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<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?> <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> <head> <title>Development of Pavement Deterioration Models Using Markov Chain Process | Isradi | Civil Engineering Journal</title> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8" /> <meta name="description" content="Development of Pavement Deterioration Models Using Markov Chain Process" /> <meta name="keywords" content="Markov Chain; Probabilistic Process; Pavement Management; Road Maintenance." /> <meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=edge"> <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1"> <link rel="icon" href="https://www.civilejournal.org/public/journals/1/journalFavicon_en_US.png" type="image/png" /> <link rel="schema.DC" href="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" /> <meta name="DC.Contributor.Sponsor" xml:lang="en" content=""/> <meta name="DC.Creator.PersonalName" content="Muhammad Isradi"/> <meta name="DC.Creator.PersonalName" content="Andri I. Rifai"/> <meta name="DC.Creator.PersonalName" content="Joewono Prasetijo"/> <meta name="DC.Creator.PersonalName" content="Reni K. Kinasih"/> <meta name="DC.Creator.PersonalName" content="Muhammad I. Setiawan"/> <meta name="DC.Date.created" scheme="ISO8601" content="2024-09-01"/> <meta name="DC.Date.dateSubmitted" scheme="ISO8601" content="2024-07-19"/> <meta name="DC.Date.issued" scheme="ISO8601" content="2024-09-01"/> <meta name="DC.Date.modified" scheme="ISO8601" content="2024-10-26"/> <meta name="DC.Description" xml:lang="en" content="A common phenomenon in developing countries is that the function of the pavement in the road network will experience structural damage before the completion of life is reached, and the uncertainty of pavement damage is difficult to predict. Planning for maintenance treatment depends on the accuracy of predicting future pavement performance and observing current conditions. This study aims to apply the Markovian probability operational research process to develop a decision support system predicting future pavement conditions. Furthermore, it determines policies and effectiveness in managing and maintaining roads. A standard approach that can be used by observing the history of pavement damage from year to year is to estimate the transition probability as a Markovian-based performance prediction model. The results show that the application of the model is quite optimal, changes in pavement conditions after repair can be easily compared with an increase in good condition, reaching 92.8%. Routinely and consistently handling road deterioration will give favorable results regarding pavement condition value. This will ease in the management of the road network and the accomplishment of the optimal maintenance and repair policies. 聽 Doi: 10.28991/CEJ-2024-010-09-012 Full Text: PDF "/> <meta name="DC.Format" scheme="IMT" content="application/pdf"/> <meta name="DC.Identifier" content="5225"/> <meta name="DC.Identifier.pageNumber" content="2954-2965"/> <meta name="DC.Identifier.URI" content="https://www.civilejournal.org/index.php/cej/article/view/5225"/> <meta name="DC.Language" scheme="ISO639-1" content="en"/> <meta name="DC.Rights" content=" authors retain all copyrights - authors will not be forced to sign any copyright transfer agreements permission of re-use This work (including HTML and PDF Files) is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. "/> <meta name="DC.Source" content="Civil Engineering Journal"/> <meta name="DC.Source.ISSN" content="2476-3055"/> <meta name="DC.Source.Issue" content="9"/> <meta name="DC.Source.URI" content="https://www.civilejournal.org/index.php/cej"/> <meta name="DC.Source.Volume" content="10"/> <meta name="DC.Subject" xml:lang="en" content="Markov Chain"/> <meta name="DC.Subject" xml:lang="en" content="Probabilistic Process"/> <meta name="DC.Subject" xml:lang="en" content="Pavement Management"/> <meta name="DC.Subject" xml:lang="en" content="Road Maintenance."/> <meta name="DC.Title" content="Development of Pavement Deterioration Models Using Markov Chain Process"/> <meta name="DC.Type" content="Text.Serial.Journal"/> <meta name="DC.Type.articleType" content="Research Articles"/> <meta name="gs_meta_revision" content="1.1" /> <meta name="citation_journal_title" content="Civil Engineering Journal"/> <meta name="citation_issn" content="2476-3055"/> <meta name="citation_author" content="Muhammad Isradi"/> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Department of Civil Engineering, Universitas Mercu Buana, Jakarta 11650,"/> <meta name="citation_author" content="Andri I. Rifai"/> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Faculty of Civil Engineering and Planning, Universitas Internasional Batam, Batam,"/> <meta name="citation_author" content="Joewono Prasetijo"/> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia, 84600 Panchor, Johor,"/> <meta name="citation_author" content="Reni K. Kinasih"/> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Department of Civil Engineering, Universitas Mercu Buana, Jakarta 11650,"/> <meta name="citation_author" content="Muhammad I. Setiawan"/> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Narotama, Surabaya,"/> <meta name="citation_title" content="Development of Pavement Deterioration Models Using Markov Chain Process"/> <meta name="citation_date" content="2024/09/01"/> <meta name="citation_volume" content="10"/> <meta name="citation_issue" content="9"/> <meta name="citation_firstpage" content="2954-2965"/> <meta name="citation_abstract_html_url" content="https://www.civilejournal.org/index.php/cej/article/view/5225"/> <meta name="citation_language" content="en"/> <meta name="citation_keywords" xml:lang="en" content="Markov Chain"/> <meta name="citation_keywords" xml:lang="en" content="Probabilistic Process"/> <meta name="citation_keywords" xml:lang="en" content="Pavement Management"/> <meta name="citation_keywords" xml:lang="en" content="Road Maintenance."/> <meta name="citation_pdf_url" content="https://www.civilejournal.org/index.php/cej/article/download/5225/pdf"/>    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class="orcid"><img src="https://www.civilejournal.org/plugins/blocks/authorBios/orcid.png" alt="orcid" /></a> <br />Department of Civil Engineering, Universitas Mercu Buana, Jakarta 11650, <br />Indonesia </p> <p></p> </div> <div class="separator"></div> <div class="authorBio"> <p> <em>Andri I. Rifai</em> <br />Faculty of Civil Engineering and Planning, Universitas Internasional Batam, Batam, <br />Indonesia </p> <p></p> </div> <div class="separator"></div> <div class="authorBio"> <p> <em>Joewono Prasetijo</em> <br />Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia, 84600 Panchor, Johor, <br />Malaysia </p> <p></p> </div> <div class="separator"></div> <div class="authorBio"> <p> <em>Reni K. Kinasih</em> <br />Department of Civil Engineering, Universitas Mercu Buana, Jakarta 11650, <br />Indonesia </p> <p></p> </div> <div class="separator"></div> <div class="authorBio"> <p> <em>Muhammad I. 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<p><span class="blockTitle">Journal Imprint<br /></span></p> <p><a title="Journal Imprint" href="/index.php/cej/pages/view/Imprint" target="_blank"><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="/public/site/images/admin/JI.png" alt="" /></a><span class="blockTitle">Indexing and Abstracting</span></p> <table style="height: 116px; width: 254.6px;" border="0" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="width: 105px;"><a title="Impact Factor: 4.3" href="https://www.civilejournal.org//Guideline/JCR-2024.png" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong><img style="display: block; height: 104px; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; width: 102px;" src="/Guideline/JCR-IF-2023.png" alt="Impact Factor" /></strong></span></span></a></td> <td style="width: 136px;"><a title="Master Journal List" href="https://mjl.clarivate.com/search-results?issn=2676-6957&hide_exact_match_fl=true&utm_source=mjl&utm_medium=share-by-link&utm_campaign=search-results-share-this-journal" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong><img style="display: block; height: 78px; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; width: 151px;" src="/Guideline/WOS logo.png" alt="Master Journal List" /></strong></span></span></a></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p><a title="Scopus" href="https://www.scopus.com/sourceid/21101033903" target="_blank"><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="/public/site/images/admin/Scopus.jpg" alt="Scopus" /></a></p> <p><a title="SCImago Journal & Country Rank" href="https://www.scimagojr.com/journalsearch.php?q=21101033903&tip=sid&exact=no"><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://www.scimagojr.com/journal_img.php?id=21101033903" alt="SCImago Journal & Country Rank" border="0" /></a></p> <p style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;">Civil Engineering Journal</span><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;"></span> is now the member of<strong> Committee on Publication Ethics (<a title="COPE" href="https://publicationethics.org/members/civil-engineering-journal" target="_blank">COPE</a>).</strong></span></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><strong></strong></span><a title="COPE" href="https://publicationethics.org/members/civil-engineering-journal" target="_blank"><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="/public/site/images/admin/COPE2.png" alt="" /></a><br /><span style="font-size: small;"></span></p> <p><span class="blockTitle">Open Access Journal</span></p> <p style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: small;">Civil Engineering Journal is an open access journal, so articles are freely available to the readers.<br /><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="/Guideline/index2.png" alt="" width="217" height="88" /></span></p> <div class="social-widget"><span class="blockTitle">Journal Metrics</span></div> <table style="width: 300px;"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Publication Start Year:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>2015</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><a title="Impact Factor" href="https://www.civilejournal.org//Guideline/JCR-2024.png" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: small;">JCR 2023 Impact Factor (IF):</span></a></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><a title="Impact Factor" href="https://www.civilejournal.org//Guideline/JCR-2024.png" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>4.3</strong></span></a></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><a title="SCImago" href="https://www.civilejournal.org//Guideline/JIF-QUARTILE.png" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: small;">JIF QUARTILE:</span></a></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><a title="SCImago" href="https://www.civilejournal.org//Guideline/JIF-QUARTILE.png" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>Q1</strong></span></a></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><a title="SCImago" href="https://www.scimagojr.com/journalsearch.php?q=21101033903&tip=sid&exact=no" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: small;">SJR 2023 Quartile:</span></a></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><a title="SCImago" href="https://www.scimagojr.com/journalsearch.php?q=21101033903&tip=sid&exact=no" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>Q1</strong></span></a></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Acceptance Rate:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>27%</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Review Speed (Average):</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>76 days</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Issue Per Year:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>12</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Number of Volumes:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>10</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Number of Issues:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>107</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Number of Articles:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>1552</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Number of Reviewers:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>3417</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Number of Contributors:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>3604</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Contributing Countries:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>86</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="Web of Science" href="https://mjl.clarivate.com/search-results?issn=2676-6957&hide_exact_match_fl=true&utm_source=mjl&utm_medium=share-by-link&utm_campaign=search-results-share-this-journal" target="_blank">No. of WoS Citations:</a></span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="Web of Science" href="https://mjl.clarivate.com/search-results?issn=2676-6957&hide_exact_match_fl=true&utm_source=mjl&utm_medium=share-by-link&utm_campaign=search-results-share-this-journal" target="_blank"><strong>7986</strong></a><strong></strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">WoS h-index:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>34</strong><strong></strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="CiteScoreTracker 2021" href="https://www.scopus.com/sourceid/21101033903" target="_blank">Scopus CiteScore:</a></span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="CiteScoreTracker 2021" href="https://www.scopus.com/sourceid/21101033903" target="_blank"><strong>7.0</strong></a></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="Google Scholar" href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=mXvtl7QAAAAJ&hl=en" target="_blank">No. of Google Citations:</a></span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="Google Scholar" href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=mXvtl7QAAAAJ&hl=en" target="_blank"><strong>17324</strong></a></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Google h-index:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>47</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Google i10-index:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>393</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">Abstract Views:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>5,819,908</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 186px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;">PDF Download:</span></p> </td> <td style="width: 98px;"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>3,790,637</strong></span></p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p style="font-size: 11px;"><em>Last updated: June 24, 2024</em></p> </div> <div class="block custom" id="customblock-Editors"> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><span class="blockTitle">Editors</span><span style="text-align: center;"></span></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;"> » Editor in Chief:</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   <a title="Dr. Mohamadreza Kavianpour" href="http://sid.kntu.ac.ir/MohammadRezaKavianpour" target="_blank">Prof. M. R. Kavianpour</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   (<span style="white-space: nowrap;">K.N.Toosi University of Technology</span>)</span></p> <p> <span style="font-size: small;">» Editorial Board:</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   <a title="Dr. Biscaia" href="https://novaresearch.unl.pt/en/persons/hugo-biscaia" target="_blank">Dr. Hugo Charrinho Biscaia</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   <a title="Prof. Weng" href="https://www.indstate.edu/faculty-staff/qihao-weng" target="_blank">Prof. Qihao Weng</a><br /></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   <a title="Prof. Formisano" href="https://www.docenti.unina.it/antonio.formisano" target="_blank">Prof. Antonio Formisano</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   <a title="Prof. Ungureanu" href="https://www.ct.upt.ro/studenti/cursuri/ungureanu/index.htm" target="_blank">Prof. Viorel Ungureanu</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   <a title="Dr. Comegna" href="https://www.ingegneria.unicampania.it/dipartimento/docenti?MATRICOLA=059381" target="_blank">Dr. Luca Comegna</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   <a title="Prof. Bottero" href="http://www.dist.polito.it/personale/scheda/(nominativo)/marta.bottero" target="_blank">Prof. Marta Bottero</a><br /></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   <a title="Dr. Pietrucha-Urbanik" href="https://kpu.v.prz.edu.pl/en/" target="_blank">Dr. Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><a title="Editorial Board" href="/index.php/cej/about/editorialTeam" target="_blank">+View more</a></span></p> <p> </p> <p><span style="font-size: small;"> » Executive Manager:</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;">   <a href="https://cutt.ly/weB6Q3n" target="_blank">Dr. Omid Aminoroayaie Yamini</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;">   <a href="https://cutt.ly/weB6Q3n" target="_blank">Dr. S. 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