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Keir Starmer played the China card in Rio – and sent a message to a hawkish Donald Trump | Simon Tisdall | The Guardian

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srcSet="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ecc5296cb3aea9017871b6bd8eac3162e2e9ddaf/0_186_4796_2877/master/4796.jpg?width=645&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" media="(min-width: 480px) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 480px) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)"/><source srcSet="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ecc5296cb3aea9017871b6bd8eac3162e2e9ddaf/0_186_4796_2877/master/4796.jpg?width=645&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" media="(min-width: 480px)"/><source srcSet="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ecc5296cb3aea9017871b6bd8eac3162e2e9ddaf/0_186_4796_2877/master/4796.jpg?width=465&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" media="(min-width: 320px) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 320px) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)"/><source srcSet="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ecc5296cb3aea9017871b6bd8eac3162e2e9ddaf/0_186_4796_2877/master/4796.jpg?width=465&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" media="(min-width: 320px)"/><img alt="Keir Starmer with president Xi Jinping of China at the G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil." src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ecc5296cb3aea9017871b6bd8eac3162e2e9ddaf/0_186_4796_2877/master/4796.jpg?width=465&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" width="465" height="278.94182652210174" loading="eager" class="dcr-evn1e9"/></picture><span class="dcr-v822l1"><div class="dcr-gup2gr"><div class="dcr-zy1nbx"><label for="the-checkbox" class="dcr-1xgwz8b"><svg width="6" height="14" fill="white" viewBox="0 0 6 14"><path d="M4.6 12l-.4 1.4c-.7.2-1.9.6-3 .6-.7 0-1.2-.2-1.2-.9 0-.2 0-.3.1-.5l2-6.7H.7l.4-1.5 4.2-.6h.2L3 12h1.6zm-.3-9.2c-.9 0-1.4-.5-1.4-1.3C2.9.5 3.7 0 4.6 0 5.4 0 6 .5 6 1.3c0 1-.8 1.5-1.7 1.5z"></path></svg></label><input type="checkbox" id="the-checkbox"/> <div id="the-caption"><figcaption data-spacefinder-role="inline" class="dcr-1ie0kc7"><span class="dcr-1inf02i"><svg width="18" height="13" viewBox="0 0 18 13"><path d="M18 3.5v8l-1.5 1.5h-15l-1.5-1.5v-8l1.5-1.5h3.5l2-2h4l2 2h3.5l1.5 1.5zm-9 7.5c1.9 0 3.5-1.6 3.5-3.5s-1.6-3.5-3.5-3.5-3.5 1.6-3.5 3.5 1.6 3.5 3.5 3.5z"></path></svg></span><span class="dcr-1qvd3m6">Keir Starmer meeting Xi Jinping at last week’s G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro said he sought ‘consistent, durable, respectful, predictable’ ties with China.</span> Photograph: WPA/Getty Images</figcaption></div></div></div></span><a href="#img-1" data-ignore="global-link-styling" aria-hidden="true" tabIndex="-1" class="open-lightbox dcr-13fd1ms"><button data-element-id="c35e89ef-e54c-4535-9442-ffe795dbb41a" type="button" aria-haspopup="dialog" class="open-lightbox dcr-4tmywn"><svg viewBox="-3 -3 30 30" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" aria-hidden="true"><path fill-rule="evenodd" clip-rule="evenodd" d="M23 8.75V1.5l-.5-.5h-7.25v1.25l4.5.6L14 8.575 15.4 10l5.75-5.725.6 4.475zm-22 6.5v7.25l.475.5h7.25v-1.25l-4.475-.6 5.725-5.775L8.6 14l-5.775 5.725-.575-4.475z"></path></svg><span class="dcr-194i6pr">View image in fullscreen</span></button></a></div><span class="dcr-n4pnam"><figcaption data-spacefinder-role="inline" class="dcr-1fujct4"><span class="dcr-1inf02i"><svg width="18" height="13" viewBox="0 0 18 13"><path d="M18 3.5v8l-1.5 1.5h-15l-1.5-1.5v-8l1.5-1.5h3.5l2-2h4l2 2h3.5l1.5 1.5zm-9 7.5c1.9 0 3.5-1.6 3.5-3.5s-1.6-3.5-3.5-3.5-3.5 1.6-3.5 3.5 1.6 3.5 3.5 3.5z"></path></svg></span><span class="dcr-1qvd3m6">Keir Starmer meeting Xi Jinping at last week’s G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro said he sought ‘consistent, durable, respectful, predictable’ ties with China.</span> Photograph: WPA/Getty Images</figcaption></span></figure></div></div></div><aside style="--grid-area:title;" data-gu-name="title" class="dcr-1fnjjtg"><div class="dcr-10355cg"><div class="dcr-0"><div class="dcr-4pzc03"><span class="dcr-1v9xu6e"></span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/publication/theobserver" data-component="series" data-link-name="article series" class="dcr-u0pbjs"><span>The Observer</span></a><span class="dcr-n4pnam"><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/china" data-component="section" data-link-name="article section" class="dcr-1v9e6r1"><span>China</span></a></span></div></div></div></aside><div style="--grid-area:border;" data-gu-name="border" class="dcr-1fnjjtg"><div class="dcr-upmzd8"></div></div><div style="--grid-area:headline;" data-gu-name="headline" class="dcr-1fnjjtg"><div class="dcr-14emo0l"><div class="dcr-1mxzhuq"><div class="dcr-0"><h1 class="dcr-s88ov6">Keir Starmer played the China card in Rio – and sent a message to a hawkish Donald Trump</h1><div class="dcr-1uv1bpy"><div class="dcr-r5wjto"><a rel="author" data-link-name="auto tag link" href="https://www.theguardian.com/profile/simontisdall">Simon Tisdall</a></div></div></div><div><div class="dcr-1bbve8d"><picture class="dcr-evn1e9"><source srcSet="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2024/11/08/Simon_Tisdall_2024.png?width=216&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" media="(min-width: 480px) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 480px) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)"/><source srcSet="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2024/11/08/Simon_Tisdall_2024.png?width=216&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" media="(min-width: 480px)"/><source srcSet="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2024/11/08/Simon_Tisdall_2024.png?width=180&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" media="(min-width: 320px) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 320px) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)"/><source srcSet="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2024/11/08/Simon_Tisdall_2024.png?width=180&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" media="(min-width: 320px)"/><img alt="Simon Tisdall" src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2024/11/08/Simon_Tisdall_2024.png?width=180&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none" class="dcr-1ycxi04"/></picture></div><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="100%" height="29" viewBox="0 0 1300 29" preserveAspectRatio="none" stroke="var(--straight-lines)" stroke-width="1" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" class="dcr-2232f3"><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="0.5" y2="0.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="4.5" y2="4.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="8.5" y2="8.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="12.5" y2="12.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="16.5" y2="16.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="20.5" y2="20.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="24.5" y2="24.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="28.5" y2="28.5"></line></svg></div></div></div></div><div style="--grid-area:lines;" data-gu-name="lines" class="dcr-1fnjjtg"><div class="dcr-mc7gai"><span class="dcr-1vetsv0"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="100%" height="29" viewBox="0 0 1300 29" preserveAspectRatio="none" stroke="var(--straight-lines)" stroke-width="1" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" class="dcr-1rctyfj"><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="0.5" y2="0.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="4.5" y2="4.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="8.5" y2="8.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="12.5" y2="12.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="16.5" y2="16.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="20.5" y2="20.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="24.5" y2="24.5"></line><line x1="0" x2="1300" y1="28.5" y2="28.5"></line></svg></span></div></div><div style="--grid-area:standfirst;" data-gu-name="standfirst" class="dcr-1fnjjtg"><div class=" dcr-16dfovq"><p>The PM and other western leaders are cosying up to Beijing. If the president-elect imposes punitive tariffs on Chinese imports, he will give Xi the upper hand</p></div></div><aside style="--grid-area:meta;" data-gu-name="meta" class="dcr-1fnjjtg"><div class="dcr-14emo0l"><div class=" dcr-1v9sla6"><div class="dcr-5oiine"><div class="dcr-1kpcv08"><div><details style="--mobile-color:inherit;" class="dcr-1pexjb9"><summary class="dcr-1ybxn6r"><span class="dcr-u0h1qy">Sat 23 Nov 2024 17.00 GMT</span></summary>Last modified on Sat 23 Nov 2024 19.51 GMT</details></div></div><div data-print-layout="hide" class="dcr-9dgpdq"><div class=" dcr-16lnb0w"><gu-island name="ShareButton" priority="feature" deferUntil="visible" props="{&quot;pageId&quot;:&quot;commentisfree/2024/nov/23/keir-starmer-played-china-card-in-rio-and-sent-message-to-a-hawkish-donald-trump&quot;,&quot;webTitle&quot;:&quot;Keir Starmer played the China card in Rio – and sent a message to a hawkish Donald Trump | Simon Tisdall&quot;,&quot;format&quot;:{&quot;design&quot;:8,&quot;display&quot;:0,&quot;theme&quot;:1},&quot;context&quot;:&quot;ArticleMeta&quot;}"><a href="mailto:?subject=Keir Starmer played the China card in Rio – and sent a message to a hawkish Donald Trump | Simon Tisdall&amp;body=https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/nov/23/keir-starmer-played-china-card-in-rio-and-sent-message-to-a-hawkish-donald-trump?CMP=share_btn_url" type="button" class="dcr-bao4ku">Share<div class="src-button-space"></div><svg viewBox="-3 -3 30 30" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" aria-hidden="true"><path fill-rule="evenodd" clip-rule="evenodd" d="M19 16c1.675 0 3 1.35 3 3 0 1.675-1.325 3-3 3a2.97 2.97 0 0 1-2.975-3c0-.125 0-.275.025-.375L7.1 14.15a2.9 2.9 0 0 1-2.075.825C3.325 14.975 2 13.65 2 12a3.004 3.004 0 0 1 3.025-3.025c.775 0 1.5.35 2.075.875l8.95-4.475c-.025-.1-.025-.225-.025-.4A2.966 2.966 0 0 1 19 2c1.675 0 3 1.325 3 2.975C22 6.65 20.675 8 19 8c-.8 0-1.475-.325-2.05-.825l-8.975 4.45C8 11.7 8 11.825 8 12s0 .3-.025.375l8.975 4.45c.575-.5 1.25-.825 2.05-.825m0-12.8c-.975 0-1.8.775-1.8 1.775S18.025 6.8 19 6.8c1 0 1.825-.825 1.825-1.825S20 3.2 19 3.2m0 17.6c1 0 1.825-.825 1.825-1.8 0-1-.825-1.8-1.825-1.8-.975 0-1.8.8-1.8 1.8 0 .975.825 1.8 1.8 1.8"></path></svg></a></gu-island></div><div class=" dcr-1csot3r"><div class="dcr-14baf59"><div><gu-island name="CommentCount" priority="feature" deferUntil="idle" props="{&quot;discussionApiUrl&quot;:&quot;https://discussion.theguardian.com/discussion-api&quot;,&quot;shortUrlId&quot;:&quot;/p/xxxgg7&quot;}"></gu-island></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="dcr-fu29fd"><span class="dcr-1lhv23l"><gu-island name="ExpandableMarketingCardWrapper" priority="enhancement" deferUntil="visible" props="{&quot;guardianBaseURL&quot;:&quot;https://www.theguardian.com&quot;}"></gu-island></span></div></div></aside><div style="--grid-area:body;" data-gu-name="body" class="dcr-1upb05m"><span class="dcr-1giivcq"><gu-island name="ExpandableMarketingCardWrapper" priority="enhancement" deferUntil="idle" props="{&quot;guardianBaseURL&quot;:&quot;https://www.theguardian.com&quot;}"></gu-island></span><div class="dcr-1a4fred"><div class="dcr-14emo0l"><div id="maincontent" class="dcr-1bwys2b"><div class="article-body-commercial-selector article-body-viewer-selector dcr-1q6n3e0"><p class="dcr-1n1orvu"><span style="color:var(--drop-cap);font-weight:300;" class="dcr-15rw6c2">B</span>oth were lawyers before they became politicians, but that’s where the similarities between Keir Starmer and Richard Nixon end. The former US president resigned in disgrace at the height of the Watergate corruption scandal exactly 50 years ago. Britain’s prime minister <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/oct/02/keir-starmer-pays-back-6000-worth-of-gifts-and-hospitality" data-link-name="in body link">may have been unwise</a> to accept free tickets from Arsenal FC – but he’s not in Nixon’s league.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Except, perhaps, was there just a touch of Tricky Dicky about Starmer’s meeting with China’s president, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/xi-jinping" data-link-name="in body link" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Xi Jinping</a>, at last week’s G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro? Watergate aside, Nixon is famous for his groundbreaking 1972 visit to Beijing, which opened the way to normalised relations between the US and Red China.</p><div id="sign-in-gate"><gu-island name="SignInGateSelector" priority="feature" deferUntil="visible" props="{&quot;contentType&quot;:&quot;Article&quot;,&quot;sectionId&quot;:&quot;commentisfree&quot;,&quot;tags&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;commentisfree/commentisfree&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;Blog&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Opinion&quot;},{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;campaign/email/observed&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;Campaign&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Observed (newsletter signup)&quot;},{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;world/china&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;Keyword&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;China&quot;},{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;world/xi-jinping&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;Keyword&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Xi 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class="dcr-1n1orvu">Nixon’s surprise <em>démarche</em> had another purpose: to show the Soviet Union, America’s cold war adversary, that the US and <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/china" data-link-name="in body link" data-component="auto-linked-tag">China</a> could act in alliance against Moscow, which broke with Beijing in 1961. Nixon’s move, known as “playing the China card”, had significant geopolitical consequences. Starmer, dealt a weaker hand, had no aces up his sleeve.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">All the same, the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/nov/18/keir-starmer-discusses-human-rights-concerns-with-xi-jinping-at-g20" data-link-name="in body link">prime minister’s eagerness</a> to reset what, under previous governments, became a very rocky relationship was striking. Starmer said he sought “consistent, durable, respectful, predictable” ties. “A strong relationship is important for both of our countries and for the broader international community,” he said.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">It was a pointed statement. Doubtless Starmer was thinking primarily about boosting UK trade, investment and growth. But were his words also designed, Nixon-style, to send a message to a third party – namely, Donald Trump?</p><figure data-spacefinder-role="inline" data-spacefinder-type="model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.NewsletterSignupBlockElement" class=" dcr-173mewl"><a data-ignore="global-link-styling" href="#EmailSignup-skip-link-5" class="dcr-jzxpee">skip past newsletter promotion</a><aside aria-label="newsletter promotion" class="dcr-av5vqf"><div class="dcr-10et71f"><p class="dcr-1sbse14">Sign up to <span>Observed</span></p><div class="dcr-9ypm66"><div class="dcr-ibdtyj"><div class="dcr-1hwoqtr"><svg viewBox="-3 -3 30 30" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" aria-hidden="true"><path fill-rule="evenodd" clip-rule="evenodd" d="M18.364 2H5.636v5.68H3.43L2 9.29l9.048 7.504h1.904L22 9.289 20.571 7.68h-2.207zm-1.819 5.68v-.946h-9.09v.946zm0-3.787h-9.09v.947h9.09zM2 20.58v-8.994l9.048 6.627h1.904L22 11.586v8.994L20.571 22H3.43zM7.455 9.574h9.09v.947h-9.09z"></path></svg></div><span class="dcr-tx2qx">Free weekly newsletter</span></div></div></div><p class="dcr-1xjndtj">Analysis and opinion on the week's news and culture brought to you by the best Observer writers </p><gu-island name="SecureSignup" priority="feature" deferUntil="visible" props="{&quot;newsletterId&quot;:&quot;observed&quot;,&quot;successDescription&quot;:&quot;Analysis and opinion on the week's news and culture brought to you by the best Observer writers &quot;}"><form id="secure-signup-observed" class="dcr-kfi215"><label for="P0-2" class="dcr-0"><div class="dcr-1qn103b">Enter your email address </div></label><input type="email" id="P0-2" aria-required="true" aria-invalid="false" aria-describedby required name="email" class="dcr-dpem99"/><button type="submit" aria-live="polite" class="dcr-zll6x8">Sign up</button></form></gu-island><span class="dcr-1eusqlu"><strong>Privacy Notice: </strong>Newsletters may contain info about charities, online ads, and content funded by outside parties. 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We use Google reCaptcha to protect our website and the Google <a data-ignore="global-link-styling" href="https://policies.google.com/privacy" rel="noreferrer" class="dcr-1rjy2q9">Privacy Policy</a> and <a data-ignore="global-link-styling" href="https://policies.google.com/terms" rel="noreferrer" class="dcr-1rjy2q9">Terms of Service</a> apply.</span></aside><p id="EmailSignup-skip-link-5" tabIndex="0" aria-label="after newsletter promotion" role="note" class="dcr-jzxpee">after newsletter promotion</p></figure><figure id="3dcc567c-5143-4b30-a028-9ee4141a5dd8" data-spacefinder-role="richLink" data-spacefinder-type="model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement" class=" dcr-1your1i"><gu-island name="RichLinkComponent" priority="feature" deferUntil="idle" props="{&quot;richLinkIndex&quot;:6,&quot;element&quot;:{&quot;_type&quot;:&quot;model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement&quot;,&quot;prefix&quot;:&quot;Related: &quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Starmer twice declines to directly condemn jailing of Hong Kong pro-democracy figures&quot;,&quot;elementId&quot;:&quot;3dcc567c-5143-4b30-a028-9ee4141a5dd8&quot;,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;richLink&quot;,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/nov/19/keir-starmer-declines-to-directly-condemn-jailing-hong-kong-pro-democracy-figures&quot;},&quot;ajaxUrl&quot;:&quot;https://api.nextgen.guardianapps.co.uk&quot;,&quot;format&quot;:{&quot;design&quot;:8,&quot;display&quot;:0,&quot;theme&quot;:1}}"><div data-print-layout="hide" data-link-name="rich-link-6 | 6" data-component="rich-link" data-name="placeholder" class="dcr-1kyw41h"><div data-format-theme="5" data-format-design="0" data-format-display="0" class="dcr-gss5ug"><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/nov/19/keir-starmer-declines-to-directly-condemn-jailing-hong-kong-pro-democracy-figures" class="dcr-1m887w9"><div class="dcr-1lhuo3r"></div><div class="dcr-ut4tvs"><div class="dcr-1h5b6rb"><div class="dcr-1dgt1gs">Starmer twice declines to directly condemn jailing of Hong Kong pro-democracy figures</div></div><div class="dcr-eurq8n"><svg width="24" height="24" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><g fill-rule="evenodd"><path d="m12 0c-6.627 0-12 5.373-12 12 0 6.627 5.373 12 12 12 6.627 0 12-5.373 12-12 0-6.627-5.373-12-12-12m.21 19l-.637-.668 4.888-6.326h-11.465v-1.01h11.465l-4.888-6.333.637-.668 6.79 7.158v.685l-6.79 7.157" class="rich-link__arrow-icon"></path></g></svg><div class="dcr-fkf7vq">Read more</div></div></div></a></div></div></gu-island></figure><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">The US president-elect is a vociferous foe of China, which he believes threatens American global hegemony. He plans to impose sweeping, punitive tariffs on Chinese imports, re-igniting the trade war he began in his first term. Conservative backers, such as commentator Ionut Popescu, <a href="https://www.theamericanconservative.com/the-promise-of-trumps-realist-china-grand-strategy/" data-link-name="in body link">egg him on</a>. Containment of China must be “the driving principle of US foreign policy in the new cold war”, Popescu wrote.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Leading China hawks are being offered senior positions in the new administration, which takes office on 20 January. They include Marco Rubio as secretary of state. As a senator, Rubio railed against human rights abuses in Xinjiang and the suppression of Hong Kong’s democracy – dramatised by last week’s jailings of activists and the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/20/jimmy-lai-hong-kong-witness-stand-collusion-trial" data-link-name="in body link">show trial</a> of British media entrepreneur Jimmy Lai. <a href="https://www.rubio.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/BAG24A07.pdf" data-link-name="in body link">Rubio reviles</a> “the wealth and corrupt activities of the leadership of the Chinese Communist party”.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Trump’s choice of Pete Hegseth, a rightwing TV personality, as defence secretary, and Michael Waltz, a <a href="https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202411180006" data-link-name="in body link">fierce defender</a> of Taiwan’s independence, as national security adviser, reinforces a strong anti-China bias. These men constitute what the <em>New York Times</em> calls “<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/20/us/politics/trump-cabinet-china-policy.html" data-link-name="in body link">a new class</a> of cold warrior, guns pointed at China”. And, like Trump, they will be unimpressed by Starmer’s cosying up to Xi.</p><aside data-spacefinder-role="supporting" class="dcr-qr3zw7"><svg viewBox="0 0 22 14" style="fill:var(--pullquote-icon);" class="dcr-scql1j"><path d="M5.255 0h4.75c-.572 4.53-1.077 8.972-1.297 13.941H0C.792 9.104 2.44 4.53 5.255 0Zm11.061 0H21c-.506 4.53-1.077 8.972-1.297 13.941h-8.686c.902-4.837 2.485-9.411 5.3-13.941Z"></path></svg><blockquote class="dcr-zzndwp">Chinese and UK geostrategic interests may actually be converging in the face of Trump’s prospectively disruptive, costly and dangerous return</blockquote></aside><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Starmer surely knows that, which makes his repositioning all the more interesting. Many in Britain, Labour and Tories, share American concerns. A House of Commons Library <a href="https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-10029/" data-link-name="in body link">briefing in July</a> traced a “sharp deterioration” in China ties in recent years, pointing in particular to Beijing’s “expansive” foreign policy and cyber-attacks and espionage in the UK. It noted Britain formally deems China a “systemic competitor” and “the greatest state-based threat to the UK’s economic security”.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Speaking in Rio, Xi was adamant that his stance on Taiwan, democracy and other core issues would not change. But he also offered reassurance with a smiley face, stressing that he sought “stable, healthy and sustainable” relations with the west – words that, like Starmer’s, may have been partly aimed at Trump.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Very deep differences remain. But Chinese and UK geostrategic interests may actually be converging in the face of Trump’s prospectively disruptive, costly, dangerous return. Climate change and post-pandemic health are two key areas of cooperation. Ongoing confrontation between the world’s top two economic and military powers would not be to Britain’s advantage. If Trump, the disquieting American, cannot be befriended and influenced, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/20/us/politics/trump-world-leaders-china-xi-stability.html" data-link-name="in body link">perhaps Xi can</a>?</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Other countries are making similar calculations. Germany, with its huge Chinese exports, wants to keep things friendly. The <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/12/china-must-face-higher-cost-for-backing-russia-says-next-eu-foreign-policy-chief" data-link-name="in body link">EU prefers</a> “de-risking” to open, Trump-like ruptures, though it is divided and inconsistent. Hungary and Greece hold <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/12/china-must-face-higher-cost-for-backing-russia-says-next-eu-foreign-policy-chief" data-link-name="in body link">China close</a>, Lithuania feuds. Europe as a whole would suffer greatly in any US-initiated global tariff war.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Emmanuel Macron was another leader making nice with Xi in Rio. France’s president raised China’s support for Russia’s war in Ukraine, then claimed, mysteriously, to have achieved a “convergence of views”. Distancing himself from Trump, Macron said <a href="https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20241119-macron-tells-xi-he-shares-desire-for-durable-peace-in-ukraine" data-link-name="in body link">France would continue</a> to promote European strategic autonomy, “precisely to be able to talk with China in complete independence”.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Not to be left out, Anthony Albanese, Australia’s prime minister, set aside thorny bilateral disputes and, like Starmer, shook hands with Xi on a new start. Australia, too, valued steady “calibrated” ties. Trade was flourishing again, Albanese said. “Dialogue is critical, and we’ve made encouraging progress.” Jolly <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2024/nov/19/xi-jinping-pleased-with-positive-momentum-of-china-australia-relations-video" data-link-name="in body link">Xi hugged him</a> right back (figuratively speaking).</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">All this must be music to Xi’s ears. He has long dreamed of China supplanting the US as the 21st century’s foremost superpower. Beset by economic problems and a “<a href="https://thediplomat.com/2023/09/the-rise-and-fall-of-chinas-wolf-warrior-diplomacy/" data-link-name="in body link">wolf warrior diplomacy</a>” backlash, he has launched a foreign charm offensive. Last month, <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckg0gwy0nlyo" data-link-name="in body link">he patched up</a> a festering Himalayan border dispute with India, an old rival wooed by the US.</p><p class="dcr-1n1orvu">Trump’s victory was initially assessed as bad news for China. It may be the exact opposite. He’s unpredictable. His views change. But if “America first” means putting everyone else last, if Trump’s isolationism, aggressive nationalism and trade war threats end up screwing America’s allies, then those allies, including Starmer, may ultimately swallow their misgivings and look elsewhere for reliable friends – if only to achieve some balance. If Xi’s dream of dominance comes true, he will know who to thank. Donald Trump: Making China Great Again.</p><footer class="dcr-1n1orvu"><p class="dcr-1n1orvu"><span data-dcr-style="bullet"></span> Simon Tisdall is the Observer’s Foreign Affairs Commentator</p></footer></div></div><gu-island name="SlotBodyEnd" priority="feature" deferUntil="visible" 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