekannallepanosta on kohdannut myös kritiikkiä Ukrainassa. Siksi meilläkin kysytään jo, kannattaako maan tukemista jatkaa, jos ukrainalaiset itse eivät ole valmiita puolustamaan maataan?</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://www.economist.com/leaders/2024/03/27/russia-is-gearing-up-for-a-big-new-push-along-a-long-front-line" role="link">Vastuu</a> sotilaiden riittävyydestä on tietysti Ukrainalla itsellään. Keskustelussa on <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://www.verkkouutiset.fi/a/pekka-toveri-nama-strategiset-virheet-ukrainassa-on-tehty/#478c6f86" role="link">viitattu</a> esimerkiksi Suomen jatkosotaan, johon osallistui noin 16 prosenttia väestöstä. Mutta meikäläistä historiaa ei voi suoraan rinnastaa nykytilanteeseen. Silloin ei huomioida Ukrainan sodan realiteetteja.</p><blockquote class="aw-5b7r8f fCLglf"><svg aria-hidden="true" fill="var(--yds-color-text-default)" stroke="none" height="32" role="img" viewbox="0 0 31 19" width="32"><path d="M0.996094 18.9644L3.29009 0.982422H15.5741L10.3201 18.9644H0.996094ZM15.4261 18.9644L17.7201 0.982422H30.0041L24.7501 18.9644H15.4261Z"></path></svg><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-c9wyj2 dvotnq jzFXiI">On Ukrainan virhe, ettei se valmistellut kansalaisiaan pitkään sotaan, mutta samaan toiveajatteluun syyllistyttiin meilläkin.</p></blockquote><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><strong class="aw-ak79eh fyQnLO yle__article__strong">Sodan alkuvaiheessa, kun länsimaat vielä empivät</strong> Ukrainan tukemista, tuhannet ukrainalaiset jonottivat puolustaakseen maataan suurempaa hyökkääjää vastaan. Kynnelle kykenevät ovat kaksi vuotta myöhemmin yhä sodassa. Loput ovat kuolleet tai haavoittuneet.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">Suomesta käsin on myös turhan helppo vieroksua Ukrainassa virinnyttä kritiikkiä liikekannallepanoa vastaan. On toki Ukrainan johdon virhe, ettei se ole onnistunut valmistelemaan kansalaisiaan pitkään sotaan. Mutta samaan toiveajatteluun syyllistyttiin meillä ja muuallakin lännessä.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><strong class="aw-ak79eh fyQnLO yle__article__strong">Demokraattinen Ukraina ei myöskään voi</strong> sotia ja määrätä kansalaisiaan samalla tavalla kuolemaan kuin Venäjä. Toisin kuin Venäjällä, Ukrainan kansalaisilla ja heidän edustajillaan on sodankin aikana aitoa lainsäädäntövaltaa. Ukrainassa pakkokeinojen käyttöä jarruttaa kansalaisyhteiskunnan pitkäaikainen huoli siitä, että valtaapitävät käyttävät lakeja omien etujensa ajamiseen.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><strong class="aw-ak79eh fyQnLO yle__article__strong">Epäilyjä liikekannallepanolakia kohtaan</strong> selittää osaltaan myös <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-67120904" role="link">korruptio</a>, jonka avulla rintamapalvelusta on vältetty. Ja halukkuuteen asepalvelukseen vaikuttaa niin ikään <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://texty.org.ua/articles/111848/mobilizaciya-sho-vidlyakuye-i-sho-motyvuye-opytuvannya-info-sapiens-na-zamovlennyatextyorgua/?src=read_next&from=111906" role="link">huoli</a> heikosta koulutuksesta ja johtamisen tasosta.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">Vaakakupissa painaa Ukrainan väestörakennekin: sodissa taistelevia nuoria on <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/ukraines-demography-second-year-full-fledged-war" role="link">vähän</a>, ja Ukrainan tulevaisuus on heistä riippuvainen.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">Ukrainassa on laskettu jokaisen sotilaan ylläpidon vaativan <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/12/20/7433786/" role="link">kuudesta</a><a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://kyivindependent.com/shmyhal-ukraine-needs-8-taxpayers-per-soldier-to-fund/" role="link"> kahdeksaan</a> veronmaksajaa. Myös pelkät taloudelliset realiteetit kyseenalaistavat laajan liikekannallepanon toteuttamiskelpoisuuden.</p><blockquote class="aw-5b7r8f fCLglf"><svg aria-hidden="true" fill="var(--yds-color-text-default)" stroke="none" height="32" role="img" viewbox="0 0 31 19" width="32"><path d="M0.996094 18.9644L3.29009 0.982422H15.5741L10.3201 18.9644H0.996094ZM15.4261 18.9644L17.7201 0.982422H30.0041L24.7501 18.9644H15.4261Z"></path></svg><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-c9wyj2 dvotnq jzFXiI">Ukrainalaisesta näkökulmasta panttaamme voiton avaimia, ja kannustamme turvasta heitä samaan aikaan marssimaan kuolemaan.</p></blockquote><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><strong class="aw-ak79eh fyQnLO yle__article__strong">Valtaosa ihmisistä ei lähtökohtaisesti tahdo sotia.</strong> Siksi meidät on tarpeen vaatiessa pakotettava sotaan.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://www.finlex.fi/fi/laki/ajantasa/2007/20071438#a1438-2007" role="link">Palveluksen</a> välttämisestä liikekannallepanon aikana voi Suomessa saada enintään kaksi vuotta vankeutta. Jatkosodan aikana meillä <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://journal.fi/haik/article/view/139135/86920" role="link">ammuttiin</a> aseistakieltäytyjiä.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><strong class="aw-ak79eh fyQnLO yle__article__strong">Ukrainalaisten yksioikoinen syyttäminen</strong> tilanteesta on <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://www.hs.fi/mielipide/art-2000009041407.html" role="link">tekopyhää</a>. Unohdamme tällöin, että liikekannallepano Ukrainassa koskee oikeita ihmisiä. Kuten länsimaissakin, myös <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://interfax.com.ua/news/press-conference/977329.html" role="link">Ukrainassa</a> punnitaan liikekannallepanokysymystä ennen kaikkea suhteessa ulkopuoliseen tukeen ja voiton mahdollisuuksiin.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">Ukrainan tuki on <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/war-against-ukraine/ukraine-support-tracker/" role="link">vähentynyt</a>. Gazan sota on vienyt lännen huomion muualle, sisäpolitiikka Yhdysvalloissa ja Venäjän <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2024/mar/28/putin-offers-both-reassurance-and-threat-on-a-wide/" role="link">vihjaukset</a> sodan leviämisestä muualle Eurooppaan ovat myös purreet tuen määrään. Samaan aikaan Venäjä on vuorostaan kasvattanut sotapanostuksiaan.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><strong class="aw-ak79eh fyQnLO yle__article__strong">Olemme jo kaksi vuotta kannustaneet ukrainalaisia vastarintaan</strong>, mutta emme silti ole antaneet heille riittävää apua sodan voittamiseksi. Ukrainalaisesta näkökulmasta panttaamme voiton avaimia käsissämme, ja kannustamme turvasta heitä samaan aikaan marssimaan kuolemaan.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">Onko meillä oikeutta vaatia muilta jotakin, mitä emme ole itsekään tehneet? Me suomalaisetkaan emme taistelleet <a class="aw-iao6s4 fAvgdO yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147/https://journal.fi/kulttuurintutkimus/article/view/111376/71570" role="link">viimeiseen hengenvetoon</a> talvi- ja jatkosodassa: luovutimme, kun tulkitsimme tilanteen mahdottomaksi.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph">Haasteista huolimatta vastarinta Ukrainassa jatkuu. Mutta sodan heikoin lenkki löytyy kyllä Ukrainan ulkopuolelta.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><em class="aw-18vh2pl dniCWk yle__article__emphasis">Ilmari Käihkö</em></p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><em class="aw-18vh2pl dniCWk yle__article__emphasis">Kirjoittaja on sotatieteilijä, jota ukrainalaiset muistuttavat jatkuvasti siitä, että he maksavat sodasta suuremman hinnan kuin me.</em></p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr dvotnq kRlVjV yle__article__paragraph"><em class="aw-18vh2pl dniCWk yle__article__emphasis">Muokattu 12.4.2024 kello 16.21: Kolumnin keskustelu suljettu ennenaikaisesti moderoinnin ruuhkautumisen vuoksi.</em></p></section><footer class="yle__article__footer"><h2 class="aw-zh6d69 hdCyAB">Aiheesta enemmän: Paketissa 2 linkkiä</h2><h2 class="sc-dmyCSP iEtwyZ yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--3" aria-hidden="true">Aiheesta enemmän</h2><div class="yle__article__links" role="list" 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srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.0,c_fill,g_faces,h_104,w_104/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-103070463691a82c121f 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.0,c_fill,g_faces,h_104,w_104/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-103070463691a82c121f 1x"/><source data-testid="source-for-M" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_110,w_196/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-103070463691a82c121f 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_110,w_196/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-103070463691a82c121f 1x"/><img alt="Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö." 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https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_110,w_196/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-103070563691a8364f54 1x"/><img alt="Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö." src="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_110,w_196/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-103070563691a8364f54" class="aw-1l9m598 kDMeTj"/></picture></div></div></div></div></div></div><div><div class="aw-1n3c5tg kPUaoB"><a href="/web/20240425172147/https://yle.fi/t/18-334977/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Venäjän hyökkäys" class="TagLinkstyles__TagLinkBase-sc-w5hh4y-0 jgCydh">Venäjän hyökkäys</a><a href="/web/20240425172147/https://yle.fi/t/18-185076/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Ukraina" class="TagLinkstyles__TagLinkBase-sc-w5hh4y-0 jgCydh">Ukraina</a><a href="/web/20240425172147/https://yle.fi/t/18-180720/fi" aria-label="Lisää 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href="/web/20240425172147/https://yle.fi/t/18-334977/fi" class="TagLinkstyles__TagLinkBase-sc-w5hh4y-0 doqXHU">Venäjän hyökkäys</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 cllaQs link-accent"><a href="/web/20240425172147/https://yle.fi/a/74-20085261" class="visitable-link">Länsi on pelokas eikä tiedä, miten haluaisi sodan päättyvän – ja siksi Ukraina on nyt pahassa paikassa</a><a href="/web/20240425172147/https://yle.fi/a/74-20085261#comments" class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 StoryCommentsCount__CommentsLink-sc-892b935b-0 Vysny dinlwZ MinimalHeadlines__StyledStoryCommentsCount-sc-121ecf9d-5 QwTKJ"><svg viewbox="0 0 24 24" height="16" role="img" aria-label="Kommentit aiheesta" color="currentColor" class="StoryCommentsCount__StyledIcon-sc-892b935b-1 LYDYo"><use xlink:href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240425172147im_/https://yle.fi/uutiset/assets/img/icons-v5.svg#message-square"></use></svg>205 kommenttia</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-121ecf9d-0 jAFdSU"><div 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type="text/javascript">window.__INITIAL__STATE__={"pageData":{"article":{"id":"74-20082990","language":"fi","url":{"full":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20240425172147\u002Fhttps:\u002F\u002Fyle.fi\u002Fa\u002F74-20082990"},"headline":{"image":{"alt":"Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö.","source":"Benjamin Suomela \u002F Yle","aspect":1.4992486851990985,"id":"39-103070563691a8364f54","type":"image","alts":[{"language":"fin","value":"Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö."},{"language":"swe","value":"Ilmari Käihkö i kostym tittar in i kameran."}],"blurhash":"L46*E*t700IU=^js9vWW0JWA~Ct8","tags":[{"label":[{"language":"fin","value":"kolumnit (Yle Uutiset Etusivu)"}],"extId":"18-71409"},{"label":[{"language":"fin","value":"kolumnistit"},{"language":"swe","value":"kolumnister"}],"extId":"18-213036"}],"copyright":[{"language":"und","value":"Benjamin Suomela \u002F 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Samalla sodan haasteet kasataan epäreilusti vain ja ainoastaan Ukrainalle. ","mainMedia":[{"alt":"Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö.","source":"Benjamin Suomela \u002F Yle","aspect":1.4992486851990985,"id":"39-103070563691a8364f54","type":"image","alts":[{"language":"fin","value":"Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö."},{"language":"swe","value":"Ilmari Käihkö i kostym tittar in i kameran."}],"blurhash":"L46*E*t700IU=^js9vWW0JWA~Ct8","tags":[{"label":[{"language":"fin","value":"kolumnit (Yle Uutiset Etusivu)"}],"extId":"18-71409"},{"label":[{"language":"fin","value":"kolumnistit"},{"language":"swe","value":"kolumnister"}],"extId":"18-213036"}],"copyright":[{"language":"und","value":"Benjamin Suomela \u002F Yle"}],"crops":[{"name":"16:9","aspect":1.78,"coordinates":{"x":0,"y":279,"width":7982,"height":4489}},{"name":"2:3","aspect":0.67,"coordinates":{"x":2189,"y":0,"width":3548,"height":5323}},{"name":"1:1","aspect":1,"coordinates":{"x":1308,"y":0,"width":5323,"height":5323}}],"height":5324,"licence":{"id":"6","name":[{"language":"und","value":"Yle"}],"properties":[]},"version":"1673448605","width":7982,"recommendedFormat":"jpg"}],"authors":[{"organization":"Yle","image":{"alt":"Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö.","source":"Benjamin Suomela \u002F Yle","aspect":1,"id":"39-103070463691a82c121f","type":"image","alts":[{"language":"fin","value":"Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö."}],"blurhash":"L46@vUj=00R*^ij[58WV0Ka}~CoL","tags":[{"label":[{"language":"fin","value":"kolumnit (Yle Uutiset Etusivu)"}],"extId":"18-71409"},{"label":[{"language":"fin","value":"kolumnistit"},{"language":"swe","value":"kolumnister"}],"extId":"18-213036"},{"label":[{"language":"eng","value":"Ilmari Käihkö"},{"language":"fin","value":"Ilmari Käihkö"},{"language":"swe","value":"Ilmari Käihkö"}],"extId":"18-341636"}],"copyright":[{"language":"und","value":"Benjamin Suomela \u002F Yle"}],"crops":[{"name":"16:9","aspect":1.78,"coordinates":{"x":0,"y":234,"width":7461,"height":4196}},{"name":"2:3","aspect":0.67,"coordinates":{"x":2101,"y":0,"width":3324,"height":4987}},{"name":"1:1","aspect":1,"coordinates":{"x":1324,"y":0,"width":4987,"height":4987}}],"height":4987,"licence":{"id":"6","name":[{"language":"und","value":"Yle"}],"properties":[]},"version":"1667894553","width":7477,"recommendedFormat":"jpg"},"description":[{"text":"sotatieteiden dosentti","type":"text"}],"id":"56-74-1334","name":"Ilmari Käihkö","type":"Person"}],"datePublished":"2024-04-12T06:45:36+0300","dateContentModified":"2024-04-12T16:21:52+0300","dateJsonModified":"2024-04-12T16:21:52+0300","publisher":{"name":"Yle Uutiset"},"publication":"uutiset","coverage":"national","content":[{"level":1,"text":"Ilmari Käihkön kolumni: Ukraina on pulassa – suhtaudumme tilanteeseen tekopyhästi ","type":"heading"},{"alt":"Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö.","source":"Benjamin Suomela \u002F Yle","aspect":1.4992486851990985,"id":"39-103070563691a8364f54","type":"image","alts":[{"language":"fin","value":"Ylen kolumnisti Ilmari Käihkö."},{"language":"swe","value":"Ilmari Käihkö i kostym tittar in i kameran."}],"blurhash":"L46*E*t700IU=^js9vWW0JWA~Ct8","tags":[{"label":[{"language":"fin","value":"kolumnit (Yle Uutiset Etusivu)"}],"extId":"18-71409"},{"label":[{"language":"fin","value":"kolumnistit"},{"language":"swe","value":"kolumnister"}],"extId":"18-213036"}],"copyright":[{"language":"und","value":"Benjamin Suomela \u002F Yle"}],"crops":[{"name":"16:9","aspect":1.78,"coordinates":{"x":0,"y":279,"width":7982,"height":4489}},{"name":"2:3","aspect":0.67,"coordinates":{"x":2189,"y":0,"width":3548,"height":5323}},{"name":"1:1","aspect":1,"coordinates":{"x":1308,"y":0,"width":5323,"height":5323}}],"height":5324,"licence":{"id":"6","name":[{"language":"und","value":"Yle"}],"properties":[]},"version":"1673448605","width":7982,"recommendedFormat":"jpg"},{"text":"Jo kaksi vuotta lännessä on hehkutettu ukrainalaisten seisovan yhdessä rintamassa Venäjää vastaan. Samalla sodan haasteet kasataan epäreilusti vain ja ainoastaan Ukrainalle.","type":"text"},{"content":[{"text":"Kolumni","level":2,"type":"heading"},{"text":"Kolumneja kirjoittaa laaja joukko Ylen ulkopuolisia tekijöitä.","type":"text"},{"text":"[Lue kolumneja](http:\u002F\u002Fyle.fi\u002Fuutiset\u002F18-166542) \n[Kuuntele kolumneja Yle Areenassa](https:\u002F\u002Fareena.yle.fi\u002Faudio\u002F1-61222404)","type":"text"}],"type":"aside"},{"text":"**Ukraina kamppailee jo kolmatta vuotta** Venäjän laajamittaista hyökkäystä vastaan.","type":"text"},{"text":"On syntynyt kierre. Venäjää heikompana Ukraina tarvitsee ulkopuolista tukea saavuttaakseen onnistumisia. Onnistumiset taas varmistaisivat tuen jatkuvuuden.","type":"text"},{"text":"Maa kipuilee nyt yhtä aikaa miehistöpulan kanssa ja ilman varmuutta aseiden ja ammusten riittävyydestä. Ollaan tilanteessa, jossa on vaikea vakuuttaa kansalaisia riskeeraamaan henkensä ja terveytensä taistelussa.","type":"text"},{"style":"short","text":"On syntynyt kierre. Ukraina tarvitsee tukea saavuttaakseen onnistumisia. Onnistumiset taas varmistaisivat tuen jatkuvuuden.","type":"quote"},{"text":"**Ukrainalta tuntuu puuttuvan teoria** siitä, miten sota voitetaan. Siksi uutta liikekannallepanoa pidetään tärkeänä. Ilman uusia joukkoja Ukraina ei pysty jatkamaan pitkään kuluttavaa sotaa, venäläisten karkottamisesta puhumattakaan.","type":"text"},{"text":"Lakihanke liikekannallepanosta on kohdannut myös kritiikkiä Ukrainassa. Siksi meilläkin kysytään jo, kannattaako maan tukemista jatkaa, jos ukrainalaiset itse eivät ole valmiita puolustamaan maataan?","type":"text"},{"text":"[Vastuu](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.economist.com\u002Fleaders\u002F2024\u002F03\u002F27\u002Frussia-is-gearing-up-for-a-big-new-push-along-a-long-front-line) sotilaiden riittävyydestä on tietysti Ukrainalla itsellään. Keskustelussa on [viitattu](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.verkkouutiset.fi\u002Fa\u002Fpekka-toveri-nama-strategiset-virheet-ukrainassa-on-tehty\u002F#478c6f86) esimerkiksi Suomen jatkosotaan, johon osallistui noin 16 prosenttia väestöstä. Mutta meikäläistä historiaa ei voi suoraan rinnastaa nykytilanteeseen. Silloin ei huomioida Ukrainan sodan realiteetteja.","type":"text"},{"style":"short","text":"On Ukrainan virhe, ettei se valmistellut kansalaisiaan pitkään sotaan, mutta samaan toiveajatteluun syyllistyttiin meilläkin.","type":"quote"},{"text":"**Sodan alkuvaiheessa, kun länsimaat vielä empivät** Ukrainan tukemista, tuhannet ukrainalaiset jonottivat puolustaakseen maataan suurempaa hyökkääjää vastaan. Kynnelle kykenevät ovat kaksi vuotta myöhemmin yhä sodassa. Loput ovat kuolleet tai haavoittuneet.","type":"text"},{"text":"Suomesta käsin on myös turhan helppo vieroksua Ukrainassa virinnyttä kritiikkiä liikekannallepanoa vastaan. On toki Ukrainan johdon virhe, ettei se ole onnistunut valmistelemaan kansalaisiaan pitkään sotaan. Mutta samaan toiveajatteluun syyllistyttiin meillä ja muuallakin lännessä.","type":"text"},{"text":"**Demokraattinen Ukraina ei myöskään voi** sotia ja määrätä kansalaisiaan samalla tavalla kuolemaan kuin Venäjä. Toisin kuin Venäjällä, Ukrainan kansalaisilla ja heidän edustajillaan on sodankin aikana aitoa lainsäädäntövaltaa. Ukrainassa pakkokeinojen käyttöä jarruttaa kansalaisyhteiskunnan pitkäaikainen huoli siitä, että valtaapitävät käyttävät lakeja omien etujensa ajamiseen.","type":"text"},{"text":"**Epäilyjä liikekannallepanolakia kohtaan** selittää osaltaan myös [korruptio](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.bbc.com\u002Fnews\u002Fworld-europe-67120904), jonka avulla rintamapalvelusta on vältetty. Ja halukkuuteen asepalvelukseen vaikuttaa niin ikään [huoli](https:\u002F\u002Ftexty.org.ua\u002Farticles\u002F111848\u002Fmobilizaciya-sho-vidlyakuye-i-sho-motyvuye-opytuvannya-info-sapiens-na-zamovlennyatextyorgua\u002F?src=read_next&from=111906) heikosta koulutuksesta ja johtamisen tasosta.","type":"text"},{"text":"Vaakakupissa painaa Ukrainan väestörakennekin: sodissa taistelevia nuoria on [vähän](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wilsoncenter.org\u002Fblog-post\u002Fukraines-demography-second-year-full-fledged-war), ja Ukrainan tulevaisuus on heistä riippuvainen.","type":"text"},{"text":"Ukrainassa on laskettu jokaisen sotilaan ylläpidon vaativan [kuudesta](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.pravda.com.ua\u002Feng\u002Fnews\u002F2023\u002F12\u002F20\u002F7433786\u002F)[ kahdeksaan](https:\u002F\u002Fkyivindependent.com\u002Fshmyhal-ukraine-needs-8-taxpayers-per-soldier-to-fund\u002F) veronmaksajaa. Myös pelkät taloudelliset realiteetit kyseenalaistavat laajan liikekannallepanon toteuttamiskelpoisuuden.","type":"text"},{"style":"short","text":"Ukrainalaisesta näkökulmasta panttaamme voiton avaimia, ja kannustamme turvasta heitä samaan aikaan marssimaan kuolemaan.","type":"quote"},{"text":"**Valtaosa ihmisistä ei lähtökohtaisesti tahdo sotia.** Siksi meidät on tarpeen vaatiessa pakotettava sotaan.","type":"text"},{"text":"[Palveluksen](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.finlex.fi\u002Ffi\u002Flaki\u002Fajantasa\u002F2007\u002F20071438#a1438-2007) välttämisestä liikekannallepanon aikana voi Suomessa saada enintään kaksi vuotta vankeutta. Jatkosodan aikana meillä [ammuttiin](https:\u002F\u002Fjournal.fi\u002Fhaik\u002Farticle\u002Fview\u002F139135\u002F86920) aseistakieltäytyjiä.","type":"text"},{"text":"**Ukrainalaisten yksioikoinen syyttäminen** tilanteesta on [tekopyhää](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.hs.fi\u002Fmielipide\u002Fart-2000009041407.html). Unohdamme tällöin, että liikekannallepano Ukrainassa koskee oikeita ihmisiä. Kuten länsimaissakin, myös [Ukrainassa](https:\u002F\u002Finterfax.com.ua\u002Fnews\u002Fpress-conference\u002F977329.html) punnitaan liikekannallepanokysymystä ennen kaikkea suhteessa ulkopuoliseen tukeen ja voiton mahdollisuuksiin.","type":"text"},{"text":"Ukrainan tuki on [vähentynyt](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.ifw-kiel.de\u002Ftopics\u002Fwar-against-ukraine\u002Fukraine-support-tracker\u002F). Gazan sota on vienyt lännen huomion muualle, sisäpolitiikka Yhdysvalloissa ja Venäjän [vihjaukset](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.spokesman.com\u002Fstories\u002F2024\u002Fmar\u002F28\u002Fputin-offers-both-reassurance-and-threat-on-a-wide\u002F) sodan leviämisestä muualle Eurooppaan ovat myös purreet tuen määrään. Samaan aikaan Venäjä on vuorostaan kasvattanut sotapanostuksiaan.","type":"text"},{"text":"**Olemme jo kaksi vuotta kannustaneet ukrainalaisia vastarintaan**, mutta emme silti ole antaneet heille riittävää apua sodan voittamiseksi. Ukrainalaisesta näkökulmasta panttaamme voiton avaimia käsissämme, ja kannustamme turvasta heitä samaan aikaan marssimaan kuolemaan.","type":"text"},{"text":"Onko meillä oikeutta vaatia muilta jotakin, mitä emme ole itsekään tehneet? Me suomalaisetkaan emme taistelleet [viimeiseen hengenvetoon](https:\u002F\u002Fjournal.fi\u002Fkulttuurintutkimus\u002Farticle\u002Fview\u002F111376\u002F71570) talvi- ja jatkosodassa: luovutimme, kun tulkitsimme tilanteen mahdottomaksi.","type":"text"},{"text":"Haasteista huolimatta vastarinta Ukrainassa jatkuu. Mutta sodan heikoin lenkki löytyy kyllä Ukrainan ulkopuolelta.","type":"text"},{"text":"*Ilmari Käihkö*","type":"text"},{"text":"*Kirjoittaja on sotatieteilijä, jota ukrainalaiset muistuttavat jatkuvasti siitä, että he maksavat sodasta suuremman hinnan kuin me.*","type":"text"},{"text":"*Muokattu 12.4.2024 kello 16.21: Kolumnin keskustelu suljettu ennenaikaisesti moderoinnin ruuhkautumisen vuoksi.*","type":"text"},{"type":"links","links":[{"external":{"url":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20240425172147\u002Fhttps:\u002F\u002Fyle.fi\u002Fa\u002F74-20069665"},"internal":{"id":"74-20069665"},"title":"Ilmari Käihkön kolumni: Ukrainan sodasta käydään surkeaa keskustelua","datePublished":"2024-01-18T06:45:36+0200","subject":{"description":{"fi":"Venäjän sotilasoperaatio Ukrainaan helmikuussa 2022","sv":"Rysslands militär operativ i östra Ukraina 2022","en":"Russians military operation in Eastern Ukraine 2022","ru":"Нападение России на 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