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After 70,000 deaths, Eritrea and Ethiopia prepare for war again - Times Online

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For full access to our content, please subscribe here</a></li> </ul> </div> </div> <div id="my-profile"> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20111012194857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/tools_and_services/subscriptions/my_profile/">MY PROFILE</a> </div> <!-- BEGIN: Region for all content --> <div id="region-content"> <div id="region-body-and-footer"> <div id="region-body"> <div id="region-column1and2-container-layout2"> <div id="region-column1and2-layout2"> <!-- BEGIN: Module - Main Heading --> <div class="float-left position-relative margin-top-minus-22"><span class="small"> From </span><span class="byline">The Times</span> </div> <div class="float-right text-right position-relative margin-top-minus-20"> <!-- BEGIN: Module - Advert:Top --> <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- //Retrieve yaoo Cookie Value var yahoo = "no"; var IsYahoo="no"; if (GetQueryString("yahoo")=="yes" || get_cookie('YH') == "yes") IsYahoo="yes"; if (IsYahoo == "yes" || get_cookie('YH') == 'open') { set_cookie ("YH", "yes", "", "" ); yahoo = "yes"; } else { set_cookie ("YH", "no", "", "" ); yahoo = "no"; } window.onunload = setYahooCookie; //--> </script> <!-- For Travel Search --> <!--SECTION:parameter parameter="dart.server" /--> <!-- END: Module - Advert:Top --> </div> <div class="small color-666"> December 8, 2005</br> </div> <div class="clear-simple"></div> <h1 class="heading">After 70,000 deaths, Eritrea and Ethiopia prepare for war again</h1> <h2 class="sub-heading padding-top-5 padding-bottom-15">The UN and the West each bear their share of responsibility this time around</h2> <!-- END: Module - Main Heading --> </div> <div id="region-column1-layout2"> <div> <div class="article-author"> <!-- Print Author name from By Line associated with the article --> <span class="small"></span><span class="byline"> By Xan Rice </span> <div class="clear"></div> </div> </div> <!-- BEGIN: Module - Main Article --> <!-- Check the Article Type and display accordingly--> <!-- Print Author image associated with the Author--> <!-- Print the body of the article--> <style type="text/css"> div#related-article-links p a, div#related-article-links p a:visited { color:#06c; } </style> <div id="related-article-links"> <!-- Pagination --> <p>A CONFLICT once described as so pointless that it was like two bald men fighting over a comb looks increasingly likely to restart after Eritrea expelled international peacekeepers from the border it shares with Ethiopia. </p> <p>Troops from the US, Europe, and Canada have been ordered to leave the area, in which nearly a quarter of a million soldiers now face each other. </p> <p>In recent weeks Eritrea and Ethiopia have moved extra men to the desolate, mountainous border, which is the most militarised in Africa. Between 1998 and 2000 they fought a war there that killed more than 70,000 people. </p> <p>Berhane Hailu, the Ethiopian Information Minister, said that the Eritrean decision would do nothing to cool tensions. "We will do everything for a peaceful resolution. But we are, as always, ready to defend our sovereignty," he said. </p> <!--#include file="m63-article-related-attachements.html"--> <!-- BEGIN: Module - M63 - Article Related Attachements --> <script type="text/javascript" src="/web/20111012194857js_/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/js/picture-gallery.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> function slideshowPopUp(url) { pictureGalleryPopupPic(url); return false; } </script> <!-- BEGIN: Comment Teaser Module --> <div class="float-left related-attachements-container"> <!-- END: Comment Teaser Module --> <!-- BEGIN: Module - M63 - Article Related Package --> <!-- END: Module - M63 - Article Related Package --> <div class="related-attachements-top padding-top-10"> <h3 class="section-heading">Related Links</h3> </div> <div class="related-attachements-side padding-top-7 padding-bottom-10 padding-right-7"> <div class="padding-bottom-5 padding-top-3"> <ul class="chevron-list chevron-blue"> <li><a href="/web/20111012194857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article597085.ece" class="link-666"> Running envoys try to stop a war </a></li> </ul> <form name="relatedLinksform" action="" method="post"> </form> <ul class="chevron-list chevron-blue"> <li><a href="/web/20111012194857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article588171.ece" class="link-666"> Violence in Ethiopia leaves Britain facing aid dilemma </a></li> </ul> <form name="relatedLinksform" action="" method="post"> </form> <ul class="chevron-list chevron-blue"> <li><a href="/web/20111012194857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article586346.ece" class="link-666"> Anger over &#163;30m British aid as nation slides towards conflict </a></li> </ul> <form name="relatedLinksform" action="" method="post"> </form> <form name="relatedLinksform" action="" method="post"> </form> <form name="relatedLinksform" action="" method="post"> </form> </div> </div> <!-- BEGIN: POLL --> <!--This block will execute if an article of type Poll is attached--> <!-- END : POLL --> <!-- BEGIN: DEBATE--> <!-- END: DEBATE--> <div class="clear related-attachements-bottom"></div> <div class="padding-top-5"></div> </div> <!-- END: Module - M63 - Article Related Attachements --> <p>A notice was delivered to the United Nations Mission in Ethiopia and Eritrea (Unmee) by the Eritrean Government, ordering international staff to leave within ten days. "It is . . . advisable for Unmee to remain compliant to the decision and to render full co-operation to its implementation," the letter said. </p> <p>No explanation was given but analysts said that it was a reaction to a UN Security Council resolution last week, which threatened Eritrea with sanctions if it did not ease restrictions on the peacekeeping mission. </p> <p>The expulsion order will affect about 160 of Unmee&rsquo;s 3,794 staff &mdash; including nearly half the observers on the Eritrean side. Combined with earlier restrictions, it will make it nearly impossible for the "blue helmets" in Eritrea to continue their work. </p> <p>The source of the tension between the neighbouring countries is Ethiopia&rsquo;s refusal to recognise the ruling of an international commission demarcating their 621-mile mutual border, despite a prior undertaking to abide by the result. The commission was established as part of the peace deal that ended the previous war. </p> <p>Eritrea&rsquo;s relations with the UN have soured since it tried to put pressure on the Security Council to enforce the border decision. </p> <p>In early October Eritrea banned UN helicopter flights near the 15-mile-wide buffer zone along the border and prevented peacekeepers from making night patrols, forcing the closure of 18 out of 40 observation posts. </p> <p>Both countries then sent more troops and tanks to the border in a build-up that Henri Boshoff, a military analyst with the Pretoria-based Institute for Security Studies, called "extremely concerning". </p> <p>On November 23 the UN Security Council urged the two sides to reverse their troop build-up and threatened Eritrea with sanctions if it did not ease peacekeeping restrictions. But the UN resolution did not threaten Ethiopia with punishment for ignoring the border ruling &mdash; greatly angering President Afewerki of Eritrea. </p> <p>Matt Bryden, a senior analyst covering the Horn of Africa for the International Crisis Group, said: "It is pretty clear that Eritrea is escalating its confrontation with the UN because it is frustrated by the Security Council resolution." </p> <p>Analysts agree that Eritrea has reason to be upset with Ethiopia&rsquo;s refusal to accept the boundary ruling &mdash; and the West&rsquo;s reluctance to pressure Meles Zenawi, the Ethiopian Prime Minister. Ethiopia now has about 150,000 troops on the border and Eritrea 80,000. </p> <p>A new conflict would make little sense for Eritrea, which gained independence from Ethiopia in 1993 after a 30-year guerrilla war. Desperately poor and with a population of only 3.6 million, it would stand little chance against sub-Saharan Africa&rsquo;s second most populous country. But there is a mutual enmity between the two countries&rsquo; leaders that could override any logic. </p> <p>They are both Tigrinian speakers, who fought together to oust Mengistu Haile Mariam, the hardline Marxist dicatator, as leader of Ethiopia in the 1980s. But they fell out after Eritrea&rsquo;s independence deprived Ethiopia of access to the sea. Both have become increasingly autocratic after more than a decade in power and increasingly dependent on "foreign threats" to unite their peoples. </p> <p>President Afewerki, who calls Ethiopia "the pampered child of America", recently gave warning that his patience over the border issue was not infinite. Mr Meles is facing increasing internal dissent and does not want to cede any ground to his tiny neighbour. </p> <p><strong>DECADES OF CONFLICT</strong> </p></li><li>3,800 UN troops patrol a buffer zone 15 miles wide along 621 miles of border</li></ul> </div> <!-- End of pagination --> <div class="clear"></div> <div class="padding-top-5"></div> <!-- Show rating of this article --> <!-- Contextual links Module --> <!-- End Contextual links Module --> <script type="text/javascript"> var displayBehaviouralNav = true; </script> </div> <div id="region-column2-layout2"> <div id="nav-level-3"> <h3 class="section-heading white-line"><span class="color-cbff00">Explore World News</span></h3> <ul class="chevron-list chevron-green padding-top-5"> <li><a class="link-fff" href="/web/20111012194857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/world_agenda/"><span class="tertiary-letter-spacing">World Agenda</span></a></li> </ul> <ul class="chevron-list chevron-green padding-top-5"> <li><a class="link-fff" href="/web/20111012194857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/iraq/"><span class="tertiary-letter-spacing">Iraq News</span></a></li> </ul> <ul class="chevron-list chevron-green padding-top-5"> <li><a class="link-fff" href="/web/20111012194857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/"><span class="tertiary-letter-spacing">US &amp; 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