Mysteel早读：美元指数走高有色金属普跌-我的钢铁网

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src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/22/0924271.png" alt="" width="425" height="30" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 233.883px;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/22/0924272.jpg" width="600" height="233" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 222.596px;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/22/0924273.jpg" width="600" height="222" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 518.127px;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/22/0924274.jpg" width="600" height="518" /></p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/22/0924275.png" alt="" width="401" height="30" /></p> <p align="justify">◎<strong>商务部：完善再生<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>原料等产品进口政策，扩大再生资源进口。</strong></p> <p align="justify"><strong>◎Matt Gaetz</strong><strong>宣布退出</strong>特朗普新政府<strong>司法部长</strong>提名竞争。<strong>马斯克</strong>列出了“<strong>美国公务员</strong>裁员指导意见”：鼓励“<strong>自愿离职</strong>”，<strong>别指望法律</strong>，欢迎斗争。</p> <p align="justify">◎高盛展望2025年<strong>全球汇市</strong>：“<strong>美元更强更久</strong>”时代来临，关税压力下非美货币“内外交困”。杨天夏：<strong>市场把特朗普当里根看</strong>，<strong>最确定的是美元</strong>，马斯克即便成功也不会减少赤字。</p> <p align="justify">◎报道称<strong>前CFTC主席Chris Giacarlo</strong>被视作美国白宫第一任“<strong>加密货币沙皇</strong>”的人选。<strong>美国证券交易委员会SEC主席Gensler</strong>宣布明年1月20日<strong>卸任。</strong></p> <p>◎<strong>国务院国资委：</strong>要推动中央企业穿越经济周期，支持企业开启增长的“第二曲线”；要更加有效推进国有资本“三个集中”，目前最紧迫的是要向前瞻性战略性新兴产业集中。</p> <p>◎<strong>日本首相石破茂拟推出一项21.9万亿日元（约合1400亿美元）的经济刺激计划</strong>，以解决通货膨胀、工资增长等一系列挑战。包括民间资金在内，一揽子经济刺激计划总额为39万亿日元。</p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/22/0924276.png" alt="" width="425" height="30" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 185.775px;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/22/0924277.jpg" width="600" height="185" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 225.986px;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/22/0924278.jpg" width="600" height="225" /></p> <p>◎11月21日国内市场<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/dianjietong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>电解铜</a>现货库15.63万吨，较14日降0.73万吨，较18日降0.30万吨；上海库存12.40万吨，较14日降0.36万吨，较18日增0.32万吨；广东库存1.10万吨，较14日降0.37万吨，较18日降0.13万吨江苏库存1.55万吨，较14日降0.13万吨，较18日降0.51万吨。国内电解铜社会库存延续去库趋势，其中上海市场表现增加，广东、江苏市场继续下降。具体来看，上海市场由于周内进口铜到货较多，同时下游接货情绪减弱，消费较为一般，库存因此表现回升。</p> <p>◎11月21日上海、广东两地保税区铜现货库存累计6.10万吨，较14日降0.3万吨，较18日降0.28万吨；上海保税区5.65万吨，较14日降0.37万吨，较18日降0.35万吨；广东保税区0.45万吨，较14日增0.07万吨，较18日增0.07万吨；保税区库存继续表现减少，同时由于进口窗口维持打开，部分持货商逐渐将仓库货源清关进口国内，库存因此下降。</p> <p>◎11月21日中国铝棒现货库存(万吨)：佛山2.95，无<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/xi/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锡</a>2.65，南昌0.9，常州1.6，湖州2.1，成都0.5，巩义0.15，洛阳0.65，宣城1.05，总量12.55，较上期（11月18日）增0.35。</p> <p>◎据<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>本周调研：截至2024年11月21日，全国氧化铝总库存为376.9万吨，较上期下降5.1万吨，本周氧化铝继续维持去库走势。各地区部分氧化铝厂受环保督查以及原料供应紧张等因素被迫减压产，部分长单执行不及预期，叠加北方部分地区发运不顺畅，导致在途库存下降明显。另外，市场流通的现货依旧紧张，下游铝厂采购补库难度增加，随着长单保供能力的下降，下游铝厂原料库存持续去库。</p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/22/0924279.png" alt="" width="401" height="30" /></p> <p>◎据海关数据显示，2024年10月中国铜废碎料进口量18.31万吨，环比增14.22%，同比增17.88%，进口金额1486.84百万美元，环比增15.44%，同比增32.65%。1-10月中国铜废碎料进口总量185.86万吨，同比增15.95%，进口总金额14731.50百万美元，同比增25.82%。</p> <p>◎据海关数据显示，2024年10月中国未锻轧精炼铜阴极及阴极型材出口量1.03万吨，环比减36.05%，同比减36.74%，出口金额98.19百万美元，环比减31.79%，同比减25.00%。1-10月未锻轧精炼铜阴极及阴极型材出口总量42.91万吨，同比增70.52%，出口总金额4194.45百万美元，同比增91.24%。</p> <p>◎据海关数据显示，2024年10月中国未锻轧精炼铜阴极及阴极型材进口量36.08万吨，环比增11.43%，同比增7.63%，进口金额3517.44百万美元，环比增16.80%，同比增26.89%。1-10月中国未锻轧精炼铜阴极及阴极型材进口总量302.14万吨，同比增6.87%，进口总金额28284.46百万美元，同比增16.38%。</p> <p>◎11月19日，金田股份“泰国年产8万吨精密<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tongguan/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜管</a>生产项目”奠基仪式在泰国罗勇府品通工业园举行，公司相关领导、曼谷政府代表等出席活动。</p> <p>◎德福科技在互动平台表示，公司具备适配掺硅负极电池铜箔的量产能力，并已在高端消费类电池领域中实现月度超百吨级出货。</p> <p>◎Rio Tinto将与布干维尔官员讨论其前子公司---布干维尔铜业有限公司(BCL)运营的矿山的遗留影响。</p> <p>◎11月20日，Electra Battery Materials获爱达荷州铜/钴矿产10年勘探许可证，涵盖91个钻探点和数百个潜在目标，增强了项目确定性并减少行政要求。</p> <p>◎11月20日，世界金属统计局(WBMS)公布的最新报告显示，2024年9月，全球精炼铜产量为238.7497万吨，消费量为254.7996万吨，供应短缺16.0499万吨。1-9月，全球精炼铜产量为2108.2644万吨，消费量为2123.1627万吨，供应短缺14.8983万吨；9月全球<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tongjingkuang/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜精矿</a>产量为157.5041万吨，1-9月，全球铜精矿产量为1386.7313万吨。</p> <p>◎在明泰铝业公司等200多家铝加工企业支撑下，巩义市当前已是全国最大的铝板带箔加工生产基地，铝产业年产值超千亿元，形成了从电解铝、铝加工、铝终端产品到铝再生循环利用的全产业链，每年有600多万吨铝产品发往世界各地。</p> <p>◎近年来，隆林深入贯彻绿色发展理念，不断创新“铝二次创业”发展新模式，做好“补链、延链、强链”文章，做大做强做优铝产业。目前，隆林县生态铝产能达30万吨，年产值达60亿元左右。2025年，隆林生态铝及铝深加工产业年产值力争达150亿元以上，其中铝镁合金线及铜包铝线材产值有望突破100亿元以上。</p> 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