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.mw-parser-output .infobox-table th,body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table td{padding-left:inherit;padding-right:inherit}}</style><table class="infobox vcard"><tbody><tr><th colspan="2" class="infobox-above" style="font-size:125%;"><div style="display:inline;" class="fn">Stuart Rothenberg</div></th></tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="infobox-image"><span class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Frameless"><a href="/wiki/File:Stuart_Rothenberg_in_2018.jpg" class="mw-file-description" title="Rothenberg in 2018"><img alt="Rothenberg in 2018" src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/30/Stuart_Rothenberg_in_2018.jpg/220px-Stuart_Rothenberg_in_2018.jpg" decoding="async" width="220" height="282" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/30/Stuart_Rothenberg_in_2018.jpg/330px-Stuart_Rothenberg_in_2018.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/30/Stuart_Rothenberg_in_2018.jpg 2x" data-file-width="390" data-file-height="500" /></a></span><div class="infobox-caption" style="line-height:1.4em;">Rothenberg in 2018</div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label" style="line-height:1.2em; padding-right:0.65em;">Born</th><td class="infobox-data" style="line-height:1.4em;">1948 (age 75–76)</td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label" style="line-height:1.2em; padding-right:0.65em;">Occupation</th><td class="infobox-data role" style="line-height:1.4em;">Writer, editor, analyst</td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label" style="line-height:1.2em; padding-right:0.65em;">Education</th><td class="infobox-data" style="line-height:1.4em;"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1126788409">.mw-parser-output .plainlist ol,.mw-parser-output .plainlist ul{line-height:inherit;list-style:none;margin:0;padding:0}.mw-parser-output .plainlist ol li,.mw-parser-output .plainlist ul li{margin-bottom:0}</style><div class="plainlist"><ul><li><a href="/wiki/Colby_College" title="Colby College">Colby College</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/University_of_Connecticut" title="University of Connecticut">University of Connecticut</a></li></ul></div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label" style="line-height:1.2em; padding-right:0.65em;">Subject</th><td class="infobox-data" style="line-height:1.4em;">Politics</td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label" style="line-height:1.2em; padding-right:0.65em;">Notable works</th><td class="infobox-data" style="line-height:1.4em;"><i>Inside Elections</i> newsletter</td></tr></tbody></table> <p><b>Stuart Rothenberg</b> (born 1948) is an American <a href="/wiki/Editing" title="Editing">editor</a>, <a href="/wiki/Publishing" title="Publishing">publisher</a>, and <a href="/wiki/Political_science" title="Political science">political analyst</a>. He is best known for his <a href="/wiki/Biweekly" class="mw-redirect" title="Biweekly">biweekly</a> political <a href="/wiki/Newsletter" title="Newsletter">newsletter</a> <i>The Rothenberg Political Report</i>, now known as <i>Inside Elections</i>. He was also a regular columnist at <i><a href="/wiki/Roll_Call" title="Roll Call">Roll Call</a></i><sup id="cite_ref-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> and an occasional <a href="/wiki/Editorial" title="Editorial">op-ed</a> contributor to other publications, including <i><a href="/wiki/The_Wall_Street_Journal" title="The Wall Street Journal">The Wall Street Journal</a></i>, <i><a href="/wiki/The_Washington_Post" title="The Washington Post">The Washington Post</a></i>, <i><a href="/wiki/The_New_York_Times" title="The New York Times">The New York Times</a></i>, and <i><a href="/wiki/The_Orlando_Sentinel" class="mw-redirect" title="The Orlando Sentinel">The Orlando Sentinel</a></i>.<sup id="cite_ref-stu_2-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-stu-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Biography">Biography</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stuart_Rothenberg&action=edit&section=1" title="Edit section: Biography"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Rothenberg lived in <a href="/wiki/Waterville,_Maine" title="Waterville, Maine">Waterville</a>, <a href="/wiki/Maine" title="Maine">Maine</a>, while attending <a href="/wiki/Colby_College" title="Colby College">Colby College</a> before relocating to <a href="/wiki/Connecticut" title="Connecticut">Connecticut</a> to earn his <a href="/wiki/Doctor_of_Philosophy" title="Doctor of Philosophy">Ph.D.</a> at the <a href="/wiki/University_of_Connecticut" title="University of Connecticut">University of Connecticut</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-stu_2-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-stu-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> For a time, he settled in <a href="/wiki/Lewisburg,_Pennsylvania" title="Lewisburg, Pennsylvania">Lewisburg, Pennsylvania</a>, to teach <a href="/wiki/Political_science" title="Political science">political science</a> at <a href="/wiki/Bucknell_University" title="Bucknell University">Bucknell University</a>. He also taught at the <a href="/wiki/Catholic_University_of_America" title="Catholic University of America">Catholic University of America</a>. </p><p>In addition to his writing, he has been frequently featured in news broadcasts and worked with <a href="/wiki/Cable_News_Network" class="mw-redirect" title="Cable News Network">CNN</a> as a political analyst for over ten years. He has served as a political analyst for <a href="/wiki/CBS_News" title="CBS News">CBS News</a> and <a href="/wiki/Voice_of_America" title="Voice of America">Voice of America</a>. He is also a guest contributor for <a href="/wiki/Political_Wire" title="Political Wire">Political Wire</a>. </p><p>Rothenberg is known for his prediction in early 2009 that the GOP's chances of winning back the U.S. House of Representatives in 2010 were "zero".<sup id="cite_ref-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-3"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Rothenberg later would change his prediction as the economy worsened and polls reflected increasing support for Republicans through the <a href="/wiki/Tea_Party_protests" title="Tea Party protests">Tea Party protests</a>. The Rothenberg Political Report projected Republicans would gain 55–65 seats in the House of Representatives<sup id="cite_ref-4" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-4"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> (they gained 63) and 6–8 seats in the Senate<sup id="cite_ref-5" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-5"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> (they gained 6). </p><p>In the weeks before the election of Donald Trump as U.S. President, Rothenberg wrote an opinion piece for <i>The Washington Post</i> headlined "Trump's path to an electoral college victory isn't narrow. It’s nonexistent". Rothenberg stated, "Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, once part of the Trump scenario, have never been 'in play'". Trump would go on to win all three of the battleground states.<sup id="cite_ref-6" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-6"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>In 2015, the <i>Rothenberg Political Report</i> changed its name to <i>The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report</i>, with long-time collaborator <a href="/w/index.php?title=Nathan_Gonzales&action=edit&redlink=1" class="new" title="Nathan Gonzales (page does not exist)">Nathan Gonzales</a> taking over as editor and publisher.<sup id="cite_ref-whathappened_7-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-whathappened-7"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>7<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> In 2017, the publication was renamed to <i>Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales.</i> Despite the name change, Rothenberg continued to work with <i>Inside Elections</i> as a senior editor.<sup id="cite_ref-newchapter_8-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-newchapter-8"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>8<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>Rothenberg is married and the father of two children. He is currently a resident of <a href="/wiki/Potomac,_Maryland" title="Potomac, Maryland">Potomac</a>, <a href="/wiki/Maryland" title="Maryland">Maryland</a>. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="References">References</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stuart_Rothenberg&action=edit&section=2" title="Edit section: References"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1239543626">.mw-parser-output .reflist{margin-bottom:0.5em;list-style-type:decimal}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .reflist{font-size:90%}}.mw-parser-output .reflist .references{font-size:100%;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:inherit}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-2{column-width:30em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-3{column-width:25em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns{margin-top:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns ol{margin-top:0}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns li{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-alpha{list-style-type:upper-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-roman{list-style-type:upper-roman}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-alpha{list-style-type:lower-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-greek{list-style-type:lower-greek}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-roman{list-style-type:lower-roman}</style><div class="reflist"> <div class="mw-references-wrap"><ol class="references"> <li id="cite_note-1"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-1">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1238218222">.mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit;word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation q{quotes:"\"""\"""'""'"}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-free.id-lock-free a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/65/Lock-green.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited.id-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration.id-lock-registration a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription.id-lock-subscription a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg")right 0.1em center/12px no-repeat}body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-free a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background-size:contain;padding:0 1em 0 0}.mw-parser-output .cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:none;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{display:none;color:#085;margin-left:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right{padding-right:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .citation .mw-selflink{font-weight:inherit}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}</style><cite id="CITEREFGold2016" class="citation web cs1">Gold, Hadas (May 23, 2016). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.politico.com/blogs/on-media/2016/05/stu-rothenberg-parts-ways-with-roll-call-223478">"Rothenberg leaves Roll Call, citing disagreement with paper's direction"</a>. <i>POLITICO</i><span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">January 25,</span> 2021</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=POLITICO&rft.atitle=Rothenberg+leaves+Roll+Call%2C+citing+disagreement+with+paper%27s+direction&rft.date=2016-05-23&rft.aulast=Gold&rft.aufirst=Hadas&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com%2Fblogs%2Fon-media%2F2016%2F05%2Fstu-rothenberg-parts-ways-with-roll-call-223478&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AStuart+Rothenberg" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-stu-2"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-stu_2-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-stu_2-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFWeiss2011" class="citation news cs1">Weiss, Cindy (March 31, 2011). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://today.uconn.edu/blog/2011/03/rothenberg-sees-sharp-divides-ahead/">"Rothenberg Sees Sharp Divides Ahead"</a>. UConn Today<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">June 12,</span> 2014</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Rothenberg+Sees+Sharp+Divides+Ahead&rft.date=2011-03-31&rft.aulast=Weiss&rft.aufirst=Cindy&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Ftoday.uconn.edu%2Fblog%2F2011%2F03%2Frothenberg-sees-sharp-divides-ahead%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AStuart+Rothenberg" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-3"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-3">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Rothenberg, Stuart. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/news/article/april-madness-can-gop-win-back-the-house-in-2010">"April Madness: Can GOP win Back the House in 2010?"</a> <i>The Rothenberg Political Report</i>, April 27, 2009. Retrieved July 27, 2011.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-4"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-4">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation news cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/house/november-1-2010-house-ratings">"House Ratings"</a>. Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales. November 1, 2010.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=House+Ratings&rft.date=2010-11-01&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Frothenbergpoliticalreport.com%2Fratings%2Fhouse%2Fnovember-1-2010-house-ratings&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AStuart+Rothenberg" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-5"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-5">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation news cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/senate/november-1-2010-senate-ratings">"Senate Ratings"</a>. Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales. November 1, 2010.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Senate+Ratings&rft.date=2010-11-01&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Frothenbergpoliticalreport.com%2Fratings%2Fsenate%2Fnovember-1-2010-senate-ratings&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AStuart+Rothenberg" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-6"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-6">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFRothenberg" class="citation web cs1">Rothenberg, Stuart. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/10/18/trump-electoral-college-victory-non-existent/">"Trump's path to an electoral college victory isn't narrow. It's nonexistent"</a><span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">January 25,</span> 2021</span> – via www.washingtonpost.com.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=Trump%27s+path+to+an+electoral+college+victory+isn%27t+narrow.+It%27s+nonexistent.&rft.aulast=Rothenberg&rft.aufirst=Stuart&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fnews%2Fpowerpost%2Fwp%2F2016%2F10%2F18%2Ftrump-electoral-college-victory-non-existent%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AStuart+Rothenberg" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-whathappened-7"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-whathappened_7-0">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFNathan_L._Gonzales2015" class="citation news cs1">Nathan L. Gonzales (January 12, 2015). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/what-happened-to-the-rothenberg-political-report/">"What Happened to The Rothenberg Political Report?"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/Roll_Call" title="Roll Call">Roll Call</a></i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Roll+Call&rft.atitle=What+Happened+to+The+Rothenberg+Political+Report%3F&rft.date=2015-01-12&rft.au=Nathan+L.+Gonzales&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fblogs.rollcall.com%2Frothenblog%2Fwhat-happened-to-the-rothenberg-political-report%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AStuart+Rothenberg" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-newchapter-8"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-newchapter_8-0">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFGonzales2017" class="citation news cs1">Gonzales, Nathan (January 13, 2017). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://insideelections.com/news/article/a-new-chapter-from-rothenberg-to-inside-elections">"A New Chapter: From Rothenberg to Inside Elections"</a>. Inside Elections<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">November 19,</span> 2017</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=A+New+Chapter%3A+From+Rothenberg+to+Inside+Elections&rft.date=2017-01-13&rft.aulast=Gonzales&rft.aufirst=Nathan&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Finsideelections.com%2Fnews%2Farticle%2Fa-new-chapter-from-rothenberg-to-inside-elections&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AStuart+Rothenberg" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> </ol></div></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="External_links">External links</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Stuart_Rothenberg&action=edit&section=3" title="Edit section: External links"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/">The Rothenberg Political Report</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/2005/09/stuart-rothenberg-bio.html">Biography</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.leadingauthorities.com/speakers/Stuart-Rothenberg.html">Stuart Rothenberg | Leading Authorities Speakers Bureau</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.c-span.org/person/?2357">Appearances</a> on <a href="/wiki/C-SPAN" title="C-SPAN">C-SPAN</a></li></ul> <div class="navbox-styles"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1129693374">.mw-parser-output .hlist dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul{margin:0;padding:0}.mw-parser-output .hlist dd,.mw-parser-output .hlist dt,.mw-parser-output .hlist li{margin:0;display:inline}.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl 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