3月7日Mysteel再生铝晨会纪要-我的钢铁网

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style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">盘面：</p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;"><img src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/07/069f190293c44d58b11ef5c02530a7eb.jpg" alt="" width="326" height="73" /></p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">昨日现货：</p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;"><img src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/07/378fa4a0f9414c5cbc5dc5f94d6050eb.jpg" alt="" width="326" height="163" /></p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">宏观：①央行行长潘功胜在十四届全国人大三次会议经济主题记者会上表示，近期商品房交易量、交易价格、房地产贷款等多项指标指向房地产市场活跃度上升。 ②十四届全国人大三次会议将于今日下午3时举行记者会，邀请国家发改委主任郑栅洁、财政部部长蓝佛安、商务部部长王文涛、央行行长潘功胜、证监会主席吴清就发展改革、财政预算、商务、金融证券等相关问题回答中外记者提问。③特朗普让步，暂缓美墨加协定下加墨商品关税至4月2日，称决定和股市无关，“甚至都没看市场”，北约国家“不付钱”，美国就“不会防御”；特鲁多：加拿大不撤报复性关税，除非美国取消所有加征关税。</p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;"> </p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">基本面：①据<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>统计，3月6日电解<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>社会库存为88.4万吨，铝锭社会库存相较于3月3日减少1.4万吨。且开始减少累库②据海关总署统计：12月未锻轧的铝合金进口量约为10.56万吨，环比增加3.53%，同比减少6.47%，中未锻轧的铝合金进口量前五来源国为：马来西亚约（4.4万吨）、泰国约（1.43万吨）、俄罗斯联邦（1.03万吨）、韩国约（1.02万吨）、印度尼西亚约（0.41万吨）。③据海关总署最新数据显示，2024年12月份国内原铝进口总量16.14万吨，同比减少8.36%,环比增加7.13%，12月份国内原铝出口总量1.28万吨，同比减少13.93%，环比减少32.11%，12月份原铝净进口总量14.87万吨，同比减少7.84%，环比增加12.73%。1-12月份国内原铝累计进口总量约213.63万吨，同比增加38.45%。1-12月份国内原铝净进口总量约为201.52万吨，同比增加44.68%。</p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;"> </p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">废铝：昨日<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝价</a>大涨，市场废旧易拉罐价格多上涨100元/吨。废旧易拉罐价格涨至较高位置，供应商整体出货情绪还是比较高的，逢高积极出货，昨日市场流通货源较为充足。目前铝板带箔、再生铝合金锭等用废易拉罐企业库存偏充足，整体保持按需采购的节奏，部分库存不足的企业，积极采购原料。综合来看，昨日市场成交较好。</p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">上一交易日废铝市场破碎生铝价格基本持平。当前汽车消费能力较弱，铝压铸企业订单较差，对废铝原料的需求减弱，目前下游再生铝合金锭成品库存开始增加，当前市场破碎生铝流通货源充足，破碎生铝整体成交较好。</p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;"> </p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">再生铝合金锭：昨日沪铝高开稳走，现货铝价大幅上涨。重庆市场铝合金锭价格报20900元/吨，上涨100元/吨，且重庆地区合金锭企业库存小幅上涨，下游压铸企业订单缩量影响，压铸企业观望态度较重刚需采购为主。进口方面：昨日宁波进口铝合金锭现货价格上调100元/吨，韩国、马来西亚ADC12报价在20400元/吨左右，持货商积极出货，市场逢低采购为主，高位成交不畅，低位尚可，整体成交较上一交易日有所增加。</p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;"> </p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">总结：当前国内电解铝复产持续推进，国内电解铝库存已至高位，山西、四川地区产能逐步释放，当前氧化铝供过于求，冶炼成本重心抬升对铝价形成底部支撑,随着3月传统消费旺季临近，国内检修高峰及出口增量或推动库存拐点提前到来。预计铝价宽幅震荡运行。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：宋建荣 021-66896738 </br> 资讯监督：张江帆 021-26094018 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mymetal.net/article/p-5367-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mymetal.net/article/p-5367-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多<i class="arrow"></i> </a> </div> <div class="list-block recommend-list"> <ul> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/25030708/6849164E8C09828E_abc.html" external> Mysteel早报：重庆铝合金锭市场预计持平为主 </a> </div> <div class="news-time">2025-03-07</div> </li> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/25030617/1980D50450858DD1_abc.html" external> 3月6日 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