US Presidential Elections 2024: Impact on Taiwan

<!DOCTYPE html><html xmlns:og="http://opengraphprotocol.org/schema/" lang="en-US"><head> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8"> <meta name="HandheldFriendly" content="True"> <meta name="viewport" content="initial-scale=1, maximum-scale=1, user-scalable=no, width=device-width"> <meta name="format-detection" content="telephone=no"> <meta property="og:title" content="US Presidential Elections 2024: Impact on Taiwan"><meta property="twitter:title" content="US Presidential Elections 2024: Impact on Taiwan"><meta name="description" content="Insights from Elizabeth Freund Larus."><meta property="og:description" content="Insights from Elizabeth Freund Larus."><meta property="twitter:description" content="Insights from Elizabeth Freund Larus."><meta property="og:image"" content="https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/td-story-s-2/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg"><meta property="twitter:image"" content="https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/td-story-s-2/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg"><meta name="url" itemprop="url" content="https://thediplomat.com/2024/11/us-presidential-elections-2024-impact-on-taiwan/"><meta property="og:url" content="https://thediplomat.com/2024/11/us-presidential-elections-2024-impact-on-taiwan/"><meta property="twitter:url" content="https://thediplomat.com/2024/11/us-presidential-elections-2024-impact-on-taiwan/"><meta name="keywords" content="Diplomacy,East Asia,Taiwan,United States,Harris Taiwan policy,Trump Taiwan policy,U.S. Taiwan policy,U.S.-Taiwan Relations"/><meta name="news_keywords" content="Diplomacy,East Asia,Taiwan,United States,Harris Taiwan policy,Trump Taiwan policy,U.S. Taiwan policy,U.S.-Taiwan Relations"/><meta property="article:tag" content="Diplomacy"/><meta property="article:tag" content="East Asia"/><meta property="article:tag" content="Taiwan"/><meta property="article:tag" content="United States"/><meta property="article:tag" content="Harris Taiwan policy"/><meta property="article:tag" content="Trump Taiwan policy"/><meta property="article:tag" content="U.S. Taiwan policy"/><meta property="article:tag" content="U.S.-Taiwan Relations"/><meta property="og:type" content="article"><meta property="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"> <script type="application/ld+json">{"@context": "https://schema.org","@type": "NewsArticle","headline": "US Presidential Elections 2024: Impact on Taiwan","description": "Insights from Elizabeth Freund Larus.","image": [{"@context": "https://schema.org/","@type": "ImageObject","contentUrl":"https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/td-story-s-2/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg","creditText": "Office of the President, ROC (Taiwan)","copyrightNotice": "Office of the President, ROC (Taiwan)","license": "https://www.flickr.com/photos/presidentialoffice/38098849816/","acquireLicensePage": "https://www.flickr.com/photos/presidentialoffice/38098849816/","representativeOfPage": "True" }], "datePublished": "2024-11-04T23:43:00Z","dateModified": "2024-11-05T01:11:37Z","copyrightYear": "2024","author": [{"@type": "Person", "name": "Mercy A. Kuo", "url": "https://thediplomat.com/authors/mercy-a-kuo/"}],"publisher": {"@id": "https://thediplomat.com/#publisher","name": "The Diplomat","legalName": "Diplomat Media Inc.","description": "Asia-Pacific’s leading current affairs magazine.","url": "https://thediplomat.com","email": "support@thediplomat.com","logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/themes/td_theme_v3/assets/logo/diplomat_logo_amp.jpg", "width": 600, "height": 60 },"sameAs": [ "https://www.facebook.com/diplomatmagazine", "https://twitter.com/Diplomat_APAC", "https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-diplomat" ]},"isAccessibleForFree": "False","hasPart": { "@type": "WebPageElement", "isAccessibleForFree": "False", "cssSelector" : ".jsonld-markup-paywall-content" },"articleBody": "The Diplomat author Mercy Kuo regularly engages subject-matter experts, policy practitioners, and strategic thinkers across the globe for their diverse insights into U.S. Asia policy. This conversation with Dr. Elizabeth Freund Larus – nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Global China Hub and Indo-Pacific Security Initiative and professor emerita of political science and former departmental chairman of the Department of Political Science and International Affairs at the University of Mary Washington – is the 439th in “The Trans-Pacific View Insight Series.” Examine U.S. policy toward Taiwan under a Harris administration or a second-term Trump administration. Regardless of which candidate wins the White House, both Harris and Trump will continue long-standing U.S. policy toward Taiwan. Specifically, they will adhere to the U.S. One China policy, strategic ambiguity, and the Taiwan Relations Act. All U.S. presidents have adhered to these policies since 1979, even if they initially stumbled. For instance, as a candidate for president, Ronald Reagan indicated he might resume U.S. diplomatic relations with Taiwan; president-elect Trump broke protocol by receiving a congratulatory phone call from Taiwan's president. In both cases, the White House walked these back and confirmed no change to the United States’ One China policy. I expect Trump or Harris will do the same. How might Beijing’s approach to cross-strait relations change under a new U.S. administration? Regardless of who wins the White House, Beijing will expect the U.S. to uphold its One China policy. Trump is more likely than Harris to increase defense spending to maintain the U.S.-led order in the Asia-Pacific. Beijing will more aggressively probe Taiwan’s vulnerabilities. Expect a Harris administration to enhance engagement with China. China will probe U.S. vulnerabilities in its relationship with Taiwan to see how far Harris’ engagement agenda will go. Analyze the impact of escalating tensions in the South China Sea on Taiwan Strait geopolitical dynamics. Although it is located in northeast Asia, Taiwan controls Itu Aba Island in the southern part of the South China Sea. In recent years, China has built bases on nearby islands, threatening the security of Itu Aba. Also, China’s aggression against the Philippines, Indonesia, and Vietnam in the South China Sea can have spillover effects on Taiwan. If Beijing can wrest control of disputed maritime structure or even the EEZs of its maritime neighbors, it could then direct its military muscle at Taiwan and force Taipei agree to concessions on China’s terms. Identify the top three priorities for Taipei in engaging a new U.S. administration. The first priority is reassurances of U.S. commitment to Taiwan’s security. Specifically, timely delivery of arms sales. The second priority is helping Taiwan expand its diplomatic space by getting U.S. support for Taiwan’s inclusion in international organizations, even those that require statehood, such as the U.N. and its associated bodies. The third priority is to enhance trade relations. Taiwan is the United States’ seventh largest merchandise trading partner. The U.S.-Taiwan Initiative on 21st Century Trade provides a framework for strengthening U.S.-Taiwan trade and investment. Talks to remove the penalty of double taxation for businesses must go forward. Assess how new U.S. leadership should manage rising stakes in Taiwan-U.S. relations amid escalating China-U.S. strategic competition. U.S. engagement with China has not made its leaders any less likely to use force to unify Taiwan with China, if necessary. The next U.S. president must reinforce the U.S. position of supporting a peaceful determination of Taiwan’s status by people on both side of the Strait. Washington needs to back up words with strength by increasing naval forces, maritime assets, and bases in the region. Beijing will not be deterred by diminishing U.S. power in the Asia-Pacific.","inLanguage": "en"}</script> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "Organization", "@id": "https://thediplomat.com/#publisher", "name": "The Diplomat", "legalName": "Diplomat Media Inc.", "description": "Asia-Pacific’s leading current affairs magazine.", "url": "https://thediplomat.com", "email": "support@thediplomat.com", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/themes/td_theme_v3/assets/logo/diplomat_logo_amp.jpg", "width": 600, "height": 60 }, "sameAs": [ "https://www.facebook.com/diplomatmagazine", "https://twitter.com/Diplomat_APAC", "https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-diplomat" ] } </script> <title>US Presidential Elections 2024: Impact on Taiwan – The Diplomat</title> <link rel='preconnect' href='https://fonts.gstatic.com' crossorigin> <link rel='dns-prefetch' href='//fonts.googleapis.com' /> <link rel='stylesheet' 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href="/subscriptions/" class="td-no-ad-link tda-link tda-nowrap">Subscribe for ads-free reading</a> </aside> <div id="td-23-body" class="td-viewport"> <div id="td-23-story-main"> <main id="td-23-story--center"> <header id="td-story-head"> <h3 id="td-kicker"> <a href="https://thediplomat.com/category/interviews/"><span>Interviews</span></a><span> | </span><a href="https://thediplomat.com/topics/diplomacy/" class="td-secondary">Diplomacy</a><span> | </span><a href="https://thediplomat.com/regions/east-asia/" class="td-secondary">East Asia</a> </h3> <h1 id="td-headline"> US Presidential Elections 2024: Impact on Taiwan </h1> <div id="td-lead"><p>Insights from Elizabeth Freund Larus.</p> </div> <div id="td-meta"> <aside class="td-story-meta__img"> <figure class="td-img"><img alt="Mercy A. Kuo" title="Mercy A. Kuo" sizes="58px" srcset="https://images.thediplomat.com/v1/td-list-xs-1/2015/03/thediplomat_2023-05-19-183934.jpg 58w, https://images.thediplomat.com/v1/td-list-xs-2/2015/03/thediplomat_2023-05-19-183934.jpg 116w" src="https://images.thediplomat.com/v1/td-list-xs-1/2015/03/thediplomat_2023-05-19-183934.jpg"></figure> </aside> <div class="td-story-meta__main"> <div class="td-author">By <a href="https://thediplomat.com/authors/mercy-a-kuo/" ><span>Mercy A. Kuo</span></a></div> <div class="td-date">November 04, 2024</div> </div> <aside class="td-share"> <a title="Share on LinkedIn" class="td-share__btn td-share__btn--in" href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fthediplomat.com%2F2024%2F11%2Fus-presidential-elections-2024-impact-on-taiwan%2F&title=US+Presidential+Elections+2024%3A+Impact+on+Taiwan" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"> <svg height="48" viewBox="0 0 48 48" width="48" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M14.2,38.9H7.1V16h7.1V38.9z M10.7,12.9c-2.3,0-4.1-1.8-4.1-4.1s1.8-4.1,4.1-4.1s4.1,1.8,4.1,4.1C14.8,11,13,12.9,10.7,12.9z M40.9,38.9h-7.1V27.8c0-2.7,0-6.1-3.7-6.1s-4.3,2.9-4.3,5.9v11.3h-7.1V16h6.8v3.1h0.1c0.9-1.8,3.3-3.7,6.7-3.7c7.2,0,8.5,4.7,8.5,10.9L40.9,38.9z"/></svg> </a> <a title="Share on Facebook" class="td-share__btn td-share__btn--fb" href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fthediplomat.com%2F2024%2F11%2Fus-presidential-elections-2024-impact-on-taiwan%2F" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="48" height="48" viewBox="0 0 48 48"><path d="M19.33 46V25.93h-6.755v-7.822h6.754v-5.77C19.33 5.646 23.417 2 29.39 2c2.86 0 5.318.213 6.035.308v6.996l-4.142.002c-3.248 0-3.876 1.543-3.876 3.808v4.994h7.745l-1.008 7.822h-6.737V46H19.33z"/></svg> </a> <a title="Share on Bluesky" href="https://bsky.app/intent/compose?text=US+Presidential+Elections+2024%3A+Impact+on+Taiwan%0Ahttps%3A%2F%2Fthediplomat.com%2F2024%2F11%2Fus-presidential-elections-2024-impact-on-taiwan%2F" class="td-share__btn td-share__btn--bsky" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"> <svg fill="currentColor" viewBox="0 0 568 501" role="presentation" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" > <path fill="currentColor" d="M123.121 33.664C188.241 82.553 258.281 181.68 284 234.873c25.719-53.192 95.759-152.32 160.879-201.21C491.866-1.611 568-28.906 568 57.947c0 17.346-9.945 145.713-15.778 166.555-20.275 72.453-94.155 90.933-159.875 79.748C507.222 323.8 536.444 388.56 473.333 453.32c-119.86 122.992-172.272-30.859-185.702-70.281-2.462-7.227-3.614-10.608-3.631-7.733-.017-2.875-1.169.506-3.631 7.733-13.43 39.422-65.842 193.273-185.702 70.281-63.111-64.76-33.89-129.52 80.986-149.071-65.72 11.185-139.6-7.295-159.875-79.748C9.945 203.659 0 75.291 0 57.946 0-28.906 76.135-1.612 123.121 33.664Z"/> </svg> </a> <a title="Share on X" class="td-share__btn td-share__btn--x" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=US+Presidential+Elections+2024%3A+Impact+on+Taiwan&url=https%3A%2F%2Fthediplomat.com%2F2024%2F11%2Fus-presidential-elections-2024-impact-on-taiwan%2F" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" fill="currentColor" viewBox="0 0 27 25" role="presentation" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true"><path d="M20.7915 0.860352H24.8397L15.9957 11.0671L26.4 24.9561H18.2535L11.8728 16.5325L4.57194 24.9561H0.521318L9.98092 14.0389L0 0.860352H8.35333L14.1209 8.55988L20.7915 0.860352ZM19.3708 22.5095H21.6139L7.13447 3.17849H4.72735L19.3708 22.5095Z"/></svg> </a> <div class="td-share__btn td-share__btn--print"> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="24" height="24" viewBox="0 0 24 24"> <path d="M19 8H5c-1.66 0-3 1.34-3 3v6h4v4h12v-4h4v-6c0-1.66-1.34-3-3-3zm-3 11H8v-5h8v5zm3-7c-.55 0-1-.45-1-1s.45-1 1-1 1 .45 1 1-.45 1-1 1zm-1-9H6v4h12V3z"/> <path d="M0 0h24v24H0z" fill="none"/> </svg> </div> </aside> </div> </header><div id="td-story-body"></div><figure id="td-story-image" class="td-media td-media--story"><div class="td-img"><img alt="US Presidential Elections 2024: Impact on Taiwan" title="US Presidential Elections 2024: Impact on Taiwan" sizes="(min-width: 1320px and min-resolution: 100dpi) 1892px, (min-width: 1320px) 946px, (min-width: 1158px and min-resolution: 100dpi) 1568px, (min-width: 1158px) 784px, (min-width: 996px and min-resolution: 100dpi) 1244px, (min-width: 996px) 622px, calc(100vw - 48px)" srcset="https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/td-story-s-1/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg 300w, https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/td-story-s-1/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg 300w, https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/td-story-s-2/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg 600w, https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/medium/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg 946w, https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/medium_large/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg 1244w, https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/large/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg 1568w" src="https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/sizes/td-story-s-1/thediplomat-2020-05-14-15.jpg"></div><figcaption class="td-caption"><span>Credit: <a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/presidentialoffice/38098849816/" target="_blank">Office of the President, ROC (Taiwan)</a></span></figcaption></figure> <aside id="ad-publift-body-before" class="td-ad-container--labeled"> <a href="/subscriptions/" class="td-no-ad-link tda-link tda-nowrap">Subscribe for ads-free reading</a> </aside> <section id="tda-gated-body" class="td-23-story-body td-prose tda-gated tda-gated--locked" data-pid="p277112"> <p>The Diplomat author Mercy Kuo regularly engages subject-matter experts, policy practitioners, and strategic thinkers across the globe for their diverse insights into U.S. Asia policy. This conversation with Dr. Elizabeth Freund Larus – nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Global China Hub and Indo-Pacific Security Initiative and professor emerita of political science and former departmental chairman of the Department of Political Science and International Affairs at the University of Mary Washington – is the 439th in “The Trans-Pacific View Insight Series.”</p> <p><b>Examine U.S. policy toward Taiwan under a Harris administration or a second-term Trump administration.</b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Regardless of which candidate wins the White House, both Harris and Trump will continue long-standing U.S. policy toward Taiwan. Specifically, they will adhere to the U.S. One China policy, strategic ambiguity, and the Taiwan Relations Act. All U.S. presidents have adhered to these policies since 1979, even if they initially stumbled. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">For instance, as a candidate for president, Ronald Reagan indicated he might resume U.S. diplomatic relations with Taiwan; president-elect Trump broke protocol by receiving a congratulatory phone call from Taiwan’s president. In both cases, the White House walked these back and confirmed no change to the United States’ One China policy. I expect Trump or Harris will do the same.</span></p> <p><b>How might Beijing’s approach to cross-strait relations change under a new U.S. administration?</b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Regardless of who wins the White House, Beijing will expect the U.S. to uphold its One China</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">policy. Trump is more likely than Harris to increase defense spending to maintain the U.S.-led order in the Asia-Pacific. Beijing will more aggressively probe Taiwan’s vulnerabilities. Expect a Harris administration to enhance engagement with China. China will probe U.S. vulnerabilities in its relationship with Taiwan to see how far Harris’ engagement agenda will go.</span></p> <p><b>Analyze the impact of escalating tensions in the South China Sea on Taiwan Strait geopolitical dynamics.</b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Although it is located in northeast Asia, Taiwan controls Itu Aba Island in the southern part of the South China Sea. In recent years, China has built bases on nearby islands, threatening the security of Itu Aba. Also, China’s aggression against the Philippines, Indonesia, and Vietnam in the South China Sea can have spillover effects on Taiwan. If Beijing can wrest control of disputed maritime structure or even the EEZs of its maritime neighbors, it could then direct its military muscle at Taiwan and force Taipei agree to concessions on China’s terms.</span></p> <p><b>Identify the top three priorities for Taipei in engaging a new U.S. administration. </b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The first priority is reassurances of U.S. commitment to Taiwan’s security. Specifically, timely delivery of arms sales. The second priority is helping Taiwan expand its diplomatic space by getting U.S. support for Taiwan’s inclusion in international organizations, even those that require statehood, such as the U.N. and its associated bodies. The third priority is to enhance trade relations. Taiwan is the United States’ seventh largest merchandise trading partner. The U.S.-Taiwan Initiative on 21st Century Trade provides a framework for strengthening U.S.-Taiwan trade and investment. Talks to remove the penalty of double taxation for businesses must go forward.</span></p> <p><b>Assess how new U.S. leadership should manage rising stakes in Taiwan-U.S. relations amid escalating China-U.S. strategic competition. </b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">U.S. engagement with China has not made its leaders any less likely to use force to unify Taiwan with China, if necessary. The next U.S. president must reinforce the U.S. position of supporting a peaceful determination of Taiwan’s status by people on both side of the Strait. Washington needs to back up words with strength by increasing naval forces, maritime assets, and bases in the region. Beijing will not be deterred by diminishing U.S. power in the Asia-Pacific.</span></p> </section> <aside id="tda-gated-appendix" class="tda-gated-appendix"> <div class="tda-gated-login"><b>Already have an account? <label for="td-account-modal_trigger" class="tda-link tda-nowrap">Log in</label>.</b></div> <div class="tda-gated-box"> <div class="tda-gated-box__ribbon">You have reached the limit of <b>4 free articles</b> this month.</div> <div class="tda-gated-box__main"> <h2>Get to the bottom of the story</h2> <p>Understand the Asia-Pacific's biggest issues with a <i class="tda-nowrap">The Diplomat</i> subscription.</p> </div> <div class="tda-gated-box__footer"> <a href="/subscriptions" class="tda-button tda-width--full">Subscribe Now</a> <a href="/subscriptions" class="tda-button tda-button--ghost tda-width--full">View <span class="td-hide--m">Subscription </span>Options</a> <p class="tda-gated-login">Already have an account? <label for="td-account-modal_trigger" class="tda-link tda-nowrap">Log in</label>.</p> </div> </div> </aside> <aside id="tda-gated-counter"></aside> <aside hidden> <div data-type="text/html" id="app_story_content" class="jsonld-markup-paywall-content" style="display: none;"><p>The Diplomat author Mercy Kuo regularly engages subject-matter experts, policy practitioners, and strategic thinkers across the globe for their diverse insights into U.S. Asia policy. This conversation with Dr. Elizabeth Freund Larus – nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Global China Hub and Indo-Pacific Security Initiative and professor emerita of political science and former departmental chairman of the Department of Political Science and International Affairs at the University of Mary Washington – is the 439th in “The Trans-Pacific View Insight Series.”</p> <p><b>Examine U.S. policy toward Taiwan under a Harris administration or a second-term Trump administration.</b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Regardless of which candidate wins the White House, both Harris and Trump will continue long-standing U.S. policy toward Taiwan. Specifically, they will adhere to the U.S. One China policy, strategic ambiguity, and the Taiwan Relations Act. All U.S. presidents have adhered to these policies since 1979, even if they initially stumbled. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">For instance, as a candidate for president, Ronald Reagan indicated he might resume U.S. diplomatic relations with Taiwan; president-elect Trump broke protocol by receiving a congratulatory phone call from Taiwan’s president. In both cases, the White House walked these back and confirmed no change to the United States’ One China policy. I expect Trump or Harris will do the same.</span></p> <p><b>How might Beijing’s approach to cross-strait relations change under a new U.S. administration?</b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Regardless of who wins the White House, Beijing will expect the U.S. to uphold its One China</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">policy. Trump is more likely than Harris to increase defense spending to maintain the U.S.-led order in the Asia-Pacific. Beijing will more aggressively probe Taiwan’s vulnerabilities. Expect a Harris administration to enhance engagement with China. China will probe U.S. vulnerabilities in its relationship with Taiwan to see how far Harris’ engagement agenda will go.</span></p> <p><b>Analyze the impact of escalating tensions in the South China Sea on Taiwan Strait geopolitical dynamics.</b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Although it is located in northeast Asia, Taiwan controls Itu Aba Island in the southern part of the South China Sea. In recent years, China has built bases on nearby islands, threatening the security of Itu Aba. Also, China’s aggression against the Philippines, Indonesia, and Vietnam in the South China Sea can have spillover effects on Taiwan. If Beijing can wrest control of disputed maritime structure or even the EEZs of its maritime neighbors, it could then direct its military muscle at Taiwan and force Taipei agree to concessions on China’s terms.</span></p> <p><b>Identify the top three priorities for Taipei in engaging a new U.S. administration. </b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The first priority is reassurances of U.S. commitment to Taiwan’s security. Specifically, timely delivery of arms sales. The second priority is helping Taiwan expand its diplomatic space by getting U.S. support for Taiwan’s inclusion in international organizations, even those that require statehood, such as the U.N. and its associated bodies. The third priority is to enhance trade relations. Taiwan is the United States’ seventh largest merchandise trading partner. The U.S.-Taiwan Initiative on 21st Century Trade provides a framework for strengthening U.S.-Taiwan trade and investment. Talks to remove the penalty of double taxation for businesses must go forward.</span></p> <p><b>Assess how new U.S. leadership should manage rising stakes in Taiwan-U.S. relations amid escalating China-U.S. strategic competition. </b></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">U.S. engagement with China has not made its leaders any less likely to use force to unify Taiwan with China, if necessary. The next U.S. president must reinforce the U.S. position of supporting a peaceful determination of Taiwan’s status by people on both side of the Strait. Washington needs to back up words with strength by increasing naval forces, maritime assets, and bases in the region. Beijing will not be deterred by diminishing U.S. power in the Asia-Pacific.</span></p> </div> <script type="text/html" id="app_story_placeholder"><p>The Diplomat author Mercy Kuo regularly engages subject-matter experts, policy practitioners, and strategic thinkers across the globe for their diverse insights into U.S. Asia policy. This conversation with Dr. Elizabeth Freund Larus – nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Global China Hub and Indo-Pacific Security Initiative and professor emerita of political science and former departmental chairman of the Department of Political Science and International Affairs at the University of Mary Washington – is the 439th in “The Trans-Pacific View Insight Series.”</p><p><b>Examine U.S. policy toward Taiwan under a Harris administration or a second-term Trump administration.</b></p>[...]</script> <script type="text/html" id="tda-gated-counter__content"> <div class="tda-gated-box"> <div class="tda-gated-box__ribbon"> You have read <b>{{count}}</b> of your <b>{{max}} free articles</b> this month. </div> <div class="tda-gated-box__main"> <h2>Enjoying this article?</h2> <p> Consider supporting <i class="tda-nowrap">The Diplomat</i>'s independent journalism with a subscription.<br> <a href="https://thediplomat.com/subscriptions" class="tda-link tda-nowrap">Subscribe today</a> to continue having full access to our extensive coverage of the Asia-Pacific.</p> </div> <div class="tda-gated-box__footer"> <a href="https://thediplomat.com/subscriptions" class="tda-button tda-width--full">Subscribe Now</a> <a href="https://thediplomat.com/subscriptions" class="tda-button tda-button--ghost tda-width--full" style="margin-top: 8px">View <span class="td-hide--m">Subscription </span>Options</a> <p class="tda-gated-login">Already have an account? <label for="td-account-modal_trigger" class="tda-link tda-nowrap">Log in</label>.</p> </div> </div> </script> </aside> <footer id="td-story-foot"> <section id="td-story-authors" class="td-box td-authors"><header>Authors</header><div class="td-posts"><div class="td-post"><figure class="td-img td-post__img td-post__img--right td-post__img--circle"><img alt="Mercy A. Kuo" title="Mercy A. Kuo" sizes="58px" srcset="https://images.thediplomat.com/v1/td-list-xs-1/2015/03/thediplomat_2023-05-19-183934.jpg 58w, https://images.thediplomat.com/v1/td-list-xs-2/2015/03/thediplomat_2023-05-19-183934.jpg 116w" src="https://images.thediplomat.com/v1/td-list-xs-1/2015/03/thediplomat_2023-05-19-183934.jpg"></figure><h5>Contributing Author</h5><h4 style="padding-bottom: 0;">Mercy A. Kuo</h4><div style="padding-top: 0;"><p>Mercy A. Kuo is Senior Contributing Author at The Diplomat. </p> </div><a class="td-post__more" href="https://thediplomat.com/authors/mercy-a-kuo/">View Profile</a></div></div></section><section class="td-box td-tags"><header>Tags</header><ul><li><a href="https://thediplomat.com/category/interviews/"><span>Interviews</span></a></li><li><a href="https://thediplomat.com/topics/diplomacy/"><span>Diplomacy</span></a></li><li><a href="https://thediplomat.com/regions/east-asia/"><span>East Asia</span></a></li><li><a href="https://thediplomat.com/countries/taiwan/"><span>Taiwan</span></a></li><li><a href="https://thediplomat.com/countries/usa/"><span>United States</span></a></li><li><a href="https://thediplomat.com/tag/harris-taiwan-policy/"><span>Harris Taiwan policy</span></a></li><li><a href="https://thediplomat.com/tag/trump-taiwan-policy/"><span>Trump Taiwan policy</span></a></li><li><a href="https://thediplomat.com/tag/u-s-taiwan-policy/"><span>U.S. Taiwan policy</span></a></li><li><a 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td-post__img--right-s"><img alt="US Relations With the Republic of China, 1943-1960" title="US Relations With the Republic of China, 1943-1960" sizes="(max-width: 319px) 100vw, (max-width: 752px) 138px, 219px" srcset="https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/sizes/thumbnail/thediplomat_2015-07-28_15-39-22.jpg 138w, https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/sizes/td-list-s-2/thediplomat_2015-07-28_15-39-22.jpg 276w, https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/sizes/td-list-m-1/thediplomat_2015-07-28_15-39-22.jpg 219w, https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/sizes/td-list-m-2/thediplomat_2015-07-28_15-39-22.jpg 438w" src="https://thediplomat.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/sizes/thumbnail/thediplomat_2015-07-28_15-39-22.jpg" loading="lazy"></figure><h4>US Relations With the Republic of China, 1943-1960</h4><h6>By <span>Mercy A. Kuo</span></h6><div>Insights from Martin B. 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