Mysteel早读：市场等待美联储的政策会议有色金属涨跌不一-我的钢铁网

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style="float: left;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2021/11/26/150220.png" alt="" width="425" height="30" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 233.883px;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/17/b8c2d265e8e04a3284bc47e0b6cb9343.jpg" width="600" height="234" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 222.596px;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/17/0f7dcc354e3b421890aef25f848aa052.jpg" width="600" height="223" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 518.127px;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/17/987024d78a9142389c6ebe19b4882fce.jpg" width="600" height="518" /></p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2021/11/26/150234.png" alt="" width="401" height="30" /></p> <p align="justify">◎<strong>国常会</strong>：<strong>允许专项债用于土储、支持收购存量商品房</strong>，完善不同类型政府投资基金差异化管理机制。</p> <p align="justify">◎<strong>中国</strong>11月经济数据显示，“抢出口”下工业生产加速，价格与网购错位拖累消费，11月<strong>规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.4%</strong>，<strong>社会消费品零售同比增3%</strong>；11月70城<strong>房价今年首次同比降幅均收窄</strong>。</p> <p align="justify">◎<strong>中央财办</strong>：<strong>明年</strong>将通过<strong>加大财政对终端消费直接投入、提升社会保障水平</strong>等多种方式，推动居民收入稳定增长。</p> <p align="justify">◎<strong>中国央行</strong>：<strong>明年</strong>实施好<strong>适度宽松的货币政策</strong>，<strong>适时降准降息</strong>，保持流动性充裕。</p> <p align="justify">◎<strong>“新美联储通讯社”</strong>：<strong>本周再次降息后，美联储准备放慢甚至停止降息</strong>。</p> <p align="justify">◎<strong>美国</strong>12月<strong>服务业PMI扩张速度创逾三年最快</strong>，制造业依然萎靡、价格指数大涨至两年新高；<strong>欧元区</strong>12月P<strong>MI持续收缩</strong>，德国通胀加速，法国制造业创55个月新低，英国劳动力降幅创四年来新高。</p> <p align="justify">◎<strong>德国</strong><strong>总理朔尔茨未通过议会信任投票</strong>，德国议会为2月提前大选铺路，10年期德债收益率止步五连涨，欧元V型反弹。</p> <p align="justify">◎特朗普还没上台<strong>加拿大</strong>政府先“内讧”：内阁“老将”<strong>财长突然辞职</strong>，强调打关税战要保持财力。</p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2021/11/26/150246.png" alt="" width="425" height="30" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 185.775px;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/17/44c606bf1a4a4e6e89a54a304f0de4e2.jpg" width="600" height="186" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 225.986px;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/17/1ff19f269aed4b2db96a6799597aaa4a.jpg" width="600" height="226" /></p> <p>◎12月16日国内市场<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/dianjietong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>电解铜</a>现货库9.98万吨，较9日降1.77万吨，较12日降0.84万吨；上海库存7.36万吨，较9日降1.93万吨，较12日降0.78万吨；广东库存0.88万吨，较9日增0.14万吨，较12日增0.04万吨江苏库存1.10万吨，较9日增0.07万吨，较12日降0.12万吨。国内电解<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a>社会库存延续去库趋势；其中上海市场贡献主要降幅，虽进口铜仍有陆续到货，但国产到货依旧有限，同时下游逢低接货情绪尚可，部分仓库出库量仍较为可观，库存因此维持下降。</p> <p>◎12月16日上海、广东两地保税区铜现货库存累计2.63万吨，较9日降1.83万吨，较12日降1.1万吨；上海保税区2.36万吨，较9日降1.8万吨，较12日降1.1万吨；广东保税区0.27万吨，较9日降0.03万吨，较12日持平；保税区库存表现下降，进口比价持续向好，持货商积极清关进口，库存去库明显。</p> <p>◎12月16日中国<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>棒现货库存(万吨)：佛山3，无<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/xi/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锡</a>1.6，南昌0.85，常州1.55，湖州2.3，成都0.2，巩义0.1，洛阳0.55，宣城0.7，总量10.85，较上期（12月12日）减0.05。</p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2021/11/26/150302.png" alt="" width="401" height="30" /></p> <p>◎伦敦金属交易所（LME）公布数据显示，上周二伦铜库存降至四个月新低268,100吨，而后库存有所回升，最新库存水平为272,825吨，增至一个月新高。上海期货交易所最新公布数据显示，12月13日当周，沪铜库存继续下滑，周度库存减少13.5%至84,557吨，降至十个月新低。国际铜库存增加3317吨至18,507吨。上周，纽铜库存整体继续增加，最新库存水平为94,035吨，再刷近六年新高。</p> <p>◎国家统计局数据显示，2024年11月份<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----02-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>有色金属</a>冶炼和压延加工业增加值同比增长7.4%，1-11月累计增加值同比增长9.7%。</p> <p>◎12月12日，由世界品牌实验室（World Brand Lab）编制的2024年度（第二十一届）《世界品牌500强》排行榜揭晓，再次展示了全球品牌力量的最新格局。中国品牌在此次榜单中的表现令人瞩目，入选数（50个）超越日本（42个），稳居全球前三。</p> <p>◎12月13日，上周五公布的官方数据显示，秘鲁10月铜产量较去年同期下滑1.4%，由于国内最大的两座矿场产量减少。10月铜产量总计为236797吨。秘鲁是全球第三大铜供应国。</p> <p>◎2025年加工费的大跌意味着全球铜冶炼行业将面临艰难时期。江西等冶炼厂从安托法加斯塔的矿山冶炼和精炼精矿以生产精炼铜，仅能获得每公吨21.50美元或每磅2.125美分的收入。这与今年每吨80美元8美分的基准价格相比大幅下降，是至少20年来的最低价格。</p> <p>◎12月16日，嘉元科技公告，公司拟与IXM S.A.和埃珂森上海签订《电解铜销售合同》，合计采购7万吨电解铜，预估总金额为50.66亿元人民币。合同将从2024年12月至2025年12月执行，旨在保障公司电解铜原材料的长期稳定供应。</p> <p>◎12月15日，剑阁县金剑工业园四川普罗莎铝业有限公司年加工5万吨高端铝合金门窗项目试机仪式顺利举行，标志着该项目一期正式进入试生产阶段。</p> <p>◎12月15日，陕西有色榆林新材料集团合金分公司年产43万吨铝基新材料项目扁铸锭35吨一号生产线联动调试成功，即将全面进入试生产阶段。该项目分两期建设，一期建设内容包括：年产20万吨变形铝及铝合金扁铸锭、10万吨铸轧带材及配套辅助设施；二期建设内容包括：年产10万吨铸造铝合金锭、3万吨高强度耐热含钪铝合金棒材等。</p> <p>◎12月12日，济宁市2024年下半年绿色低碳高质量发展现场推进会走进嘉祥县科伦普合金新材料研发生产项目。该项目由嘉祥科伦普重工有限公司投资建设，总投资8.6亿元，总建筑面积8.8万平方米。主要建设生产车间和仓库、研发中心，新上<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/xin/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锌</a>铝镁板材生产线4条、电镀铬生产线2条、UCMW万能冷连轧生产线6条、盐酸洗生产线6条、聚合氯化铁生产线2条。</p> 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