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itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/02/does-deepseek-impact-the-future-of-ai-data-centers.html"> <img width="800" height="800" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAyAAAAMgAQAAAADzCzvFAAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAABlSURBVHja7cExAQAAAMKg9U9tBn+gAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAeAw7rwABdgN32AAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters.jpg 800w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters-300x300.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters-150x150.jpg 150w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters-768x768.jpg 768w" data-sizes="auto" data-eio-rwidth="800" data-eio-rheight="800" /><noscript><img width="800" height="800" src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters.jpg" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters.jpg 800w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters-300x300.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters-150x150.jpg 150w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/deepseekAIdatacenters-768x768.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px" data-eio="l" /></noscript> </a> </div> <header class="entry-header"> <h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/02/does-deepseek-impact-the-future-of-ai-data-centers.html" rel="bookmark">Does DeepSeek Impact the Future of AI Data Centers?</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2025-02-15T16:24:57-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">February 15, 2025</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>China’s DeepSeek has made innovations in the cost of AI and innovations like mixture of experts (MoE) and fine-grain expert segmentation which significantly improve efficiency in large language models. The DeepSeek model activates only about 37 billion parameters out of its total 600+ billion parameters during inference, compared to models like Llama that activate all … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="Does DeepSeek Impact the Future of AI Data Centers?" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/02/does-deepseek-impact-the-future-of-ai-data-centers.html#more-201056" aria-label="Read more about Does DeepSeek Impact the Future of AI Data Centers?">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 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class="post-200924 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-technology category-world tag-elon-musk tag-future tag-openai tag-xai generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/02/what-is-the-game-with-elon-bidding-97-5-billion-for-openai.html"> <img width="1024" height="768" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAABAAAAAMAAQAAAACSwSigAAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAAB2SURBVHja7cEBAQAAAIIg/69uSEABAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAADvBoMPAAHlAN1UAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/image8.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/image8.jpg 1024w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/image8-300x225.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/image8-768x576.jpg 768w" data-sizes="auto" data-eio-rwidth="1024" data-eio-rheight="768" /><noscript><img width="1024" height="768" src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/image8.jpg" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/image8.jpg 1024w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/image8-300x225.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/02/image8-768x576.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" data-eio="l" /></noscript> </a> </div> <header class="entry-header"> <h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/02/what-is-the-game-with-elon-bidding-97-5-billion-for-openai.html" rel="bookmark">What Is the Game With Elon Bidding $97.5 Billion for OpenAI?</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2025-02-10T18:17:09-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">February 10, 2025</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>The $97.4 billion bid by Elon Musk and his consortium to acquire OpenAI is likely a move to delay and complicate OpenAI’s growth and conversion to for profit. Sam and his board won’t take the offer but they will have to explain why in court. Other owners in the nonprofit will want a piece of … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="What Is the Game With Elon Bidding $97.5 Billion for OpenAI?" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/02/what-is-the-game-with-elon-bidding-97-5-billion-for-openai.html#more-200924" aria-label="Read more about What Is the Game With Elon Bidding $97.5 Billion for OpenAI?">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 24-24-10.745-24-24z"/><path d="M259.515 43.015c4.686-4.687 12.284-4.687 16.97 0l228 228c4.686 4.686 4.686 12.284 0 16.97l-180 180c-4.686 4.687-12.284 4.687-16.97 0-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97L479.029 279.5 259.515 59.985c-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97z" /></svg></span><span class="screen-reader-text">Tags </span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/elon-musk" rel="tag">elon musk</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/future" rel="tag">future</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/openai" rel="tag">openai</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/xai" rel="tag">xai</a></span> <span class="comments-link"><span class="gp-icon icon-comments"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M132.838 329.973a435.298 435.298 0 0016.769-9.004c13.363-7.574 26.587-16.142 37.419-25.507 7.544.597 15.27.925 23.098.925 54.905 0 105.634-15.311 143.285-41.28 23.728-16.365 43.115-37.692 54.155-62.645 54.739 22.205 91.498 63.272 91.498 110.286 0 42.186-29.558 79.498-75.09 102.828 23.46 49.216 75.09 101.709 75.09 101.709s-115.837-38.35-154.424-78.46c-9.956 1.12-20.297 1.758-30.793 1.758-88.727 0-162.927-43.071-181.007-100.61z"/><path d="M383.371 132.502c0 70.603-82.961 127.787-185.216 127.787-10.496 0-20.837-.639-30.793-1.757-38.587 40.093-154.424 78.429-154.424 78.429s51.63-52.472 75.09-101.67c-45.532-23.321-75.09-60.619-75.09-102.79C12.938 61.9 95.9 4.716 198.155 4.716 300.41 4.715 383.37 61.9 383.37 132.502z" /></svg></span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/02/what-is-the-game-with-elon-bidding-97-5-billion-for-openai.html#comments">10 Comments</a></span> </footer> </div> </article> <article id="post-200563" class="post-200563 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-energy category-technology category-world tag-artificial-intelligence tag-energy tag-openai tag-united-states tag-world generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/how-much-money-gpus-and-gigawatts-for-needed-for-500-billion-of-stargate-ai-data-centers.html"> <img width="786" height="481" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAxIAAAHhAQAAAADSJrX4AAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAABFSURBVHja7cExAQAAAMKg9U9tCy+gAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAOBru+QAAdXsEeIAAAAASUVORK5CYII=" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-23-at-2.09.06-PM.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-23-at-2.09.06-PM.jpg 786w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-23-at-2.09.06-PM-300x184.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-23-at-2.09.06-PM-768x470.jpg 768w" data-sizes="auto" data-eio-rwidth="786" data-eio-rheight="481" /><noscript><img width="786" height="481" src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-23-at-2.09.06-PM.jpg" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-23-at-2.09.06-PM.jpg 786w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-23-at-2.09.06-PM-300x184.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-23-at-2.09.06-PM-768x470.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 786px) 100vw, 786px" data-eio="l" /></noscript> </a> </div> <header class="entry-header"> <h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/how-much-money-gpus-and-gigawatts-for-needed-for-500-billion-of-stargate-ai-data-centers.html" rel="bookmark">How Much Money, GPUs and Gigawatts for Needed for $500 Billion of Stargate AI Data Centers?</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2025-01-23T14:27:57-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">January 23, 2025</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>There has been the controversial announcement what is called a $500 billion AI project in the USA. There is controversy about how much funding is in the project. The announcement did talk about building this out over years. Altimeter Capital has an analysis of the financials for the $100 billion per year of the Softbank, … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="How Much Money, GPUs and Gigawatts for Needed for $500 Billion of Stargate AI Data Centers?" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/how-much-money-gpus-and-gigawatts-for-needed-for-500-billion-of-stargate-ai-data-centers.html#more-200563" aria-label="Read more about How Much Money, GPUs and Gigawatts for Needed for $500 Billion of Stargate AI Data Centers?">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 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has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-technology category-world tag-artificial-intelligence tag-china tag-deepseek tag-openai tag-opensource generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/open-source-and-china-have-caught-up-with-openai.html"> <img width="974" height="825" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAA84AAAM5AQAAAAD++VVUAAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAAB5SURBVHja7cExAQAAAMKg9U9tCU+gAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA4G4xyAAE48SvxAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/deepseekr1vso1.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/deepseekr1vso1.jpg 974w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/deepseekr1vso1-300x254.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/deepseekr1vso1-768x651.jpg 768w" data-sizes="auto" data-eio-rwidth="974" data-eio-rheight="825" /><noscript><img width="974" height="825" src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/deepseekr1vso1.jpg" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/deepseekr1vso1.jpg 974w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/deepseekr1vso1-300x254.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/deepseekr1vso1-768x651.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 974px) 100vw, 974px" data-eio="l" /></noscript> </a> </div> <header class="entry-header"> <h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/open-source-and-china-have-caught-up-with-openai.html" rel="bookmark">Open Source and China Have Caught Up With OpenAI</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2025-01-21T16:38:29-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">January 21, 2025</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>100 person China startup DeepSeek just released the first Open Source Reasoning Model that matched the OpenAI o1 reasoning model. OpenAI was charging $200 per month to use the OpenAI o1 pro model. How did an unknown, 100 person startup with $0 VC funding produce a frontier open source model that rivaled OpenAI and Anthropic … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="Open Source and China Have Caught Up With OpenAI" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/open-source-and-china-have-caught-up-with-openai.html#more-200508" aria-label="Read more about Open Source and China Have Caught Up With OpenAI">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 24-24-10.745-24-24z"/><path d="M259.515 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54.905 0 105.634-15.311 143.285-41.28 23.728-16.365 43.115-37.692 54.155-62.645 54.739 22.205 91.498 63.272 91.498 110.286 0 42.186-29.558 79.498-75.09 102.828 23.46 49.216 75.09 101.709 75.09 101.709s-115.837-38.35-154.424-78.46c-9.956 1.12-20.297 1.758-30.793 1.758-88.727 0-162.927-43.071-181.007-100.61z"/><path d="M383.371 132.502c0 70.603-82.961 127.787-185.216 127.787-10.496 0-20.837-.639-30.793-1.757-38.587 40.093-154.424 78.429-154.424 78.429s51.63-52.472 75.09-101.67c-45.532-23.321-75.09-60.619-75.09-102.79C12.938 61.9 95.9 4.716 198.155 4.716 300.41 4.715 383.37 61.9 383.37 132.502z" /></svg></span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/open-source-and-china-have-caught-up-with-openai.html#comments">2 Comments</a></span> </footer> </div> </article> <article id="post-200458" class="post-200458 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-science category-technology category-world tag-agi tag-asi tag-future tag-openai tag-sam-altman generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/sam-altman-says-ai-takeoff-in-small-number-of-years-not-months-or-a-decade.html"> <img width="1200" height="641" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAABLAAAAKBAQAAAABvrG9QAAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAAB1SURBVHja7cGBAAAAAMOg+VNf4QBVAQAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAKcBeiYAARZT82AAAAAASUVORK5CYII=" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai.jpg 1200w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai-300x160.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai-768x410.jpg 768w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai-1024x547.jpg 1024w" data-sizes="auto" data-eio-rwidth="1200" data-eio-rheight="641" /><noscript><img width="1200" height="641" src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai.jpg" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai.jpg 1200w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai-300x160.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai-768x410.jpg 768w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2020/10/openai-1024x547.jpg 1024w" sizes="(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" data-eio="l" /></noscript> </a> </div> <header class="entry-header"> <h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/sam-altman-says-ai-takeoff-in-small-number-of-years-not-months-or-a-decade.html" rel="bookmark">Sam Altman Says AI Takeoff in Small Number of Years Not Months or a Decade</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2025-01-20T11:06:05-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">January 20, 2025</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, now says he is more confident of a fast AI takeoff. A fast AI takeoff is more possible than he thought a couple of years ago. He suggested this could happen within a small number of years rather than a decade. This indicates a shift in his perspective towards … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="Sam Altman Says AI Takeoff in Small Number of Years Not Months or a Decade" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/sam-altman-says-ai-takeoff-in-small-number-of-years-not-months-or-a-decade.html#more-200458" aria-label="Read more about Sam Altman Says AI Takeoff in Small Number of Years Not Months or a Decade">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 24-24-10.745-24-24z"/><path d="M259.515 43.015c4.686-4.687 12.284-4.687 16.97 0l228 228c4.686 4.686 4.686 12.284 0 16.97l-180 180c-4.686 4.687-12.284 4.687-16.97 0-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97L479.029 279.5 259.515 59.985c-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97z" /></svg></span><span class="screen-reader-text">Tags </span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/agi" rel="tag">AGI</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/asi" rel="tag">ASI</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/future" rel="tag">future</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/openai" rel="tag">openai</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/sam-altman" rel="tag">sam altman</a></span> <span class="comments-link"><span class="gp-icon icon-comments"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M132.838 329.973a435.298 435.298 0 0016.769-9.004c13.363-7.574 26.587-16.142 37.419-25.507 7.544.597 15.27.925 23.098.925 54.905 0 105.634-15.311 143.285-41.28 23.728-16.365 43.115-37.692 54.155-62.645 54.739 22.205 91.498 63.272 91.498 110.286 0 42.186-29.558 79.498-75.09 102.828 23.46 49.216 75.09 101.709 75.09 101.709s-115.837-38.35-154.424-78.46c-9.956 1.12-20.297 1.758-30.793 1.758-88.727 0-162.927-43.071-181.007-100.61z"/><path d="M383.371 132.502c0 70.603-82.961 127.787-185.216 127.787-10.496 0-20.837-.639-30.793-1.757-38.587 40.093-154.424 78.429-154.424 78.429s51.63-52.472 75.09-101.67c-45.532-23.321-75.09-60.619-75.09-102.79C12.938 61.9 95.9 4.716 198.155 4.716 300.41 4.715 383.37 61.9 383.37 132.502z" /></svg></span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/sam-altman-says-ai-takeoff-in-small-number-of-years-not-months-or-a-decade.html#comments">3 Comments</a></span> </footer> </div> </article> <article id="post-200447" class="post-200447 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-science category-technology category-world tag-agi tag-artificial-intelligence tag-future tag-openai generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/has-openai-reached-ai-that-can-innovate.html"> <img width="1244" height="581" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAABNwAAAJFAQAAAAAuDtcMAAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAABvSURBVHja7cExAQAAAMKg9U9tDQ+gAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAALgyZGAAAYSu/igAAAAASUVORK5CYII=" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/openai5levels.png" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/openai5levels.png 1244w, 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<h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/has-openai-reached-ai-that-can-innovate.html" rel="bookmark">Has OpenAI Reached AI That Can Innovate?</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="updated" datetime="2025-01-20T09:44:06-08:00" itemprop="dateModified">January 20, 2025</time><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2025-01-19T22:59:01-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">January 19, 2025</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>OpenaI internal news is that they have progress to AI that can innovate. UPDATE: Sam Altman says there no AGI in the next month and no AGI has been built. twitter hype is out of control again. we are not gonna deploy AGI next month, nor have we built it. we have some very cool … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="Has OpenAI Reached AI That Can Innovate?" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/has-openai-reached-ai-that-can-innovate.html#more-200447" aria-label="Read more about Has OpenAI Reached AI That Can Innovate?">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 24-24-10.745-24-24z"/><path d="M259.515 43.015c4.686-4.687 12.284-4.687 16.97 0l228 228c4.686 4.686 4.686 12.284 0 16.97l-180 180c-4.686 4.687-12.284 4.687-16.97 0-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97L479.029 279.5 259.515 59.985c-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97z" /></svg></span><span class="screen-reader-text">Tags </span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/agi" rel="tag">AGI</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/artificial-intelligence" rel="tag">artificial intelligence</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/future" rel="tag">future</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/openai" rel="tag">openai</a></span> <span class="comments-link"><span class="gp-icon icon-comments"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M132.838 329.973a435.298 435.298 0 0016.769-9.004c13.363-7.574 26.587-16.142 37.419-25.507 7.544.597 15.27.925 23.098.925 54.905 0 105.634-15.311 143.285-41.28 23.728-16.365 43.115-37.692 54.155-62.645 54.739 22.205 91.498 63.272 91.498 110.286 0 42.186-29.558 79.498-75.09 102.828 23.46 49.216 75.09 101.709 75.09 101.709s-115.837-38.35-154.424-78.46c-9.956 1.12-20.297 1.758-30.793 1.758-88.727 0-162.927-43.071-181.007-100.61z"/><path d="M383.371 132.502c0 70.603-82.961 127.787-185.216 127.787-10.496 0-20.837-.639-30.793-1.757-38.587 40.093-154.424 78.429-154.424 78.429s51.63-52.472 75.09-101.67c-45.532-23.321-75.09-60.619-75.09-102.79C12.938 61.9 95.9 4.716 198.155 4.716 300.41 4.715 383.37 61.9 383.37 132.502z" /></svg></span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/has-openai-reached-ai-that-can-innovate.html#comments">2 Comments</a></span> </footer> </div> </article> <article id="post-200264" class="post-200264 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-energy category-science category-technology category-world tag-artificial-intelligence tag-energy tag-future tag-google tag-llm tag-meta tag-openai tag-xai generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/overview-of-2025-ai-value-spending-and-infrastructure.html"> <img width="920" height="662" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAA5gAAAKWAQAAAAAEzgvUAAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAABhSURBVHja7cEBDQAAAMKg909tDjegAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAB4MCwHAAFfjUABAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-14-at-4.24.35-PM-1.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-14-at-4.24.35-PM-1.jpg 920w, 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itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/overview-of-2025-ai-value-spending-and-infrastructure.html" rel="bookmark">Overview of 2025 AI Value, Spending and Infrastructure</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2025-01-14T16:17:36-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">January 14, 2025</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>2024 was another monster year for AI progress and spending on AI. In 2024, organizations worldwide spent an estimated $235 billion on AI, encompassing applications, infrastructure, and related services. The Future of AI is not certain but the huge spending is for the belief that we will transform the information industries with AGI-like or even … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="Overview of 2025 AI Value, Spending and Infrastructure" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/overview-of-2025-ai-value-spending-and-infrastructure.html#more-200264" aria-label="Read more about Overview of 2025 AI Value, Spending and Infrastructure">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 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</article> <article id="post-200026" class="post-200026 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-science category-technology category-world tag-agi tag-asi tag-future tag-openai tag-predictions tag-singularity tag-technology generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/near-the-singularity-unclear-which-side.html"> <img width="1202" height="840" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAABLIAAANIAQAAAAD7yfulAAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAACSSURBVHja7cEBDQAAAMKg909tDwcUAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA/BvyzwABY6YB2gAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM.jpg 1202w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM-300x210.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM-1024x716.jpg 1024w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM-768x537.jpg 768w" data-sizes="auto" data-eio-rwidth="1202" data-eio-rheight="840" /><noscript><img width="1202" height="840" src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM.jpg" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM.jpg 1202w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM-300x210.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM-1024x716.jpg 1024w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-07-at-11.17.11-AM-768x537.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1202px) 100vw, 1202px" data-eio="l" /></noscript> </a> </div> <header class="entry-header"> <h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/near-the-singularity-unclear-which-side.html" rel="bookmark">Near the Singularity, Unclear Which Side</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2025-01-07T11:18:05-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">January 7, 2025</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>Sam Altman talks about AGI products in 2025 and setting OpenAI sights on ASI (Superintelligence). [OpenAI and Sam Altman] are now confident they know how to build AGI as they have traditionally understood it. They believe that, in 2025, the world may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="Near the Singularity, Unclear Which Side" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/near-the-singularity-unclear-which-side.html#more-200026" aria-label="Read more about Near the Singularity, Unclear Which Side">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 24-24-10.745-24-24z"/><path d="M259.515 43.015c4.686-4.687 12.284-4.687 16.97 0l228 228c4.686 4.686 4.686 12.284 0 16.97l-180 180c-4.686 4.687-12.284 4.687-16.97 0-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97L479.029 279.5 259.515 59.985c-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97z" /></svg></span><span class="screen-reader-text">Tags </span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/agi" rel="tag">AGI</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/asi" rel="tag">ASI</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/future" rel="tag">future</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/openai" rel="tag">openai</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/predictions" rel="tag">predictions</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/singularity" rel="tag">singularity</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/technology" rel="tag">technology</a></span> <span class="comments-link"><span class="gp-icon icon-comments"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M132.838 329.973a435.298 435.298 0 0016.769-9.004c13.363-7.574 26.587-16.142 37.419-25.507 7.544.597 15.27.925 23.098.925 54.905 0 105.634-15.311 143.285-41.28 23.728-16.365 43.115-37.692 54.155-62.645 54.739 22.205 91.498 63.272 91.498 110.286 0 42.186-29.558 79.498-75.09 102.828 23.46 49.216 75.09 101.709 75.09 101.709s-115.837-38.35-154.424-78.46c-9.956 1.12-20.297 1.758-30.793 1.758-88.727 0-162.927-43.071-181.007-100.61z"/><path d="M383.371 132.502c0 70.603-82.961 127.787-185.216 127.787-10.496 0-20.837-.639-30.793-1.757-38.587 40.093-154.424 78.429-154.424 78.429s51.63-52.472 75.09-101.67c-45.532-23.321-75.09-60.619-75.09-102.79C12.938 61.9 95.9 4.716 198.155 4.716 300.41 4.715 383.37 61.9 383.37 132.502z" /></svg></span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/01/near-the-singularity-unclear-which-side.html#comments">14 Comments</a></span> </footer> </div> </article> <article id="post-199898" class="post-199898 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-science category-technology category-world tag-agi tag-future tag-llm tag-o3 tag-openai tag-technology generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-and-test-time-reasoning.html"> <img width="528" height="310" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAhAAAAE2AQAAAAAYZpaSAAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAAArSURBVHja7cExAQAAAMKg9U9tDB+gAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAADeBlEiAAFEfP2JAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-28-at-11.27.20-PM.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-28-at-11.27.20-PM.jpg 528w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-28-at-11.27.20-PM-300x176.jpg 300w" data-sizes="auto" data-eio-rwidth="528" data-eio-rheight="310" /><noscript><img width="528" height="310" src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-28-at-11.27.20-PM.jpg" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-28-at-11.27.20-PM.jpg 528w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-28-at-11.27.20-PM-300x176.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 528px) 100vw, 528px" data-eio="l" /></noscript> </a> </div> <header class="entry-header"> <h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-and-test-time-reasoning.html" rel="bookmark">OpenAI O3 and Test Time Reasoning</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2024-12-28T23:28:03-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">December 28, 2024</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>OpenAI o3 achieved an 88.5% score on the ARC-AGI benchmark using high computing equipment which is beyond most humans at 77% scores. OpenAI used up to $10,000 worth of compute for each AGI answer. At a rate of around $1.45 to $1.49 per hour, $10,000 would cover approximately 6,711 to 6,897 GPU hours in Nvidia … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="OpenAI O3 and Test Time Reasoning" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-and-test-time-reasoning.html#more-199898" aria-label="Read more about OpenAI O3 and Test Time Reasoning">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 24-24-10.745-24-24z"/><path d="M259.515 43.015c4.686-4.687 12.284-4.687 16.97 0l228 228c4.686 4.686 4.686 12.284 0 16.97l-180 180c-4.686 4.687-12.284 4.687-16.97 0-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97L479.029 279.5 259.515 59.985c-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97z" /></svg></span><span class="screen-reader-text">Tags </span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/agi" rel="tag">AGI</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/future" rel="tag">future</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/llm" rel="tag">llm</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/o3" rel="tag">o3</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/openai" rel="tag">openai</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/technology" rel="tag">technology</a></span> <span class="comments-link"><span class="gp-icon icon-comments"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M132.838 329.973a435.298 435.298 0 0016.769-9.004c13.363-7.574 26.587-16.142 37.419-25.507 7.544.597 15.27.925 23.098.925 54.905 0 105.634-15.311 143.285-41.28 23.728-16.365 43.115-37.692 54.155-62.645 54.739 22.205 91.498 63.272 91.498 110.286 0 42.186-29.558 79.498-75.09 102.828 23.46 49.216 75.09 101.709 75.09 101.709s-115.837-38.35-154.424-78.46c-9.956 1.12-20.297 1.758-30.793 1.758-88.727 0-162.927-43.071-181.007-100.61z"/><path d="M383.371 132.502c0 70.603-82.961 127.787-185.216 127.787-10.496 0-20.837-.639-30.793-1.757-38.587 40.093-154.424 78.429-154.424 78.429s51.63-52.472 75.09-101.67c-45.532-23.321-75.09-60.619-75.09-102.79C12.938 61.9 95.9 4.716 198.155 4.716 300.41 4.715 383.37 61.9 383.37 132.502z" /></svg></span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-and-test-time-reasoning.html#comments">3 Comments</a></span> </footer> </div> </article> <article id="post-199831" class="post-199831 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-science category-technology category-world tag-agi tag-artificial-intelligence tag-future tag-o3 tag-openai tag-technology generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-crushes-benchmark-tests-but-is-it-intelligence.html"> <img width="904" height="978" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAA4gAAAPSAQAAAAAR3snyAAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAACDSURBVHja7cGBAAAAAMOg+VMf4QJVAQAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAfAOzkwABz+/tjAAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-24-at-10.01.18-AM.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-24-at-10.01.18-AM.jpg 904w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-24-at-10.01.18-AM-277x300.jpg 277w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-24-at-10.01.18-AM-768x831.jpg 768w" data-sizes="auto" data-eio-rwidth="904" data-eio-rheight="978" /><noscript><img width="904" height="978" src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-24-at-10.01.18-AM.jpg" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-24-at-10.01.18-AM.jpg 904w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-24-at-10.01.18-AM-277x300.jpg 277w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-24-at-10.01.18-AM-768x831.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 904px) 100vw, 904px" data-eio="l" /></noscript> </a> </div> <header class="entry-header"> <h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-crushes-benchmark-tests-but-is-it-intelligence.html" rel="bookmark">OpenAI O3 Crushes Benchmark Tests But is it Intelligence ?</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2024-12-24T10:07:05-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">December 24, 2024</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>OpenAI O3 crushes benchmark tests and puzzles but is it intelligence ? There is some substantial costs of $5000 to $500,000 of compute to solve the hard problems. The AI compute costs will become vastly more efficient and lower cost. The problems have correct answers but there can be more issues around more compromises and … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="OpenAI O3 Crushes Benchmark Tests But is it Intelligence ?" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-crushes-benchmark-tests-but-is-it-intelligence.html#more-199831" aria-label="Read more about OpenAI O3 Crushes Benchmark Tests But is it Intelligence ?">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 24-24-10.745-24-24z"/><path d="M259.515 43.015c4.686-4.687 12.284-4.687 16.97 0l228 228c4.686 4.686 4.686 12.284 0 16.97l-180 180c-4.686 4.687-12.284 4.687-16.97 0-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97L479.029 279.5 259.515 59.985c-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97z" /></svg></span><span class="screen-reader-text">Tags </span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/agi" rel="tag">AGI</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/artificial-intelligence" rel="tag">artificial intelligence</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/future" rel="tag">future</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/o3" rel="tag">o3</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/openai" rel="tag">openai</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/technology" rel="tag">technology</a></span> <span class="comments-link"><span class="gp-icon icon-comments"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M132.838 329.973a435.298 435.298 0 0016.769-9.004c13.363-7.574 26.587-16.142 37.419-25.507 7.544.597 15.27.925 23.098.925 54.905 0 105.634-15.311 143.285-41.28 23.728-16.365 43.115-37.692 54.155-62.645 54.739 22.205 91.498 63.272 91.498 110.286 0 42.186-29.558 79.498-75.09 102.828 23.46 49.216 75.09 101.709 75.09 101.709s-115.837-38.35-154.424-78.46c-9.956 1.12-20.297 1.758-30.793 1.758-88.727 0-162.927-43.071-181.007-100.61z"/><path d="M383.371 132.502c0 70.603-82.961 127.787-185.216 127.787-10.496 0-20.837-.639-30.793-1.757-38.587 40.093-154.424 78.429-154.424 78.429s51.63-52.472 75.09-101.67c-45.532-23.321-75.09-60.619-75.09-102.79C12.938 61.9 95.9 4.716 198.155 4.716 300.41 4.715 383.37 61.9 383.37 132.502z" /></svg></span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-crushes-benchmark-tests-but-is-it-intelligence.html#comments">3 Comments</a></span> </footer> </div> </article> <article id="post-199812" class="post-199812 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-artificial-intelligence category-technology category-world tag-agi tag-artificial-intelligence tag-o3 tag-openai tag-technology generate-columns tablet-grid-50 mobile-grid-100 grid-parent grid-50 no-featured-image-padding" itemtype="https://schema.org/CreativeWork" itemscope> <div class="inside-article"> <div class="post-image"> <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-ranks-as-175th-best-in-the-world-on-coding-test-and-great-on-agi-and-phd-tests.html"> <img width="1176" height="936" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAABJgAAAOoAQAAAAC18nM+AAAAAnRSTlMAAHaTzTgAAACcSURBVHja7cEBAQAAAIIg/69uSEABAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHwZHT4AAY4eaaEAAAAASUVORK5CYII=" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image lazyload" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" data-src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM.jpg" data-srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM.jpg 1176w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM-300x239.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM-1024x815.jpg 1024w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM-768x611.jpg 768w" data-sizes="auto" data-eio-rwidth="1176" data-eio-rheight="936" /><noscript><img width="1176" height="936" src="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM.jpg" class="attachment-full size-full wp-post-image" alt="" itemprop="image" decoding="async" srcset="https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM.jpg 1176w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM-300x239.jpg 300w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM-1024x815.jpg 1024w, https://nextbigfuture.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2024-12-21-at-10.40.19-PM-768x611.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1176px) 100vw, 1176px" data-eio="l" /></noscript> </a> </div> <header class="entry-header"> <h2 class="entry-title" itemprop="headline"><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-ranks-as-175th-best-in-the-world-on-coding-test-and-great-on-agi-and-phd-tests.html" rel="bookmark">OpenAI O3 Ranks as 175th Best in the World on Coding Test and Great on AGI and PHD Tests</a></h2> <div class="entry-meta"> <span class="posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2024-12-21T23:08:53-08:00" itemprop="datePublished">December 21, 2024</time></span> <span class="byline">by <span class="author vcard" itemprop="author" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person" itemscope><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/author/brian-wang" title="View all posts by Brian Wang" rel="author" itemprop="url"><span class="author-name" itemprop="name">Brian Wang</span></a></span></span> </div> </header> <div class="entry-summary" itemprop="text"> <p>OpenAI O3 is scoring great on all of the coding and AGI tests. It is saturating many of the tests. OpenAI O3 seems to have solved a lot of advanced reasoning and math. OpenAI O3 needed to use about $1 million worth of compute to answer the AGI test questions. Dr Alan Thompson increased his … </p> <p class="read-more-container"><a title="OpenAI O3 Ranks as 175th Best in the World on Coding Test and Great on AGI and PHD Tests" class="read-more button" href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-ranks-as-175th-best-in-the-world-on-coding-test-and-great-on-agi-and-phd-tests.html#more-199812" aria-label="Read more about OpenAI O3 Ranks as 175th Best in the World on Coding Test and Great on AGI and PHD Tests">Read more</a></p> </div> <footer class="entry-meta" aria-label="Entry meta"> <span class="tags-links"><span class="gp-icon icon-tags"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M20 39.5c-8.836 0-16 7.163-16 16v176c0 4.243 1.686 8.313 4.687 11.314l224 224c6.248 6.248 16.378 6.248 22.626 0l176-176c6.244-6.244 6.25-16.364.013-22.615l-223.5-224A15.999 15.999 0 00196.5 39.5H20zm56 96c0-13.255 10.745-24 24-24s24 10.745 24 24-10.745 24-24 24-24-10.745-24-24z"/><path d="M259.515 43.015c4.686-4.687 12.284-4.687 16.97 0l228 228c4.686 4.686 4.686 12.284 0 16.97l-180 180c-4.686 4.687-12.284 4.687-16.97 0-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97L479.029 279.5 259.515 59.985c-4.686-4.686-4.686-12.284 0-16.97z" /></svg></span><span class="screen-reader-text">Tags </span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/agi" rel="tag">AGI</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/artificial-intelligence" rel="tag">artificial intelligence</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/o3" rel="tag">o3</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/openai" rel="tag">openai</a>, <a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/tag/technology" rel="tag">technology</a></span> <span class="comments-link"><span class="gp-icon icon-comments"><svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="1em" height="1em"><path d="M132.838 329.973a435.298 435.298 0 0016.769-9.004c13.363-7.574 26.587-16.142 37.419-25.507 7.544.597 15.27.925 23.098.925 54.905 0 105.634-15.311 143.285-41.28 23.728-16.365 43.115-37.692 54.155-62.645 54.739 22.205 91.498 63.272 91.498 110.286 0 42.186-29.558 79.498-75.09 102.828 23.46 49.216 75.09 101.709 75.09 101.709s-115.837-38.35-154.424-78.46c-9.956 1.12-20.297 1.758-30.793 1.758-88.727 0-162.927-43.071-181.007-100.61z"/><path d="M383.371 132.502c0 70.603-82.961 127.787-185.216 127.787-10.496 0-20.837-.639-30.793-1.757-38.587 40.093-154.424 78.429-154.424 78.429s51.63-52.472 75.09-101.67c-45.532-23.321-75.09-60.619-75.09-102.79C12.938 61.9 95.9 4.716 198.155 4.716 300.41 4.715 383.37 61.9 383.37 132.502z" /></svg></span><a href="https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/12/openai-o3-ranks-as-175th-best-in-the-world-on-coding-test-and-great-on-agi-and-phd-tests.html#comments">6 Comments</a></span> </footer> </div> </article> <nav id="nav-below" class="paging-navigation" aria-label="Archive Page"> <div class="nav-previous"> <span class="gp-icon icon-arrow"><svg viewBox="0 0 330 512" aria-hidden="true" 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