Mysteel：2020年-2024年10月冷轧无取向硅钢进出口情况分析-我的钢铁网

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href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010106-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>硅钢</a>方面，近年来，随着我国<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010104-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>冷轧</a>无取向硅钢行业的不断扩能，自给率明显提升，进口量也出现明显下滑。2024年1-10月我国冷轧无取向硅钢进口总量共计6.56万吨，同比减少38.01%。2024年1-10月我国冷轧无取向硅钢出口总量共计66.24万吨，同比增加9.11%。10月我国冷轧无取向硅钢月度进口量5705.36吨，出口量73519.27吨，贸易出超67813.91吨。得益于对硅钢生产技术的完善、“一带一路”政策的支持以及全球新能源发展推动影响，我国冷轧无取向硅钢已由净进口国转为净出口国。</strong></p> <p><strong> 一、进口再创新低出口稳中向好 </strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/11/27/0856371.png" width="484" height="298" /></p> <p>海关数据显示，进口方面，2020年我国冷轧无取向硅钢进口总量共计34.29万吨；2021年我国冷轧无取向硅钢进口总量共计34.46万吨，同比增加0.17万吨，增幅0.52%；2022年我国冷轧无取向硅钢进口总量共计20.44万吨，同比减少14.02万吨，减幅40.69%；2023年我国冷轧无取向硅钢进口总量共计11.90万吨，同比减少8.54万吨，减幅41.77%；2024年1-10月我国冷轧无取向硅钢进口总量共计6.56万吨，同比减少4.03万吨，减幅38.01%。</p> <p>出口方面，2020年我国冷轧无取向硅钢出口总量共计26.83万吨；2021年我国冷轧无取向硅钢出口总量共计61.38万吨，同比增加34.55万吨，增幅128.77%；2022年我国冷轧无取向硅钢出口总量共计84.33万吨，同比增加22.95万吨，增幅37.38%；2023年我国冷轧无取向硅钢出口总量共计73.99万吨，同比减少10.34万吨，减幅12.26%；2024年1-10月我国冷轧无取向硅钢出口总量共计66.24万吨，同比增加5.54万吨，增幅9.11%。<strong>一个显著的转折点出现在2021年，自2021年起</strong><strong>我国冷轧无取向硅钢</strong><strong>出口量激增，</strong><strong>2022年</strong><strong>达到峰</strong><strong>，</strong><strong>2023年稍有回落。</strong></p> <p><strong> 二、分省市看 </strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/11/27/0856372.png" width="484" height="295" /></p> <p align="justify"><strong>整体来看，今年我国无取向硅钢的进口量较去年</strong><strong>呈下滑态势</strong><strong>，上海市场进口需求下降最显著。具体来看，江苏、广东、浙江、上海四地为我国无取向硅钢进口大省，2023年四地进口总量占总进口量的91.44%，2024年1-10月地进口总量占总进口量的91.76%。</strong></p> <p align="justify">其中，2023年江苏省无取向硅钢进口总量为34,598.2吨，占比29.1%；上海市无取向硅钢进口总量为31,529.0吨，占比26.5%。广东省无取向硅钢进口总量为26,221.4吨，占比22.0%；浙江省无取向硅钢进口总量为16,484.6吨，占比13.8%。</p> <p align="justify">2024年1-10月江苏省无取向硅钢进口总量为23,587.1吨，占比35.9%；广东省无取向硅钢进口总量为14,169.9吨，占比21.6%；浙江省无取向硅钢进口总量为11,893.6吨，占比18.1%；上海市无取向硅钢进口总量为10,567.1吨，占比16.1%。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/11/27/0856373.png" width="484" height="295" /></p> <p align="justify"><strong>整体来看，今年我国无取向硅钢各个省市的出口量呈分化走势，江苏省、河北省无取向硅钢出口增量明显，北京市无取向硅钢出口大幅缩量。具体来看，我国无取向硅钢出口主要大省分别为：</strong><strong>上海市</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>江苏省</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>广东省</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>湖北省</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>河北省</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>北京市</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>山东省江西省</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>辽宁省</strong><strong>。2023年</strong><strong>上海市</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>北京市</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>广东省</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>江苏省</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>湖北省</strong><strong>五地出口总量占总出口量的77.59%，2024年1-10月上海市、江苏省、广东省、湖北省、河北省五地出口总量占总出口量的77.38%。</strong></p> <p align="justify">其中，2023年上海市无取向硅钢出口总量为200,179.6吨，占总量的27.1%；北京市无取向硅钢出口总量为158,132.8吨，占总量的21.4%；广东省无取向硅钢出口总量为88,479.9吨，占总量的12.0%；江苏省无取向硅钢出口总量为65,259.0吨，占总量的8.8%；湖北省无取向硅钢出口总量为62,046.1吨，占总量的8.4%。</p> <p align="justify">2024年1-10月上海市无取向硅钢出口总量为171,204.5吨，占总量的25.8%；江苏省无取向硅钢出口总量为123,081.9吨，占总量的18.6%；广东省无取向硅钢出口总量为94,012.0吨，占总量的14.2%；湖北省无取向硅钢出口总量为70,797.9吨，占总量的10.7%；河北省无取向硅钢出口总量为53,410.0吨，占总量的8.1%；</p> <p align="justify"><strong>三、分国别/地区看</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/11/27/0856374.png" width="484" height="295" /></p> <p align="justify"><strong>整体来看，近两年我国无取向硅钢主要进口于日本、中国台湾和韩国，且今年对中国台湾的进口需求呈下滑态势。具体来看，2023年进口总量占总进口量的96.7%；2024年1-10月进口总量占总进口量的98.1%。</strong></p> <p align="justify">其中，2023年我国从日本进口的无取向硅钢总量为52,022.46吨，占总量的43.7%；从中国台湾进口的无取向硅钢总量为42,692.09吨，占总量的35.9%；从韩国进口的无取向硅钢总量为20,323.02吨，占总量的17.1%。</p> <p align="justify">2024年1-10月我国从日本进口的无取向硅钢总量为38,050.60吨，占总量的58.0%；从中国台湾进口的无取向硅钢总量为15,446.43吨，占总量的23.5%；从韩国进口的无取向硅钢总量为10,870.28吨，占总量的16.6%。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/11/27/0856375.png" width="484" height="295" /></p> <p align="justify"><strong>整体来看，近两年我国无取向硅钢主要出口于印度、墨西哥、越南、意大利、美国、韩国、土耳其，且今年对美国的出口量下滑明显。具体来看，2023年出口总量占总出口量的73.5%；2024年1-10月出口总量占总出口量的69.8%。</strong></p> <p align="justify">其中，2023年我国对印度出口的无取向硅钢总量为125,830.74吨，占总量的17.0%；对美国出口的无取向硅钢总量为96,003.88吨，占总量的13.0%；对墨西哥出口的无取向硅钢总量为82,162.46吨，占总量的11.1%；对意大利出口的无取向硅钢总量为69,653.23吨，占总量的9.4%；对越南出口的无取向硅钢总量为62,510.74吨，占总量的8.4%；对土耳其出口的无取向硅钢总量为54,611.64吨，占总量的7.4%；对韩国出口的无取向硅钢总量为53,117.27吨，占总量的7.2%。</p> <p align="justify">2024年1-10月我国对印度出口的无取向硅钢总量为117,913.28吨，占总量的17.8%；对墨西哥出口的无取向硅钢总量为77,798.94吨，占总量的11.7%；对越南出口的无取向硅钢总量为69,033.32吨，占总量的10.4%；对意大利出口的无取向硅钢总量为54,580.68吨，占总量的8.2%；对美国出口的无取向硅钢总量为54,398.18吨，占总量的8.2%；对韩国出口的无取向硅钢总量为49,801.13吨，占总量的7.5%；对土耳其出口的无取向硅钢总量为38,964.72吨，占总量的5.9%。</p> <p><strong>四、后市展望</strong></p> <p>进口方面，我国无取向硅钢产业集中度高，且部分民营钢企新产线投放计划已提上日程，预计未来几年无取向硅钢的产能将进一步增长。无取向硅钢产品面临结构性过剩，特别是低牌号硅钢，生产难度相对较低，供应能力大于实际需求，产品市场竞争激烈。<strong>总体来看明年我国无取向硅钢的进口或将维持低位震荡格局。</strong></p> <p>出口方面，我国硅钢出口价格在全球具有较强竞争力，叠加抢出口行为，四季度硅钢出口或延续增势。目前钢厂生产积极性较高，但在国内市场供应过剩的情况下，国外市场尤为重要。同时，随着我国冷轧无取向硅钢出口的快速增长，引发了其贸易伙伴对不公平竞争的担忧。后期将会有越来越多的国家加大了反倾销措施，包括高额关税。<strong>因此，今年我国无取向硅钢出口量有望突破往年的最高点，但2025年全面的贸易关税可能会进一步限制中国的钢铁出口，同时在反倾销措施的影响下，冷轧无取向硅钢出口或将受到拖累，尽管这可能需要一段时间才能显现出来。</strong></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：涂慧 021-26094444 </br> 资讯监督：雍南川 021-26093774 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4286-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a 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