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s1wafcin s1tby7rj icns9en t14k9lqz r1wgtjne wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07"><span>Politics</span><span><a href="/en/south-korea/t-63357867" tabindex="0" class="l1amv4u6 btl76l3 e1eo633p wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07">South Korea</a></span></div><h1 class="saqvxdf hr9hvkd hb7nbxk seipclg b1ho1h07">Trump's comeback fuels nuclear debate in South Korea</h1><div class="author-details s9wq4ao"><span><a href="/en/julian-ryall/person-35986545" class="author su3s3ra author-link l1amv4u6 btl76l3 e1eo633p wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07">Julian Ryall</a></span></div><span class="time-area s1i8qhb9 icns9en t14k9lqz r1wgtjne wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07"><span class="publication icns9en t14k9lqz r1wgtjne wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07"><time aria-hidden="true">11/14/2024</time><span class="sr-only s28j2rd">November 14, 2024</span></span></span><p class="teaser-text s1811lbz t1qen3t4 m1km9ap7 wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07">Many in Seoul are worried that Donald Trump's return to the White House means Washington is no longer a reliable partner, and that South Korea needs to build 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class="s4bcs45"><picture class="s9gezr6"><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_800.webp 50w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_801.webp 129w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_802.webp 352w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_803.webp 575w" media="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 575px)" height="100" width="100"/><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_600.webp 78w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_601.webp 201w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_602.webp 379w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_603.webp 545w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_604.webp 767w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_605.webp 1199w" media="(min-width: 576px) and (max-width: 991px)" height="56.25" width="100"/><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1000.webp 80w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1001.webp 576w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1002.webp 768w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1003.webp 992w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1004.webp 1200w" media="(min-width: 992px) " height="43.75" width="100"/><source type="image/jpeg" srcset="https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_800.jpg 50w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_801.jpg 129w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_802.jpg 352w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_803.jpg 575w" media="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 575px)" height="100" width="100"/><source type="image/jpeg" srcset="https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_600.jpg 78w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_601.jpg 201w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_602.jpg 379w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_603.jpg 545w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_604.jpg 767w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_605.jpg 1199w" media="(min-width: 576px) and (max-width: 991px)" height="56.25" width="100"/><source type="image/jpeg" srcset="https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1000.jpg 80w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1001.jpg 576w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1002.jpg 768w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1003.jpg 992w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_1004.jpg 1200w" media="(min-width: 992px) " height="43.75" width="100"/><img fetchpriority="high" src srcset="https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_600.jpg 78w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_601.jpg 201w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_602.jpg 379w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_603.jpg 545w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_604.jpg 767w, https://static.dw.com/image/69974776_605.jpg 1199w" width="100" height="56.25" title="South Korean and US army troops take part in a UFS (Ulchi Freedom Shield) Drill at Seungjin Live fire range in Paju, South Korea" alt="South Korean and US army troops take part in a UFS (Ulchi Freedom Shield) Drill at Seungjin Live fire range in Paju, South Korea"/></picture><figcaption class="sj4vl2y t1b9cajp r1wgtjne wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07">Thousands of US troops are stationed in South Korea, and both sides conduct routine joint military drills as part of their defense partnership<small class="copyright s19ed66t ihwmx5 iz19q57 icns9en t14k9lqz r1wgtjne wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07">Image: Defense Ministry/ZUMA Press Wire/picture alliance </small></figcaption></figure><span></span><div class="cl16rh cl16rh rdrhdio s1amioo0 hh5424a advertisement"><span class="label-top icns9en ixvat6c bmcvy6l wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07">Advertisement</span><div id="dw_m_article_top" style="--sps7s0t-0:300px;--sps7s0t-1:250px;--sps7s0t-2:block;--sps7s0t-3:block;--sps7s0t-4:none;--sps7s0t-5:none;--sps7s0t-6:none;--sps7s0t-7:none;background-color:#E0DFDE;" class="gpt-slot sps7s0t"></div><div id="dw_t_article_top" style="--sps7s0t-0:728px;--sps7s0t-1:90px;--sps7s0t-2:none;--sps7s0t-3:none;--sps7s0t-4:block;--sps7s0t-5:none;--sps7s0t-6:none;--sps7s0t-7:none;background-color:#E0DFDE;" class="gpt-slot sps7s0t"></div><div id="dw_d_article_top" style="--sps7s0t-0:970px;--sps7s0t-1:90px;--sps7s0t-2:none;--sps7s0t-3:none;--sps7s0t-4:none;--sps7s0t-5:block;--sps7s0t-6:block;--sps7s0t-7:block;background-color:#E0DFDE;" class="gpt-slot sps7s0t"></div></div><div class="c1ebneao s17j8gzx rich-text t1it8i9i r1wgtjne wgx1hx2 b1ho1h07"><p>Just days after <a class="internal-link" href="/en/donald-trump/t-19434433">Donald Trump</a> emerged victorious in the <a class="internal-link" href="/en/us-presidential-election-2024/t-65733013">US presidential election</a>, and with the implications of his return to the White House still sinking in, national security took center stage in <a class="internal-link" href="/en/south-korea/t-63357867">South Korea</a>.</p> <p>Inevitably, given Trump's transactional approach to international relations and the pressure he applied on Seoul the last time he was in office, many are now asking if South Korea should develop <a class="internal-link" href="/en/nuclear-rhetoric-rising-between-north-and-south-korea/a-70425302">its own nuclear deterrence</a>.</p> <p>Han Dong-hoon, chairman of the ruling People Power Party, told a seminar arranged to discuss the future of South Korea's <a class="internal-link" href="/en/nuclear-weapons/t-63414896">nuclear weapons</a> policy that there were upsides to Trump's victory.</p> <p>"Acquiring nuclear potential — that is, having the right to enrich and reprocess uranium — is not nuclear arms possession per se," <em>The Korea Herald</em> quoted Han as saying. "But we would be capable of moving on to that stage at any moment if <a class="internal-link" href="/en/north-korea/t-18943622">North Korea</a> escalates its <a class="internal-link" href="/en/north-korea-kim-threatens-use-of-nuclear-weapons-again/a-70430933">nuclear threats</a>," he added. "I think we should be prepared for such a scenario amid the shifting power dynamics and world order."</p><div class="vjs-wrapper embed big"><h2 aria-label="Embedded video — North Korea–South Korea relations reach new low" class="headline"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 20 20"><g fill-rule="evenodd"><path d="M14.114 7.599H13.5l.002 4.706h.601l4.582 3.25-.005-11.11zM11.084 4.444l-9.007.002-1.336.797.002 9.514 1.334.793 9.007.006 1.509-.799-.004-9.516z" /></g></svg>North Korea–South Korea relations reach new low</h2><video id="video-70484982" controls playsInline="" preload="none" poster="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mNkYAAAAAYAAjCB0C8AAAAASUVORK5CYII=" data-id="70484982" data-posterurl="https://static.dw.com/image/70430865_605.webp" data-duration="03:31"><source src="https://hlsvod.dw.com/i/dwtv_video/flv/je/je20241014_Koreas_,AVC_480x270,AVC_512x288,AVC_640x360,AVC_960x540,AVC_1280x720,AVC_1920x1080,.mp4.csmil/master.m3u8" type="application/x-mpegURL"><source src="https://tvdownloaddw-a.akamaihd.net/dwtv_video/flv/je/je20241014_Koreas_AVC_1920x1080.mp4" type="video/mp4"><p class="vjs-no-js">To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that <a href="https://videojs.com/html5-video-support/" target="_blank">supports HTML5 video</a></p></video></div> <h2>Nuclear weapons 'may be the only path left'</h2> <p>Another politician, the retired army general Han Ki-ho, went a step further and suggested that South Korea effectively no longer has a choice.</p><span data-slot-id="Article_InContent-1" class="rich-text-ad"></span> <p>"For South Korea's survival, nuclear armament may be the only path left to us," he said.</p> <p>Any decision on <a class="internal-link" href="/en/south-korea-eyes-nuclear-arms-as-north-allies-with-russia/a-69540840">developing a domestic nuclear weapons capability</a>, however, would face significant resistance.</p> <p>Moreover, nobody really knows the position that the new Trump administration will take on the security concerns of its allies when it starts work in January, or how that position would change in response to outside events.</p> <p>"Rhetorically, nuclear weapons are on the table," said Mason Richey, a professor of politics and international relations at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies in Seoul. "And that will be significantly affected by how the Trump administration approaches the alliance with South Korea and how it approaches the relationship with North Korea."</p> <p>"In general, the more the Trump administration denigrates and neglects the alliance with the South and the more it shows signs of wanting to reach an arms control deal with North Korea that provides Pyongyang with nuclear weapons status, the more South Korea will entertain its intention of obtaining its own nuclear weapons," Richey explained.</p> <p>That concern will be heightened if, as has been speculated, Trump pursues an agreement with the North that bans its development of the long-range missiles — the kind of missiles that could be used to threaten the US mainland with nuclear weapons — in return for the West effectively accepting North Korea as a nuclear power. Such a deal would provide no assurances to South Korea, whose capital city is only 50 kilometers (30 miles) from the North Korean border.</p> <p>Recent surveys have shown that around 70% of South Koreans now favor the development and deployment of an independent nuclear deterrent.</p> <div class="vjs-wrapper embed big"><h2 aria-label="Embedded video — NATO to expand defense cooperation to Indo-Pacific" class="headline"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 20 20"><g fill-rule="evenodd"><path d="M14.114 7.599H13.5l.002 4.706h.601l4.582 3.25-.005-11.11zM11.084 4.444l-9.007.002-1.336.797.002 9.514 1.334.793 9.007.006 1.509-.799-.004-9.516z" /></g></svg>NATO to expand defense cooperation to Indo-Pacific</h2><video id="video-69617535" controls playsInline="" preload="none" poster="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mNkYAAAAAYAAjCB0C8AAAAASUVORK5CYII=" data-id="69617535" data-posterurl="https://static.dw.com/image/69615770_605.webp" data-duration="02:52"><source src="https://hlsvod.dw.com/i/dwtv_video/flv/je/je240710_indopacific_,AVC_480x270,AVC_512x288,AVC_640x360,AVC_960x540,AVC_1280x720,AVC_1920x1080,.mp4.csmil/master.m3u8" type="application/x-mpegURL"><source src="https://tvdownloaddw-a.akamaihd.net/dwtv_video/flv/je/je240710_indopacific_AVC_1920x1080.mp4" type="video/mp4"><p class="vjs-no-js">To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that <a href="https://videojs.com/html5-video-support/" target="_blank">supports HTML5 video</a></p></video></div> <h2>Costly, complicated process</h2> <p>Nevertheless, Richey pointed out that having a nuclear weapon is not something that could happen overnight in the South, and that the cost of development and maintenance of such weapons extremely high.</p> <p>And with the left-leaning Democratic Party in control of the South Korean parliament, the allocation of the billions of dollars that would be required for a nuclear arsenal is effectively impossible. Yet another hurdle would be the resistance from people living near nuclear installations, out of concern they would be targeted in the event of a conflict.</p> <p>And while South Korea does have a civilian atomic energy sector, it has signed an agreement with the US to not obtain the fissile material required for a weapon. Richey believes a Trump administration may be willing to let South Korea out of its treaty commitment, although Washington is "unlikely to give it away for free."</p> <p>Lim Eun-jung, a professor of international studies at Kongju National University, said Trump's picks for his new Cabinet suggest that he will take a firm line on North Korea and therefore remain committed to the defense of the South, meaning an independent nuclear deterrent capability is not required.</p> <p>"Now Trump is making his appointments, it is clear he is choosing people who will be firm on North Korea and China and I do not feel that the next US government will be very different from the <a class="internal-link" href="/en/joe-biden/t-55668302">[Joe] Biden administration</a>," she told DW.</p> <div class="vjs-wrapper embed big"><h2 aria-label="Embedded video — Evidence of North Korean troops in Russia emerges" class="headline"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 20 20"><g fill-rule="evenodd"><path d="M14.114 7.599H13.5l.002 4.706h.601l4.582 3.25-.005-11.11zM11.084 4.444l-9.007.002-1.336.797.002 9.514 1.334.793 9.007.006 1.509-.799-.004-9.516z" /></g></svg>Evidence of North Korean troops in Russia emerges</h2><video id="video-70616017" controls playsInline="" preload="none" poster="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mNkYAAAAAYAAjCB0C8AAAAASUVORK5CYII=" data-id="70616017" data-posterurl="https://static.dw.com/image/70550103_605.webp" data-duration="03:08"><source src="https://hlsvod.dw.com/i/dwtv_video/flv/je/je20241028_QNKTROOPS08A_,AVC_480x270,AVC_512x288,AVC_640x360,AVC_960x540,AVC_1280x720,AVC_1920x1080,.mp4.csmil/master.m3u8" type="application/x-mpegURL"><source src="https://tvdownloaddw-a.akamaihd.net/dwtv_video/flv/je/je20241028_QNKTROOPS08A_AVC_1920x1080.mp4" type="video/mp4"><p class="vjs-no-js">To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that <a href="https://videojs.com/html5-video-support/" target="_blank">supports HTML5 video</a></p></video></div> <h2>Trump's cabinet picks</h2> <p><a class="internal-link" href="/en/trump-rewards-loyal-allies-with-key-roles-including-elon-musk/a-70770967">Trump has named Pete Hegseth as his defense secretary and Marco Rubio as secretary of state</a>. Both men are seen as hawks when it comes to America's rivals in Asia.</p> <p>"The South Korean government really does not want to be bypassed by the US, and for Trump to directly communicate with North Korea on issues that affect our national security," Lim said. "Seoul does not want the US to underestimate the importance of our alliance."</p> <p>Richey said the issue of South Korea potentially developing and deploying nuclear weapons will rest with Trump. "I think the alliance will experience significant friction because of the overall outlook under Trump, which included security burden sharing, trade and other factors, which could lead to negligence or even active toxicity towards Washington's allies," he said.</p> <p><em>Edited by: Srinivas Mazumdaru</em></p><div data-vendor-cmp-id="c44391" data-lang-code="en" data-id="66496979" class="embed dw-widget"></div> </div><footer class="s1jc41xr"><div class="s69pihz row"><div class="col col-12 col-xl-6 one-author author su8j2ma"><a href="/en/julian-ryall/person-35986545" title="Julian Ryall" tabindex="-1" class="author-image s1qbhnaq b1ho1h07"><figure style="--responsive-picture-aspect-ratio-xs:1;--responsive-picture-aspect-ratio-sm:1;--responsive-picture-aspect-ratio-md:1;--responsive-picture-aspect-ratio-lg:1;--responsive-picture-aspect-ratio-xl:1;--responsive-picture-aspect-ratio-wide_xl:1;" class="srnoiv7 s1a75hd4 lazy-load-container"><img src aria-hidden="true" alt="Julian Ryall" 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Ministry/ZUMA Press Wire/picture alliance ","imageType":"STANDARD"},"__typename":"ContentLink","additionalInformation":"South Korean and US army troops take part in a UFS (Ulchi Freedom Shield) Drill at Seungjin Live fire range in Paju, South Korea","description":"Thousands of US troops are stationed in South Korea, and both sides conduct routine joint military drills as part of their defense partnership"},"persons":[{"namedUrl":"/en/julian-ryall/person-35986545","fullName":"Julian Ryall","__typename":"Person","id":35986545,"shortProfile":"Journalist based in Tokyo, focusing on political, economic and social issues in Japan and Korea","autoDelivery":1,"mainContentImageLink":{"targetId":67695365,"additionalInformation":"Julian 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language":"TURKISH","isLive":true,"canonicalUrl":"https://www.dw.com/tr/gündem/s-10201","namedUrl":"/tr/gündem/s-10201","localeLang":"tr_TR","__typename":"Navigation"},{"language":"UKRANIAN","isLive":true,"canonicalUrl":"https://www.dw.com/uk/головна/s-9874","namedUrl":"/uk/головна/s-9874","localeLang":"uk_UA","__typename":"Navigation"},{"language":"URDU","isLive":true,"canonicalUrl":"https://www.dw.com/ur/عنوانات/s-11933","namedUrl":"/ur/عنوانات/s-11933","localeLang":"ur_PK","__typename":"Navigation"}],"hasMinTextLength":true,"isLiveVideo":false,"teaser":"Many in Seoul are worried that Donald Trump's return to the White House means Washington is no longer a reliable partner, and that South Korea needs to build up its own nuclear arsenal.","priority":"HIGH","contentDate":"2024-11-14T12:18:00.187Z","localizedContentDateSr":"November 14, 2024","localizedFirstPublicationDate":"11/14/2024","localizedFirstPublicationDateSr":"November 14, 2024","contentDateMode":"LAST_PUBLICATION_DATE","personAssociations":[{"targetId":35986545,"__typename":"ContentAssociation"}],"legacyAuthor":"","thematicFocusCategory":{"name":"Politics","__typename":"Category"},"firstRegionArray":[{"alignedName":"South Korea","correspondingContent":{"namedUrl":"/en/south-korea/t-63357867","__typename":"AutoTopic"},"__typename":"GeographicRegion"}],"kicker":"","isOpinion":false,"firstPersonArray":[{"personType":"AUTHOR","namedUrl":"/en/julian-ryall/person-35986545","fullName":"Julian Ryall","autoDelivery":1,"mainContentImageLink":{"targetId":67695365,"additionalInformation":"Julian Ryall","target":{"id":67695365,"staticUrl":"https://static.dw.com/image/67695365_${formatId}.jpg","__typename":"Image"},"__typename":"ContentLink"},"__typename":"Person"}],"genre":"NONE","opinionSeries":[],"text":"\u003cp>Just days after \u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/donald-trump/t-19434433\">Donald Trump\u003c/a> emerged victorious in the \u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/us-presidential-election-2024/t-65733013\">US presidential election\u003c/a>, and with the implications of his return to the White House still sinking in, national security took center stage in \u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/south-korea/t-63357867\">South Korea\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>Inevitably, given Trump's transactional approach to international relations and the pressure he applied on Seoul the last time he was in office, many are now asking if South Korea should develop \u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/nuclear-rhetoric-rising-between-north-and-south-korea/a-70425302\">its own nuclear deterrence\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>Han Dong-hoon, chairman of the ruling People Power Party, told a seminar arranged to discuss the future of South Korea's \u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/nuclear-weapons/t-63414896\">nuclear weapons\u003c/a> policy that there were upsides to Trump's victory.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>\"Acquiring nuclear potential — that is, having the right to enrich and reprocess uranium — is not nuclear arms possession per se,\" \u003cem>The Korea Herald\u003c/em> quoted Han as saying. \"But we would be capable of moving on to that stage at any moment if \u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/north-korea/t-18943622\">North Korea\u003c/a> escalates its \u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/north-korea-kim-threatens-use-of-nuclear-weapons-again/a-70430933\">nuclear threats\u003c/a>,\" he added. \"I think we should be prepared for such a scenario amid the shifting power dynamics and world order.\"\u003c/p>\u003cdiv class=\"vjs-wrapper embed big\">\u003ch2 aria-label=\"Embedded video — North Korea–South Korea relations reach new low\" class=\"headline\">\u003csvg xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\">\u003cg fill-rule=\"evenodd\">\u003cpath d=\"M14.114 7.599H13.5l.002 4.706h.601l4.582 3.25-.005-11.11zM11.084 4.444l-9.007.002-1.336.797.002 9.514 1.334.793 9.007.006 1.509-.799-.004-9.516z\" />\u003c/g>\u003c/svg>North Korea–South Korea relations reach new low\u003c/h2>\u003cvideo id=\"video-70484982\" controls playsInline=\"\" preload=\"none\" poster=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mNkYAAAAAYAAjCB0C8AAAAASUVORK5CYII=\" data-id=\"70484982\" data-posterurl=\"https://static.dw.com/image/70430865_605.webp\" data-duration=\"03:31\">\u003csource src=\"https://hlsvod.dw.com/i/dwtv_video/flv/je/je20241014_Koreas_,AVC_480x270,AVC_512x288,AVC_640x360,AVC_960x540,AVC_1280x720,AVC_1920x1080,.mp4.csmil/master.m3u8\" type=\"application/x-mpegURL\">\u003csource src=\"https://tvdownloaddw-a.akamaihd.net/dwtv_video/flv/je/je20241014_Koreas_AVC_1920x1080.mp4\" type=\"video/mp4\">\u003cp class=\"vjs-no-js\">To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that \u003ca href=\"https://videojs.com/html5-video-support/\" target=\"_blank\">supports HTML5 video\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\u003c/video>\u003c/div>\n\n\u003ch2>Nuclear weapons 'may be the only path left'\u003c/h2>\n\n\u003cp>Another politician, the retired army general Han Ki-ho, went a step further and suggested that South Korea effectively no longer has a choice.\u003c/p>\u003cspan data-slot-id=\"Article_InContent-1\" class=\"rich-text-ad\">\u003c/span>\n\n\u003cp>\"For South Korea's survival, nuclear armament may be the only path left to us,\" he said.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>Any decision on \u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/south-korea-eyes-nuclear-arms-as-north-allies-with-russia/a-69540840\">developing a domestic nuclear weapons capability\u003c/a>, however, would face significant resistance.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>Moreover, nobody really knows the position that the new Trump administration will take on the security concerns of its allies when it starts work in January, or how that position would change in response to outside events.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>\"Rhetorically, nuclear weapons are on the table,\" said Mason Richey, a professor of politics and international relations at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies in Seoul. \"And that will be significantly affected by how the Trump administration approaches the alliance with South Korea and how it approaches the relationship with North Korea.\"\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>\"In general, the more the Trump administration denigrates and neglects the alliance with the South and the more it shows signs of wanting to reach an arms control deal with North Korea that provides Pyongyang with nuclear weapons status, the more South Korea will entertain its intention of obtaining its own nuclear weapons,\" Richey explained.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>That concern will be heightened if, as has been speculated, Trump pursues an agreement with the North that bans its development of the long-range missiles — the kind of missiles that could be used to threaten the US mainland with nuclear weapons — in return for the West effectively accepting North Korea as a nuclear power. Such a deal would provide no assurances to South Korea, whose capital city is only 50 kilometers (30 miles) from the North Korean border.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>Recent surveys have shown that around 70% of South Koreans now favor the development and deployment of an independent nuclear deterrent.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cdiv class=\"vjs-wrapper embed big\">\u003ch2 aria-label=\"Embedded video — NATO to expand defense cooperation to Indo-Pacific\" class=\"headline\">\u003csvg xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\">\u003cg fill-rule=\"evenodd\">\u003cpath d=\"M14.114 7.599H13.5l.002 4.706h.601l4.582 3.25-.005-11.11zM11.084 4.444l-9.007.002-1.336.797.002 9.514 1.334.793 9.007.006 1.509-.799-.004-9.516z\" />\u003c/g>\u003c/svg>NATO to expand defense cooperation to Indo-Pacific\u003c/h2>\u003cvideo id=\"video-69617535\" controls playsInline=\"\" preload=\"none\" poster=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mNkYAAAAAYAAjCB0C8AAAAASUVORK5CYII=\" data-id=\"69617535\" data-posterurl=\"https://static.dw.com/image/69615770_605.webp\" data-duration=\"02:52\">\u003csource src=\"https://hlsvod.dw.com/i/dwtv_video/flv/je/je240710_indopacific_,AVC_480x270,AVC_512x288,AVC_640x360,AVC_960x540,AVC_1280x720,AVC_1920x1080,.mp4.csmil/master.m3u8\" type=\"application/x-mpegURL\">\u003csource src=\"https://tvdownloaddw-a.akamaihd.net/dwtv_video/flv/je/je240710_indopacific_AVC_1920x1080.mp4\" type=\"video/mp4\">\u003cp class=\"vjs-no-js\">To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that \u003ca href=\"https://videojs.com/html5-video-support/\" target=\"_blank\">supports HTML5 video\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\u003c/video>\u003c/div>\n\n\u003ch2>Costly, complicated process\u003c/h2>\n\n\u003cp>Nevertheless, Richey pointed out that having a nuclear weapon is not something that could happen overnight in the South, and that the cost of development and maintenance of such weapons extremely high.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>And with the left-leaning Democratic Party in control of the South Korean parliament, the allocation of the billions of dollars that would be required for a nuclear arsenal is effectively impossible. Yet another hurdle would be the resistance from people living near nuclear installations, out of concern they would be targeted in the event of a conflict.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>And while South Korea does have a civilian atomic energy sector, it has signed an agreement with the US to not obtain the fissile material required for a weapon. Richey believes a Trump administration may be willing to let South Korea out of its treaty commitment, although Washington is \"unlikely to give it away for free.\"\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>Lim Eun-jung, a professor of international studies at Kongju National University, said Trump's picks for his new Cabinet suggest that he will take a firm line on North Korea and therefore remain committed to the defense of the South, meaning an independent nuclear deterrent capability is not required.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>\"Now Trump is making his appointments, it is clear he is choosing people who will be firm on North Korea and China and I do not feel that the next US government will be very different from the \u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/joe-biden/t-55668302\">[Joe] Biden administration\u003c/a>,\" she told DW.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cdiv class=\"vjs-wrapper embed big\">\u003ch2 aria-label=\"Embedded video — Evidence of North Korean troops in Russia emerges\" class=\"headline\">\u003csvg xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\">\u003cg fill-rule=\"evenodd\">\u003cpath d=\"M14.114 7.599H13.5l.002 4.706h.601l4.582 3.25-.005-11.11zM11.084 4.444l-9.007.002-1.336.797.002 9.514 1.334.793 9.007.006 1.509-.799-.004-9.516z\" />\u003c/g>\u003c/svg>Evidence of North Korean troops in Russia emerges\u003c/h2>\u003cvideo id=\"video-70616017\" controls playsInline=\"\" preload=\"none\" poster=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mNkYAAAAAYAAjCB0C8AAAAASUVORK5CYII=\" data-id=\"70616017\" data-posterurl=\"https://static.dw.com/image/70550103_605.webp\" data-duration=\"03:08\">\u003csource src=\"https://hlsvod.dw.com/i/dwtv_video/flv/je/je20241028_QNKTROOPS08A_,AVC_480x270,AVC_512x288,AVC_640x360,AVC_960x540,AVC_1280x720,AVC_1920x1080,.mp4.csmil/master.m3u8\" type=\"application/x-mpegURL\">\u003csource src=\"https://tvdownloaddw-a.akamaihd.net/dwtv_video/flv/je/je20241028_QNKTROOPS08A_AVC_1920x1080.mp4\" type=\"video/mp4\">\u003cp class=\"vjs-no-js\">To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that \u003ca href=\"https://videojs.com/html5-video-support/\" target=\"_blank\">supports HTML5 video\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\u003c/video>\u003c/div>\n\n\u003ch2>Trump's cabinet picks\u003c/h2>\n\n\u003cp>\u003ca class=\"internal-link\" href=\"/en/trump-rewards-loyal-allies-with-key-roles-including-elon-musk/a-70770967\">Trump has named Pete Hegseth as his defense secretary and Marco Rubio as secretary of state\u003c/a>. Both men are seen as hawks when it comes to America's rivals in Asia.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>\"The South Korean government really does not want to be bypassed by the US, and for Trump to directly communicate with North Korea on issues that affect our national security,\" Lim said. \"Seoul does not want the US to underestimate the importance of our alliance.\"\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>Richey said the issue of South Korea potentially developing and deploying nuclear weapons will rest with Trump. \"I think the alliance will experience significant friction because of the overall outlook under Trump, which included security burden sharing, trade and other factors, which could lead to negligence or even active toxicity towards Washington's allies,\" he said.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Edited by: Srinivas Mazumdaru\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\u003cdiv data-vendor-cmp-id=\"c44391\" data-lang-code=\"en\" data-id=\"66496979\" class=\"embed dw-widget\">\u003c/div>\n","contentLinks":[{"targetId":69974776,"isInText":false,"__typename":"ContentLink","targetType":"IMAGE","name":"","description":"Thousands of US troops are stationed in South Korea, and both sides conduct routine joint military drills as part of their defense partnership","target":{"id":69974776,"__typename":"Image","name":"Südkorea USA Armee UFS-Übung","firstPersonArray":[],"opinionSeries":[],"contentDate":"2024-08-19T03:52:27.156Z","localizedContentDate":"19.08.2024","localizedContentDateSr":"19. 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