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77D059C

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<div class="tag">HIV infections</div> <h1>New HIV infections (per 1000 uninfected population)</h1> <p> <strong>Official estimate</strong> updated 22 July 2024 </p> </div> <div class="col-md-1 d-lg-none col-xl-1 d-xl-block header-spacer"></div> <div class="col-md-6 col-xl-5"> <div class="dropdown dropdown--full-width dropdown--with-label" data-disabled="true" data-target=".expressed-as-dropdown"> <button> <span class="btn__inner"> <span class="btn__left"> <span>Focus</span> <span>New infections</span> </span> <i></i> </span> </button> <ul> <li aria-selected="true" data-target-options='[{"data-text":"Rate per 1000 uninfected population","data-redirect-url":"https://data.who.int/indicators/i/49AC786/77D059C","aria-selected":true}]'> <button> <span>New infections</span> </button> </li> </ul> </div> <div class="dropdown dropdown--full-width dropdown--with-label expressed-as-dropdown"> <button> <div class="btn__inner"> <span class="btn__left"> <span>Expressed as</span> <span></span> </span> 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data-widget-config="{&quot;timeDimType&quot;:&quot;YEAR&quot;,&quot;lineAllowNonZeroAxis&quot;:true,&quot;lineAutoAnnotations&quot;:&quot;last&quot;}" data-widget-config-override="{&quot;indicator&quot;:&quot;SDGHIV&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;HIV incidence rate&quot;}" data-widget-type=country-explorer></div> <footer> <a href="#disclaimer-maps">Disclaimer</a> <a href="https://srhdpeuwpubsa.blob.core.windows.net/whdh/DATADOT/INDICATOR/77D059C_ALL_LATEST.csv" target="_blank" title="Download">Download<span class="icon icon-arrow-down-blue"></span></a> </footer> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <h2> <span>Related publications</span> <span class="line"></span> </h2> </div> </div> <div class="row card-row"> <div class="col-12 col-md-6"> <article class="card card--two-columns"> <div class="card__img-container"> <img alt="" src="https://iris.who.int/bitstream/handle/10665/376869/9789240094703-eng.pdf.jpg?sequence=4" /> </div> <div> <div class="card__content"> <header> <strong>Global report</strong> Published 21 May 2024 </header> <a class="lg" href="https://www.who.int/en/publications/i/item/9789240094703" target="_blank">World health statistics 2024: monitoring health for the SDGs, sustainable development goals</a> </div> <footer class="button-container"> <a class="btn btn-primary btn-sm" href="https://www.who.int/en/publications/i/item/9789240094703" target="_blank">View</a> <a class="btn btn-secondary btn-sm" href="https://iris.who.int/bitstream/handle/10665/376869/9789240094703-eng.pdf?sequence=1">Download<span>4.5 MB</span></a> </footer> </div> </article> </div> </div> </div> <div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <h2> <span>Statistical releases</span> <span class="line"></span> </h2> </div> </div> <div class="row card-row"> <div class="col-12 col-md-6 col-lg-4"> <article class="card"> <header> <strong>Statistical release</strong> 19 May 2022 </header> <p><strong>World Health Statistics 2022</strong></p> <div> Official WHO statistics for selected health-related SDG indicators and selected Thirteenth General Programme of Work indicators, based on data available in early 2022. </div> <footer class="button-container"> <a class="btn btn-primary btn-sm" href=" https://datasafe-h5afbhf4gwctabaa.z01.azurefd.net/api/Download/STR/BE2BEEE/2022-05-21/be2beee_20220520_0.xlsx" target="_blank">Download</a> </footer> </article> </div> <div class="col-12 col-md-6 col-lg-4"> <article class="card"> <header> <strong>Statistical release</strong> 21 May 2024 </header> <p><strong>World health statistics 2024: monitoring health for the SDGs, sustainable development goals</strong></p> <div> <p>The World health statistics report is the annual compilation of health and health-related indicators, which has been published by the World Health Organization since 2005.</p><p aria-hidden="true">&nbsp;</p><p>The 2024 edition reviews more than 50 health-related indicators from the Sustainable Development Goals and WHO&rsquo;s Thirteenth General Programme of Work. It also highlights the findings from the Global health estimates 2021, notably the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on life expectancy and healthy life expectancy.</p> </div> <footer class="button-container"> <a class="btn btn-primary btn-sm" href="https://datasafe-h5afbhf4gwctabaa.z01.azurefd.net/api/Download/STR/BE2BEEE/2024-06-03/be2beee_20240603_0.xlsx" target="_blank">Download</a> </footer> </article> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="metadata" class="tab-content tab-content-hidden metadata-tab-content"> <div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <h2 id="title-and-description"> <span>Title and Description</span> <span class="line"></span> </h2> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <div class="table-container"> <table aria-labelledby="title-and-description"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Name</th> <td>New HIV infections (per 1000 uninfected population)</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Short name</th> <td>HIV infections, new (per 1000 uninfected population)</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Indicator unique identifier</th> <td>77D059C</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Indicator codes</th> <td> <p>SDGHIV</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Also known as</th> <td> <p>SDG indicator 3.3.1</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <th>SDG Goal</th> <td>3.3.1 – HIV infections </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Short description</th> <td>Number of new HIV infections per 1000 uninfected population.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Definition</th> <td>The number of new HIV infections per 1,000 uninfected population, by sex, age and key populations as defined as the number of new HIV infections per 1,000 persons among the uninfected population.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Direction of progress</th> <td>Figures decreasing over time demonstrates progress.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Framework classifications</th> <td> <div>Impact</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Indicator status</th> <td>Actively collected and reported</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <h2 id="publishing-and-updates"> <span>Publishing and updates</span> <span class="line"></span> </h2> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <div class="table-container"> <table aria-labelledby="publishing-and-updates"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Most recent data update</th> <td>22 July 2024</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Next expected data update</th> <td>2024</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Expected frequency of data release</th> <td>Annual</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Publishing institution</th> <td> <div>WHO</div> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <h2 id="data-copyright-and-licensing"> <span>Data copyright and licensing</span> <span class="line"></span> </h2> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <div class="table-container"> <table aria-labelledby="data-copyright-and-licensing"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Copyright</th> <td>Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)</td> </tr> <tr> <th>License</th> <td><p></p> <div>The World Health Organization (&ldquo;WHO&rdquo;) encourages public access and use of the data that it collects and publishes on its web site data.who.int. The data are organized in datasets and made available in machine-readable format (&ldquo;Datasets&rdquo;). The Datasets have been compiled from data provided by WHO&rsquo;s Member States under the WHO policy on the use and sharing of data collected by WHO in Member States outside the context of public health emergencies.&nbsp;&nbsp;</div> <div><br /></div> <div>Use of the data derived from the Datasets, which may appear in formats such as tables and charts, is also subject to these Terms and Conditions. Datasets may include data describing the Dataset called &ldquo;Metadata&rdquo;. If any datasets are credited to a source other than WHO, then those materials are not covered by these Terms and Conditions, and permission should be sought from the source provided. You are responsible for determining if this is the case, and if so, you are responsible for obtaining any necessary permission from the sources indicated. The risk of claims resulting from infringement of any third-party-owned component in the materials rests solely with you.&nbsp;&nbsp;</div> <div><br /></div> <div>You may use our application programming interfaces (&ldquo;APIs&rdquo;) to facilitate access to the Datasets, whether through a separate web site or through another type of software application. By using the Datasets or any presentations of data derived from them, or by using our APIs in connection with the Datasets, you agree to be bound by these Terms and Conditions, as may be amended from time to time by WHO at its sole discretion.&nbsp;&nbsp;</div> <div><br /></div> <div>Unless specifically indicated otherwise, these Datasets are provided to you under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0), with the additional terms below.  The basic terms applicable to the CC BY 4.0 license may be accessed here. By downloading or using the Datasets, you agree to comply with the terms of the CC BY 4.0 license, as well as the following mandatory and binding addition:&nbsp;</div> <div><br /></div> <div>Any dispute relating to the interpretation or application of this license shall, unless amicably settled, be subject to conciliation. In the event of failure of the latter, the dispute shall be settled by arbitration. The arbitration shall be conducted in accordance with the modalities to be agreed upon by the parties or, in the absence of agreement, with the UNCITRAL Arbitration Rules. The parties shall accept the arbitral award as final.&nbsp;&nbsp;</div> <p></p></td> </tr> <tr> <th>Permission type</th> <td>Publicly</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Prohibited uses</th> <td> <p><div>You shall not attempt to de-anonymise the Datasets or use the Datasets in a manner that falsifies or misrepresents their content.</div> <div><br /></div> <div>You shall not, in connection with your use of the Datasets published on data.who.int, state or imply that WHO endorses, or is affiliated with, you, or that WHO endorses your use of data.who.int, or any content, output, or analysis resulting from or related to the data.who.int, or any entity, organization, company, product or services.</div></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Citation</th> <td> World Health Organization 2024 data.who.int, New HIV infections (per 1000 uninfected population) [Indicator]. <a href='https://data.who.int/indicators/i/49AC786/77D059C' target='_blank'>https://data.who.int/indicators/i/49AC786/77D059C</a> (Accessed on 19 November 2024) </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Disclaimers</th> <td> <p><div>WHO reserves the right at any time and from time to time to modify or discontinue, temporarily or permanently, the Datasets, or any means of accessing or utilizing the Datasets with or without prior notice to you.</div><div><br /></div><section><div><p>Maps</p><p>The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WHO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted and dashed lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p></div></section><div><br /></div><div>All references to Kosovo should be understood to be in the context of the United Nations Security Council resolution 1244 (1999).&nbsp;&nbsp;</div><div><br /></div><div>A dispute exists between the Governments of Argentina and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland concerning sovereignty over the Falkland Islands (Malvinas).</div><div><br /></div><div>The mention of specific companies or of certain manufacturers&rsquo; products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by WHO in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. Errors and omissions excepted, the names of proprietary products are distinguished by initial capital letters.</div><div><br /></div><div>All reasonable precautions have been taken by WHO to verify the accuracy of the Datasets. However, the Datasets are being provided without warranty of any kind, either expressed or implied. You will be solely responsible for your use of the Datasets. In no event shall WHO be liable for any damages arising from such use.&nbsp;</div><div><br /></div><div>For full disclaimers, terms of use and your indemnification of WHO, please visit <a href="/about/data/terms-and-conditions">Terms and conditions</a>.</div></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <h2 id="about-the-data"> <span>About the data</span> <span class="line"></span> </h2> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <div class="table-container"> <table aria-labelledby="about-the-data"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Data type</th> <td>Float</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Unit of measure</th> <td>Number of new HIV infections per 1000 uninfected population</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Value display label</th> <td>infections per 1000</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Short value display label</th> <td>infections per 1k</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Subject of measure</th> <td>INCIDENCE</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Subject of measure sentiment</th> <td> Negative </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Measure context</th> <td>1C62.3</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Preferred semantic value type</th> <td>Rate per 1000</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Confidence intervals</th> <td> Yes </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Provenance</th> <td> <div>Official Estimate</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <th>First available data</th> <td>31 December 1989</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Most recent available data</th> <td>31 December 2020</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Data completeness</th> <td> Complete data </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Temporal coverage</th> <td> 1989 - 2020 </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Periodicity</th> <td> Annual </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Spatial coverage</th> <td>World</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Granularity</th> <td>National</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Number of countries, areas and territories</th> <td>172</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Geographic entities and groups</th> <td> Afghanistan, Albania, Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Bahamas, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Barbados, Belarus, Belgium, Belize, Benin, Bhutan, Bolivia (Plurinational State of), Bosnia and Herzegovina, Botswana, Brazil, Brunei Darussalam, Bulgaria, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cabo Verde, Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Central African Republic, Chad, Chile, China, Colombia, Comoros, Congo, Costa Rica, Côte d'Ivoire, Croatia, Cuba, Cyprus, Czechia, Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Denmark, Djibouti, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Estonia, Eswatini, Ethiopia, Fiji, Finland, France, Gabon, Gambia, Georgia, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Guatemala, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Hungary, Iceland, India, Indonesia, Iran (Islamic Republic of), Iraq, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Jamaica, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Latvia, Lebanon, Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Madagascar, Malawi, Malaysia, Maldives, Mali, Malta, Mauritania, Mauritius, Mexico, Mongolia, Montenegro, Morocco, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Nepal, Netherlands (the), New Zealand, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, North Macedonia, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Republic of Korea, Republic of Moldova, Romania, Russian Federation, Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Spain, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Suriname, Sweden, Switzerland, Syrian Arab Republic, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Togo, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia, Türkiye, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, United Republic of Tanzania, United States of America, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of), Viet Nam, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Time intervals</th> <td>1990, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <h2 id="methodology"> <span>Methodology</span> <span class="line"></span> </h2> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <div class="table-container"> <table aria-labelledby="methodology"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Method of measurement</th> <td>Longitudinal data on individuals are the best source of data but are rarely available for large populations. Special diagnostic tests in surveys or from health facilities can be used to obtain data on HIV incidence.Longitudinal data on uninfected individuals are the best source of data but are rarely available for large populations. Special diagnostic tests in population-based surveys or from health facilities can be used to obtain data on HIV incidence but results must be nationally-representative and adjusted for performance of the diagnostic tests. Most countries will rely on modelled estimates using Spectrum, a UNAIDS-supported software tool. To calculate the uninfected population per 1000, the estimate of the number of people living with HIV is subtracted from the previous year’s population estimates produced by the United Nations Population Division. </td> </tr> <tr> <th>Numerator</th> <td>Number of new HIV infections.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Denominator</th> <td>Uninfected population (which is the total population minus people living with HIV).</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Method of estimation aggregates</th> <td>Available for the World, the SDG regional groupings, Least Developed Countries, Landlocked Developing Countries and Small Island Developing States.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Process of validation</th> <td>The model development is guided by the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections provides technical guidance on the development of the HIV component of the Spectrum software (www.epidem.org). The HIV incidence estimates are created by country teams and are signed off on by ministry of health managers, including a clear statement that these data will be provided for SDG reporting. The SDG focal point in country is copied on the requests for clearance. UNAIDS reviews the input data and results to ensure quality before requesting clearance and compiling to regional and global values.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Rationale</th> <td>The number of new infections is important for monitoring both epidemic trends and dynamics within the population. The incidence rate provides a measure of progress toward preventing onward transmission of HIV. Although other indicators are also very important to the HIV epidemic, HIV incidence reflects success in prevention programmes and, to some extent, successful treatment programmes, as those will also lead to lower HIV incidence.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Denominator</th> <td>The methods and limitations for estimating HIV incidence vary based on the data and surveillance systems available in countries. - Countries with high HIV prevalence in the general population have relatively strong surveillance systems with household surveys contributing to the information required to estimate incidence. In epidemics concentrated in key populations, the surveillance systems for key hard-to-reach populations are often not comparable over time due to changing survey and sampling methods. The estimated size of key populations, a critical input to the Spectrum model for concentrated epidemics, can also lead to important under or over estimation of HIV incidence in concentrated epidemics. - In many countries trends in recent new infections rely on prevalence data from routine antenatal clinic testing. If those data are biased because women with known positive HIV status are not captured when calculating prevalence, or women found to be negative at initial antenatal care visit are retested later in the pregnancy, the derived incidence trends might be biased. While some limitations of the models are reflected in the uncertainty bounds the measurement biases and the uncertainty caused by these biases are not easily quantified and are thus not included. - Although HIV prevalence and incidence among children appears to be reasonably robust in generalized epidemics, estimating the pediatric HIV epidemic in concentrated epidemics remains a challenge because no robust measures of fertility exist among key populations living with HIV. - Currently UNAIDS only supports the HIV estimates development in countries with populations greater than 250,000. This is primarily due to support capacity at UNAIDS.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Institutional mandate</th> <td>The UN Political Declarations on HIV/AIDS (from 2001, 2011, 2016 and 2021) have mandated for UNAIDS to support countries to produce these data and for UNAIDS to report on the status of the Global HIV epidemic annually as well as through the UN Secretary General.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Notes</th> <td>The Spectrum software is developed by Avenir Health (www.avenirhealth.org)—which includes a module, the Estimates and Projections Package, which is developed by the East-West Center (www.eastwestcenter.org).</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <h2 id="data-sources"> <span>Data sources</span> <span class="line"></span> </h2> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-12"> <div class="table-container"> <table aria-labelledby="data-sources"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Data collection process</th> <td>Country teams use UNAIDS-supported Spectrum software to develop estimates annually. The country teams are comprised primarily of national epidemiologists, demographers, monitoring and evaluation specialists and technical partners. The model incorporates data that are collected through programme information systems, surveillance and surveys.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Preferred data sources</th> <td>Spectrum modelling is used for the data presented here which incorporates programme data, surveillance data, survey data and region-specific assumptions about the HIV epidemic. Longitudinal data on individuals newly infected with HIV would be the most accurate source of data to measure HIV incidence, however these data are rarely available for representative populations. Special diagnostic tests in surveys or from health facilities can also be used to obtain data on HIV incidence but these require very large samples to accurately estimate HIV incidence and the latter are also rarely representative.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Other data sources</th> <td>Alternative methods of measures include household or key population surveys with HIV incidence-testing, or routine surveillance among key populations.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Expected frequency of data collection</th> <td>Data sources are compiled all year long. The spectrum models are created in the first three months of every year and finalized by May.</td> </tr> <tr> <th>Data providers</th> <td>The estimates are produced by a team of national experts consisting of ministry of health, national AIDS advisory groups and development partners. 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