Mysteel周报：上海钢材市场价格涨跌互现（7.14-7.21）-我的钢铁网

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name="Description" content="本周上海市场各品种主流价格涨跌互现。截至07月21日，中天高线Φ8.0mmHPB300价格为3980元/吨，较上周价格上涨10元/吨，中天螺纹Ф20mmHRB400价格为3750元/吨，较上周" /> <link rel="canonical" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/23072117/9B2E55D84667095C_abc.html"> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/sui/sui.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/wsyCss.css?v=20221027" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/wsyCss20180930.css?v=17" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/permissions.css?v=11" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/css/common.css?v=20221212"> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/bxCss.css?v=201705190952"> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/addStyle.css?v=201704180942"> <link rel="stylesheet" href='//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/add.css?v=20181027'> <link rel="stylesheet" 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target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>热轧</a>板卷价格为3920元/吨，较上周价格上涨20元/吨，宝钢青山1.0mmSPCC<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010104-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>冷轧</a>板卷价格为4580元/吨，较上周价格上涨80元/吨，本钢1.0mmDC51D+Z<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010501-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>镀锌</a>板卷价格为4930元/吨，较上周价格上涨40元/吨，宝钢0.476mmTDC51D+Z<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010502-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>彩涂</a>板卷价格为6850元/吨，较上周价格持平0元/吨，马钢16#Q235B槽钢价格为3670元/吨，较上周价格下跌10元/吨，马钢200*100*5.5*8Q235<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010705-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>H型钢</a>价格为3950元/吨，较上周价格下跌70元/吨。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img src="//img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/07/21/4adf8b5cdfae44a781f6153f683991f1.png" alt="" width="600" height="104.24242424242425" /></p> <p><a style="color: #3861ab;" href="https://shanghai.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">上海</a>建材：上海本地<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>建筑钢材</a>价格小幅偏强震荡，周价格环比上涨20元/吨。具体来看，本周一，市场偏弱运行，在国内上半年经济答卷公布后，市场心态转为谨慎，期现双双下跌，周二，在期货拉涨带动下，实际需求和投机需求双旺，部分商家有到货压力，操作以完成当日计划量为主，日内资源多数成交集中于3580-3590元/吨，周三，市场实际需求略有放缓，仅有投机需求表现尚可，整体日内呈现缩量上涨，周四，本网基本面数据基本符合市场预期，商家挺价心态普遍，周五，期螺突破三角收敛区域上沿，但现货市场缩量上涨。对于下周，从库存来看，19日本网所盘上海全体仓库库存，其中螺纹合计41.85万吨，环比增加2.52万吨左右；线材合计3.62万吨，环比减少0.34万吨；盘螺合计10.09万吨，环比增加0.30万吨左右，本周所盘库存继续小幅增加，淡季累库趋势已经出现，其中投机及期现库存占有相当比例，当前仍不见囤积出货。从需求来看，本周主要消费地区天气明显改善，本网公布螺纹表观需求小幅回升，符合市场预期，24家贸易商成交量本周前四日分别为2.1、2.7、1.9、1.6万吨，环比上周同期小幅回升。对于供给端，本网公布<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>螺纹钢</a>周度产量为278.80万吨，环比增加2.74万吨，增幅小于需求，当前供需端呈现双弱。原材端，随着限产政策颁布，逻辑上短期利空原材，但近期美元指数连续下跌，一定程度上提振了<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0311-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石需求</a>，可以看到原材表现强于成材，上周<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石</a>发运量计到港量继续小幅增加，在结束7月上旬铁矿石季末冲量后，即将进入传统发运淡季，双焦层面，第三轮提涨已于20日落地，叠加山西地区事故检查，焦煤2309周四日盘上涨4%。金融盘面上，10期螺合约尾盘突破三角收敛区域上沿，短期趋势可能确立。宏观层面，在上半年经济数据出炉后，政策线索仍在重复过往发言，因而，月底政治局会议仍是市场关注重点。</p> <p>上海热轧：本周上海热轧板卷市场价格震荡回涨。截止发稿，1500mm普碳热卷主流报价3900-3920元/吨，1800宽卷报价3980-3990元/吨。1500mm低合金主流报价4010-4030元/吨，1800mm低合金报价4100-4110元/吨。今日黑色商品期货震荡上行，10合约收涨1.52%，现货市场早盘报价谨慎观望，今日盘面振幅较大，但现货价格变化不大，整体成交一般。整体来看，虽说原料端依旧强势，会导致钢厂利润受限，但本周钢厂产量是小幅增加的，供应端影响不大；钢厂库存和社会库存均在下降，需求端也略有好转。后续的限产政策的落实可能对供应端会有一些影响。综合来看，预计下周上海热轧板卷或将窄幅震荡运行。</p> <p>上海冷轧：本周上海冷轧现货价格整体大幅上涨运行，成交出货表现一般。具体价格方面：截至发稿具体价格方面：截至发稿1.0鞍卷4540，本卷4520，鞍板4550，本板4540，青山卷4580，唐二卷4520，首卷4540，邯卷4520；1.5-2.0各大钢厂4480-4580。（元/吨），整体价格较上周上涨80元/吨。库存方面，7月20日本网所盘上海全体仓库冷轧69.7万吨，周环比减少0.3万吨。冷热价差方面，本周热卷盘面震荡上行，冷轧补涨幅度大于热卷，冷热价差扩大至680元/吨。政策方面，本周各大主流钢厂出台上海市场的7月结算价，约为4520元/吨。市场方面，由于市场处于传统的淡季，但消费韧性善存，整体成交表现一般。由于当前上海市场整体库存压力不大，加之钢厂结算价较高，本周市场商家补涨意愿较强。就下周市场而言，供应方面，虽然7月产量、开工率仍然在高位维持，高位供应端压力继续维持。需求方面，7月下游制造业接单处于缓慢复苏的状态，消费韧性继续维持。综合来看，在淡季供需矛盾累积并不突出的状态下，预计下周上海冷轧板卷价格或将震荡偏强运行。</p> <p>上海中板：本周上海市场中厚板价格弱势调整，截至发稿，市场主流<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010302-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>普板</a>价格3990元/吨，主流锰板价格4110元/吨，普锰价差收窄为120元/吨。本周市场情绪尚可，市场出货情况表现一般。周初开市，市场受周边地区低价资源影响，现货价格弱势运行。周初与华北地区的价差在20元/吨。随期货走势强劲，现货市场情绪提振，下游需求平稳释放，现货价格窄幅上探。临近周末，钢厂平控消息不断发酵，叠加宏观利好政策释放，贸易商看涨心态渐起，对后市存在较高的探涨预期。资源层面，据<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>周度库存了解到，据Mysteel周度库存调研数据了解到，上海本周库存量14.3万吨，周环比增加0.2万吨，资源库存小幅增加，供需表现相对平衡。综合来看，随平控消息落地，而钢厂利润尚有空间，支撑成材价格维持高位，预计短期内上海市场中厚板价格震荡偏强调整。</p> <p>上海镀锌：本周上海镀锌板卷市场价格上涨为主。价格方面：目前市场主流成交位于4930-5060元/吨，较上周价格上涨40元/吨，具体分品牌方面：无花1.0宝钢青山5100，马5150，首5060，鞍4960，本4930，唐4980，邯宝4930。有花3.0邯4830；0.5万达4720（单位：元/吨）。库存方面，据Mysteel样本最新统计本周上海镀锌板卷库存为30.2万吨，较上周减少0.1万吨，减幅：0.33%。市场资源方面，当前市场国营无花资源流通偏紧，国营无花镀锌板卷市场商家价格居高不下，现货镀锌板卷市场商家价格上涨40元/吨，实际成交以优惠落实为准。价差方面，目前上海市场国营无花-民营有花镀锌板卷价差扩大至400元/吨，仍处于正常偏高水平。市场成交方面，据市场商家反馈，本周上海镀锌板卷市场商家出货表现一般。政策方面，本周上海市场各大主流钢厂出台7月结算价，在4980元/吨左右。下游采购方面，据了解，本周下游客户整体采购积极性不高，虽然黑色期货盘面上涨，但下游客户态度偏观望为主。综合来看，在成本居高和市场资源偏紧的情况下，预计下周上海市场镀锌板卷市场价格或窄幅震荡运行为主。</p> <p>上海<a style="color: #3861ab;" href="https://xinggang.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">型钢</a>：本周上海<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010107-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>型钢</a>市场价格持稳运行。截止发稿时，安钢角钢5#市场报价4220元/吨；马钢16#槽钢市场报价3950元/吨；日照25#工字钢市场报价3950元/吨；马钢200*200H型钢市场报价3700元/吨；马钢300*300H型钢市场报价3720元/吨；市场方面，本周期现价格表现并不同步，周中期货盘面震荡走高，但型钢现货价格明显跟进乏力，仅周五小幅拉涨10-30元/吨，下游需求释放偏缓是限制价格上涨主要因素，贸易商库存利润倒挂，到货成本较高。市场库存方面，本地贸易商补库积极性较弱，工角槽前期资源低价出售，呈现去库加快，市场库存统计工角槽总量 4.1万吨，较上周减少0.6万吨，H型钢累库放缓，较上周增加0.2万吨达到5.5万吨。下周受到唐山关于限产影响，期货盘面有所提振，现货价格小幅跟进期望较高，但持续上涨动力不足，考虑阴雨天气将会持续，后续出货仍然会受到影响，型钢价格行情虽然有一定韧性，但上涨空间受限，综合预计下周上海型钢价格先强后弱运行。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img src="//img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/07/21/797e99c6558b4f578bdeabdf18bc3763.png" alt="" width="600" height="89.67032967032966" /></p> <p>据Mysteel调查显示，本周上海市场螺纹钢库存41.85万吨，较上周增加2.52万吨，线材库存3.62万吨，较上周减少0.34万吨，热轧库存31.8万吨，较上周增加2.4万吨，冷轧库存26.35万吨，较上周增加0.3万吨，中板库存14.3万吨，较上周增加0.2万吨，工角槽库存4.1万吨，较上周减少0.6万吨，H型钢库存5.5万吨，较上周增加0.2万吨，总库存127.52万吨，较上周增加4.68万吨。</p> <p>综上所述，传统淡季，刚性需求跟进不足，但是在唐山环保限产刺激下，市场对平控预期愈发强烈，供需双弱格局下，强预期带动市场心态有所回暖，预计下周上海市场<a style="color: #3861ab;" href="https://www.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">钢材价格</a>或呈震荡偏强态势运行。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：张华 021-26094423 </br> 资讯监督：万超 021-26093676 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-22-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-22-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多<i class="arrow"></i> </a> </div> <div class="list-block recommend-list"> <ul> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" 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