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height: 300px" alt="" src="http://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2014/06/25/144820.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-indent: 2em">数据来源：钢联云终端</p> <p style="text-indent: 2em">图二:山西省重点企业原矿产量</p> <p style="text-indent: 2em"><img style="width: 430px; height: 342px" alt="" src="http://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2014/06/25/144848.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-indent: 2em">数据来源：钢联云终端</p> <p style="text-indent: 2em">根据Mysteel调研，今年1-4月份山西地区民营中小矿山贸易矿产量较去年同期相比降幅达85%。这主要是因为当地矿价震荡下跌，日趋逼近成本线。而进口矿跌幅远高于国产矿，钢厂更倾向于采购进口矿，国产矿市场成交量低，矿山生产积极性低。据了解，由于成本因素，目前山西地区矿选厂现已基本停产，部分选厂尚有少量库存。而仍旧坚持生产的矿山也表示目前市场成交乏力，铁矿石库存不断增加，若矿价难有反弹迹象，后面即将面临停产。以繁峙地区为例，目前65%的铁精粉湿基不含税630元/吨，目前对部分小矿山来说，当前价格尚能勉强出货；但若价格跌至550元/吨（即进口矿继续下跌10美元/吨左右），绝大部分矿山将进入亏损状态。目前多数已经停产的矿山普遍将希望寄托于金九银十，称价格反弹至680元/吨时或将选择复产（即62%指数105美元以上）。</p> <p style="text-indent: 2em">但是，山西地区铁矿产量来源除众多中小民营矿山外，主要还是来自于太钢矿业。目前太钢矿业铁矿石原矿月产量为300万吨左右，约占山西地区铁矿石总产量的85%；且于2012年投产的太钢矿业袁家村铁矿仍在扩建中，设计产能2200万吨。今年以来，由于太钢矿业的产量不断增加，且成本低于进口矿，因此太钢集团不断提高国产矿入炉配比，国产矿用量增加明显。后期，随着太钢袁家村铁矿的扩产计划陆续达产，太钢矿业的铁矿石产量仍有上升空间。</p> <p style="text-indent: 2em">图三:山西省非重点矿山企业原矿产量</p> <p style="text-indent: 2em"><img style="width: 425px; height: 253px" alt="" src="http://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2014/06/25/144912.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-indent: 2em">数据来源：钢联云终端</p> <p style="text-indent: 2em">综上所述笔者认为，在当前相对较低的矿价下，中小民营矿山缺乏复产动力且继续减少的产量有限；而太钢矿业受新增产能和集团铁矿石需求增加的影响，产量仍将不断上升。因此，料后期山西地区整体铁矿产量仍将处于增势中，增量以国营大矿为主；中小民营矿山的减产或成常态。</p> <p style="text-indent: 2em">作者：邓菊香矿石部北方大区 021-26093807</p> </div> <div class="title-box"> <div class="title"><a href="./article/list.shtml?category=0201&channelName=3diofoo74p74u" target="_blank">更多行业聚焦</a></div> </div> <div class="article-box"> <ul> <li><span class="time"> [09-23]</span><a href="http://m.mysteel.com/16/0923/11/46D189FBA0DFA3F5_abc.html" title="（2016/9/23）无锡精特无缝管报价">（2016/9/23）无锡精特无缝管</a></li> <li><span class="time"> [09-23]</span><a href="http://m.mysteel.com/16/0923/11/BA5CD4803B2BF54E_abc.html" title="（2016/9/23）山东金润德焊管报价">（2016/9/23）山东金润德焊管</a></li> <li><span class="time"> [09-23]</span><a href="http://m.mysteel.com/16/0923/11/4A127F7132673881_abc.html" title="粗苯：23日山西地区小幅回落">粗苯：23日山西地区小幅回落</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="bottom"> <ul class="nav"> <li><a href="http://m.mysteel.com/abc_dxqjs.html " target="_blank">微信关注</a></li> <li class="pc"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="createCookie('gotopc', 'true', 'mysteel.com');" >电脑版</a></li> <li class="app"><a href="http://www.steelphone.com/xz" target="_blank">App下载</a></li> <li class="r-top"><a href="#top">回到顶部</a></li> <div class="clear"></div> </ul> <div class="hotline"> <div class="Lindex"><a href="http://m.mysteel.com/">返回首页</a></div> <div class="Rtel">400-820-0970</div> <div class="clear"></div> </div> <div class="mysteel"> <div class="m-left"><div class="xian"></div></div> <div class="m-text">我的钢铁</div> <div class="m-right"><div class="xian"></div></div> <div class="clear"></div> </div> </div> <script type="text/javascript"> function createCookie(name, value, domain) { var expires = ''; 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