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Genetic radiation risks: a neglected topic in the low dose debate

<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" xml:lang="en" lang="en" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <head> <meta property='og:image' content='https://www.eaht.org/image/sns_logo.jpg'/> <meta property='og:title' content='Genetic radiation risks: a neglected topic in the low dose debate'/> <meta property='og:description' content='Genetic radiation risks: a neglected topic in the low dose debate'/> <meta property='og:url' content='//www.eaht.org/journal/view.php?doi=10.5620/eht.e2016001'/> <meta property='og:type' content='article'/> <meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html;charset=utf-8"/> <meta name ="format-detection" content ="telephone=no"> <meta name="citation_journal_title" content="Environmental Health and Toxicology"/> <meta name="citation_title" content="Genetic radiation risks: a neglected topic in the low dose debate"/> <script type="text/javascript"> function showBox(obj) { if(reviewLayer.style.display == "block") return; reviewLayer.innerText=document.getElementById(obj.href.split("#")[1]).textContent; reviewLayer.style.top = (event.pageY ? event.pageY : (document.documentElement.scrollTop + event.clientY )) + "px"; reviewLayer.style.left = (document.body.clientWidth <= (event.clientX + 310) ? -310 : 10)+ event.clientX + "px"; reviewLayer.style.display = "block"; } //altmetric-embed 새창연결 function blank_action(){ $(".altmetric-embed").find('a').attr('target','_blank'); } </script> <meta name="dc.identifier" content="doi:10.5620/eht.e2016001" /> <meta name="citation_fulltext_html_url" content="http://www.eaht.org/journal/view.php?doi=10.5620/eht.e2016001"/> <meta name="citation_publisher" content="The Korean Society of Environmental Health and Toxicology"/> <meta name="citation_journal_title" content="Environmental Health and Toxicology"/> <meta name="citation_journal_abbrev" content="Environ Health Toxicol"/> <meta name="citation_title" content="Genetic radiation risks: a neglected topic in the low dose debate"/> <meta name="citation_author" content="Inge Schmitz-Feuerhake"/> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany"/> <meta name="citation_author" content="Christopher Busby"/> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Environmental Research SIA, Riga, Latvia"/> <meta name="citation_author" content="Sebastian Pflugbeil"/> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="German Society for Radiation Protection, Berlin, Germany"/> <meta name="citation_author_email" content="christo@greenaudit.org"/> <meta name="citation_publication_date" content="2016/1/20"/> <meta name="citation_volume" content="31"/> <meta name="citation_doi" content="10.5620/eht.e2016001"/> <meta name="citation_issn" content="2233-6567"> <meta name="citation_pdf_url" content="https://www.eaht.org/upload/pdf/eht-31-e2016001.pdf"/> <meta name="citation_language" content="English"/> <meta name="citation_keywords" content="Congenital malformation; Down´s syndrome; Environmental radioactivity; Internal radiation; Low level effects; Sex-ratio; Still birth"/> <meta name='citation_reference' content='citation_title=Radiation damage to the genetic material; citation_author=HJ Muller; citation_journal_title=Am Sci; citation_volume=38; citation_issue=38; citation_pages=33-59; citation_date=1950;'/> <meta name='citation_reference' content='<html>'/> <meta name='citation_reference' content='<html>'/> <meta name='citation_reference' content='<html>'/> <meta name='citation_reference' content='citation_title=Hazards of the first nine months: an epidemiologist’s nightmare; citation_author=R Doll; citation_journal_title=J Ir Med Assoc; citation_volume=66; citation_issue=66; citation_pages=117-126; citation_date=1973;'/> <meta name='citation_reference' content='<html>'/> <meta name='citation_reference' content='citation_title=Strong inference: certain systematic methods of scientific thinking may produce much more rapid progress than others; citation_author=JR Platt; citation_journal_title=Science; citation_volume=146; citation_issue=146; citation_pages=347-353; citation_date=1964;'/> <meta name='citation_reference' content='<html>'/> <meta name='citation_reference' content='citation_title=Genetic hazards of radiation to man; citation_author=P De Bellefeuille; citation_journal_title=I. 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} h3#__sec4title { padding-top:30px;} /* jats end */ --> </style> <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.01 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/html4/loose.dtd"> <html> <head> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8"> <title>Schmitz-Feuerhake, Busby, and Pflugbeil: Genetic radiation risks: a neglected topic in the low dose debate</title> </head> <body> <div id="article-front" class="front"> <div class="metadata"><div class="metadata-group"><div class="metadata-chunk"><b><p class="metadata-entry">Review Article </p></b></div></div></div> <div class="metadata"><div class="metadata-group"></div></div> <div class="metadata two-column table"><div class="row"> <div class="metadata-group" style="font-size:15px;"><p class="metadata-entry">Environ Health Toxicol 2016; 31: e2016001.</p></div> <div class="metadata-group" style="font-size:15px;"> <div class="metadata-group"><p class="metadata-entry"><span class="generated">Published online: </span>January 20, 2016 </p></div> <p class="metadata-entry"><span class="generated">DOI: </span><a href="https://doi.org/10.5620/eht.e2016001" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.5620/eht.e2016001</a></p> </div> <div class="front_box div"></div> <div class="metadata centered"><h3 class="PubTitle">Genetic radiation risks: a neglected topic in the low dose debate</h3></div> <div class="metadata-group author_layer" style="margin-bottom:10px;"></div> <div class="metadata-group aff_layer"></div> <div class="metadata centered"></div> <div class="metadata-group author_layer" style="margin-bottom:10px;"> <a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=author&amp;f_name=Inge&amp;l_name=Schmitz-Feuerhake">Inge Schmitz-Feuerhake</a><sup>1</sup><a href="http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0094-6037" alt="http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0094-6037" title="http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0094-6037" target="_blank"><img src="/image/icon/orcid.gif" valign="middle"></a>, <a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=author&amp;f_name=Christopher&amp;l_name=Busby">Christopher Busby</a><sup></sup><sup>2</sup><a href="http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0121-2243" alt="http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0121-2243" title="http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0121-2243" target="_blank"><img src="/image/icon/orcid.gif" valign="middle"></a>, <a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=author&amp;f_name=Sebastian&amp;l_name=Pflugbeil">Sebastian Pflugbeil</a><sup>3</sup><a href="http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1893-2247" alt="http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1893-2247" title="http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1893-2247" target="_blank"><img src="/image/icon/orcid.gif" valign="middle"></a> </div> <div class="metadata-group aff_layer" style="margin-bottom:10px;"> <p class="metadata-entry"><a id="af1-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a> <sup>1</sup>University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany</p> <p class="metadata-entry"><a id="af2-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a> <sup>2</sup>Environmental Research SIA, Riga, Latvia</p> <p class="metadata-entry"><a id="af3-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a> <sup>3</sup>German Society for Radiation Protection, Berlin, Germany</p> </div> <div class="metadata-group" style="font-size:15px;"> <div class="metadata-chunk"> <a id="idm140403139514256"><!-- named anchor --></a><p class="metadata-entry"><div class="corresp">Correspondence: Christopher Busby 1117 Latvian Academy of Sciences, Riga, LV- 1050, Latvia Tel: +44-7989428833 Fax: +44-1970630215 E-mail: <a href="mailto:christo@greenaudit.org">christo@greenaudit.org</a> </div> </p> </div> Received October 17, 2015       Accepted January 20, 2016<p class="metadata-entry">Copyright © 2016 The Korean Society of Environmental Health and Toxicology </p> <div class="metadata-chunk"><div class="first" id="idm140403141617680">This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (<a target="xrefwindow" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/" id="idm140403141484880">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/</a>) which permits unrestricted noncommercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.</div></div> </div> </div></div> <div id="before_abstract"></div> <div class="abstract-layer"> <h3 class="callout-title" id="__abstract" style="margin:15px 0 0 0;">Abstract</h3> <div class="abstract"> <p><div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403142102128"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> Objectives</h3> <div id="idm140403140918944">To investigate the accuracy and scientific validity of the current very low risk factor for hereditary diseases in humans following exposures to ionizing radiation adopted by the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation and the International Commission on Radiological Protection. The value is based on experiments on mice due to reportedly absent effects in the Japanese atomic bomb (Abomb) survivors.</div> </div><div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403141798880"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> Methods</h3> <div id="idm140403140814752">To review the published evidence for heritable effects after ionising radiation exposures particularly, but not restricted to, populations exposed to contamination from the Chernobyl accident and from atmospheric nuclear test fallout. To make a compilation of findings about early deaths, congenital malformations, Down’s syndrome, cancer and other genetic effects observed in humans after the exposure of the parents. To also examine more closely the evidence from the Japanese A-bomb epidemiology and discuss its scientific validity.</div> </div><div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403140858368"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> Results</h3> <div id="idm140403142926160">Nearly all types of hereditary defects were found at doses as low as one to 10 mSv. We discuss the clash between the current risk model and these observations on the basis of biological mechanism and assumptions about linear relationships between dose and effect in neonatal and foetal epidemiology. The evidence supports a dose response relationship which is non-linear and is either biphasic or supralinear (hogs-back) and largely either saturates or falls above 10 mSv.</div> </div><div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403139681472"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> Conclusions</h3> <div id="idm140403139418288">We conclude that the current risk model for heritable effects of radiation is unsafe. The dose response relationship is non-linear with the greatest effects at the lowest doses. Using Chernobyl data we derive an excess relative risk for all malformations of 1.0 per 10 mSv cumulative dose. The safety of the Japanese A-bomb epidemiology is argued to be both scientifically and philosophically questionable owing to errors in the choice of control groups, omission of internal exposure effects and assumptions about linear dose response.</div> </div></p> <p class="metadata-entry"><span class="generated"><b>Keywords</b>: </span><a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=4&amp;key=Congenital%20malformation">Congenital malformation</a>, <a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=4&amp;key=Down%C2%B4s%20syndrome">Down´s syndrome</a>, <a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=4&amp;key=Environmental%20radioactivity">Environmental radioactivity</a>, <a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=4&amp;key=Internal%20radiation">Internal radiation</a>, <a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=4&amp;key=Low%20level%20effects">Low level effects</a>, <a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=4&amp;key=Sex-ratio">Sex-ratio</a>, <a href="/articles/search_result.php?term=4&amp;key=Still%20birth">Still birth</a> </p> </div> </div> </div> <div id="article-body" class="body"> <div class="section" id="intro"> <a id="idm140403139827232"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">Introduction</h3> <div id="idm140403142955648">The most serious effects of ionizing radiation–hereditary defects in the descendants of exposed parents–had been already detected in the 1920s by Herman Joseph Muller. He exposed fruit flies–<i>drosophila</i>–to X-rays and found malformations and other disorders in the following generations. He concluded from his investigations that low dose exposure, and therefore even natural background radiation, is mutagenic and there is no harmless dose range for heritable effects or for cancer induction. His work was honoured by the Nobel Prize for medicine in 1946. In the 1950s Muller warned about the effects on the human genetic pool caused by the production of low level radioactive contamination from atmospheric tests [<a href="#b1-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb1">1</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403142634160">The International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) recently decreased its risk estimate for heritable damage in 2007 [<a href="#b2-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb2">2</a>,<a href="#b3-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb3">3</a>]. Its Detriment Adjusted Nominal Risk Coefficient for radiation heritable effects in an exposed population was reduced from the previous 1990 value of 1.3% Sv<sup>-1</sup> to 0.2% Sv<sup>-1</sup> a greater than 6-fold reduction. The ICRP approach is based on a linear relation between dose and end-point, measured as heritable disease at or before birth. Evidence and arguments which we will present suggest that this linear assumption is invalid and that the ICRP value is unsafe when applied to the chronic low dose internal exposure range.</div> <div id="idm140403139997680">The belief that heritable consequences of radiation were negligible followed from studies of the Japanese survivors of the atomic bomb (A-bomb) explosions in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945. The American-Japanese Institute in Hiroshima, Atomic Bomb Casualty Commission (ABCC), did not apparently find mutations in the descendants of the survivors. Therefore the ICRP derive its current risk figure from experiments in mice. The result corresponds to the evaluation by the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR committee) [<a href="#b4-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb4">4</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403142705712">We will show that the current model for genetic effects of exposure is unsound and we present a more realistic one based on data. We will begin by pointing to some serious problems with the ABCC studies of genetic effects in the A-bomb survivors. These may be classed under four Error Types.</div> <div id="idm140403142701344">Type 1. The dose response problem. For genetic damage, increasing dose will not linearly increase effects since at high doses there will be sterility or fetal loss [<a href="#b5-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb5">5</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403142003376">Type 2. The external/internal problem. The dose of interest is the energy delivered to the germ cells and their precursors. This may be much higher for internal radionuclides with affinity for DNA (strontium-90 [Sr-90], barium-140, uranium) [<a href="#b6-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb6">6</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403141921056">Type 3. The philosophical method problem. If data is interpreted though a particular scientific model, evidence which cannot fit the model will be ignored, dismissed or invisible [<a href="#b7-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb7">7</a>,<a href="#b8-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb8">8</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403142863488">Type 4. Bias in the analysis of or presentation of data from the ABCC results. There have been a number of serious criticisms of the ABCC and later studies of cancer effects. The genetic studies were criticised by De Bellefeuille [<a href="#b9-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb9">9</a>] who demonstrated the existence of significant genetic effects including sex-ratio and malformations which had been “lost” through the choice of analysis. However, De Bellefeuille’s observations were ignored by the risk agencies. The issue will be returned to in the discussion section.</div> <div id="idm140403142644464">Together these raise major doubts over the belief, expressed in ICRP103, Appendix B.2.01 [<a href="#b2-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb2">2</a>], that “Radiation induced heritable disease has not been demonstrated in human populations.”</div> <div id="idm140403142594640">Effects in populations exposed to Chernobyl fallout are excluded by the official committees, which claim that doses are too low to generate statistically observable increases (the philosophical method problem: Error Type 3). This, however, is certainly wrong, because we know from many studies of chromosome aberrations, either that the doses calculated by UNSCEAR are much too low or that there is an enhanced radiobiological effectiveness (RBE) in the type of internal exposures or chronic delivery received by the Chernobyl groups. In other words, the biological or genetic damage from unit internal dose e.g., from a radioactive atom bound to DNA is far greater than for the same dose delivered externally. This is Error Type 2: internal/external problem. The doses upon which the ICRP risks are based, either from humans or mice, are external doses. There are significant issues regarding the equivalence for causing genetic damage of internal and external dose calculations [<a href="#b6-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb6">6</a>]. Internal exposure to uranium by inhalation, for example, has been associated with significantly high genotoxicity resulting in anomalously high excess levels of chromosome damage and birth defects in a number of different groups [<a href="#b10-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb10">10</a>]. Uranium binds to DNA, a fact that has been known since the 1960s [<a href="#b11-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb11">11</a>-<a href="#b13-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb13">13</a>]. Other group II calcium mimics and DNA seekers include the nuclide Sr-90 which causes significant genetic effects [<a href="#b14-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb14">14</a>-<a href="#b17-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb17">17</a>]. All epidemiological studies of radiation and health which define risk factors have been subject of this Error Type 2: external/internal problem, and have generally also defined risk in terms of cumulative integrated equivalent dose, and so real effects have been ignored or dismissed, the Error Type 3: philosophical problem.</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403140706096"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">Findings in Children Born After the Chernobyl Accident and in Kazakhstan</h3> <div id="idm140403142145968">We previously published findings about fetal deaths, perinatal mortality and congenital malformations (CM) after Chernobyl [<a href="#b18-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb18">18</a>]. <a href="#t1-eht-31-e2016001" name="tableLink" class="tableClasst1">Table 1</a> shows results for CM after Chernobyl. These appeared not only in the area of the exploded reactor but also in Turkey, Bulgaria, Croatia, and Germany. Our criteria for inclusion of this evidence was originally to present only observations which disagreed with the current ICRP/UNSCEAR paradigm but following questions by a reviewer we include discussion of one of the few studies with contemporary data which claims to have shown that there were no measurable heritable effects [<a href="#b19-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb19">19</a>].</div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403142161248"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> The EUROCAT Europe-wide Study</h3> <div id="idm140403141829600">The study of Dolk and Nichols [<a href="#b19-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb19">19</a>] is widely cited as evidence for no effect. The authors examined Down’s syndrome, neural tube defects (NTD), microcephaly, hydrocephaly, anopthalmos and congenital cataract in 16 EUROCAT registers. There were 231401 births in the areas in 1986. The 16 registries were divided into three groups of high (200 to 800 μSv), medium (97 to 190 μSv) and low (29 to 55 μSv). Three comparison cohort periods were defined as E (conception May 1986), T (conception May 1986 to April 1987 contains E), and C (control: conception May 1987 to April 1989). Authors concluded “no evidence of a generalised detectable increase in the prevalence of congenital anomalies in the first month or first year following Chernobyl.” But the choice of the cohort periods for a study of “heritable effects” is interesting. On the basis of whole body monitoring results, genetic damage to the germ cells from internal exposures will have continued well into the control period C and damage will have been cumulative [<a href="#b44-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb44">44</a>]. We have reanalysed their data for combined NTD hydrocephaly, microcephaly and anopthalmia in all their exposure groups using their periods. A test of T vs. C cohorts showed a significant effect with odds ratio (OR) of 1.20 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02 to 1.4; <i>p</i>=0.014). This was apparent in the test of E vs. C though the numbers were smaller. However, there was no increasing monotonic relation between assumed “dose” category and effect and this clearly influenced the authors’ conclusions. This is the common response to the finding of high risks at low doses and represents a good example of the Error Type 1 referred to above. It appears that the results actually show an increased risk if we combine all the exposure levels.</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403141998704"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> Chernobyl Effects in Belarus</h3> <div id="idm140403141983200">Belarus received most contamination from Chernobyl. A central registry for CM existed from 1979 and rates of CM before and after the Chernobyl accident could thus be compared. A number of studies are listed in <a href="#t1-eht-31-e2016001" name="tableLink" class="tableClasst1">Table 1</a>. Comparison of legal abortuses in 1982 to 1985 and 1987 to 1994 showed combined CM increases of 81%, 49%, and 43% in regions of high (&gt;555 kBq/m<sup>2</sup>), medium (&gt;37 kBq/m<sup>2</sup>), and low (&lt;37 kBq/m<sup>2</sup>) contamination, the effect being significant at the 0.05 level in all three [<a href="#b22-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb22">22</a>]. The genetic origin is confirmed in those anomalies which are combined with a recognized mutation that is not present in either of the parents [<a href="#b18-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb18">18</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403141649984">A study [<a href="#b23-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb23">23</a>] confirmed the CM excess in the Strict Registration of Malformations System finding 86% increase in 1987 to 1996 vs. 1982 to 1985 (high contamination) and 59% (control regions) (<i>p</i>&lt;0.05). The same authors reported significant excess chromosome aberrations of dicentric and centric rings rates of 0.39±0.09% (n=91) in Gomel and Mogilev (&gt;555 kBq/m<sup>2</sup>) compared with a control region of Minsk, Grodno and Novopolotsk (&lt;37 kBq/m<sup>2</sup>) (n=118; CM=0.09±0.04) [<a href="#b23-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb23">23</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403141004176">To 2004 there was no decrease in these rates [<a href="#b45-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb45">45</a>]. The authors think these effects are genetically induced because it is not plausible that doses in pregnant females rose in the period of decreasing environmental contamination and decreasing food contamination after the accident. A Belarussian-Israeli group [<a href="#b46-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb46">46</a>] found the following increased polygenetic disease rates in children of Chernobyl- exposed parents: hematological diseases (6-fold), endocrine diseases (2-fold), diseases of digestive organs (1.7-fold).</div> <div id="idm140403139164000">A 1994 study compared Gomel (high exposure) with Vitebsk (presumed low exposure) for mortality in children zero to four finding absolute CM rates of 4.1% vs. 3%, respectively [<a href="#b24-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb24">24</a>]. Savchenko [<a href="#b25-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb25">25</a>] writing for the United Nations reported frequency of CM in regions of Gomel between 1982 to 1985 and 1987 to 1989 ranging from 170% in Dobrush to 680% in Chechersk.</div> <div id="idm140403139576304">Petrova et al. [<a href="#b27-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb27">27</a>] compared two high and two low contaminated regions of Belarus for a number of indicators of pregnancy outcome and child health. For CM, before and after Chernobyl increases for all CM were: Gomel 150%&gt;Mogilev 130%&gt;Brest 120%&gt;Vitebsk 110%, the rank of their contamination levels. Kulakov et al. [<a href="#b26-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb26">26</a>] examined 688 pregnancies and 7000 births in Chechersky (Gomel, Belarus) and Polessky (Kiev, Ukraine). Sharp reductions in birth rates in both regions after Chernobyl were ascribed partly to abortions. High perinatal mortality was ascribed partly to congenital malformations. Incidence increased by a factor of two following the accident for congenital heart disease, esophageal atresia, anencephaly, hydrocephaly and multiple malformations. Total number of neonatal disorders increased in Polessky (Ukraine) from 1983 to 1985 to 1986 to 1990 from 6.81 to 21.32 (313%) and in Chechersky from 5.15 to 10.49 [<a href="#b26-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb26">26</a>].</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403142809824"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> Chernobyl Effects in Ukraine</h3> <div id="idm140403141536624">The studies by Wertelecki and colleagues [<a href="#b29-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb29">29</a>,<a href="#b30-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb30">30</a>] were valuable for quantifying the effects. The Pripyat region of Ukraine on the border of Belarus was significantly contaminated. Populations are dependent on local produce. Internal contamination was quantified for two groups, a high and lower dose group by whole body monitoring for caesium-137 (Cs-137). In addition, local produce was analysed for both Cs-137 and the DNA seeking Sr-90. The Sr-90/Cs-137 ratio was between 0.5 and two, so Sr-90 (with its DNA affinity and anomalous RBE) represented a significant internal exposure.</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403141590272"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> Other Reports of Chernobyl Effects on Birth Defects; Soviet Nuclear Test Site</h3> <div id="idm140403139579984">Down´s syndrome as a certain genetic effect increased in several contaminated European countries [<a href="#b18-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb18">18</a>,<a href="#b48-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb48">48</a>]. An example is shown in <a href="#f1-eht-31-e2016001" name="figLink" class="figClassf1">Figure 1</a>. In West Berlin, which was a kind of closed island at that time, the geneticist Sperling registered a sharp and significant increase in cases exactly nine months after the accident, also in Belarus [<a href="#b49-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb49">49</a>]. UNSCEAR [<a href="#b4-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb4">4</a>,<a href="#b20-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb20">20</a>] dismissed these findings (and similar reports from Scotland and Sweden) on the basis that the doses were “below background.” The EUROCAT combined registry study [<a href="#b19-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb19">19</a>] did not find an increase in Down’s syndrome, neither in the authors’ analysis nor in our reanalysis. Other evidence is presented in <a href="#t1-eht-31-e2016001" name="tableLink" class="tableClasst1">Table 1</a> of increased CM rates after Chernobyl in Germany, Turkey, Croatia and Bulgaria [<a href="#b21-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb21">21</a>,<a href="#b32-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb32">32</a>-<a href="#b37-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb37">37</a>,<a href="#b50-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb50">50</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403140310880">Congenital effects were found near the former Soviet nuclear test site in Kazakhstan near Semipalatinsk. Sviatova et al. [<a href="#b51-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb51">51</a>] studied CM in three generations of inhabitants, investigating births between 1967 and 1997. They found significantly increased rates of CM combined, including Down’s syndrome, microcephaly and multiple malformations in the same individual.</div> </div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403140957776"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">Hereditary Effects in Children of Exposed Mothers</h3> <div id="idm140403142471856">If a population is exposed, genetic effects will occur in the gonads of mothers as well as of fathers. A German investigation of occupationally exposed females showed a 3.2-fold significant increase in congenital abnormalities, including malformations, in offspring [<a href="#b52-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb52">52</a>]. The authors interpret the effect as generated <i>in utero</i> but do not prove such a connection. In our opinion, this appears to be improbable given the short sensitive phase in pregnancy and the ban on pregnant females working in high risk environments.</div> <div id="idm140403138662416">The findings confirm early results in the Department of Medical Genetics of Montreal Children’s Hospital where the genetic effects of diagnostic X-rays were investigated [<a href="#b53-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb53">53</a>]. The author observed the offspring of mothers who had been treated in childhood for congenital hip dysplasia since 1925 and were X-rayed for several times in the pelvic region. The ovarian dose was estimated to lie between 60 mSv to 200 mSv. In 201 living births of these females there were 15 individuals with severe malformations and other congenital distortions or Down’s syndrome and 11 cases with other abnormalities (all congenital abnormalities 12.9%) while the control group showed less than half of this rate. The latter was chosen from a large group of descendants where the parents were unexposed siblings of the study group.</div> <div id="idm140403142946448">Taken together with other evidence from sex-ratio (discussed below) these studies indicate that hereditary effects exist in the children of exposed mothers.</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403139881168"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">Findings in the Descendants of Occupationally Exposed Men Including Nuclear Test Veterans</h3> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403140220240"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> Congenital Malformations</h3> <div id="idm140403142089536">Studies in children of exposed men where the mothers were not exposed will show definite hereditary effects. A compilation of results for CM in offspring of exposed fathers is given in <a href="#t2-eht-31-e2016001" name="tableLink" class="tableClasst2">Table 2</a>.</div> <div id="idm140403140100624">The anomalies seen in the descendants of Chernobyl liquidators (Nos. 5-7) also indicate unexpectedly high radiation sensitivity.</div> <div id="idm140403139776032">Three studies of nuclear test veterans have shown large increases in congenital effects in children and one study has found similar levels of congenital conditions in the grandchildren (Nos. 8-10). The British carried out nuclear weapon tests and activities in Australia (Maralinga) and Christmas Island in the Pacific between 1952 and 1967. More than 20000 young national servicemen and other military personnel were stationed at the test sites. The sites were contaminated with fission fallout and nanoparticles of uranium and plutonium from the weapons, tritium and carbon-14. Urquhart [<a href="#b61-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb61">61</a>] analysed data in children from 1147 veteran families. Two hundred and thirty-three out of them had illnesses or defects (cancer, malformations, mental retardation) that could have a genetic origin: one in five families. They registered a 7:1 rate of abnormal children conceived before the tests vs. those conceived after the tests.</div> <div id="idm140403142580784">Two further studies of the offspring of a group of veterans have been published. Roff [<a href="#b62-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb62">62</a>] carried out a questionnaire study of members of the British Nuclear Test Veteran Association (BNTVA) and reported excess rates of cardiovascular disorders, spina bifida, hydrocephalus and hip deformities. Busby and de Messieres [<a href="#b63-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb63">63</a>] examined a different sample of the BNTVA, employed controls and compared with the European EUROCAT rates. Based on 605 veteran children and 749 grandchildren compared with 311 control children and 408 control grandchildren there were significant excess levels of miscarriages, stillbirths, infant mortality and congenital illnesses in the veterans’ children relative both to control children and expected numbers. There were 105 miscarriages in veteran’s wives compared with 18 in controls (OR, 2.75; 95% CI, 1.56 to 4.91; <i>p</i>&lt;0.001). There were 16 stillbirths; three in controls (OR, 2.70; 95% CI, 0.73 to 11.72; <i>p</i>=0.13). Perinatal mortality OR was 4.3 (95% CI, 1.22 to 17.9; <i>p</i>=0.01) on 25 deaths in veteran children. Fifty-seven veteran children had congenital conditions vs. three control children (OR, 9.77; 95% CI, 2.92 to 39.3; <i>p</i>&lt;0.001) these rates being also about eight times those expected on the basis of UK EUROCAT data for 1980 to 2000. For grandchildren similar levels of congenital illness were reported with 46 veteran grandchildren compared with three controls (OR, 8.35; 95% CI, 2.48 to 33.8; <i>p</i>&lt;0.001).</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403138844128"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="section-title"> Cancer and Leukemia</h3> <div id="idm140403140682832">In 1984, an exceptionally high level of leukaemia cases in children and juveniles was reported in Seascale, near the nuclear reprocessing plant in Sellafield in Cumbria, UK. The authors explained this as a hereditary effect, because the fathers of the patients had worked in the plant [<a href="#b64-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb64">64</a>]. The authorities argued that the doses were too low. The effect, however, had been described in principle already in experimental studies [<a href="#b65-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb65">65</a>], and also after X-ray diagnostic exposures (<a href="#t3-eht-31-e2016001" name="tableLink" class="tableClasst3">Table 3</a>). A significant number of other child leukemia and cancer studies have been carried out and are listed in <a href="#t3-eht-31-e2016001" name="tableLink" class="tableClasst3">Table 3</a>.</div> <div id="idm140403142599392">The research of Hicks et al. [<a href="#b66-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb66">66</a>] concerned exposed servicemen (<a href="#t3-eht-31-e2016001" name="tableLink" class="tableClasst3">Table 3</a>). McKinney et al. [<a href="#b67-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb67">67</a>] found a 3.2-fold increase in leukaemia and lymphomas in children of occupationally exposed men in three British regions in a case-control study.</div> </div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403141985152"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">Sex-ratio and X-linked Lethal Factors</h3> <div id="idm140403142751568">Normally, it is not possible to study how many inseminated oocytes (zygotes) will be aborted after irradiation of the gonadal cells in humans. But it is observed that males who were exposed have fewer daughters than sons i.e., the male/female sex-ratio increases with dose.</div> <div id="idm140403139828176">Gene mutations may be responsible for the death of the zygote and will also occur in the sex chromosomes where they will predominantly affect the greater X-chromosome which can only be transmitted to a daughter. A dominant lethal factor will then lead to the death of the female zygote. Recessive lethal factors in the X-chromosome are much more frequent than dominant ones [<a href="#b74-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb74">74</a>]. They affect only female births.</div> <div id="idm140403139039296">An impressive result was obtained in workers of the British nuclear fuel reprocessing plant at Sellafield in West Cumbria [<a href="#b75-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb75">75</a>]. The county sex-ratio was 1055 boys/1000 girls, the normal value. For the children of fathers employed at Sellafield the ratio was 1094. For those with recorded doses greater than 10 mSv in the 90 days preconception period it was 1396, significant at the <i>p</i>&lt;0.01 level. A similar effect was detected in cardiologists, who undertook interventional angiographic procedures involving X-ray exposures [<a href="#b76-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb76">76</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403139630992">Scherb and Voigt studied different groups of inhabitants in a variety of countries after the Chernobyl accident for hereditary effects and found radiation-induced foetal deaths and early mortality, Down’s syndrome and alterations of the birth sex-ratio. They examined nuclear tests above ground which affected US inhabitants, Chernobyl emissions in Europe, and those living near German and Swiss nuclear plants. Results showed significant reduction in the female birth rate in all these [<a href="#b77-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb77">77</a>,<a href="#b78-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb78">78</a>].</div> <div id="idm140403139604960">The ABCC studies overall involve all the types of research error listed in the introduction, which we believe is the explanation for the failure to see excess heritable damage. The main problem was choice of controls. The sex-ratio studies were abandoned due to seemingly anomalous effects. De Bellefeuille [<a href="#b9-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb9">9</a>] re-examined the issue in 1961 and found that results were biased by employing sex-ratios of children of parents who had both been exposed. Any effects, being in opposite directions, would therefore cancel out; his re-analysis based on children with only one exposed parent showed a clear effect in the expected direction. Padmanabhan [<a href="#b79-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb79">79</a>] recently re-examined the issue using the original controls (abandoned by ABCC). Using the two not in city (NIC) groups Padmanabhan showed significant sex-ratio effects in the expected directions.</div> <div id="idm140403140903696">Sex-ratio is a very relevant parameter. It shows that genetic alterations are induced in the germ cells of males by very low doses, and it proves to be a sensitive indicator for exposures of the population.</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403140656352"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">Atmospheric Weapons test Fallout</h3> <div id="idm140403140686688">The most significant global incident in terms of human exposure has been the atmospheric nuclear testing fallout which peaked between 1959 and 1963. It was this testing which worried Muller [<a href="#b1-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb1">1</a>]. The tests increased the rates of neonatal and infant mortality in the US and the UK [<a href="#b80-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb80">80</a>,<a href="#b81-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb81">81</a>]. An interesting insight comes from a Canadian study of CM during the fallout period. le Vann [<a href="#b82-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb82">82</a>] was concerned to examine the link between congenital malformation and the use of the drug thalidomide. He found that in Alberta there was no relation between the use of thalidomide and congenital birth outcomes but noted a strong association with precipitation; areas with high radioactive fallout had high levels of birth defects. Whilst we are not alleging that thalidomide does not have teratogenic effects, since many females in the le Vann study who never took any drugs gave birth to the typical “thalidomide spectrum” babies it seems that exposure to the fallout may have, as Muller [<a href="#b1-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb1">1</a>] feared, have caused an effect. Ignoring this and the infant mortality findings involved a Error Type 3.</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403140597472"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">Genetic vs. Genomic, Mendelian vs. <i>In Utero</i> </h3> <div id="idm140403143047312">We have not distinguished between Mendelian genetic effects involving the transfer of specific gene mutations to the offspring and effects consequent upon the operation of genomic instability, whereby the offspring inherit a tendency to apparently increase rates of all mutation above the normal rate for that population [<a href="#b83-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb83">83</a>]. For the purposes of the arguments relating to radiation risk of harmful heritable conditions in the first generation such a discussion is unnecessary but needs to be revisited if multi-generational effects are being discussed. The question of germ cell damage in parents vs. <i>in utero</i> damage to development, though important, seems to us to be beside the point. All these CM effects are caused by mutation of DNA whether in the parental germ cells and precursors or from implantation to birth. Our aim is to assess the genetic risk based on observations. However, from the sex-ratio results it would seem that parental exposure is a dominant cause of radiation induced CM.</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403140924016"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">How Is It That the ICRP Risk Coefficient Is Wrong?</h3> <div id="idm140403140344000">A reviewer asked us to address this question and to provide a brief account of biological mechanism. We begin with mechanism. The ICRP risk model is based on two big ideas: absorbeddose, which is average energy per unit mass of tissue, and the linear no threshold (LNT) response. For internal exposure to substances like Sr-90 and uranium, which both have high affinity for DNA, the concept of dose is meaningless [loc.cit. 6,10]. For CM as an outcome, it is also clear that the LNT model is unsustainable [<a href="#b5-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb5">5</a>], because as the “dose” is increased from zero there are many blocks to the successful journey from germ cell to infant, the CM end point. Biological plausibility would predict an increase in damage and thus CM at very low dose, followed by a drop in CM due to failure to implant, early miscarriage, abortion. This would result in a saturation or “hogs-back” dose response in the lowest dose region. Only the survivors would make it to be registered as CM. The dose response would look like that in <a href="#f2-eht-31-e2016001" name="figLink" class="figClassf2">Figure 2</a> where A is the initial outcome and B is where the foetus dies or there is no implantation. The region C would relate to <i>in utero</i> effects later in gestation. There would be a fall in birth rate associated with region B and C; there usually is. You can see this effect most clearly in the EUROCAT studies where relative risk rises and then falls as dose increases [<a href="#b19-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb19">19</a>]. It is perfectly clear in many other studies. It is clear in in analysis of infant leukemia after Chernobyl in 5 countries shown in <a href="#f3-eht-31-e2016001" name="figLink" class="figClassf3">Figure 3</a> [<a href="#b84-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb84">84</a>] and the study of cleft palate in Bavaria [<a href="#b38-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb38">38</a>,<a href="#b39-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb39">39</a>] analysed by Korblein [<a href="#b40-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb40">40</a>].</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403139595168"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">What Is the Correct Risk Coefficient?</h3> <div id="idm140403141601776">The Chernobyl studies presented in <a href="#t1-eht-31-e2016001" name="tableLink" class="tableClasst1">Table 1</a> may be used to obtain an approximate risk factor for all CM in those exposed to fission spectrum radionuclides as assessed by Cs-137 area contamination. We can employ the data from Wertelecki et al. [<a href="#b30-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb30">30</a>] on internal contamination to assess doses from Cs-137 and Sr- 90. The excess relative risk (ERR) for all CM follows a “hogsback” shaped response and is about 0.5 per mSv at 1 mSv saturating at between 0.1 to 0.2 per mSv at 10 mSv based on cumulative dose as assessed by ICRP models using Cs-137 area contamination as a basis of calculations. This means that the background rate will double or treble up to 10 mSv exposure and thereafter flatten out or fall. But it also results in a 50% excess risk at doses as low as 1 mSv. This ERR and dose response model accommodates all the observational data from Chernobyl and also elsewhere. We must make it clear that this model is for mixed internal and external exposure to fission product contamination doses as employed by UN agencies and may not necessarily apply to pure external exposures (e.g., X-rays, gamma- rays). However, it should be noted that Stewart’s finding of a 40% excess risk of childhood leukemia after a 10 mSv obstetric X-ray dose [<a href="#b71-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb71">71</a>] is comparable with what is found at these higher doses in this review.</div> </div> <div class="section" id=""> <a id="idm140403142706800"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">Conclusion</h3> <div id="idm140403142463568">Genetically induced malformations, cancers, and numerous other health effects in the children of populations who were exposed to low doses of ionizing radiation have been unequivocally demonstrated in scientific investigations. Using data from Chernobyl effects we find a new ERR for CM of 0.5 per mSv at 1 mSv falling to 0.1 per mSv at 10 mSv exposure and thereafter remaining roughly constant. This is for mixed fission products as defined though external exposure to Cs-137. Results show that current radiation risk models fail to predict or explain the many observations and should be abandoned. Further research and analysis of previous data is suggested, but prior assumptions of linear dose response, assumptions that internal exposures can be modelled using external risk factors, that chronic and acute exposures give comparable risks and finally dependence on interpretations of the high dose ABCC studies are all seen to be unsafe procedures.</div> </div> </div> <div id="article-back" class="back"> <div class="back-section"> <a id="idm140403142219936"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS</h3> <div class="first" id="idm140403142592576">We are grateful to Marvin Resnikoff and Rick Haaker for running the Microshield program for dose rates over contaminated areas.</div> </div> <div class="back-section"> <a id="idm140403141295120"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">Conflict of interest</h3> <div class="first" id="idm140403140712976">The authors have no conflicts of interest associated with material presented in this paper.</div> </div> <div class="back-section"> <a id="idm140403140708608"><!-- named anchor --></a><div class="section ref-list"> <a id="idm140403140708608"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title">References</h3> <div class="ref-list table"> <div id="b1-eht-31-e2016001" name="jats-ref-pub" class="ref_layer">1. 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The human sex odds at birth after the atmospheric atomic bomb tests, after Chernobyl, and in the vicinity of nuclear facilities. Environ Sci Pollut Res Int 2011;18(5):697-707.<br/> <a href='https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-011-0462-z' target='_blank'><img src='/image/icon/bnr_ref_cross.gif' alt='crossref' border='0'/></a> <a href='http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21336635' target='_blank'><img src='/image/icon/bnr_ref_pmid.gif' alt='pmid' border='0'/></a> <br/></div> <div id="b79-eht-31-e2016001" name="jats-ref-pub" class="ref_layer">79. Padmanabhan VT. Sex ratio in A-bomb survivors. Evidence of radiation induced X-linked lethal mutations. In: Busby C, Busby J, Rietuma D, de Messieres M, editors. Fukushima and health: what to expect. Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference for the European Committee on Radiation Risk. 2009 May 5-6; Lesvos, Greece. Aberystwyth: Green Audit: 2012, p.273-304.<br/><br/></div> <div id="b80-eht-31-e2016001" name="jats-ref-pub" class="ref_layer">80. Sternglass EJ. Environmental radiation and human health. In: In: LeCam LM, Neyman J, Scott EL, editors. Proceedings of the Sixth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability. 1971 Jul 19-22; Berkeley, CA, USA. Berkeley: University of Calififornia Press: 1971, p.145-221.<br/><br/></div> <div id="b81-eht-31-e2016001" name="jats-ref-pub" class="ref_layer">81. Whyte RK. First day neonatal mortality since 1935: re-examination of the Cross hypothesis. BMJ 1992;304(6823):343-346.<br/> <a href='https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.304.6823.343' target='_blank'><img src='/image/icon/bnr_ref_cross.gif' alt='crossref' border='0'/></a> <br/></div> <div id="b82-eht-31-e2016001" name="jats-ref-pub" class="ref_layer">82. le Vann LJ. Congenital abnormalities in children born in Alberta during 1961: a survey and a hypothesis. Can Med Assoc J 1963;89(3):120-126.<br/> <a href='http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20327618' target='_blank'><img src='/image/icon/bnr_ref_pmid.gif' alt='pmid' border='0'/></a> <a href='http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/1921458' target='_blank'><img src='/image/icon/bnr_ref_PMC.gif' alt='pmc' border='0'/></a> <br/></div> <div id="b83-eht-31-e2016001" name="jats-ref-pub" class="ref_layer">83. Baverstock K, Belyakov OV. Some important questions connected with non-targeted effects. Mutat Res 2010.<br/> <a href='https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mrfmmm.2010.01.002' target='_blank'><img src='/image/icon/bnr_ref_cross.gif' alt='crossref' border='0'/></a> <br/></div> <div id="b84-eht-31-e2016001" name="jats-ref-pub" class="ref_layer">84. Busby CC. Very low dose fetal exposure to Chernobyl contamination resulted in increases in infant leukemia in Europe and raises questions about current radiation risk models. Int J Environ Res Public Health 2009;6(12):3105-3114.<br/> <a href='https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph6123105' target='_blank'><img src='/image/icon/bnr_ref_cross.gif' alt='crossref' border='0'/></a> <a href='http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20049249' target='_blank'><img src='/image/icon/bnr_ref_pmid.gif' alt='pmid' border='0'/></a> <a href='http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/2800337' target='_blank'><img src='/image/icon/bnr_ref_PMC.gif' alt='pmc' border='0'/></a> <br/></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="section" id="display-objects"> <a id="idm140403136683840"><!-- named anchor --></a><h3 class="main-title"></h3> <div class="fig panel" style="display: float; clear: both; width: 740px; overflow: auto;"> <h5 class="label" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0px;">Figure 1.</h5> <a id="f1-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><div class="caption"><div class="first" id="idm140403136681328">Down’s syndrome before and after the Chernobyl accident (A) West Berlin and (B) Belarus. From Scherb H, et al. Naturwiss Rundsch 2011;64(5):229-239, with permission from Stuttgart [<a href="#b47-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb47">47</a>].</div></div> <img alt="eht-31-e2016001f1.gif" width="100%" src="/upload//thumbnails/eht-31-e2016001f1.gif"> </div> <div class="fig panel" style="display: float; clear: both; width: 740px; overflow: auto;"> <h5 class="label" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0px;">Figure 2.</h5> <a id="f2-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><div class="caption"><div class="first" id="idm140403136677568">Regions of interest in a theoretically predicted dose response relation (see text and ECRR 2010). Exactly this dose response is seen in infant leukemia rates after Chernobyl in Greece, Germany (three dose regions) Wales, Scotland and Belarus [<a href="#b84-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb84">84</a>]. From Busby C. Aspects of DNA damage from internal radionuclides; 2013 [<a href="#b6-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb6">6</a>]. <sup>a</sup>Q is the background cancer rate in the population at background radiation levels, the position where the graph starts.</div></div> <img alt="eht-31-e2016001f2.gif" width="100%" src="/upload//thumbnails/eht-31-e2016001f2.gif"> </div> <div class="fig panel" style="display: float; clear: both; width: 740px; overflow: auto;"> <h5 class="label" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0px;">Figure 3.</h5> <a id="f3-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><div class="caption"><div class="first" id="idm140403136672016">Dose response for infant leukemia in the countries examined in meta-analysis of five reports in Busby 2009 [<a href="#b84-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb84">84</a>] (UK data from Childhood Cancer Research Group Oxford). Effect is fractional excess relative risk, and dose is given by UK National Radiological Protection Board in mSv.</div></div> <img alt="eht-31-e2016001f3.gif" width="100%" src="/upload//thumbnails/eht-31-e2016001f3.gif"> </div> <div class="table-wrap panel" style="display: float; clear: both; width: 740px; overflow: auto;"> <h5 class="label" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0px;">Table 1.</h5> <a id="t1-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><div class="caption"><div class="first" id="idm140403136668000">Increase of congenital malformations after exposure by the Chernobyl accident</div></div> <table rules="groups" frame="hsides"> <a id="idm140403136667456"><!-- named anchor --></a><thead> <a id="idm140403136666528"><!-- named anchor --></a><tr> <a id="idm140403136666208"><!-- named anchor --></a><th valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136665888"><!-- named anchor --></a>Country and region</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136665104"><!-- named anchor --></a>Study</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136664016"><!-- named anchor --></a>Details</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136662928"><!-- named anchor --></a>Estimated dosesa 1 yr (mSv) adult</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136661824"><!-- named anchor --></a>Reference</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <a id="idm140403136660416"><!-- named anchor --></a><tr> <a id="idm140403136660096"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136659776"><!-- named anchor --></a>Europe wide</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136658992"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136658368"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136657744"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136657120"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136656336"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136656016"><!-- named anchor --></a> UNSCEAR</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136654928"><!-- named anchor --></a>Review</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136654144"><!-- named anchor --></a>Concludes: “conflicting results"; “no changes in birth defects could be related to ionizing radiation" mainly on basis of a lack of biological gradient</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136653216"><!-- named anchor --></a>Nationwide 1 yr doses: 0.2-10 mSv</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136652416"><!-- named anchor --></a>UNSCEAR 2000 [<a href="#b4-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb4">4</a>];</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136650384"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136650064"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136649440"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136648816"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136648192"><!-- named anchor --></a>Mainly based on external Cs-137</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136647392"><!-- named anchor --></a>UNSCEAR 2006 [<a href="#b20-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb20">20</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136645360"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136645040"><!-- named anchor --></a>Review by Little</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136644256"><!-- named anchor --></a>Review</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136643472"><!-- named anchor --></a>Largely as above</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136642688"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136642064"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136641280"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136640960"><!-- named anchor --></a> EUROCAT study 16 regions of Europe</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136639856"><!-- named anchor --></a>16 EUROCAT registries: Down’s syndrome, NTD, hydrocephaly, microcephaly, arhinecephaly, an/micropthalmia, congenital cataract</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136638960"><!-- named anchor --></a>3 Cohort periods; 231401 births in 1986; authors concluded no effect apparent; but examination of data presented shows excess risk for all but Down’s syndrome in both assumed exposed cohorts relative to assumed non-exposed cohort; for 1987 vs. 1988/1989 OR 1.2 (95% Cl, 1.02-1.4),<i>p</i>&lt;0.05; see text<b> </b> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136637104"><!-- named anchor --></a>High<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a>: 0.2-0.7 mSv, medium<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a>: 0.1-0.2 mSv, low<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a>: 0.03-0.06 mSv</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136632576"><!-- named anchor --></a>Dolket al. 1999 [<a href="#b19-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb19">19</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136630544"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136630224"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136629600"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136628976"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136628352"><!-- named anchor --></a>External Cs-137</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136627568"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136626784"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136626464"><!-- named anchor --></a> Review by Hoffmann</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136625376"><!-- named anchor --></a>Down’s syndrome, NTD, cleft palate, other malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136624544"><!-- named anchor --></a>Review of studies from Turkey, Bulgaria, Croatia, Germany, Belarus, Finland, Norway, EUROCAT registries; guestions established risk coefficients and linear dose response on basis of observations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136623584"><!-- named anchor --></a>0.1-0.5 mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136621712"><!-- named anchor --></a>Hoffmann 2001 [<a href="#b21-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb21">21</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136619680"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136619360"><!-- named anchor --></a>Belarus</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136618576"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136617952"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136617328"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136616704"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136615920"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136615600"><!-- named anchor --></a>National Genetic</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136614816"><!-- named anchor --></a>Anencephaly, spina bifida, cleft lip and/or palate, polydactyly, limb reduction defects, esophageal atresia, anorectal atresia, Down’s syndrome, multiple malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136613872"><!-- named anchor --></a>1. Pathologies of legal medical abortuses</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136613056"><!-- named anchor --></a>Based on Cs-137 area contamination 1 yr external dose<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a>,<a href="#tfn4-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn4"><sup>c</sup></a> is: 6.7 mSvat555 kBq/m<sup>2</sup> 0.44 mSv at 37 kBq/m<sup>2</sup> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136608784"><!-- named anchor --></a>Lazjuk et al. 1997 [<a href="#b22-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb22">22</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136606752"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136606432"><!-- named anchor --></a> Monitoring Registry</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136605344"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136604720"><!-- named anchor --></a>Total congenital malformation increase 1987-1994 vs. 1982-1985 in three regions defined by Cs-137 contamination; &gt;555 kBq/m<sup>2</sup>=81%, n=151- 381, <i>p</i>&lt;0.05</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136602864"><!-- named anchor --></a>Internal Cs-137 annual adult dose on basis of Polissia highest contamination area</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136602016"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136601232"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136600912"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136600288"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136599664"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136599040"><!-- named anchor --></a>Wertelecki is 1 mSv Cs-137 and 2 mSv Sr-90 (ICRP 72 ingestion)</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136598208"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136597424"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136597104"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136596480"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136595856"><!-- named anchor --></a>&gt;37 kBq/m<sup>2</sup>=49%, n=899-2180, <i>p</i>&lt;0.05 </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136594112"><!-- named anchor --></a>UN estimates 2 mSv first year dose for all Belarus</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136593296"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136592512"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136592192"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136591568"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136590944"><!-- named anchor --></a>Control &lt;37 kBq/m<sup>2</sup>=43%; n=255-649, <i>p</i>&lt;0.05</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136589200"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136588576"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136587792"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136587472"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136586848"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136586224"><!-- named anchor --></a>Excluded teratogenic effects; cannot exclude selection bias as analysis of unreportable abortuses not possible; Down’s syndrome increase in lower dose regions not high dose region</td> <td valign="middle"><a id="idm140403136585280"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136584656"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136583872"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136583552"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136582928"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136582304"><!-- named anchor --></a>2. Congenital malformation in neonates</td> <td valign="middle"><a id="idm140403136581504"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136580880"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136580096"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136579776"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136579152"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136578528"><!-- named anchor --></a>Whole of Belarus; increase in frequency of congenital malformation from 12.5/1000 in 1985 to 17.7 /1000 in 1994; increasing risks stabilized by abortions at upper level due to State intervention program</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136577552"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136576928"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136576144"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136575824"><!-- named anchor --></a>National Genetic</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136575040"><!-- named anchor --></a>1. Chromosome aberrations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136574240"><!-- named anchor --></a>1. 1986-1988 mean Dicentric and Ring chromosome anomaly (CA)</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136573408"><!-- named anchor --></a>As above</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136572624"><!-- named anchor --></a>Feshchenko et al. 2002 [<a href="#b23-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb23">23</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136570576"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136570256"><!-- named anchor --></a> Monitoring Registry</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136569168"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136568544"><!-- named anchor --></a>Contaminated region (Gomel and Mogilev) n=91; CA=0.39+-0.09%; (&gt;555 kBq/m<sup>2</sup>)</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136567216"><!-- named anchor --></a>Total annual effective dose<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a>,<a href="#tfn4-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn4"><sup>c</sup></a> is less than 10 mSv</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136563920"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136563136"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136562816"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136562192"><!-- named anchor --></a>2. Strict Registration of Malformations System</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136561376"><!-- named anchor --></a>Control region (Minsk, Grodno, Novopolotsk) n=118; CA = 0.09+-0.04</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136560544"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136559920"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136559136"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136558816"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136558192"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136557568"><!-- named anchor --></a>2. Human embryos aborted foetus</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136556768"><!-- named anchor --></a>Dose to ovaries is the same as effective dose</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136555952"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136555168"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136554848"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136554224"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136553600"><!-- named anchor --></a>Same list of malformations as a Lazjuk; increase rate 1982-1985 to 1987-1996 is 86% in contaminated regions and 59% in control regions, <i>p</i>&lt;0.05, n=617 in high dose region, 1104 in control region</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136552160"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136551536"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136550752"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136550432"><!-- named anchor --></a>Highly exposed region of Gomel</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136549632"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136548832"><!-- named anchor --></a>1. Mortality in children 0-4 High exposure Gomel vs. low exposure Vitebsk 1994; absolute rates Gomel 4.1% vs. Vitebsk 3%</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136547936"><!-- named anchor --></a>Annual doses<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a>,<a href="#tfn4-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn4"><sup>c</sup></a> not more than 10 mSv in highest area based on whole body monitoring presented in Wertelecki</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136544576"><!-- named anchor --></a>Bogdanovich 1997 [<a href="#b24-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb24">24</a>]; Savchenko 1995 [<a href="#b25-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb25">25</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136541456"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136541136"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136540512"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136539888"><!-- named anchor --></a>2. “Frequency of CM reflects environmental pollution level"</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136539056"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136538432"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136537648"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136537328"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136536704"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136536080"><!-- named anchor --></a>Increased frequency of malformations per 1000 births in Gomel contaminated territories 1982-1985 to 1987-1989:</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136535200"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136534576"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136533792"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136533472"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136532848"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136532224"><!-- named anchor --></a>Vetka 560%, Dobrush 170%, Khoiniki 230%, Chechersk 680%, and Elsk 200%; all Belarus less the contaminated areas 120%</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136531344"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136530720"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136529936"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136529616"><!-- named anchor --></a>Chechersky district (Gomel)</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136528816"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136528016"><!-- named anchor --></a>Investigation of 688 pregnancies and 7000 births in Chechersky (Gomel, Belarus) and Polessky (Kiev, Ukraine); sharp reductions in birth rates in both regions after Chernobyl ascribed partly to abortions; high perinatal mortality ascribed partly to congenital malformations; “incidence increased by a factor of 2 following the accident"; congenital heart disease, esophageal atresia, anencephaly, hydrocephaly and multiple malformations; total number of neonatal disorders increase in Plessky from 1983-1985 to 1986-1990 from 6.81 to 21.32 (313%) and in Chechersky from 5.15 to 10.49; no statistical data given</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136526640"><!-- named anchor --></a>Annual doses<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a>,<a href="#tfn4-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn4"><sup>c</sup></a> estimated at not more than 10 mSv</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136523344"><!-- named anchor --></a>Kulakov et al. 1993 [<a href="#b26-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb26">26</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136521312"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136520992"><!-- named anchor --></a> Mogilev Region</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136519904"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136519104"><!-- named anchor --></a>Retrospective analysis of all pregnanciesl 981 -1993 in high exposed Mogilev and Gomel vs. low exposed Brest and Vitebsk; excess CM in high exposure areas relative low exposure areas; CM rates increased before vs after: Gomel 150%, Mogilev 130%, Brest 120%, and Vitebsk 110% in rank of contamination; no statistical analysis</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136518016"><!-- named anchor --></a>Annual doses<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a>,<a href="#tfn4-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn4"><sup>c</sup></a> less than Gomel, perhaps 8 mSv in Mogilev, 3 mSv Brest, 1 mSv Vitebsk based on Belarus definition of normal Cs-137 in body</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136514624"><!-- named anchor --></a>Petrova et al. 1997 [<a href="#b27-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb27">27</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136512592"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136512272"><!-- named anchor --></a> Brest region </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136511184"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136510384"><!-- named anchor --></a>See above</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136509600"><!-- named anchor --></a>See above</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136508816"><!-- named anchor --></a>Shidlovskii et al. 1992 [<a href="#b28-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb28">28</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136506768"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136506448"><!-- named anchor --></a>Ukraine</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136505664"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136505040"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136504416"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136503792"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136503008"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136502688"><!-- named anchor --></a> Polissia region (Rivne)</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136501584"><!-- named anchor --></a>8 Core EUROCAT defined malformations. Polissia vs.non-Polissiawith whole body monitoring 2000-2009</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136500720"><!-- named anchor --></a>Polissia is region of Chernobyl contaminated Pripyat marshes; study of EUROCAT defined core malformations between two regions with whole body monitoring Cs-137 levels of Polissia 557 kBg, non-Polissia 155 kBg, 145437 live births; for 2000-2004 rates per 1000 births, NTD OR 1.59 (<i>p</i>&lt;0.001), microcephaly OR 1.85 (<i>p</i>=0.01), micropthalmos OR 3.03 (<i>p</i>&lt;0.05)</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136498192"><!-- named anchor --></a>Key study for assessing risk coefficient External cumulative doses<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a> by 2000 will have been 12 yr of 6.7 mSv=80 mSv in high dose area and 22 mSv in low dose area</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136496032"><!-- named anchor --></a>Wertelecki et al. 2010, 2014 [<a href="#b29-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb29">29</a>,<a href="#b30-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb30">30</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136492896"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136492576"><!-- named anchor --></a> </td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136491488"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136490864"><!-- named anchor --></a>See text for discussion</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136490080"><!-- named anchor --></a>Internal cumulative doses<a href="#tfn4-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn4"><sup>c</sup></a> 36 mSv and 10 mSv</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136488032"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136487248"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136486928"><!-- named anchor --></a> </td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136485840"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136485216"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136484592"><!-- named anchor --></a>Total<a href="#tfn2-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn2"><sup>a</sup></a>,<a href="#tfn4-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn4"><sup>c</sup></a> high 90 mSv; low 32 mSv</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136481296"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136480512"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136480192"><!-- named anchor --></a> Polessky region (Kiev)</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136479088"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136478288"><!-- named anchor --></a>See Chechersky above</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136477504"><!-- named anchor --></a>See above</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136476720"><!-- named anchor --></a>Kulakov et al. 1993 [<a href="#b26-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb26">26</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136474688"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136474368"><!-- named anchor --></a> Lugyny region</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136473280"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital malformations</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136472480"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136471856"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136471232"><!-- named anchor --></a>Godlevsky et al. 1998 [<a href="#b31-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb31">31</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136469200"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136468880"><!-- named anchor --></a>Turkey</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136468096"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136467472"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136466848"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136466224"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136465440"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136465120"><!-- named anchor --></a> Bursa region</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136464032"><!-- named anchor --></a>Anencephaly, spina bifida</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136463232"><!-- named anchor --></a>Population of 90000 persons in Bursa region; rates increased from 1.7 to 9.2 NTD per 1000 births before Chernobyl to 20 in the first 6 mo of 1987 (n=12); most pronounced for anencephalus which increased 5-fold (n=6)</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136462256"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.5mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136460384"><!-- named anchor --></a>Akar et al. 1989 [<a href="#b32-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb32">32</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136458352"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136458032"><!-- named anchor --></a> Aegean Turkey; Izmir</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136456944"><!-- named anchor --></a>Anencephaly, spina bifida</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136456144"><!-- named anchor --></a>19115 Births in Izmir hospital Jun 1986-Jul 1988 rate of NTD before Chernobyl=1.9 per 1000 births; in May, Jun, Jul increased to 8.9 per 1000 births and subseguently returned to normal in 9 mo</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136455184"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.5mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136453312"><!-- named anchor --></a>Caglayan et al. 1989 [<a href="#b33-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb33">33</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136451280"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136450960"><!-- named anchor --></a> Eastern Turkey; Elazig</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136449856"><!-- named anchor --></a>Anencephaly, spina bifida</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136449056"><!-- named anchor --></a>Prospective study 1985-1990, 5240 births rate prior to Chernobyl of NTD plus anencephaly 1.7 per 1000 (1.5 anencephaly); following Chernobyl became 6.9 per 1000 (5.5 anencephaly); peaked at 12.4 (8.9) in 1988 falling to 5.6 (4.2) in 1990</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136448048"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.5mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136446176"><!-- named anchor --></a>Giivenc et al. 1993 [<a href="#b34-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb34">34</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136444144"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136443824"><!-- named anchor --></a> Eastern Black Sea region Ankara</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136442720"><!-- named anchor --></a>Anencephaly, spina bifida</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136441920"><!-- named anchor --></a>40997 Births; 1981-1986 NTD rates for NTD 2.12 per 1000 births and anencephaly 1.29 per 1000 births; after Chernobyl=4.39 and 2.46, <i>p</i>=0.0001 and 0.005, respectively</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136440528"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.5mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136438656"><!-- named anchor --></a>Mocan et al. 1990 [<a href="#b35-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb35">35</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136436624"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136436304"><!-- named anchor --></a>Bulgaria</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136435520"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136434896"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136434272"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136433648"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136432864"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136432544"><!-- named anchor --></a> Pleven region</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136431456"><!-- named anchor --></a>Malformation of heart and central nervous system, multiple malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136430608"><!-- named anchor --></a>“Significant increases after Chernobyl" guoted in Hoffmann 2001; no details of numbers</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136429744"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.8mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136427872"><!-- named anchor --></a>Moumdjievet al. 1992 [<a href="#b36-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb36">36</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136425840"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136425520"><!-- named anchor --></a> Croatia</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136424432"><!-- named anchor --></a>Malformations by autopsy of stillbirth and neonatal death (perinatal)</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136423600"><!-- named anchor --></a>3451 Perinatal autopsies at Zagreb Hospital; “increased freguencies in post-Chernobyl period"; no statistical data</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136422720"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.5 mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136420848"><!-- named anchor --></a>Kruslin et al. 1998 [<a href="#b37-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb37">37</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136418816"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136418496"><!-- named anchor --></a>Germany</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136417712"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136417088"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136416464"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136415840"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136415056"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136414736"><!-- named anchor --></a> German Democratic Republic</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136413632"><!-- named anchor --></a>CLP</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136412848"><!-- named anchor --></a>Influence of radiation levels on CLP in newborns in former GDR 1980-1989; significant prevalence increase found in 1983 (F1 weapons fallout?) 1987 and 1988; 1987 showed an increase of 9.4% over mean rate since 1980; effect highest in areas with highest Cs-137 and Sr-90; all increases significant at the 5% level; levels of Cs-137 in Berlin measured at 6 kBg/m<sup>2</sup> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136411392"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.3 mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136409520"><!-- named anchor --></a>Zieglowski et al. 1999 [<a href="#b38-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb38">38</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136407472"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136407152"><!-- named anchor --></a> Bavaria</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136406064"><!-- named anchor --></a>CLP</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136405280"><!-- named anchor --></a>In Bavaria CLP increased 9.5% from Oct 1986 to Dec 1990 relative to previous trend; <i>p</i>=0.1, not statistically significant; n=1324 cases; significant trend with fallout levels 1.008 per kBg/m<sup>2</sup>, <i>p</i>=0.03; confirmed by analysis of GDR and FGR data giving 8.6% increase 1984-1989; authors state this as proof of causation</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136402784"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.3 mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> 0.8 per 100 kBg/m<sup>2</sup> which is external annual dose<a href="#tfn4-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn4"><sup>c</sup></a> of about 1 mSv</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136399008"><!-- named anchor --></a>Scherb et al. 2004 [<a href="#b39-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb39">39</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136396976"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136396656"><!-- named anchor --></a> Bavaria</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136395568"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136394768"><!-- named anchor --></a>For each Bavarian district (n=96) the ratio of the rates, more precisely the ORs, are calculated; results are regressed on surface contamination and show a biphasic relationship at low doses</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136393808"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.3 mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136391936"><!-- named anchor --></a>Koerblein 2004 [<a href="#b40-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb40">40</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136389904"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136389584"><!-- named anchor --></a> West Berlin</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136388496"><!-- named anchor --></a>Malformations of stillborns</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136387696"><!-- named anchor --></a>No increase of cases with malformations in living births but an increase of the rate of malformations in stillbirths - 4.2 % in 1986, and 8.5 % in 1987 which is remarkable, because West Berlin had a nearly completely isolated population at that time; 21.6 % of the malformations in stillbirths were those of the extremities, 14.8 % distortions of the heart, 8 % hypospadias (distortion of ureter), 7.7 % clefts (194,356 births, 739 stillbirths)</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136386480"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.3 mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136384608"><!-- named anchor --></a>Government of Berlin West 1987 [<a href="#b41-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb41">41</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136382560"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="left"> <a id="idm140403136382240"><!-- named anchor --></a> City of Jena</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136381152"><!-- named anchor --></a>Isolated malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136380368"><!-- named anchor --></a>Regional registry showed increased rates 1986/1987 vs. 1985 of RR 4.1 (95% Cl, 1.16-14.56) levelling off in subseguent years; main increase in central nervous system and abdominal wall anomalies</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136379408"><!-- named anchor --></a>&lt;0.3 mSv<a href="#tfn3-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn3"><sup>b</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136377536"><!-- named anchor --></a>Lotzet al. 1996 [<a href="#b42-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb42">42</a>]</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div class="table-wrap-foot"> <a id=""></a><div class="footnote"> <a id="tfn1-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><p id="idm140403136374400"><sup></sup> UNSCEAR, United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; Cs-137, Caesium-137; Sr-90, Strontium-90; NTD, neural tube defects; F1, first generation; GDR, German Democratic Republic; FGR, Federal German Republic; CLP, cleft lip and palate; RR, relative risk.</p> </div> <div class="footnote"> <a id="tfn2-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><p id="idm140403136372832"><sup>a</sup> Mean first year committed effective doses are given by the authors or are calculated by us on the basis of information given by the authors using MicroShield and US Environmental Protection Agency FGR12 Part 2 [<a href="#b43-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb43">43</a>] which gives the external dose rate over an infinite plane contaminated at 100 kBq/m<sup>2</sup> as about 0.2 × 10<sup>-6</sup> Gy h<sup>-1</sup>; we assume 16 hr/d exposure.</p> </div> <div class="footnote"> <a id="tfn3-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><p id="idm140403136368768"><sup>b</sup> These doses are taken from <a href="#f1-eht-31-e2016001" name="figLink" class="figClassf1">Figures 1</a> and <a href="#f3-eht-31-e2016001" name="figLink" class="figClassf3">3</a> of Savchenko [<a href="#b25-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb25">25</a>] and represent the mean countrywide first year (ICRP) committed Effective Dose.</p> </div> <div class="footnote"> <a id="tfn4-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><p id="idm140403136364160"><sup>c</sup> Internal doses for Cs-137 and Sr-90 calculated by us using the ICRP72 dose coefficients.</p> </div> </div> </div> <div class="table-wrap panel" style="display: float; clear: both; width: 740px; overflow: auto;"> <h5 class="label" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0px;">Table 2.</h5> <a id="t2-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><div class="caption"><div class="first" id="idm140403136361712">Congenital anomalies, especially malformations, in descendants (1st generation<a href="#tfn5-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn5"><sup>a</sup></a>) of occupationally exposed men</div></div> <table rules="groups" frame="hsides"> <a id="idm140403136359904"><!-- named anchor --></a><thead> <a id="idm140403136358976"><!-- named anchor --></a><tr> <a id="idm140403136358656"><!-- named anchor --></a><th valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136358336"><!-- named anchor --></a>No.</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136357552"><!-- named anchor --></a>Cohort of fathers</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136356464"><!-- named anchor --></a>Kind of defect</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136355376"><!-- named anchor --></a>Dose</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136354288"><!-- named anchor --></a>References</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <a id="idm140403136352880"><!-- named anchor --></a><tr> <a id="idm140403136352560"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136352240"><!-- named anchor --></a>1</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136351152"><!-- named anchor --></a>Radiologists USA 1951</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136350368"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital malformations Increase 20%</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136349568"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136348944"><!-- named anchor --></a>Macht, et al. 1955 [<a href="#b54-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb54">54</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136346912"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136346592"><!-- named anchor --></a>2</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136345504"><!-- named anchor --></a>Workers of the Hanford Nuclear facility, USA</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136344688"><!-- named anchor --></a>Neural tube defects significantly increased by 100%</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136343872"><!-- named anchor --></a>In general &lt;100 mSv</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136343088"><!-- named anchor --></a>Sever et al. 1988 [<a href="#b55-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb55">55</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136341056"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136340736"><!-- named anchor --></a>3</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136339648"><!-- named anchor --></a>Radiation workers at Sellafield nuclear reprocessing plant, UK</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136338816"><!-- named anchor --></a>Stillbirths with neural tube defects significantly increased by 69% per 100 mSv</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136337968"><!-- named anchor --></a>Mean 30 mSv</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136337184"><!-- named anchor --></a>Parker et al. 1999 [<a href="#b56-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb56">56</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136335152"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136334832"><!-- named anchor --></a>4</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136333744"><!-- named anchor --></a>Radiographers in Jordan</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136332960"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital anomalies significantly increased 10-fold</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136332144"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136331520"><!-- named anchor --></a>Shakhatreh 2001 [<a href="#b57-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb57">57</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136329488"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136329168"><!-- named anchor --></a>5</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136328080"><!-- named anchor --></a>Liquidators from Obninsk (Russia), 300 children</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136327264"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital anomalies increased 1994-2002</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136326448"><!-- named anchor --></a>Mainly 10-250 mSv</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136325664"><!-- named anchor --></a>Tsyb et al. 2004 [<a href="#b58-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb58">58</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136323632"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136323312"><!-- named anchor --></a>6</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136322224"><!-- named anchor --></a>Liquidators from Russia, Bryansk region</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136321424"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital anomalies increased about 4-fold</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136320608"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136319984"><!-- named anchor --></a>Matveenko et al. 2006 [<a href="#b59-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb59">59</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136317952"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136317632"><!-- named anchor --></a>7</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136316544"><!-- named anchor --></a>Liquidators from Russia, 2379 newborns</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136315744"><!-- named anchor --></a>Significant increase for: anencephaly 310%, spina bifida 316%, cleft lip/palate 170%, limb reduction 155%, multiple malformations 19%, all malformations 120%</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136314816"><!-- named anchor --></a>5-250 mSv</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136314032"><!-- named anchor --></a>Lyaginskaja et al. 2009 [<a href="#b60-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb60">60</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136311984"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136311664"><!-- named anchor --></a>8</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136310576"><!-- named anchor --></a>British nuclear test veterans</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136309776"><!-- named anchor --></a>All malformations</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136308992"><!-- named anchor --></a>Less than 10 mSv but internal</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136308192"><!-- named anchor --></a>Urquhart 1992 [<a href="#b61-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb61">61</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136306160"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136305840"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136304912"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136304288"><!-- named anchor --></a>Down's syndrome</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136303504"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136302880"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136302096"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136301776"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136300848"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136300224"><!-- named anchor --></a>OR 1.6 for early vs. later births</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136299424"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136298800"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136298016"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136297696"><!-- named anchor --></a>9</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136296608"><!-- named anchor --></a>British nuclear test veterans</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136295808"><!-- named anchor --></a>All congenital conditions increased</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136295008"><!-- named anchor --></a>Less than 10 mSv but internal</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136294208"><!-- named anchor --></a>Roff 1999 [<a href="#b62-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb62">62</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136292176"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136291856"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136290928"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136290304"><!-- named anchor --></a>We estimate heart defect 4-fold</td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136289504"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136288880"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136288096"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136287776"><!-- named anchor --></a>10</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136286688"><!-- named anchor --></a>British nuclear test veterans case control/EUROCAT study</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136285856"><!-- named anchor --></a>Miscarriages odds 2.7</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136285072"><!-- named anchor --></a>Less than 10 mSv but internal</td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136284272"><!-- named anchor --></a>Busby et al. 2014 [<a href="#b63-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb63">63</a>]</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136282240"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136281920"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136281296"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136280672"><!-- named anchor --></a>Congenital conditions: children OR 9.8; grandchildren OR 8.3<a href="#tfn5-eht-31-e2016001" name="fnLink" class="fnClasstfn5"><sup>a</sup></a> </td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136278752"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top"><a id="idm140403136278128"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <div class="table-wrap-foot"> <a id=""></a><div class="footnote"> <a id="tfn5-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><p id="idm140403136275920"><sup>a</sup> Mean first year committed effective doses are given by the authors or are calculated by us on the basis of information given by the authors using MicroShield and US Environmental Protection Agency FGR12 Part 2 [<a href="#b43-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb43">43</a>] which gives the external dose rate over an infinite plane contaminated at 100 kBq/m<sup>2</sup> as about 0.2× 10<sup>-6</sup> Gy h<sup>-1</sup>; we assume 16 hr/d exposure.</p> </div> </div> </div> <div class="table-wrap panel" style="display: float; clear: both; width: 740px; overflow: auto;"> <h5 class="label" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0px;">Table 3.</h5> <a id="t3-eht-31-e2016001"><!-- named anchor --></a><div class="caption"><div class="first" id="idm140403136270752">Cancer in children after preconceptional low-dose exposure of parents</div></div> <table rules="groups" frame="hsides"> <a id="idm140403136270224"><!-- named anchor --></a><thead> <a id="idm140403136269296"><!-- named anchor --></a><tr> <a id="idm140403136268976"><!-- named anchor --></a><th valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136268656"><!-- named anchor --></a>Exposed collective</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136267872"><!-- named anchor --></a>Malign disease</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136266784"><!-- named anchor --></a>Gonadal dose/mSv</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136265696"><!-- named anchor --></a>Relative risk</th> <th valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136264608"><!-- named anchor --></a>Doubling dose/mSv</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <a id="idm140403136263200"><!-- named anchor --></a><tr> <a id="idm140403136262880"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136262560"><!-- named anchor --></a>Seascale fathers [<a href="#b64-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb64">64</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136260688"><!-- named anchor --></a>Leukaemia + lymphoma</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136259600"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136258672"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136257744"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136256656"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136256336"><!-- named anchor --></a> All stages of spermatogenesis</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136255536"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136254608"><!-- named anchor --></a>200</td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136253520"><!-- named anchor --></a>7</td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136252432"><!-- named anchor --></a>32</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136251184"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136250864"><!-- named anchor --></a> 6 mo before conception</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136250064"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136249136"><!-- named anchor --></a>10</td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136248048"><!-- named anchor --></a>1.9</td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136246960"><!-- named anchor --></a>1.6</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136245712"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136245392"><!-- named anchor --></a>Further occupational exposure of fathers</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136244576"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136243648"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136242720"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136241792"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136240704"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136240384"><!-- named anchor --></a> Military jobs [<a href="#b66-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb66">66</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136238512"><!-- named anchor --></a>Cancer</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136237424"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136236496"><!-- named anchor --></a>2.7</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136235408"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136234320"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136234000"><!-- named anchor --></a> Regions of UK [<a href="#b67-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb67">67</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136232128"><!-- named anchor --></a>Leukaemia + lymphoma</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136231040"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136230112"><!-- named anchor --></a>3.2</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136229024"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136227936"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136227616"><!-- named anchor --></a>Preconceptional X-ray diagnostics in</td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136226816"><!-- named anchor --></a>Leukaemia</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136225728"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136224800"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136223872"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136222784"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136222464"><!-- named anchor --></a> Fathers 1966 [<a href="#b68-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb68">68</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136220592"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136219664"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136218736"><!-- named anchor --></a>1.3</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136217648"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136216560"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136216240"><!-- named anchor --></a> Fathers 1988 [<a href="#b69-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb69">69</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136214368"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136213440"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136212512"><!-- named anchor --></a>1.4-3.9</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136211424"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136210336"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136210016"><!-- named anchor --></a> Fathers 1994 [<a href="#b70-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb70">70</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136208144"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136207216"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136206288"><!-- named anchor --></a>3.8</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136205200"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136204112"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136203792"><!-- named anchor --></a> Mothers 1958 [<a href="#b71-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb71">71</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136201920"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136200992"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136200064"><!-- named anchor --></a>1.4</td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136198976"><!-- named anchor --></a>25</td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136197728"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136197408"><!-- named anchor --></a> Mothers 1966 [<a href="#b68-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb68">68</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136195536"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136194608"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136193680"><!-- named anchor --></a>1.7</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136192592"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136191504"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136191184"><!-- named anchor --></a> Mothers 1973 [<a href="#b72-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb72">72</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136189312"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136188384"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136187456"><!-- named anchor --></a>1.4</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136186368"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> <tr> <a id="idm140403136185280"><!-- named anchor --></a><td valign="top"> <a id="idm140403136184960"><!-- named anchor --></a> Mothers 1980 [<a href="#b73-eht-31-e2016001" name="bibrLink" class="bibrClassb73">73</a>]</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136183088"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136182160"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <a id="idm140403136181232"><!-- named anchor --></a>2.6</td> <td valign="top" align="center"><a id="idm140403136180144"><!-- named anchor --></a></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> </body> </html> <div id="inThisPage" style="padding-top:0px;padding-left:0px;display:none;"></div></div><script type="text/javascript"> <!-- function _ajax(url, data, func, sync, type) { var xmlhttp = window.XMLHttpRequest ? new XMLHttpRequest() : new ActiveXObject('Microsoft.XMLHTTP'); xmlhttp.onreadystatechange = function() { if (xmlhttp.readyState == 4) func(xmlhttp.responseText, xmlhttp.status == 200); }; xmlhttp.open(type ? type : 'POST', url, !sync ? true : false); xmlhttp.setRequestHeader('Content-type','application/x-www-form-urlencoded'); xmlhttp.send(data); } jColor = "#f07e28"; $(function () { abs_flag = true; if($("#__abstract").html()) { $("#inThisPage").append("<div style='border-bottom:1px dotted silver;padding:5px 0px;'><a href='#__abstract' style='text-decoration:none;'>Abstract</a></div>"); abs_flag = 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