Mysteel：2025上海钢联新春团拜会——建筑钢材&钢管包头站-我的钢铁网

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<p>2025年2月17日（星期一），“2025上海钢联新春团拜会-<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>建筑钢材</a>&<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010109-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>钢管</a>-包头站”顺利召开。会议由上海钢联电子商务股份有限公司（简称“上海钢联”）主办，内蒙古普旭贸易有限公司友情支持。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 600px; height: 440.462px;" src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/2222542.png" width="600" height="440" /></p> <p>本次会议于下午14：40在包头市穆华物流园区普旭钢铁三楼大会议室正式开始，会议由上海钢联建筑钢材事业部北方三部经理姜红主持。参会嘉包括包头地区主要流通钢厂、现货贸易商，会上大家就当前市场热点话题进行交流分享，氛围热烈。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/2222553.png" width="499" height="385" /></p> <p>首先，上海钢联上海钢联建筑钢材事业部内蒙古区域主编刘振兴给大家带来《内蒙古建筑钢材市场运行概况》的演讲。首先他回顾了内蒙古各市2024年的GDP情况，其中鄂尔多斯的人均GDP全国第一。接下来他分析了2024年内蒙古建筑钢材供应情况，指出自区域内建材供应量2020年起产量逐年下降，从近1000万吨降至不足400万吨，。需求方面，他从GDP增长、产业分析、固定资产投资、房地产市场情况等方面进行了简要分析。开春市场库存同比下降，但需求仍不乐观，加上原料市场价格仍有下行可能，成本支持减弱，预计2025年区域内建筑钢材价格走势或承压下行，提出需关注今年两会的指导方针。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 600px; height: 530.735px;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/2222554.png" width="600" height="531" /></p> <p>接下来，上海钢联钢管分析师胡盼给大家带来《管材市场2024年回顾及2025年春季展望》的主题演讲。她对2024年的钢管市场进行了回顾，，并展望了2025年的市场情况。在2024年，钢管价格中枢整体下移，钢厂利润普遍下降，全年亏损天数增加。<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010903-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>焊管</a>整体产量结构发生变化，传统<a href='https://m.100njz.com/market/p-968-----1011-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>脚手架</a>和盘扣式脚手架产量下降，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010501-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>镀锌</a>方管等附加值高的产品产能有所增加，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010901-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>无缝管</a>厂竞争加剧。需求方面，房地产行业下滑对市场影响较大，但基础建设等领域展现出一定韧性。预计2025年钢管需求增长点将集中在能源、市政工程、船舶海工、钢结构领域，预计表观消费量或小幅增加，出口维持高增长态势。2025年钢管价格或呈前低后高态势，市场建议以稳健操作为主。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 600px; height: 436.994px;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/2222555.png" width="600" height="437" /></p> <p>接下来进入互动讨论环节，与会钢厂、贸易商代表等围绕2025钢材价格、库存、消费情况及操作思路进行了热烈讨论，并给上中下游企业或者同行提出一些建议。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 600px; height: 546.798px;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/2222556.png" width="600" height="547" /></p> <p>内蒙古普旭钢铁总经理岳宝飞认为节后建筑钢材价格上涨有压力，整体波动不会太大，自身也是有一定压力，但是还是要备齐各规格资源，为下游做好服务，去年整体下游企业回款整体一般，对于市场持谨慎乐观态度。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/2222567.png" width="491" height="329" /></p> <p style="text-align: left;">内蒙中厚钢板有限公司总经理邓宝君认为单纯依靠投机、通过传统备货模式盈利的时代已经过去，建材的需求量明显下滑，大家其实可以在钢板加工产业方面做一些延申，对于目前的市场，钢铁企业还是要以诚信经营为主，增强服务能力。在市场不好的情况下，更应谨慎经营，慎重使用金融工具，努力在市场存活下来。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/2222568.png" width="449" height="376" /></p> <p>中远林总认为目前市场产量及库存量低于往年，板材目前面临上有产量明显增加的情况，特朗普上台为对外经济带来较大不确定性，我们作为企业要主动承担社会责任，对于行情需要谨慎。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/2222569.png" width="491" height="329" /></p> <p>迁安正大销售副部长张宏宇张宏宇张总指出，厂里年后基本已经恢复正常生产，下游运行整体偏弱，钢厂面临较大的库存压力，但是作为厂家不能因为行情波动因素去恶意减少库存，对于下游还是需要”保证供给“，在保供的前提下，适当控制自身库存。随着三月份需求逐步回升后，下游需求还是有望转好。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/22225610.png" width="392" height="359" /></p> <p>内蒙古九鸿王琭王总提出，无缝钢管相对于板材、建材整体的消费量偏小，近期还是会有部分钢厂会进行一定的检修，在三月之前行情运行风险不大，这边需要重点关注五月份主要的无缝钢厂的产能释放情况，如果产能释放过大可能将会为市场带来一定的压力，库存的合理化及资金的安全化是大家需要重点关注的方面。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/22225611.png" width="439" height="319" /></p> <p>钢棒棒总经理陈雪峰陈总表示，对于目前比较内卷的竞争各环节，新的一年需要把产品做精做细，为客户增加更好的配套服务，盲目跑销量已经不是我们公司主要的经营方向。</p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 499.422px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/22225612.png" width="600" height="499" /></p> <p>上海钢联数据产品研发部副经理胡赛男进行了《2024年钢铁市场回顾与2025年市场一季度展望》的演讲。分析了中国钢铁结构性调整和区域供需情况，近5年来长材板材产能产量此消彼长，长材降势板材有所抬升，2024年强预期弱现实不断博弈钢材震荡偏弱运行，2025年经调研结果显示经济复苏仍显乏力，一季度钢铁市场或呈现供需双弱、均价下行、利润波动的格局，一季度钢材均价较去年四季度或继续下移，预计上海螺纹钢均价或在3370元/吨左右，较去年四季度仍有11.5%的降幅。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/22225613.png" width="592" height="435" /></p> <p>最后，上海钢联建筑钢材事业部副总经理张程为大家带来了会后总结。第一，宏观方面，2025年基础建设行业可能会有一些提升，国内基建还有比较大的建设余量，地产的利空影响在减弱，钢厂利润会受到成本的下移而有所修复。2025年国内粗钢产量或继续下降，带来上游原材料的价格或出现下跌。行业内兼并重组跟落后产能淘汰的节奏会进一步加快，螺纹先于其他钢铁品种进行产能调整，板材类的定价模式可能取代螺纹，成为钢材主要的定价模式，杭州、江苏等你华东地区还是螺纹的主要风向企业，大家需要重点关注南方地区的市场供需动态，适当运用期限交易工具对冲风险。</p> <p>至此，“2025上海钢联新春团拜会-建筑钢材&钢管-包头站”会议圆满结束，会后参会嘉宾一起进行了合影留念。最后，再次感谢为此次会议提供帮助与支持的各公司和前来参会的各位领导。祝各位2025年前程螣螣，生活蠖蠖，事业蟠蟠，巳巳如意！</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 600px; height: 345.954px;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/20/22225614.png" width="600" height="346" /></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：胡盼 021-26094127 </br> 资讯监督：陈凯榆 021-26093415 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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