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Unpacking the climate and energy numbers you need to know
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class="entry-title row">By the numbers: the measures of climate, energy and policy</h1> <div class="row primary-image has-featured-image " data-featured-image="climate-stripes-2021.jpg"> </div> </header> <div class="entry-content cols-6 md-cols-1 cols-gap-1 margin-top-1"> <div class="content-left-sidebar cols-1 col"> <section class="contributors md-cols-1 rows-gap"> <div class="row post-date"> <span class="published-date">January 18, 2024</span> </div> <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/contributor/ellen-phiddian/" class="author row md-hide"> <img src="data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCA0NTAgNDM2IiB3aWR0aD0iNDUwIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjQzNiIgZGF0YS11PSIlMkZ3cC1jb250ZW50JTJGdXBsb2FkcyUyRjIwMjElMkYwMiUyRkVsbGVuLXNtYWxsLmpwZyIgZGF0YS13PSI0NTAiIGRhdGEtaD0iNDM2IiBkYXRhLWJpcD0iIj48L3N2Zz4=" data-spai="1" alt="Ellen Phiddian" width="200" /><noscript data-spai="1"><img src="https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Ellen-small.jpg" data-spai-egr="1" alt="Ellen Phiddian" width="200" /></noscript> <div class="bio"> <h3>Ellen Phiddian</h3> <p>Cosmos science journalist</p> </div> </a> <div id="author-name" class="hide"> <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/contributor/ellen-phiddian/" class="bio"> By Ellen Phiddian </a> </div> <div class="favourite__wrapper row cols"> <button class="showDialog simplefavorite-button" aria-label="Favourite button"> </button> </div> </section> </div> <div class="primary-content cols-1 col-span-5 col"> <div class="flexible-content "> <div class="copy"> <div style="background-color: #d4fcea; padding: 20px;"><p align="center" style="font-style: italic; family: Arial">In our new <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/tag/synergy">Synergy</a> column, Cosmos writers explore how we’re dealing with the urgent issues of climate change.</p></div> <p class="has-drop-cap"><strong>According to the World Meteorological Organisation, 2023 was <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/2023-was-a-record-hot-year-scientists-expect-more-of-the-same-in-2024/" target="_blank" data-type="link" data-id="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/2023-was-a-record-hot-year-scientists-expect-more-of-the-same-in-2024/" rel="noreferrer noopener">1.45°C hotter</a> than preindustrial levels. It’s a number that’s been plastered across headlines for a week – but what does it actually mean?</strong></p> <p>When studying science, I was trained to love numbers and to treat them as more objective and reliable than words. Numbers, I was told, don’t lie.</p> <p>But stripped of context, numbers aren’t useful. How often do we hear claims like,<em> ‘Our company has stopped 100 tonnes of CO<sub>2</sub> from getting into the atmosphere’?</em></p> <p>Is that a lot of carbon dioxide? How much CO<sub>2</sub> was being emitted in the first place?</p> <p>What about energy? How big does renewable infrastructure need to be to replace fossil fuels? And why do batteries <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/news/battery-farms/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">always seem to have</a> two numbers next to them to indicate size – like <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/technology/flow-battery-china/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">100 MW/400 MWh</a>?</p> <p>What <em>is</em> a megawatt or a megawatt-hour, anyway?</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i0p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <p>To make it easier to understand all the climate news you’re reading, I’ve compiled a user’s guide to the numbers of climate and energy, what each one means and how each measure stacks up – what’s a lot, what’s not very much, where it might be used dishonestly.</p> <p>So, put on your 1kW kettle and burn a couple of joules pouring yourself a cup of tea, here are the climate numbers you need to know.</p> <p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Jump to:</span></strong></p> <ul> <li><a href="#_Degrees_above_pre-industrial">Degrees above preindustrial levels</a></li> <li><a href="#_The_rising_tide:">Sea level rise</a></li> <li><a href="#_What’s_a_watt?">Energy: Watts, joules and kilowatt-hours</a></li> <li><a href="#_Tonnes_and_tonnes">Tonnes of CO<sub>2</sub></a></li> <li><a href="#_Comparing_apples_with">Measuring other greenhouse gases</a></li> <li><a href="#_Counting_carbon_in">Parts per million</a></li> </ul> <h2 class="wp-block-heading has-oxford-blue-color has-text-color"><a id="_Degrees_above_pre-industrial"></a>Degrees above pre-industrial levels</h2> <p>Global temperature rise is measured in °C above “preindustrial” levels – the temperature the Earth was before the industrial revolution started around 1750. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (<a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">IPCC</a>) uses the years 1850-1900 – a period before the vast majority of human-emitted greenhouse gases entered the atmosphere – as its baseline.</p> <p>Now, changing the temperature a couple of degrees doesn’t sound like much – you’d be unlikely to notice the difference between a 23°C or 25°C room, right?</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i1p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <p>But we’re talking about an <em>average</em> across the <em>whole</em> planet, not a single room – a temperature rise <em>everywhere</em> is a lot of heat.</p> <div class="wp-block-image"> <figure class="aligncenter size-medium"><img decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" width="498" height="600" src="data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxMDgwIDEzMDAiIHdpZHRoPSIxMDgwIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjEzMDAiIGRhdGEtdT0iJTJGd3AtY29udGVudCUyRnVwbG9hZHMlMkYyMDI0JTJGMDElMkZXYXJtaW5nLWJ5LWRlZ3JlZXMxLnBuZyIgZGF0YS13PSIxMDgwIiBkYXRhLWg9IjEzMDAiIGRhdGEtYmlwPSIiPjwvc3ZnPg==" data-spai="1" alt="Graphic that reads: warming by degrees, the key climate targets. 4. 4°c worst case ipcc projections. 2. 5°c climate action tracker's prediction for 2100. 2°c the upper target of the paris climate agreement. 1. 5°c the lower target of the paris climate agreement. 1. 4°c how much hotter australia is than pre industrial levels on average. 1. 1°c the current global average of warming above pre industrial levels." class="wp-image-294367" style="object-fit:cover" srcset=" " sizes="(max-width: 498px) 100vw, 498px" title="by the numbers: the measures of climate, energy and policy 1"><noscript data-spai="1"><img decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" width="498" height="600" src="https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Warming-by-degrees1-498x600.png" data-spai-egr="1" alt="Graphic that reads: warming by degrees, the key climate targets. 4. 4°c worst case ipcc projections. 2. 5°c climate action tracker's prediction for 2100. 2°c the upper target of the paris climate agreement. 1. 5°c the lower target of the paris climate agreement. 1. 4°c how much hotter australia is than pre industrial levels on average. 1. 1°c the current global average of warming above pre industrial levels." class="wp-image-294367" style="object-fit:cover" srcset="https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Warming-by-degrees1-498x600.png 498w, https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Warming-by-degrees1-768x924.png 768w, https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Warming-by-degrees1-300x361.png 300w, https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Warming-by-degrees1-600x722.png 600w, https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Warming-by-degrees1.png 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 498px) 100vw, 498px" title="by the numbers: the measures of climate, energy and policy 1"></noscript></figure></div> <h3 class="wp-block-heading has-police-blue-color has-text-color">Putting this warming in context</h3> <ul> <li>The <a href="https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/paris-agreement" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Paris Agreement</a> aims to keep climate change to “well below” a <strong>2°C</strong> global average temperature increase above preindustrial levels, and ideally below <strong>1.5°C</strong>.</li> <li>Earth is currently about <strong>1.2°C</strong> above preindustrial levels on average. Australia has warmed even faster and is about <strong>1.4°C</strong> above preindustrial levels.</li> <li>The <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/explainer-ipcc-scenarios/">worst-case IPPC scenario</a>, where carbon emissions rise steadily over the next century with little reduction effort, predicts warming of about <strong>4.4°C</strong> by the end of the century.</li> </ul> <p>This is not necessarily the most likely scenario. <a href="https://climateactiontracker.org/publications/no-change-to-warming-as-fossil-fuel-endgame-brings-focus-onto-false-solutions/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Climate Action Tracker</a> predicts <strong>2.5°C</strong> of warming by the end of the century, based on current country targets and actions.</p> <p>And although 2023 was the <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/2023-was-a-record-hot-year-scientists-expect-more-of-the-same-in-2024/">hottest year on record</a> at <strong>1.45°C</strong> above preindustrial levels, this is just one year, and not the total average long-term temperature rise.</p> <figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper"> <div class="embed-wrapper"><div class="inner"><iframe title="Cosmos Shorts: What’s the difference between 1.5 and 2 degrees of warming?" width="500" height="281" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/HakOmx8UoAM?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen></iframe></div></div> </div></figure> <h2 class="wp-block-heading has-oxford-blue-color has-text-color"><a id="_The_rising_tide:"></a>The rising tide: how much sea level rise can we really expect?</h2> <p>Global warming causes sea level rise in two main ways.</p> <p>First, melting ice on landmasses, especially <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/glacier-antarctica-sea-level/">Antarctica</a> and <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/sea-levels-are-rising-faster-driven-by-greenland-melt/">Greenland</a>, adds water to the oceans.</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i2p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <p>Second, water expands as it warms – meaning the same amount of liquid takes up more space.</p> <p>These rising sea levels will put more people at threat of flooding and inundation – Pacific nations are already being forced to <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/ipcc-sixth-assessment-report-the-frightening-future-of-sea-level-rise-in-australasia/">relocate low-lying communities</a>.</p> <h3 class="wp-block-heading has-police-blue-color has-text-color">Putting sea level rise in context</h3> <ul> <li>From 1901 to 2018, global sea levels rose by <strong>20cm</strong>.</li> <li>Future sea level rise depends on emissions. The IPCC <a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/summary-for-policymakers/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">predicts</a> <strong>28-55cm</strong> to the end of the century in a ‘very low’ emissions scenario, and <strong>98-188cm</strong> of sea level rise in a ‘very high’ emissions scenario. The real result will likely be somewhere between these extremes.</li> </ul> <p>A <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-23810-9" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">2020 study</a> found that 267 million people currently live in areas that would be inundated by <strong>100cm</strong> of sea level rise. This population is expected to grow to 410 million by the end of the century. In 2021, a report in <em>Environmental Research Letters</em> forecast <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/so-long-sydney-opera-house-bye-bye-buckingham-palace/">what that rise would look like in three different cities</a>.</p> <h2 class="wp-block-heading has-oxford-blue-color has-text-color"><a id="_What’s_a_watt?"></a>What’s a watt? Making sense of Watts, kilowatts, kilowatt-hours, megawatts…</h2> <p>Australia produces – and uses – heaps of energy.</p> <p>In 2022, <a href="https://www.energy.gov.au/energy-data/australian-energy-statistics/data-charts/australian-electricity-generation-fuel-mix" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">32% of that energy</a> came from renewable sources that don’t release greenhouse gases. But that proportion hides a complicated mesh of everything from huge power stations to rooftop solar panels and home batteries. So how is it all measured?</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i3p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <p>Let’s start simply.</p> <p>Scientists usually measure energy in <strong>joules</strong>. However, most of the time, you’ll see <strong>watts</strong> used by industry and government to describe how much electricity their products and services generate or consume.</p> <p>A watt is a measure of <em>power, </em>which is energy over a certain amount of time – one joule of energy per second, to be precise.</p> <p>A kilowatt (kW) is 1000 watts and a megawatt (MW) is 1000 kW: it goes up in increments of 1,000.</p> <figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes has-small-font-size"><table class="has-police-blue-color has-text-color"><thead><tr><th>Watt<br />(W)</th><th>Kilowatt<br />(KW)</th><th>Megawatt<br />(MW)</th><th>Gigawatt<br />(GW)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>1 watt</strong></td><td><strong>1,000 watts</strong></td><td><strong>1 million watts</strong></td><td><strong>1 billion watts</strong></td></tr><tr><td>Low wattage <br />lightbulb</td><td>1 electric kettle</td><td>Power output<br />of a sports car</td><td>Nuclear <br />power station</td></tr></tbody></table></figure> <p>We see these ratings applied to products we buy, right through to major infrastructure projects.</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i4p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <p>Say a large-scale battery is rated at 100MW. That means it’s capable of pumping 100 megajoules into the system over a second.</p> <p>If you have a 40-watt light bulb, that means it needs 40 joules each second to glow.</p> <div class="in-content-area related-box-wrapper content-third content-right margin-bottom-1"> <div class="gradient-title">Read More</div> <ul class="related-box article-listing"> <li class="cols"> <div class="article article-post my-cosmos"> <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/ipcc-sixth-assessment-report-the-frightening-future-of-sea-level-rise-in-australasia/" class="thumbnail ar-16-9" aria-label="Article link"> <span data-spai-bg-on="1" class="image" style="background-image: url(data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxNDQwIDgxMCIgd2lkdGg9IjE0NDAiIGhlaWdodD0iODEwIiBkYXRhLXU9Imh0dHBzJTNBJTJGJTJGY29zbW9zbWFnYXppbmUuY29tJTJGd3AtY29udGVudCUyRnVwbG9hZHMlMkYyMDIxJTJGMDglMkZHZXR0eUltYWdlcy0xMTkzMzEzMjQ4X0lQQ0NsZWFkLTE0NDB4ODEwLmpwZyIgZGF0YS13PSIxNDQwIiBkYXRhLWg9IjgxMCIgZGF0YS1iaXA9IiI+PC9zdmc+)"></span> </a> <div class="article-content has-my-cosmos-very-light-background-color"> <a href="/earth/climate/"> <span class="category earth-color"> Climate </span> </a> <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climate/ipcc-sixth-assessment-report-the-frightening-future-of-sea-level-rise-in-australasia/"> <h3>Here today, gone tomorrow: the IPCC’s new report predicts the sea-level rise flooding our backyard</h3> </a> </div> </div> </li> </ul> </div> <p>But what if we want to know how much energy is used, in total? Some organisations use joules, but it’s more common to see another unit: <strong>watt-hours (Wh)</strong>.</p> <a href="https://link.cosmosmagazine.com/OP59" class="newsletter-cta" data-device="mobile"> <img decoding="async" src="data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAzMDAgMjUwIiB3aWR0aD0iMzAwIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjI1MCIgZGF0YS11PSIlMkZ3cC1jb250ZW50JTJGdXBsb2FkcyUyRjIwMjQlMkYwMyUyRldlZWtseS1DYXRjaHVwLTMwMHgyNTAtMS5wbmciIGRhdGEtdz0iMzAwIiBkYXRhLWg9IjI1MCIgZGF0YS1iaXA9IiI+PC9zdmc+" data-spai="1" alt="Newsletter" title="by the numbers: the measures of climate, energy and policy 2"><noscript data-spai="1"><img decoding="async" src="https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Weekly-Catchup-300x250-1.png" data-spai-egr="1" alt="Newsletter" title="by the numbers: the measures of climate, energy and policy 2"></noscript> </a> <p>The output of a power plant, or the energy your house consumes, is often measured using <strong>kilowatt hours (kWh)</strong> – the amount of energy a kilowatt of power generates over an hour.</p> <p>Since a kilowatt is 1000 joules per second, and there are 3600 seconds in an hour, a kilowatt hour is 3.6 million joules.</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i5p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <p>You’d expend a joule of energy lifting an apple over your head. Imagine doing that 3.6 million times – that’s 1 kWh.</p> <h3 class="wp-block-heading has-police-blue-color has-text-color">Putting these measures of energy in context</h3> <ul> <li>According to the Clean Energy Regulator, Australia’s two largest power stations Loy Yang and Bayswater – which both burn coal – each produced <a href="https://www.cleanenergyregulator.gov.au/NGER/Pages/Published%20information/Data%20highlights/2021-22-factsheets/Australia%E2%80%99s-largest-electricity-generators-2021-22.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">roughly 15 terawatt-hours</a> (<strong>15 billion kWh</strong>) of energy in FY2021-22.</li> </ul> <figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img decoding="async" width="1200" height="675" src="data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxMjAwIDY3NSIgd2lkdGg9IjEyMDAiIGhlaWdodD0iNjc1IiBkYXRhLXU9IiUyRndwLWNvbnRlbnQlMkZ1cGxvYWRzJTJGMjAyNCUyRjAxJTJGbG95LXlhbmcucG5nIiBkYXRhLXc9IjEyMDAiIGRhdGEtaD0iNjc1IiBkYXRhLWJpcD0iIj48L3N2Zz4=" data-spai="1" alt="Loy yang" class="wp-image-294403" title="by the numbers: the measures of climate, energy and policy 3"><noscript data-spai="1"><img decoding="async" width="1200" height="675" src="https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/loy-yang.png" data-spai-egr="1" alt="Loy yang" class="wp-image-294403" srcset="https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/loy-yang.png 1200w, https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/loy-yang-600x338.png 600w, https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/loy-yang-768x432.png 768w, https://cdn.shortpixel.ai/spai/q_lossy+ret_img+to_auto/cosmosmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/loy-yang-300x169.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" title="by the numbers: the measures of climate, energy and policy 3"></noscript><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Loy Yang power station Credit: Marcus Wong CC BY-SA 3.0</figcaption></figure> <ul> <li>The largest operating battery in Australia, the <a href="https://www.energy.vic.gov.au/renewable-energy/batteries-energy-storage-projects/victorian-big-battery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Victorian Big Battery</a>, is a 300 MW (<strong>300,000 kW</strong>) power battery with 450 MWh (<strong>450,000 kWh</strong>) of storage. There are <a href="https://www.energyco.nsw.gov.au/projects/waratah-super-battery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">plans</a> <a href="https://www.synergy.net.au/Our-energy/Projects/Big-Battery-Project" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">in the</a> <a href="https://www.equis.com.au/renewable-energy-hub" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">works</a> for gigawatt (<strong>million kW</strong>)-scale batteries around the country.</li> <li>Australia as a whole used <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/energy" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">1,667 TWh</a> (<strong>1.67 trillion kWh</strong>) of energy in 2022. The world <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-energy-substitution" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">used 179,000 TWh</a> (<strong>179 trillion kWh</strong>).</li> <li>All rooftop solar in Australia generated <a href="https://www.energy.gov.au/publications/australian-energy-statistics-table-o-electricity-generation-fuel-type-2021-22-and-2022" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">22 TWh</a> (<strong>22 billion kWh</strong>) of energy in 2021-2022.</li> </ul> <div class="flourish-embed flourish-chart" data-src="visualisation/16480577"><script src="https://public.flourish.studio/resources/embed.js"></script></div> <ul> <li>Australian households <em>used</em> <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/industry/energy/energy-account-australia/latest-release" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">254 terawatt-hours</a> (<strong>254 billion kWh)</strong>, in 2021-22.</li> <li>According to the <a href="https://www.aer.gov.au/documents/annual-retail-market-report-2022-23-30-november-2023-1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Australian Energy Regulator</a>, the average customer in the eastern states’ <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/technology/energy/explainer-what-is-the-grid/">energy grid</a> used about <strong>5,500 kWh</strong> in 2022-23.</li> <li>Home batteries in Australia vary in size from roughly <strong>5 kWh to 20 kWh</strong>. The Tesla Powerwall is <strong>13.5 kWh</strong>, with <strong>5-7 kW</strong> power.</li> </ul> <h2 class="wp-block-heading has-oxford-blue-color has-text-color"><a id="_Tonnes_and_tonnes"></a>Tonnes and tonnes and tonnes of carbon dioxide</h2> <p>Carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) is not the only human-produced gas that’s warming our atmosphere, but it’s by far the most common. When people talk about emissions, they usually use CO<sub>2</sub> as their yardstick.</p> <p>We measure CO<sub>2</sub> emissions by weight: metric tonnes, each of which is 1,000 kilograms.</p> <figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes has-small-font-size"><table class="has-police-blue-color has-text-color"><thead><tr><th>Tonne<br />(t)</th><th>Kilotonne<br />(Kt)</th><th>Megatonne<br />(Mt)</th><th>Gigatonne<br />(Gt)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>1 tonne</strong></td><td><strong>1,000 tonnes</strong></td><td><strong>1 million tonnes</strong></td><td><strong>1 billion tonnes</strong></td></tr></tbody></table></figure> <p>It’s worth noting that companies count emissions in <em><a href="https://www.cleanenergyregulator.gov.au/NGER/About-the-National-Greenhouse-and-Energy-Reporting-scheme/Greenhouse-gases-and-energy" target="_blank" rel="noopener">scopes</a>,</em> which reflect different levels of responsibility for the emissions. If a business says they’ve cut, say, 80% of their carbon emissions, it’s always worth asking which scope they’re counting with – because they may not actually have cut 80% of the emissions they cause.</p> <h3 class="wp-block-heading has-police-blue-color has-text-color">Putting carbon numbers in context</h3> <p>Humans have pumped a huge amount of carbon into the atmosphere since the wheels of industry started to turn:</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i6p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <ul> <li>Collectively, humans are currently emitting about <strong>40 billion tonnes</strong> (40 Gt) of carbon dioxide each year, <a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/summary-for-policymakers/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">according to</a> the IPCC.</li> <li>Since 1850, humans have emitted <strong>2.4 trillion tonnes</strong> (2,400 Gt) of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.</li> <li>As of 2019, a typical Australian car emits <a href="https://www.greenvehicleguide.gov.au/pages/UnderstandingEmissions/VehicleEmissions" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">181g</a> of CO<sub>2</sub> per kilometre travelled. An average Australian car travelled 11,100km in 2019-20, which is worth about <strong>2t of CO<sub>2</sub></strong>.</li> <li>The average Australian’s activities <a href="https://globalcarbonatlas.org/emissions/carbon-emissions/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">emit</a> <strong>15t</strong> of CO<sub>2</sub> each year.</li> <li>In 2022, Australia <a href="https://globalcarbonatlas.org/emissions/carbon-emissions/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">emitted</a> <strong>392 million tonnes</strong> (392 megatonnes) of CO<sub>2</sub>. Since European settlement, Australia has emitted <strong>19 billion tonnes</strong> (19 gigatonnes) of CO<sub>2</sub>.</li> </ul> <h2 class="wp-block-heading has-oxford-blue-color has-text-color"><a id="_Comparing_apples_with"></a>Comparing apples with apples: CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalent</h2> <p>CO<sub>2</sub> is not the <em>only</em> greenhouse gas and different greenhouse gases warm the atmosphere in different amounts.</p> <p>Methane, for instance, warms the atmosphere significantly more than carbon dioxide but it also tends to stay in the atmosphere for a shorter amount of time. After roughly <a href="https://www.iea.org/reports/global-methane-tracker-2022/methane-and-climate-change" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">12 years</a>, it has typically reacted with other gases and turned into CO<sub>2</sub>, while CO<sub>2 </sub>itself stays stable for hundreds of years.</p> <p>So, it’s not accurate to compare something that’s emitting 50 tonnes of methane to something that’s emitting 50 tonnes of CO<sub>2</sub>. While they’re both emitting the same amount of gas, they’re causing different levels of warming.</p> <p>Enter CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalent. This is the method we use to compare the influence of different gases.</p> <p>Since time matters too, we tend to measure CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalent over a century – enabling us to compare apples with apples.</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i7p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <p>Over those 100 years, methane is 28 times more potent than CO<sub>2</sub>. So a tonne of methane emissions is 28 tonnes of CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalent.</p> <div class="flourish-embed flourish-bubble-chart" data-src="visualisation/16480230"><script src="https://public.flourish.studio/resources/embed.js"></script></div> <div class="flourish-embed flourish-bubble-chart" data-src="visualisation/16481146"><script src="https://public.flourish.studio/resources/embed.js"></script></div> <p>The US Environment Protection Agency has a <a href="https://www.epa.gov/energy/greenhouse-gas-equivalencies-calculator" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">calculator</a> for other greenhouse gas equivalencies.</p> <h3 class="wp-block-heading has-police-blue-color has-text-color">Putting CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalent in context</h3> <ul> <li>According to the IPCC’s most recent <a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/summary-for-policymakers/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">reports</a>, the world at large emitted <strong>59 billion tonnes of CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalent</strong> in 2019, 40bn tonnes of which was actually CO<sub>2</sub>.</li> <li>According to its <a href="https://greenhouseaccounts.climatechange.gov.au/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Paris Agreement accounts</a>, Australia emitted <strong>465 million tonnes</strong> (0.465gt) of CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalent in 2021.</li> </ul> <div class="flourish-embed flourish-chart" data-src="visualisation/16480119"><script src="https://public.flourish.studio/resources/embed.js"></script></div> <h2 class="wp-block-heading has-oxford-blue-color has-text-color"><a id="_Counting_carbon_in"></a>Counting carbon in the sky: Parts per million (ppm)</h2> <p>Carbon dioxide that reaches the sky is described in terms of concentration rather than total weight.</p> <p>Parts per million (<strong>ppm</strong>) is a way of describing concentration. In climate science, it’s most frequently used to measure carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i8p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <p>A concentration of 400 parts per million CO<sub>2</sub> means that for every million molecules in the air, 400 of them are CO<sub>2</sub> molecules. It’s the same as saying the air is 0.04% CO<sub>2</sub>.</p> <p>For other greenhouse gases with lower concentrations, parts per billion or parts per trillion (<strong>ppb</strong> or <strong>ppt</strong>) is used.</p> <p>You might think that 400 parts in a million is a very low concentration – and it is. But low concentrations of dangerous substances can still have huge influences.</p> <p>An Agatha Christie villain would only need to spike their victim’s tea with about six sand grains worth of <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/idlh/57249.html" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">strychnine</a> to finish them off. And you can smell chlorine gas in an area if it’s at a <a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3136961/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">concentration of just 0.1ppm</a>. It’s enough to be fatal if it reaches concentrations of 400ppm – good thing CO<sub>2</sub> isn’t <em>that</em> toxic.</p> <p>But 400ppm is still enough for carbon to trap heat and warm the atmosphere.</p> <div class="advert ad-in-content ad-mobile auh-250"><div id="adn-00000000001fc2ca-i9p0" style="display: none"></div></div> <h3 class="wp-block-heading has-police-blue-color has-text-color">Putting ppm in context</h3> <ul> <li>In 2022, atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations were <strong>417ppm</strong> <a href="https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">on average</a>. During the 2010s, it grew at a rate of <strong>2.4ppm</strong> <a href="https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide" target="_blank" rel="noopener">each </a><a href="https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">year</a>.</li> <li>From 1850-1900, the concentrations were about <strong>290ppm</strong>.</li> <li>By 1980, they had <a href="https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/global.html" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">made it to</a> nearly <strong>340ppm</strong>.</li> <li>In May 2023, CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations were <strong>424ppm</strong> at Mauna Loa, Hawaii, breaking a <a href="https://www.climate.gov/news-features/feed/broken-record-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide-levels-jump-again" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">new record</a>. (CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations fluctuate annually – so while they rise steadily year-on-year, they also tend to peak in May each year.)</li> </ul> <div class="flourish-embed flourish-scatter" data-src="visualisation/16479674"><script src="https://public.flourish.studio/resources/embed.js"></script></div> <h2 class="wp-block-heading has-oxford-blue-color has-text-color">So now you know</h2> <p>I want people to be able to understand what these climate numbers mean, to be able to contextualise them when they read a climate claim or an energy rating in the wild.</p> <p>But I want to hear from you if you think there was something I missed, or something else you want explained. Climate science and the energy transition are numbers games – but they’re also things that people want, and need, to know more about.</p> <p>So share this guide with friends, if you think it will help – and let us know if there are more values you want us to explain. Send your suggestions to <a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#5e373038311e3d312d33312d333f393f2437303b703d3133"><span class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="caa3a4aca58aa9a5b9a7a5b9a7abadabb0a3a4afe4a9a5a7">[email protected]</span></a>.</p> <p>(Oh, and for clarity, the numbers I used mostly come from the Working Group I section of the <a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">IPCC</a>’s sixth assessment report – when I’ve used another source, I linked to it).</p> <p><em>Correction, 30 January: An earlier version of this article featured incorrect kW measurements for some of the batteries mentioned in the ‘Putting these measures of energy in context’ section. 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