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Stochastic investment model - Wikipedia
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srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a4/Text_document_with_red_question_mark.svg/60px-Text_document_with_red_question_mark.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a4/Text_document_with_red_question_mark.svg/80px-Text_document_with_red_question_mark.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="48" data-file-height="48" /></span></span></div></td><td class="mbox-text"><div class="mbox-text-span">This article includes a <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Citing_sources" title="Wikipedia:Citing sources">list of references</a>, <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Further_reading" title="Wikipedia:Further reading">related reading</a>, or <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:External_links" title="Wikipedia:External links">external links</a>, <b>but its sources remain unclear because it lacks <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Citing_sources#Inline_citations" title="Wikipedia:Citing sources">inline citations</a></b>.<span class="hide-when-compact"> Please help <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:WikiProject_Fact_and_Reference_Check" class="mw-redirect" title="Wikipedia:WikiProject Fact and Reference Check">improve</a> this article by <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:When_to_cite" title="Wikipedia:When to cite">introducing</a> more precise citations.</span> <span class="date-container"><i>(<span class="date">June 2012</span>)</i></span><span class="hide-when-compact"><i> (<small><a href="/wiki/Help:Maintenance_template_removal" title="Help:Maintenance template removal">Learn how and when to remove this message</a></small>)</i></span></div></td></tr></tbody></table> </div> </div><span class="hide-when-compact"><i> (<small><a href="/wiki/Help:Maintenance_template_removal" title="Help:Maintenance template removal">Learn how and when to remove this message</a></small>)</i></span></div></td></tr></tbody></table> <p>A <b>stochastic investment model</b> tries to forecast how <a href="/wiki/Rate_of_return" title="Rate of return">returns</a> and <a href="/wiki/Price" title="Price">prices</a> on different assets or asset classes, (e. g. equities or bonds) vary over time. Stochastic models are not applied for making <a href="/wiki/Point_estimation" title="Point estimation">point estimation</a> rather <a href="/wiki/Interval_estimation" title="Interval estimation">interval estimation</a> and they use different <a href="/wiki/Stochastic_process" title="Stochastic process">stochastic processes</a>.<sup class="noprint Inline-Template" style="margin-left:0.1em; white-space:nowrap;">[<i><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Please_clarify" title="Wikipedia:Please clarify"><span title="The text near this tag may need clarification or removal of jargon. (January 2012)">clarification needed</span></a></i>]</sup> Investment models can be classified into single-asset and multi-asset models. They are often used for <a href="/wiki/Actuary" title="Actuary">actuarial</a> work and <a href="/wiki/Financial_plan" title="Financial plan">financial planning</a> to allow optimization in <a href="/wiki/Asset_allocation" title="Asset allocation">asset allocation</a> or <a href="/wiki/Asset_liability_management" class="mw-redirect" title="Asset liability management">asset-liability-management (ALM)</a>. </p> <meta property="mw:PageProp/toc" /> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Single-asset_models">Single-asset models</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stochastic_investment_model&action=edit&section=1" title="Edit section: Single-asset models"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Interest_rate_models">Interest rate models</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stochastic_investment_model&action=edit&section=2" title="Edit section: Interest rate models"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Interest rate models can be used to price <a href="/wiki/Fixed_income" title="Fixed income">fixed income</a> products. They are usually divided into one-factor models and multi-factor assets. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="One-factor_models">One-factor models</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stochastic_investment_model&action=edit&section=3" title="Edit section: One-factor models"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Derman%E2%80%93Toy_model" title="Black–Derman–Toy model">Black–Derman–Toy model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Karasinski_model" title="Black–Karasinski model">Black–Karasinski model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cox%E2%80%93Ingersoll%E2%80%93Ross_model" title="Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model">Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ho%E2%80%93Lee_model" title="Ho–Lee model">Ho–Lee model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hull%E2%80%93White_model" title="Hull–White model">Hull–White model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kalotay%E2%80%93Williams%E2%80%93Fabozzi_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Kalotay–Williams–Fabozzi model">Kalotay–Williams–Fabozzi model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Merton_model" title="Merton model">Merton model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Rendleman%E2%80%93Bartter_model" title="Rendleman–Bartter model">Rendleman–Bartter model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Vasicek_model" title="Vasicek model">Vasicek model</a></li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Multi-factor_models">Multi-factor models</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stochastic_investment_model&action=edit&section=4" title="Edit section: Multi-factor models"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Chen_model" title="Chen model">Chen model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Longstaff%E2%80%93Schwartz_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Longstaff–Schwartz model">Longstaff–Schwartz model</a></li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Term_structure_models">Term structure models</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stochastic_investment_model&action=edit&section=5" title="Edit section: Term structure models"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/LIBOR_market_model" title="LIBOR market model">LIBOR market model (Brace Gatarek Musiela model)</a></li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Stock_price_models">Stock price models</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stochastic_investment_model&action=edit&section=6" title="Edit section: Stock price models"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Binomial_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Binomial model">Binomial model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Scholes_model" title="Black–Scholes model">Black–Scholes model</a> (<a href="/wiki/Geometric_Brownian_motion" title="Geometric Brownian motion">geometric Brownian motion</a>)</li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Inflation_models">Inflation models</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stochastic_investment_model&action=edit&section=7" title="Edit section: Inflation models"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Multi-asset_models">Multi-asset models</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stochastic_investment_model&action=edit&section=8" title="Edit section: Multi-asset models"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li>ALM.IT (GenRe) model</li> <li>Cairns model</li> <li>FIM-Group model</li> <li>Global CAP:Link model</li> <li>Ibbotson and Sinquefield model</li> <li>Morgan Stanley model</li> <li>Russel–Yasuda Kasai model</li> <li>Smith's jump diffusion model</li> <li>TSM (B & W Deloitte) model</li> <li>Watson Wyatt model</li> <li>Whitten & Thomas model</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wilkie_investment_model" title="Wilkie investment model">Wilkie investment model</a></li> <li>Yakoubov, Teeger & Duval model</li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Further_reading">Further reading</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stochastic_investment_model&action=edit&section=9" title="Edit section: Further reading"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li>Wilkie, A. D. (1984) <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.actuaries.org.uk/sites/all/files/documents/pdf/0341-0403.pdf">"A stochastic investment model for actuarial use"</a>, <i>Transactions of the Faculty of Actuaries</i>, 39: 341-403</li> <li>Østergaard, Søren Duus (1971) "Stochastic Investment Models and Decision Criteria", <i>The Swedish Journal of Economics</i>, 73 (2), 157-183 <a href="/wiki/JSTOR_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="JSTOR (identifier)">JSTOR</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/3439055">3439055</a></li> <li>Sreedharan, V. P.; Wein, H. H. 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