Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold On

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timestamp__date--modified"> <strong>Updated</strong> 17 hours ago </span> </div> <div class="headline"> <h1 class="headline__title">Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold On</h1> <h2 class="headline__subtitle">Diversity of Alberta riding makes winner hard to predict.</h2> <div class="headline__stroke" style="background-color: #0dbe98"></div> </div> <div class="share-bar share-bar--sticky yr-share"> <script id="share-bar__social-mob" type="text/template"><ul class="share-bar__list"><li class="facebook share-bar__item"><a class="share-bar__item-link icon-Social_Facebook yr-share-item" data-social-name="facebook" aria-label="Share on Facebook" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.huffingtonpost.ca%2Fentry%2Fcalgary-centre-canada-election-kent-hehr-greg-mclean_ca_5d891e1ae4b0938b593299ef%3Fncid%3Dother_facebook_eucluwzme5k%26utm_campaign%3Dshare_facebook" 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href="/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/author/althia-raj" class="bn-author-image bn-clickable yr-author-image" aria-label="More from Althia Raj"> <div class="author-card__headshot" style="background-image: url(https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5cd49cf72400005600a9e300.jpeg?ops=50_50);"></div> </a> <div class="author-card__details"> <span class="author-card__details-container"> <a class="author-card__details__name" href="/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/author/althia-raj"> <span class="author-card__details__name"> By Althia Raj </span> </a> </span> </div> </li> </ul> </div> </header> <div class="entry__content js-entry-content"> <div class="entry__body" data-part="contents">  <div id="sharebox_260x60" class="advertisement sharebox_260x60 ad_spot desktop-only"> </div> <div class="post-contents yr-entry-text"><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5d782e3b240000d32677cb1e.png?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold" alt="Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold"> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">CALGARY — Carson Lavender is cutting branches in his yard when Conservative candidate Greg McLean approaches. With a big smile, he sets aside the yard work and tells the Calgary Centre candidate that he’s not sure which way he’s going to vote.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“It’s hard to vote for that clown that is in there right now,” he says, referring to Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">That’s music to McLean’s ears.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Then the young man adds: “I would not say that I am a Conservative leaner, but I don’t know how I could vote for that guy.”</span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad28af2100000020ad35bc.png?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold" alt="Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold"> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">McLean tells Lavender that while he’s a fiscal conservative — 20 years in the financial sector has convinced him of the need to balance the budget and not load the next generation with foreign debt charges — he isn’t a social conservative. He’s pro-choice and pro-LGBTQ, he says. “I’ve been fighting for the rights of my friends of different sexuality all my life.”</span></p> <style type="text/css"> .follow-us__body::before { background-color: #0dbe98; } .follow-us .newsletter-signup input[type="submit"] { color: #0dbe98; } </style> <div class="desktop-only follow-us yr-follow-us"> <section class="follow-us__body"> <div class="follow-us__header"> <h3>SUBSCRIBE AND FOLLOW POLITICS</h3> </div> <div class="email" style="display: list-item;"> <div class="follow-us__description"> <p>Get top stories and blog posts emailed to me each day. 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The Conservative candidate has been pounding the pavement for most of the past year, first to position himself for a competitive Tory nomination, and now to unseat what he deems a “popular” incumbent. </span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad28ac200000d2195063e5.png?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Liberal incumbent Kent Hehr in his campaign office, July" alt="Liberal incumbent Kent Hehr in his campaign office, July"> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span><div class="image__meta-wrapper"><span class="image__credit">Althia Raj/HuffPost Canada</span><figcaption class="image__caption">Liberal incumbent Kent Hehr in his campaign office, July 2019.</figcaption></div></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The Liberal, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/news/kent-hehr/">Kent Hehr</a>, is a well-known politician. A former student athlete who was paralyzed by a stray bullet in a road rage incident, Hehr represented the riding provincially for seven years. In 2015, he won the seat for Trudeau’s Liberals. That feat had not been accomplished since 1968 — when Trudeau’s father, Pierre Elliott Trudeau, swept into power with Trudeaumania. The following election, in 1972, saw the Liberal in Calgary South, the precursor to Calgary Centre, soundly defeated. And that’s a record McLean hopes to replicate on Monday.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">McLean calls himself a “viable Conservative candidate.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In 2015, Hehr won the riding by 1.2 per cent — 750 votes. It was one of the tightest riding races in the country. The incumbent, Joan Crockatt, was “quite conservative socially and fiscally,” says Lori Williams, a political science professor at Mount Royal University. ”She was further to the right than the riding.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Crockatt squeezed through in 2012, in a byelection that saw her win just shy of 37 per cent of the vote. Fifty-eight per cent of voters in the riding cast ballots for either the Liberal or Green candidates, both of whom had strong environmental credentials. </span></p><h3>Vote splits on left and right</h3><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Vote splits, says Williams will matter here. Hehr won by uniting some progressives under the Liberal banner. Will he be able to convince New Democrat and Green voters to do so again?</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">NDP is running high school teacher Jessica Buresi. The Greens have environmental scientist Thana Boonlert, and the People’s Party of Canada is fielding </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">Chevy Johnston, who runs a family grain brokerage firm. Johnston says he thinks it’s not just vote splits on the left people should be worried about but vote splits on the right too.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Calgary Centre is a diverse riding. The city’s most marginalized live here, on the streets and in low-income housing, as do some of Alberta’s most well-to-do residents. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“It’s harder to predict or even to describe what the character of this riding is because of that diversity,” Williams says. </span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad28be2100000020ad35bf.png?cache=mWpxKwAiAI&ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Liberal candidate Kent Hehr speaks to community residents in Calgary, July" alt="Liberal candidate Kent Hehr speaks to community residents in Calgary, July"> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span><div class="image__meta-wrapper"><span class="image__credit">Althia Raj/HuffPost Canada</span><figcaption class="image__caption">Liberal candidate Kent Hehr speaks to community residents in Calgary, July 2019.</figcaption></div></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Young urban professionals live, work and congregate in the riding. They mix with families in single-detached homes and those renting apartments in towers or living in subsidized housing. Like other Calgarians, many are struggling because of the volatility in the oil and gas industry. And they blame the Trudeau government in Ottawa.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Anger against the Liberals is palpable.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“I’ll still be voting Conservative,” Murray McLean says when Greg McLean (no relation) appears at his door in Marda Loop. “We have enough trouble with these red and orange [people].”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Everybody is “going stupid” on the carbon tax, he tells me. “The science is not settled. The science is never settled. It is always open for debate, for new theories and new data to come through. … The data out there is pure propaganda.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Murray McLean says he hopes Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer stops with his “politically correct” carbon plan. “Somebody has to call out this crap for what it is, it’s wealth distribution.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Like other Conservative voters, he wants the deficit under control and a government that gets out of most public spending. Why vote Conservative and not <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/news/Peoples-Party-of-Canada/">People’s Party of Canada</a>, I ask. His response: “What’s a People’s Party of Canada?”</span></p><p><strong><em>Watch: Things you might not know about the leader of the People’s Party. Story continues after video.</em></strong></p></div><div class="content-list-component embed-asset"><div data-aria-label="Video" data-provider="vidible" data-published="2019-10-22T14:19:30+00:00" data-videovertical="" width="" height="" id="56ccbfa6e4b0d32d2ea6d99e" class="vdb_player vdb_56ccbfa6e4b0d32d2ea6d99e564e003d67b62214082cc703 vidible-b-page-content" vdb_params="m.paid_p=&m.responsive=1&loadingplaceholder=1&m.embeded=cms_video_plugin_ca.edit.huffpost.net&m.fwsitesection=ca.politics&m.onLoad=vidibleOnPlayerReady" data-placeholder="//img.vidible.tv/prod/2019-10/10/5d80dc6be57111337875841f/5d9f03d7eaada10001bf1c14_1080x1080_FES_v1.jpg?w=1600&h=900&q=60"><script type="text/javascript" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302js_/https://delivery.vidible.tv/jsonp/bid=5b7607b4faf63600013b9821/pid=56ccbfa6e4b0d32d2ea6d99e/vid=5d80dc6be57111337875841f,5d9be937791cad5687f96f1e/564e003d67b62214082cc703.js?m.paid_p=&m.responsive=1&loadingplaceholder=1&m.embeded=cms_video_plugin_ca.edit.huffpost.net&m.fwsitesection=ca.politics&m.onLoad=vidibleOnPlayerReady"></script></div></div><div class="content-list-component text"><p> </p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">As he slow jogs from one beautiful home to another, Greg McLean, dressed in an orange T-shirt, blue shorts, Asics runners, with a plastic water bottle stuffed in his back pocket, is upbeat but not overly confident.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The reception is overwhelmingly positive. “Keep going, you’ve got our vote!” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Many cite “the oil and gas industry” in explaining their choice. Most are longtime Tories. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">McLean thinks he can turn the riding around. “You don’t win unless you door-knock.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">His media handler, Scott Henderson, chimes in to tell me that about 15 per cent of the residents “will vote for you if you came to their house.”</span></p></div><blockquote class="content-list-component pull-quote">The thing about Kent [Hehr], he鈥檚 a really good retail politician.<span class="attribution">Greg McLean, Conservative candidate</span></blockquote><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">McLean thinks it matters but won’t give him an advantage in this contest.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“The thing about Kent [Hehr], he’s a really good retail politician,” McLean says. “He’s hit a lot of doors, and I think he has spent a lot of time being in the neighbourhoods day in and day out and covering a lot of the territory. If that’s a measure, I think he’s at least as well positioned as I am.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">While Hehr may be a formidable opponent, McLean says the Liberal incumbent has “drastically failed” to deliver for his constituency, the city and the province. Thirty-eight times, he says, Hehr supported measures that negatively impacted Alberta.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“I think the country is far worse off as a result of the Liberal government’s policies here. The representatives that we have in Calgary have done a very poor job of representing the interests of Alberta — including around the cabinet table.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The Tory candidate says Bill C-48 (a ban on tanker traffic in sensitive areas already covered by a moratorium), Bill C-69 (a law that revamps the way resource projects are assessed) and the clean fuel standards have “really work to shut down the energy industry.”</span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad26e2210000e81dad35b9.png?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Conservative candidate Greg McLean, in orange shirt, with his wife Ruth, kneeling on the left, pose for a photo with campaign volunteers in July" alt="Conservative candidate Greg McLean, in orange shirt, with his wife Ruth, kneeling on the left, pose for..."> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span><div class="image__meta-wrapper"><span class="image__credit">Althia Raj/HuffPost Canada</span><figcaption class="image__caption">Conservative candidate Greg McLean, in orange shirt, with his wife Ruth, kneeling on the left, pose for a photo with campaign volunteers in July 2019.</figcaption></div></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">A year ago, McLean was in Peru with his wife, Ruth, and first floated the idea of jumping into elected politics.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The former financial manager worked for several firms in Toronto, Vancouver and Calgary before working in private equity and venture capital for a few family offices in the financial capital of Alberta. He also spent six years working for two cabinet ministers in Brian Mulroney’s Progressive Conservative government in the mid-1980s. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The Liberal government’s record was “gnawing” at him, he says.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“The one thing that was really aggravating me was how badly this government was doing with the deficit,” he says over a glass of water at the Phil & Sebastian coffee shop on 33 Avenue SW. “$20 billion a year of deficits at a time when the economy is supposedly healthy?” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">At some point, he says, spending has to be withdrawn — it’s “artificial money.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“I’ve heard all the excuses about our debt-to-GDP ratio … It’s all misinformation.”</span></p></div> <div class="related-entries related-entries--thumbs related-entries--recirc yr-related-entries"><h3 class="related-entries__head">RELATED</h3><ul class="related-entries__list"><li class="related-entries__list__item yr-related-entry"><a class="related-entries__image entry__link--omit yr-card-image" href="/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/canada-gdp-q2-2019_ca_5d692803e4b02bc6bb388263?ncid=other_huffpostre_pqylmel2bk8&utm_campaign=related_articles" data-img-src="https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5d692fba250000320389dedf.jpeg?ops=250_140"> <img class="related-entries__image__src" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP///wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==" data:image gif;base64,r0lgodlhaqabaiaaap waaach5baeaaaaalaaaaaabaaeaaaicraeaow=" alt=" canada's economy roars back to life" aria-label="Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold"/></a><a class="related-entries__title entry__link--omit yr-card-headline" href="/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/canada-gdp-q2-2019_ca_5d692803e4b02bc6bb388263?ncid=other_huffpostre_pqylmel2bk8&utm_campaign=related_articles" aria-label="Canada's Economy Roars Back To Life"> Canada's Economy Roars Back To Life </a></li><li class="related-entries__list__item yr-related-entry"><a class="related-entries__image entry__link--omit yr-card-image" href="/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/ndp-wealth-tax_ca_5dac4905e4b0f34e3a773afd?ncid=other_huffpostre_pqylmel2bk8&utm_campaign=related_articles" data-img-src="https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dac5da7210000e31dad354e.jpeg?cache=2TwiM1q1s6&ops=250_140"> <img class="related-entries__image__src" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP///wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==" data:image gif;base64,r0lgodlhaqabaiaaap waaach5baeaaaaalaaaaaabaaeaaaicraeaow=" alt=" it鈥檚 time for one per cent families like mine to pay a super wealth tax" aria-label="Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold"/></a><a class="related-entries__title entry__link--omit yr-card-headline" href="/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/ndp-wealth-tax_ca_5dac4905e4b0f34e3a773afd?ncid=other_huffpostre_pqylmel2bk8&utm_campaign=related_articles" aria-label="It鈥檚 Time For One Per Cent Families Like Mine To Pay A Super Wealth Tax"> It鈥檚 Time For One Per Cent Families Like Mine To Pay A Super Wealth Tax </a></li><li class="related-entries__list__item yr-related-entry"><a class="related-entries__image entry__link--omit yr-card-image" href="/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/housing-election-canada_ca_5d9dee61e4b06ddfc511da7d?ncid=other_huffpostre_pqylmel2bk8&utm_campaign=related_articles" data-img-src="https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5d9e17292100005009acbd89.jpeg?ops=250_140"> <img class="related-entries__image__src" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP///wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==" data:image gif;base64,r0lgodlhaqabaiaaap waaach5baeaaaaalaaaaaabaaeaaaicraeaow=" alt=" trudeau, scheer risking housing market for political gain: report" aria-label="Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold"/></a><a class="related-entries__title entry__link--omit yr-card-headline" href="/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/housing-election-canada_ca_5d9dee61e4b06ddfc511da7d?ncid=other_huffpostre_pqylmel2bk8&utm_campaign=related_articles" aria-label="Trudeau, Scheer Risking Housing Market For Political Gain: Report"> Trudeau, Scheer Risking Housing Market For Political Gain: Report </a></li></ul></div><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The Liberals argue that as long as the debt-to-GDP ratio is maintained about 30 per cent or declining, the federal government can afford the debt payments and the spending. </span><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-liberal-platform-shows-deficit-climbing-to-27-billion/" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Economists tend to agree</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">. At 30.9 per cent, </span><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.budget.gc.ca/2019/docs/plan/overview-apercu-en.html" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Canada’s federal debt-to-GDP</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> ratio is the lowest in the G7. In comparison, the United States’ ratio is at about 77 per cent. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">McLean says he told his spouse he felt he’d learned a lot in business, and now at 57, he had the skill set to “actually try and change something.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">So, they threw themselves into the project. The 11-month nomination campaign was “painfully long,” he says. Ruth told me they had time to perfect their pitch and organize their volunteers. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The No. 1 issue in the riding, he says, is getting Alberta’s resources to market: “Companies are going broke because they’re not getting a price for their resource.”</span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad2ad920000040185063e7.jpeg?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Gulf Canada Square is seen in Calgary on Oct. 25," alt="Gulf Canada Square is seen in Calgary on Oct. 25,"> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span><div class="image__meta-wrapper"><span class="image__credit">Jeff McIntosh/Canadian Press</span><figcaption class="image__caption">Gulf Canada Square is seen in Calgary on Oct. 25, 2018.</figcaption></div></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">New pipeline capacity would help the local economy. There is a 24 per cent commercial vacancy rate in Calgary. “</span><span style="font-weight: 400;">That’s a result of this federal government’s policies.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">When the city receives less revenue from businesses downtown, there is less money for local services. “This is the cascading effect of bad government policy at the federal level.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">McLean’s </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">message at the door is that the country needs change and that “winning a Calgary Centre is imperative to winning in Canada, because it all adds up. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">McLean comes across as partisan but an independent thinker. It’s important to him that voters see him as modern and on-side with their positions on social issues. He is unafraid to put distance between himself and Scheer.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“Voters who are not sold on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/news/andrew-scheer/">Andrew Scheer</a> are definitely not sold on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/news/justin-trudeau/">Justin Trudeau</a>, so what I’m trying to do this campaign is to make sure it is a campaign on the issues. Where Kent stands on the issues and where I stand on the issues, personally, and do it that way.”</span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad2d3b210000e81dad35c1.jpeg?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Federal Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer is mobbed by supporters at a campaign event in Calgary on Sept. 16," alt="Federal Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer is mobbed by supporters at a campaign event in Calgary on Sept...."> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span><div class="image__meta-wrapper"><span class="image__credit">Frank Gunn/THE CANADIAN PRESS</span><figcaption class="image__caption">Federal Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer is mobbed by supporters at a campaign event in Calgary on Sept. 16, 2019. </figcaption></div></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">During two days of door-knocking this summer, with both the Conservative and Liberal candidate, not one person had glowing words to say about Scheer.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">When women answer the door and seem less committed as Conservatives, McLean is quick to point out he’s pro-choice. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“It’s definitely a concern,” says one woman.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">McLean thinks he loses about 10 per cent of the votes because he isn’t anti-abortion.  </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“If that’s important to them, then I’m not the candidate for them.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Still, he’s annoyed the Liberals are “fear-mongering” on Scheer’s personal positions against same-sex marriage and anti-abortion.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“I find it doubly offensive that some parties bring it up as divisive issues around elections, because we’re all past that.”</span></p></div><div class="content-list-component embed-asset"><div data-aria-label="Video" data-provider="vidible" data-published="2019-10-22T14:19:30+00:00" data-videovertical="" width="" height="" id="56ccbfa6e4b0d32d2ea6d99e" class="vdb_player vdb_56ccbfa6e4b0d32d2ea6d99e564e003d67b62214082cc703 vidible-b-page-content" vdb_params="m.paid_p=&m.responsive=1&loadingplaceholder=1&m.embeded=cms_video_plugin_ca.edit.huffpost.net&m.fwsitesection=ca.politics&m.onLoad=vidibleOnPlayerReady" data-placeholder="//img.vidible.tv/prod/2019-10/03/5d9638038c3ae850e2764141/5d963844c9baee0001bbe650_1920x1080_FES_v1.jpg?w=1600&h=900&q=60"><script type="text/javascript" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302js_/https://delivery.vidible.tv/jsonp/bid=5b7607b4faf63600013b9821/pid=56ccbfa6e4b0d32d2ea6d99e/vid=5d9638038c3ae850e2764141,5da5ecaa10ca0431adc37518,5d9be4e17a51ca76b24b708f,5d135749791cad7acb9ae4e2/564e003d67b62214082cc703.js?m.paid_p=&m.responsive=1&loadingplaceholder=1&m.embeded=cms_video_plugin_ca.edit.huffpost.net&m.fwsitesection=ca.politics&m.onLoad=vidibleOnPlayerReady"></script></div></div><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">At all the doors where voters leaned Liberal or planned to vote Liberal, residents declined to give me their full names.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">One woman politely told McLean she wasn’t interested in hearing his pitch. She planned to do her own research and decide, she said.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Hannah was unlikely to vote for him, McLean said, because she’s a teacher. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“The teachers are really anti-[United Conservative Premier Jason] Kenney because they are unsure what he is going to do,” he said. “Often they are strident that they are not going to be voting Conservative provincially or federally.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In Killarney, door-knocking with Hehr, a woman who doesn’t </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">want to be identified explains she just started a new teaching job at a private school and doesn’t want any of the students’ parents to know she’s not a Conservative.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Back in Marda Loop, a man named Joe says he voted Liberal in 2015 but is leaning to the Conservatives, “It’s been disappointing the last three or four years, with what’s been going on, we are seriously thinking about switching over.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">McLean stresses that it’s a tight race. Joe dismisses the assertion in a riding that he thinks should be an easy Tory win. But McLean says again: “No, it’s a tight race.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Joe then mentions that Hehr has been to his door twice. </span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad28a82100004c1d34a83a.png?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Kent Hehr, the Calgary Centre Liberal incumbent, poses for a photo with" alt="Kent Hehr, the Calgary Centre Liberal incumbent, poses for a photo with"> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span><div class="image__meta-wrapper"><span class="image__credit">Althia Raj/HuffPost Canada</span><figcaption class="image__caption">Kent Hehr, the Calgary Centre Liberal incumbent, poses for a photo with volunteers. </figcaption></div></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">I meet Hehr at the C-Train station on 8 Street SW. He’s handing out coffee. His dad, Richard, and a volunteer have a folding table set up holding three big Thermoses filled with black coffee, and Kent Hehr literature. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">As he wheels around the platform saying hello to commuters — “Do you have a busy day ahead of you?” — some people fist-pump him or smile with recognition. After the Thermoses are all empty, we head towards the Beltline Safeway, where, I learn, he likes to linger and chat people up. He’s an equal opportunist. He also loiters at the Midtown Co-op, where the staff all know him and he can connect with constituents doing their grocery shopping.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“Politics is about meeting people where they are,” he tells me.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">On the street, a woman named Jacquelyn yells out that Hehr is “fantastic.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“I have a masters in psychology,” she says. “I can read people.” </span></p></div><blockquote class="content-list-component pull-quote">He鈥檚 a twice-fired minister. In the real world that you and I work in, when you lose your job you are fired.<span class="attribution">Murray Marshall</span></blockquote><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">A block away, Murray Marshall has a few words for Hehr: “We deserve better than we are getting out of this government!” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“Governing a nation is hard; you can’t make everyone happy,” Hehr responds. “We’re moving forward on the pipeline.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">But Marshall wants to talk about <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2019/05/08/vice-admiral-mark-norman-explainer_a_23723421/">Vice-Admiral Mark Norman</a>, Trudeau adviser <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/gerald-butts-trudeau-election-campaign_ca_5d349967e4b020cd9944fe17?utm_hp_ref=ca-gerald-butts">Gerald Butts being back in the fold</a> for the campaign, the <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/news/snc-lavalin/">SNC-Lavalin affair</a> and the <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://globalnews.ca/news/5301649/veterans-families-afghanistan-war-memorial/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">mess-up with the Afghanistan memorial</a>. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Marshall, a carpenter, tells me Hehr is going down. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“Kent is not popular, and the wave is there to push him out,” he says. “He’s a twice-fired minister. In the real world that you and I work in, when you lose your job you are fired.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“Those are not the standards that Calgary Centre wants. Those are not the values that we are looking for.” </span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad2cd62100000020ad35c0.jpeg?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="A protester rallies outside Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau's rally in Calgary on Oct. 19," alt="A protester rallies outside Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau's rally in Calgary on Oct. 19,"> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span><div class="image__meta-wrapper"><span class="image__credit">Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press</span><figcaption class="image__caption">A protester rallies outside Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau's rally in Calgary on Oct. 19, 2019.</figcaption></div></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">After Hehr’s win in 2015, he was appointed minister of Veterans Affairs and associate minister of national defence, then was demoted to minister of sport and persons with disabilities. Still later, he was <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2018/06/06/ex-minister-kent-hehr-to-stay-in-liberal-caucus-after-misconduct-probe_a_23452813/?utm_hp_ref=ca-kent-hehr">pushed out of cabinet</a> over two <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2018/01/25/kent-hehr-taking-leave-of-absence-from-cabinet-amid-allegations-inappropriate-behaviour_a_23343891/?utm_hp_ref=ca-kent-hehr">allegations of sexual harassment</a> dating back to his time as an Alberta MLA. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The resignation was supposed to be temporary, pending the results of a third-party probe. The investigation, however, found that one complaint was legitimate, while the other was not. The probe was never released to the public. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In an interview later that day, Hehr does not enjoy being pressed on this topic.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“That chapter has been written about,” he says. “If a voter has a concern, I discuss that issue head on. OK. And it hardly ever comes up, OK … I’m open and accountable for issues in my past, and in my present.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Hehr peppers his comments with “OK” at the end of his sentence. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">He dismisses Marshall’s comments, saying Murray has been telling him for the past three elections that he was going to lose.</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">***</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Herh has a busy day. After a quick stop at the campaign office — a big yellow sign in the window declares “Pipelines Under Construction” — we head to a citizenship ceremony at Fort Calgary, door-knocking, and later an event with Immigration Minister </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">Ahmed Hussen, one of several cabinet ministers who have visited the riding before the writ dropping. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Hehr says he’s “hopeful” his constituents send him back to Ottawa. He thinks he has a good record to run on.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Affordability is a big issue, he says.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“Do Canadians see their lives better under our government than under the previous Conservative government?” In Alberta, he says, there has been a reduction of 50 per cent in child poverty. There has been twice as much invested in the city than there was under the previous Conservative government, he says. </span> </p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad28a7210000431d34a839.png?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Liberal incumbent Kent Hehr, right, listens to Immigration Minister Ahmed Hussen, left. Hussen was one of several cabinet ministers who visited Calgary..." alt="Liberal incumbent Kent Hehr, right, listens to Immigration Minister Ahmed Hussen, left. Hussen was one..."> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span><div class="image__meta-wrapper"><span class="image__credit">Althia Raj/HuffPost Canada</span><figcaption class="image__caption">Liberal incumbent Kent Hehr, right, listens to Immigration Minister Ahmed Hussen, left. Hussen was one of several cabinet ministers who visited Calgary Centre before the writ dropped. </figcaption></div></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">But pipelines, of course, remain a key issue. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">A number of Albertans believe Trudeau bought the pipeline so it wouldn’t get built. McLean himself believes it.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“I think buying the pipeline was a way to prevent a lawsuit from a foreign company that would have had a NAFTA challenge because [Trudeau] put so many hurdles in getting that pipeline built, and its costing them far more than they had anticipated when they entered the process,” he says. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“[Trudeau] is somebody who will do anything to virtue-signal, including spending $4.8 billion of Canadian taxpayers’ money.”  </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Hehr says he hears this complaint often at the doors. “And I say if we didn’t want to build the pipeline, would we have spent $4.5 billion on it? There were easier ways to do that. We could have just said ‘no.’”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">When the private sector faltered, when investor confidence was shaken, Hehr says, what we saw was the prime minister and the cabinet step up and invest in a new pipeline to ensure that Alberta’s oil reaches new markets. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“When people look at that, there is only one conclusion they can come away with. We wanted to see Alberta oil get to new markets. The evidence was there.”</span></p></div><div class="content-list-component embed-asset"><div data-aria-label="Video" data-provider="vidible" data-published="2019-10-22T14:19:30+00:00" data-videovertical="" width="" height="" id="56ccbfa6e4b0d32d2ea6d99e" class="vdb_player vdb_56ccbfa6e4b0d32d2ea6d99e564e003d67b62214082cc703 vidible-b-page-content" vdb_params="m.paid_p=&m.responsive=1&loadingplaceholder=1&m.embeded=cms_video_plugin_ca.edit.huffpost.net&m.fwsitesection=ca.politics&m.onLoad=vidibleOnPlayerReady" data-placeholder="//img.vidible.tv/prod/2019-06/18/5d09537827f25f464cb3baa7/5d095387fcdcf60001a87c44_1080x1080_FES_v1.jpg?w=1600&h=900&q=60"><script type="text/javascript" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302js_/https://delivery.vidible.tv/jsonp/bid=5b7607b4faf63600013b9821/pid=56ccbfa6e4b0d32d2ea6d99e/vid=5d09537827f25f464cb3baa7,5b10410847fd69077d2fd94e,5b0d7a16868e807f47671703/564e003d67b62214082cc703.js?m.paid_p=&m.responsive=1&loadingplaceholder=1&m.embeded=cms_video_plugin_ca.edit.huffpost.net&m.fwsitesection=ca.politics&m.onLoad=vidibleOnPlayerReady"></script></div></div><div class="content-list-component text"><p> </p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">It was a torrid 30 degrees when I hit the doors with Hehr. He plows through, living up to his reputation as a formidable campaigner. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“I love door-knocking. I love meeting constituents,” he says as he rolls down the sidewalk while volunteers knock on doors. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“What I learned long ago is that you don’t learn as much in the office as you think you do. It’s going out there, hitting people where they live. And having them ask you questions. That’s the spirit of politics. That is really where campaigning begins and ends.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">We meet a woman who is a big Hehr fan but still won’t take a sign. She had a sign for Rachel Notley, the former NDP premier, during the Alberta election and her home was vandalized. She doesn’t feel safe showing her colours.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Hehr understands.</span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad28a7210000e81dad35bb.png?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold" alt="Vote Splits May Factor In Calgary Centre As Liberal Kent Hehr Tries To Hold"> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">He pours water down his white shirt to cool off. The water seeps into his electric wheelchair and it freezes. A few doors later, the chair completely stops working. Everyone calls it quits and two staff members struggle to ensure Herh makes it safely down a slight hill and into his van. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Hehr says he knows this contest relies on his pulling voters from all sides to his side.</span> </p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“When I talk to New Democrat voters, OK, they understand what we are doing on climate change, OK. They know that it is a big step putting a price on pollution and the other actions we are taking,” he says.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“In my view, we’ve pushed the other parties so far to the left they may fall off a cliff.… And the people know that.” </span></p></div><figure class="content-list-component image"> <span class="share-bar-image-wrapper"><img class="image__src" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302im_/https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/5dad28ac210000c31b34a83b.png?ops=scalefit_960_noupscale" aria-label="Kent Hehr鈥檚 campaign office, July" alt="Kent Hehr鈥檚 campaign office, July"> <div class="share-bar share-bar--instream"> <div class="share-bar__item pinterest" data-type="pinterest"> <a class="share-bar__item-link entry__link--omit icon-Social_Pinterest" data-pin-custom="true" href="" target="_blank"> </a> </div> </div> </span><div class="image__meta-wrapper"><span class="image__credit">Althia Raj/HuffPost Canada</span><figcaption class="image__caption">Kent Hehr鈥檚 campaign office, July 2019.</figcaption></div></figure><div class="content-list-component text"><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Back in Marda Loop, Carson Lavender says he used to be a Conservative. He grew up in Saskatchewan with the mantra that if you weren’t a Conservative, you were a Communist. But after moving away for school and travelling around the world, he says his perspective has changed. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">He’s looking for a party that takes environmental issues seriously, he says. He bikes to work and takes transit. At the same time, he feels Trudeau “turned his back on the people who voted for him.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">He likes Green Party Leader Elizabeth May but feels she’s “a little bit out there.” He says McLean seems like a “nice guy.”</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">When I text him this weekend, two days shy of election day, Lavender said he finally settled on who he was going to vote for. </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“I will be voting NDP,” he wrote. “I think Mr. Singh is the most fit to lead.” </span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">He’s pleased with his choice. Strategic voting be damned.</span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“Feels good,” he wrote.</span></p><p><em>This story is a part of the <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/federal-election-2019-ridings-to-watch_ca_5d77ec25e4b0fde50c2e532b?cxh" data-rapid-elm="context_link" data-rapid-sec="{"entry-text":"entry-text"}">federal election edition of HuffPost Reports</a>. This summer, the HuffPost Canada politics team spread out across the country to take a look at some of the ridings that could make a real difference in the outcome of this year’s campaign. <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191022142302/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/federal-election-2019-ridings-to-watch_ca_5d77ec25e4b0fde50c2e532b?cxh" data-rapid-elm="context_link" data-rapid-sec="{"entry-text":"entry-text"}">Ridings To Watch</a> is an ongoing series that looks at the people and politicians in those communities and the role they might play as Canadians head to the polls.</em></p></div><div class="content-list-component embed-asset"><iframe src="//web.archive.org/web/20191022142302if_/https://thecanadianpress-a.akamaihd.net/graphics/2019/federal-election/riding-profiles/index.html#48004" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" style="width: 100%; height: 820px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"></iframe></div> <div class="related-entries related-entries--thumbs 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