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Experts: Election results offer mixed picture, changes

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class="ad-wrapper" aria-label="Advertisement"><div id="pos_f_320x50" class="opscoad-pos_f_320x50" data-unit="pressherald.com/news"></div></aside> </div> <div class="main-content-wrap"> <article itemscope itemtype="http://schema.org/Article" class="article article--has-sidebar " id="js-mtm-article"> <header class="article-header"> <ul class="article-header__categories-list"> <li class="article-header__categories-listitem"><a href="https://www.pressherald.com/politics/election-2024/">Election 2024</a></li><li class="article-header__categories-listitem"><a href="https://www.pressherald.com/news/localstate/">Local &amp; State</a></li><li class="article-header__categories-listitem"><a href="https://www.pressherald.com/news/schools/">Schools and Education</a></li><li class="article-header__categories-listitem"><a href="https://www.pressherald.com/politics/">Politics</a></li><li class="article-header__categories-listitem"><a href="https://www.pressherald.com/lewiston-auburn/">Lewiston-Auburn</a></li></ul> <div class="article-header__image-text-wrap"> <div class="article-header__text-wrap"> <h1 class="article-header__heading" itemprop="headline">Bates College experts say 2024 election results offer mixed picture, potential changes</h1> <p class="article-header__description" itemprop="description">Two Bates College professors offered their views on what to make of this month&#039;s election during Thursday&#039;s Great Falls Forum.</p> </div> </div> <div class="article-header__meta"> <div class="article-header__meta-top"> <div class="article-header__meta-date"> <div class="article-header__meta-date-posted"> <span>Posted</span> <time itemprop="datePublished" datetime="2024-11-21T18:57:23-05:00">November 21</time> </div> <span class="divider"></span> <div class="article-header__meta-date-updated"> <span>Updated</span> <time itemprop="dateUpdated" datetime="2024-11-21T22:14:57-05:00">November 21</time> </div> </div> <div class="article-header__meta-authors"> <address class="article-header__meta-author author-has-image" itemprop="author"><figure class="article-header__meta-author-image"><img src="https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2018/12/Steve-Collins-1650055529.jpeg?w=84" alt=""></figure><a class="article-header__meta-author-name-link" href="https://www.pressherald.com/author/steve-collins"><span class="article-header__meta-author-name">Steve Collins</span></a><span class="article-header__meta-author-info has-sourceline-icon has-sourceline-icon--sunjournal">Sun Journal</span></address></div> </div> <div class="article-header__meta-bottom"> <span class="article-header__meta-bottom-item article-header__meta-time-to-read">3 min read <?xml version="1.0"?> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="16" height="17" viewBox="0 0 16 17" fill="none"> <path d="M7.98825 0.0876465C3.57539 0.0876465 0 3.66303 0 8.0759C0 12.4888 3.57539 16.0641 7.98825 16.0641C12.4011 16.0641 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Dillingham/Sun Journal&lt;/strong&gt;" data-full-size="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/print/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122246.jpg" data-should-sell="yes" decoding="async" /> </div> <script type="text/caption" class="carousel-meta-template"> <div class="caption">Lewiston Mayor Carl Sheline, right, takes a photo Thursday of Bates College Associate Professor of Politics John Baughman, left, and Bates College Associate Professor of Psychology Michael Sargent prior to the start of the Great Falls Forum at the Lewiston Public Library. <span>Russ Dillingham/Sun Journal</span></div> </script> </div> <div class="aligncenter"> <script type="text/counter" class="carousel-count-template"> <div class="carousel-nav"> <div class="arrows"> <div class="slick-manual-prev"></div> <div class="slick-manual-next"></div> </div> <div class="counter">3 of 6</div> </div> </script> <div class="image-crop" style="display:none;"> <i class="fa fa-expand mtm-magnify"></i> <img width="1024" 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class="attachment-large size-large" alt="" data-caption="A crowd listens Thursday to Bates College Associate Professor of Politics John Baughman, back left, and Bates College Associate Professor of Psychology Michael Sargent, back right, as they speak during the Great Falls Forum at the Lewiston Public Library. &lt;strong&gt;Russ Dillingham/Sun Journal&lt;/strong&gt;" data-full-size="https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/print/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122244-1732244899.jpg" data-should-sell="yes" decoding="async" srcset="https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122244-1732244899.jpg 4000w, https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122244-1732244899.jpg?resize=300,177 300w, https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122244-1732244899.jpg?resize=768,452 768w, https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122244-1732244899.jpg?resize=1024,603 1024w, https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122244-1732244899.jpg?resize=1536,904 1536w, https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122244-1732244899.jpg?resize=2048,1205 2048w, https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122244-1732244899.jpg?resize=750,441 750w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /> </div> <script type="text/caption" class="carousel-meta-template"> <div class="caption">A crowd listens Thursday to Bates College Associate Professor of Politics John Baughman, back left, and Bates College Associate Professor of Psychology Michael Sargent, back right, as they speak during the Great Falls Forum at the Lewiston Public Library. <span>Russ Dillingham/Sun Journal</span></div> </script> </div> </div> <div class="carousel-meta"> <div class="caption"> Bates College Associate Professor of Politics John Baughman, left, looks Thursday afternoon at Bates College Associate Professor of Psychology Michael Sargent as he speaks during the Great Falls Forum at the Lewiston Public Library. <span>Russ Dillingham/Sun Journal</span> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="post-content clearfix" itemprop="articleBody" id="js-post-content" data-truncate="3"> <div class="inner-article"> <script src="https://trinitymedia.ai/player/trinity/2900005750/?pageURL=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pressherald.com%2F2024%2F11%2F21%2Felection-results-offer-mixed-picture-but-perhaps-big-changes-experts-say%2F&cms=%7B%22channelHash%22%3A%22hq199w9t%22%2C%22tags%22%3A%5B%222024-election%22%2C%22bates-college%22%2C%22great-falls-forum%22%2C%22lewiston-maine%22%2C%22politics%22%5D%7D"></script><body><p>LEWISTON — If you’re finding it difficult to make sense of this month’s election results, you’re not alone.</p> <p>Two Bates College professors speaking at Thursday’s Great Falls Forum at the Lewiston Public Library are in the same boat.</p><div class="inner-sidebar"></div> <p>John Baughman, a politics professor, called it “a confounding election to interpret.”</p> <p>The results offered “mixed signals,” said Michael Sargent, a social and political psychologist.<div id="exco-adslot" class="opscoad-exco-adslot" data-unit="/6119/pressherald.com/news" style="display: block; margin:0 auto; text-align:center; width:100%;"></div></p> <div id="attachment_40447985" class="caption aligncenter" style="width: 750px"><a href="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122243.jpg?w=1024"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-40447985 size-intermediate" src="https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/plugins/lazy-load/images/1x1.trans.gif" alt width="750" height="735" data-full-size="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/print/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122243.jpg" data-should-sell="yes" data-lazy-src="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122243.jpg?w=750"><noscript><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-40447985 size-intermediate" src="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122243.jpg?w=750" alt="" width="750" height="735" data-full-size="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/print/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122243.jpg" data-should-sell="yes"></noscript></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Bates College Associate Professor of Politics John Baughman speaks Thursday afternoon during the Great Falls Forum at the Lewiston Public Library. <span class="credit"> <i>Russ Dillingham/Sun Journal</i></span> </p></div> <p>On the presidential level, Baughman said, Republican Donald Trump’s margin of victory was “not that close” in terms of the Electoral College because he won every swing state. But, he said, Trump didn’t win them by much.</p> <p>“It looks very much like a status quo election,” Baughman said, yet Trump’s victory over Democrat Kamala Harris will have “potentially very large effects” as a new administration takes office in January.<div class="ad-injection"><span class="before-injected-ad ad-notice">Advertisement</span><div id="adslot1" class="injectable-ad-slot opscoad-adPosition1" data-unit="/6119/pressherald.com/news" data-ad-index="1" style="display: block; margin:0 auto; text-align:center; width:100%;"></div></div></p> <p>The races for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House, state positions and a bunch of ballot questions around the country didn’t indicate any groundswell of support for Trump’s party or agenda, the professors said.</p> <p>Baughman said it’s interesting to note that in every major democratic country that held an election this year, the incumbent party lost.</p> <p>“The U.S. is far from alone on this,” he said.</p> <p>It didn’t matter whether the party in power was conservative or liberal. People were just eager for change to a degree never seen since records have been kept since 1905, Baughman said.</p> <p>He said it probably had something to do with lingering economic pain brought on by the pandemic that hit in 2020, especially the inflation it spurred worldwide.</p> <div id="attachment_40447978" class="caption aligncenter" style="width: 750px"><a href="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122246.jpg?w=1024"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-40447978 size-intermediate" src="https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/plugins/lazy-load/images/1x1.trans.gif" alt width="750" height="516" data-full-size="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/print/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122246.jpg" data-should-sell="yes" data-lazy-src="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122246.jpg?w=750"><noscript><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-40447978 size-intermediate" src="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122246.jpg?w=750" alt="" width="750" height="516" data-full-size="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/print/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122246.jpg" data-should-sell="yes"></noscript></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Lewiston Mayor Carl Sheline, right, takes a photo Thursday of Bates College Associate Professor of Politics John Baughman, left, and Bates College Associate Professor of Psychology Michael Sargent prior to the start of the Great Falls Forum at the Lewiston Public Library. <span class="credit"> <i>Russ Dillingham/Sun Journal</i></span> </p></div> <p>The initial data from exit polls, he said, indicate a small shift toward Trump among many groups of voters, including “a little bit of a class shift from Democrats to Republicans.”<div class="ad-injection"><span class="before-injected-ad ad-notice">Advertisement</span><div id="adslot2" class="injectable-ad-slot opscoad-adPosition2" data-unit="/6119/pressherald.com/news" data-ad-index="2" style="display: block; margin:0 auto; text-align:center; width:100%;"></div></div></p> <p>In general, Baughman said, Harris did better among voters who follow news about politics and Trump cleaned up among voters who didn’t pay much attention.</p> <p>“Harris ran an unusually effective campaign,” Baughman said. “She was actually a pretty strong candidate.”</p> <p>Voters, though, wanted a change.</p> <p>State Rep. Margaret Craven, one of two dozen people to attend in-person, asked why voters disregarded the ethical and criminal issues surrounding Trump. She asked why they voted against their own interests.</p> <p>Baughman said it’s a challenge for anyone to define the interests of others.</p> <p>In the end, he added, “Sometimes voters are pretty simple” and just “don’t like what’s happening” and their votes register that dissatisfaction.<div class="ad-injection"><span class="before-injected-ad ad-notice">Advertisement</span><div id="adslot3" class="injectable-ad-slot opscoad-adPosition2" data-unit="/6119/pressherald.com/news" data-ad-index="3" style="display: block; margin:0 auto; text-align:center; width:100%;"></div></div></p> <p>He said Trump may find it hard to get things done with such a slim majority in the U.S. House.</p> <p>Democrats may not have any short-term problems to address, Baughman said, but they have to figure out “a way to win consistently” in Sun Belt states where the population is growing faster than it is in New England, the Midwest and the West Coast.</p> <p>The party “has to be less reliant on the old Rust Belt states” before the 2032 presidential election when Southern states will have even more electoral votes.</p> <p>Great Falls Forum programs, which are free, generally take place during the lunch hour on Thursdays in the library’s Callahan Hall.</p> <p>Its next session is slated for noon Thursday, Dec. 19. It will feature Maine State Librarian Lori Fisher.</p> <p>The longstanding speaker series is cosponsored by Bates, the library and the Sun Journal.</p> <div id="attachment_40447966" class="caption aligncenter" style="width: 750px"><a href="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122241.jpg?w=1024"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-40447966 size-intermediate" src="https://www.pressherald.com/wp-content/plugins/lazy-load/images/1x1.trans.gif" alt width="750" height="491" data-full-size="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/print/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122241.jpg" data-should-sell="yes" data-lazy-src="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122241.jpg?w=750"><noscript><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-40447966 size-intermediate" src="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122241.jpg?w=750" alt="" width="750" height="491" data-full-size="https://w2pcms.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/print/40435359_SJ.CITelectiontalk.P1122241.jpg" data-should-sell="yes"></noscript></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Bates College Associate Professor of Politics John Baughman, left, looks Thursday afternoon at Bates College Associate Professor of Psychology Michael Sargent as he speaks during the Great Falls Forum at the Lewiston Public Library. <span class="credit"> <i>Russ Dillingham/Sun Journal</i></span> </p></div> </body> <button class="article-copy"><?xml version="1.0"?> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="19" height="19" viewBox="0 0 19 19" fill="none"> <path d="M11.8168 6.70744C13.9785 8.87133 13.9488 12.3406 11.8299 14.4713C11.8259 14.4756 11.8212 14.4803 11.8168 14.4847L9.38554 16.916C7.24115 19.0603 3.75235 19.0601 1.60829 16.916C-0.536097 14.7719 -0.536097 11.2828 1.60829 9.13873L2.95078 7.79624C3.30679 7.44023 3.9199 7.67685 3.93828 8.17997C3.96172 8.82115 4.0767 9.46533 4.28886 10.0874C4.36072 10.298 4.30938 10.531 4.152 10.6884L3.67851 11.1619C2.66453 12.1759 2.63273 13.8269 3.63672 14.8508C4.65063 15.8848 6.31715 15.8909 7.33883 14.8693L9.77013 12.4383C10.7901 11.4184 10.7858 9.76982 9.77013 8.75414C9.63623 8.62049 9.50135 8.51666 9.39599 8.44411C9.32146 8.39293 9.25992 8.32504 9.21628 8.24585C9.17264 8.16667 9.14811 8.07838 9.14465 7.98803C9.13032 7.60572 9.26578 7.21176 9.56788 6.90965L10.3296 6.14789C10.5294 5.94814 10.8427 5.92361 11.0743 6.08526C11.3396 6.27048 11.5881 6.47868 11.8168 6.70744ZM16.9159 1.60818C14.7718 -0.535915 11.283 -0.536204 9.13861 1.60818L6.70731 4.03947C6.70297 4.04381 6.69827 4.04851 6.69429 4.05285C4.57537 6.18356 4.54567 9.65281 6.70731 11.8167C6.93607 12.0455 7.18451 12.2536 7.44976 12.4388C7.68139 12.6005 7.99478 12.5759 8.19449 12.3762L8.95622 11.6144C9.25833 11.3123 9.39378 10.9184 9.37946 10.5361C9.37599 10.4457 9.35147 10.3574 9.30783 10.2782C9.26419 10.1991 9.20265 10.1312 9.12812 10.08C9.02276 10.0074 8.88788 9.90361 8.75398 9.76996C7.7383 8.75428 7.73403 7.10571 8.75398 6.08576L11.1853 3.65484C12.207 2.63315 13.8734 2.6393 14.8874 3.67329C15.8914 4.69718 15.8596 6.34821 14.8456 7.36219L14.3721 7.83568C14.2147 7.99306 14.1634 8.22606 14.2352 8.4367C14.4474 9.05877 14.5624 9.70296 14.5858 10.3441C14.6042 10.8473 15.2173 11.0839 15.5733 10.7279L16.9158 9.38537C19.0602 7.24139 19.0602 3.7522 16.9159 1.60818Z" fill="black"/> </svg> Copy the Story Link</button> </div> <div class="mobile-article-sidebar-wrapper"> <div class="mobile-article-sidebar-1"></div> <div class="mobile-article-sidebar-2"></div> </div> <div class="mtm-article-comments-talk print-no"> <div class="commenting-profile-information hidden"> <p>We invite you to add your comments. 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