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The New Cold War: US Urged to Form ‘Manhattan Project’ for AGI
<!DOCTYPE html><html lang="en"><head><meta charSet="utf-8"/><meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width,initial-scale=1"/><meta name="robots" content="max-image-preview:large"/><title>The New Cold War: US Urged to Form ‘Manhattan Project’ for AGI</title><meta name="description" content="A commission says China is catching up with US in AI capabilities and recommends a public-private partnership to develop artificial general intelligence as a national security priority."/><meta property="og:title" content="The New Cold War: US Urged to Form ‘Manhattan Project’ for AGI"/><meta property="og:description" content="A commission says China is catching up with US in AI capabilities and recommends a public-private partnership to develop artificial general intelligence as a national security priority."/><meta property="og:url" content="https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai/the-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi"/><meta property="og:type" content="article"/><meta property="og:image" content="https://eu-images.contentstack.com/v3/assets/blt69509c9116440be8/bltf49c02c531155ca8/673f7b21f8c46bd4922fbca9/AI_cold_war.jpg?disable=upscale&width=1200&height=630&fit=crop"/><meta property="oc:keywords" content="Machine Learning & AI, AI Innovations, Responsible AI, Risk Management"/><link rel="canonical" href="https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai/the-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi"/><script type="application/ld+json">{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"Article","datePublished":"2024-11-21T19:29:36.000Z","dateModified":"2024-11-21T19:30:40.284Z","headline":"The New Cold War: US Urged to Form ‘Manhattan Project’ for AGI","mainEntityOfPage":"https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai/the-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://eu-images.contentstack.com/v3/assets/blt69509c9116440be8/bltf49c02c531155ca8/673f7b21f8c46bd4922fbca9/AI_cold_war.jpg","caption":"","creditText":"Ivan Marc Sanchez via Alamy Stock"},"author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Shane Snider","image":"https://eu-images.contentstack.com/v3/assets/blt69509c9116440be8/bltf4de7e5784b276a0/650d8d5ffac8e1d4a1f21f76/Shane_Snider_Profile.jpg","url":"https://www.informationweek.com/author/shane-snider"}],"publisher":{"@type":["NewsMediaOrganization","Organization","OnlineBusiness"],"identifier":"https://www.informationweek.com","name":"Information Week","url":"https://www.informationweek.com","sameAs":["https://twitter.com/InformationWeek","https://www.linkedin.com/company/informationweek","https://www.facebook.com/informationweek","https://news.google.com/publications/CAAqBwgKMOfGrQsw9NHFAw"],"foundingDate":"1979","description":"To empower you with trustworthy information to help you balance the risks and opportunities of technology.","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://www.informationweek.com/build/_assets/InformationWeek-LF2P2I2V.svg","width":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","value":483},"height":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","value":112}}}}</script><script type="application/ld+json">{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https://www.informationweek.com"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Machine Learning & AI","item":"https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai"}]}</script><link rel="preload" href="https://eu-images.contentstack.com/v3/assets/blt69509c9116440be8/bltf49c02c531155ca8/673f7b21f8c46bd4922fbca9/AI_cold_war.jpg?width=1280&auto=webp&quality=10&format=jpg&disable=upscale&blur=40" as="image"/><meta property="twitter:card" content="summary"/><script type="text/javascript">window.NREUM||(NREUM={});NREUM.init={distributed_tracing:{enabled:true},privacy:{cookies_enabled:true},ajax:{deny_list:["bam.eu01.nr-data.net"]}}; ;NREUM.loader_config={accountID:"3936348",trustKey:"3288925",agentID:"538600207",licenseKey:"NRJS-26ae6a3b09493bbcc87",applicationID:"538600207"}; ;NREUM.info={beacon:"bam.eu01.nr-data.net",errorBeacon:"bam.eu01.nr-data.net",licenseKey:"NRJS-26ae6a3b09493bbcc87",applicationID:"538600207",sa:1}; ;/*! 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and recommends a public-private partnership to develop artificial general intelligence as a national security priority.</p></div></div></div><div class="TwoColumnLayout-Content"><div class="TwoColumnLayout-Body"><div class="ArticleBase-Body" data-testid="article-base-body"><div class="ArticleBase-Contributors" data-testid="article-base-contributors"><div class="Contributors Contributors_variant_normal Contributors_hasAvatar" data-component="contributors"><div class="Contributors-AvatarWrapper"><a class="Contributors-AvatarLink" aria-label="Shane Snider" data-discover="true" href="/author/shane-snider"><img aria-hidden="true" data-testid="contributor-avatar" data-component="image" class="Contributors-Avatar" data-src="https://eu-images.contentstack.com/v3/assets/blt69509c9116440be8/bltf4de7e5784b276a0/650d8d5ffac8e1d4a1f21f76/Shane_Snider_Profile.jpg?width=100&auto=webp&quality=80&disable=upscale" src="https://eu-images.contentstack.com/v3/assets/blt69509c9116440be8/bltf4de7e5784b276a0/650d8d5ffac8e1d4a1f21f76/Shane_Snider_Profile.jpg?width=100&auto=webp&quality=80&disable=upscale" loading="lazy" alt="Picture of Shane Snider" title="Picture of Shane Snider"/></a></div><div class="Contributors-InfoWrapper"><a class="Contributors-ContributorName" data-testid="contributor-name" data-discover="true" href="/author/shane-snider">Shane Snider</a><span class="Contributors-ContributorTitle" data-testid="contributor-title">, <!-- -->Senior Writer, InformationWeek</span><p class="Contributors-Date" data-testid="contributors-date">November 21, 2024</p></div></div><div data-component="article-read-time" class="ArticleReadTime ArticleReadTime_size_normal"><span data-component="icon" data-name="Clock" class="ArticleReadTime-Icon" 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Flag of USA and China on a microprocessor" title="Tech war between China and the USA. Flag of USA and China on a microprocessor"/></div><div class="CaptionedContent-Caption" data-testid="captioned-content-caption"><span class="CaptionedContent-CreditTo">Ivan Marc Sanchez via Alamy Stock</span></div></div></div><div class="SocialShare"><div data-component="social-share" class="SocialShare SocialShare_variant_button ArticleBase-SocialShare ArticleBase-SocialShare_first"><a target="_blank" rel="noreferrer" aria-label="Reddit" href="https://www.reddit.com/submit?url=https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai/the-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi&title=The%20New%20Cold%20War%3A%20US%20Urged%20to%20Form%20%E2%80%98Manhattan%20Project%E2%80%99%20for%20AGI"><span class="SocialShare-IconWrapper SocialShare-IconWrapper_variant_button"><span data-component="icon" data-name="Reddit" class="SocialShare-Icon SocialShare-Icon_variant_button SocialShare-Icon_type_reddit" 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data-module="content" class="ContentModule-Wrapper"><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">A bi-partisan US congressional group this week released a </span><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text"><a class="ContentText-BodyTextChunk ContentText-BodyTextChunk_link" target="_blank" href="https://www.uscc.gov/annual-report/2024-annual-report-congress">report</a></span><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text"> urging a “Manhattan Project” style effort to develop AI that will be able to outthink humans before China can win the AI arms race.</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">The US-China Economic and Security Review Commission outlined the challenges and threats facing the US as powerful AI systems continue to quickly proliferate. The group calls for the government to fund and collaborate with private tech firms to quickly develop artificial general intelligence (AGI).</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">The “Manhattan Project” was the historic collaboration between government and the private sector during World War II that culminated in the development of the first atomic bombs, which the US infamously unleashed on Japan. The subsequent proliferation of nuclear weapons led to an arms race and policy of “mutually assured destruction” that has so far deterred wartime use, but sparked the Cold War between the United States and Russia.</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">While the Cold War with Russia ultimately ended in 1991, the nuclear stalemate caused by the arms pileup remains.</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">A new stalemate may be brewing as superpowers race to develop AGI, which ethicists warn could present an existential threat to humanity. Many have likened such a race to the plot of the “Terminator” movie, where the fictional company Cyberdyne Systems works with the US government to achieve a type of AGI that ultimately leads to a nuclear catastrophe.</span></p><p data-component="related-article" class="RelatedArticle"><span data-testid="related-article-title" class="RelatedArticle-Title">Related:</span><a class="RelatedArticle-RelatedContent" data-discover="true" href="/machine-learning-ai/how-can-decision-makers-trust-hallucinating-ai-" target="_self">How Can Decision Makers Trust Hallucinating AI?</a></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">The commission’s report doesn’t sugarcoat the possibilities. “The United States is locked in a long-term strategic competition with China to shape the rapidly evolving global technological landscape,” according to the report. The rise in emerging tech like AI could “alter the character of warfare” and for the country winning the race, would “tip the balance of power in its favor and reap economic benefits far into the 21</span><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text"><sup class="ContentText-BodyTextChunk ContentText-BodyTextChunk_superscript">st</sup></span><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text"> century.”</span></p><h2 class="ContentText ContentText_variant_h2 ContentText_align_left" data-testid="content-text" id="AI Effort in China Expands" style="scroll-margin-top:10rem;scroll-snap-margin-top:10rem"><span class="ContentText-BodyTextChunk ContentText-BodyTextChunk_bold">AI Effort in China Expands</span></h2><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">China’s State Council in 2017 unveiled its “New Artificial Intelligence Development Plan,” aiming to become the global leader in AI by 2030. The US still has an advantage, with more than 9,500 AI companies compared to China’s nearly 2,000 companies. Private investment in the US dwarfs China’s effort, with $605 billion invested, compared to China’s $86 billion, according to a report from the non-profit Information Technology & Innovation Foundation.</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">But China’s government has poured a total of $184 million into AI research, including facial recognition, natural language processing, machine learning, deep learning, neural networks, robotics, automation, computer vision, data science, and cognitive computing.</span></p><p data-component="related-article" class="RelatedArticle"><span data-testid="related-article-title" class="RelatedArticle-Title">Related:</span><a class="RelatedArticle-RelatedContent" data-discover="true" href="/machine-learning-ai/how-ai-is-revolutionizing-photography" target="_self">How AI is Revolutionizing Photography</a></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">While four US large language models (LLMs) sat on top of performance charts in April 2024, by June, only OpenAI’s GPT-4o and Claude 3.5 remained on top. The next five models were all from China-backed companies. “The gap between the leading models from the US industry leaders and those developed by China’s foremost tech giants and start-ups is quickly closing,” the report says.</span></p><h2 class="ContentText ContentText_variant_h2 ContentText_align_left" data-testid="content-text" id="Where the US Should Focus" style="scroll-margin-top:10rem;scroll-snap-margin-top:10rem"><span class="ContentText-BodyTextChunk ContentText-BodyTextChunk_bold">Where the US Should Focus</span></h2><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">The report details areas that could make the biggest impact on the AI arms race where the US currently has an advantage, including advanced semiconductors, compute and cloud, AI models, and data. But China, the report contends, is making progress by subsidizing emerging technologies.</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">The group recommends a priority on AI defense development for national security, with contracting authority given to the executive branch. The commission urges US Congress to establish and fund the program, with the goal of winning the AGI development race.</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">The report also recommends banning certain technologies controlled by China, including autonomous humanoid robots, and products that could impact critical infrastructure. “US policy has begun to shift to recognize the importance of competition with China over these critical technologies,” the report states.</span></p><p data-component="related-article" class="RelatedArticle"><span data-testid="related-article-title" class="RelatedArticle-Title">Related:</span><a class="RelatedArticle-RelatedContent" data-discover="true" href="/machine-learning-ai/prioritizing-responsible-ai-with-iso-42001-compliance" target="_self">Prioritizing Responsible AI with ISO 42001 Compliance</a></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">Manoj Saxena, CEO and founder of Responsible AI Institute and InformationWeek Insight Circle member, says the power of AGI should not be underestimated as countries race toward innovation.</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">“One issue is rushing to develop AGI just to win a tech race and not understanding the unintended consequences that these AI systems could create,” he says. “…it could create a situation where we cannot control things, because we are accelerating without understanding what the AGI win would look like.”</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">Saxena says the AGI race may result in the need for another Geneva Convention, the global war treaties and humanitarian guidance that were greatly expanded after World War II.</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">But Saxena says a public-private collaboration may lead to better solutions. “As a country, we’re going to get not just the best and brightest minds working on this, most of which are in the private sector, but we will also get wider perspectives on ethical issues and potential harm and unintended consequences.”</span></p><h2 class="ContentText ContentText_variant_h2 ContentText_align_left" data-testid="content-text" id="An AI Disaster in the Making?" style="scroll-margin-top:10rem;scroll-snap-margin-top:10rem"><span class="ContentText-BodyTextChunk ContentText-BodyTextChunk_bold">An AI Disaster in the Making?</span></h2><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">Small actors have limited access to the tightly controlled materials needed to make a nuclear weapon. AI, on the other hand, enjoys a relatively open and democratized environment. Ethicists worry that ease of access to powerful and potentially dangerous systems may widen the threat landscape.</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">RAI Institute’s Saxena says weaponization of AI is already occurring, and it might take a catastrophic event to push all parties to the table. “I think there is going to be some massive issues around AI going rogue, around autonomous weapon attacks that go out of control somewhere … Unfortunately, civilization progresses through a combination of regulations, enforcement, and disasters.”</span></p><p class="ContentParagraph ContentParagraph_align_left" data-testid="content-paragraph"><span class="ContentText ContentText_variant_bodyNormal" data-testid="content-text">But in the case of AI, “regulations are far behind,” he says. “Enforcements are also far behind, and it's more likely than not that there will be some disasters … that will make us wake up and have some type of framework to limit these things.”</span></p></div></div><div class="SocialShare"><div data-component="social-share" class="SocialShare SocialShare_variant_button ArticleBase-SocialShare ArticleBase-SocialShare_second"><a target="_blank" rel="noreferrer" aria-label="Reddit" href="https://www.reddit.com/submit?url=https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai/the-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi&title=The%20New%20Cold%20War%3A%20US%20Urged%20to%20Form%20%E2%80%98Manhattan%20Project%E2%80%99%20for%20AGI"><span class="SocialShare-IconWrapper SocialShare-IconWrapper_variant_button"><span data-component="icon" data-name="Reddit" class="SocialShare-Icon SocialShare-Icon_variant_button SocialShare-Icon_type_reddit" 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He started his career as a general assignment reporter and has covered government, business, education, technology and much more. He was a reporter for the Triangle Business Journal, Raleigh News and Observer and most recently a tech reporter for CRN. He was also a top wedding photographer for many years, traveling across the country and around the world. He lives in Raleigh with his wife and two children."}]}]}],"gatedWithExternalForm":false,"gatedWithSiteReg":false,"paidGating":false,"sponsorName":""},"template":{"breadcrumbs":[{"url":"/","title":"Home"},{"url":"/machine-learning-ai","title":"Machine Learning \u0026 AI"}],"topics":[{"__typename":"TopicPrimary","title":"Machine Learning \u0026 AI","url":"/machine-learning-ai"},{"__typename":"TopicSecondary","title":"AI Innovations","url":"/machine-learning-ai/ai-innovations","parentTopic":{"title":"Machine Learning \u0026 AI"}},{"__typename":"TopicSecondary","title":"Responsible AI","url":"/machine-learning-ai/responsible-ai","parentTopic":{"title":"Machine Learning \u0026 AI"}},{"__typename":"TopicSecondary","title":"Risk Management","url":"/cyber-resilience/risk-management","parentTopic":{"title":"Cyber Resilience"}}],"subBrand":null,"searchParams":{},"summary":"A commission says China is catching up with US in AI capabilities and recommends a public-private partnership to develop artificial general intelligence as a national security priority.","title":"The New Cold War: US Urged to Form ‘Manhattan Project’ for AGI","mobileHeadline":"The New Cold War: US Urged to Form ‘Manhattan Project’ for AGI","authoredBy":"","authoredOn":"","oldUrl":"","buyersJourney":"","contributors":[{"title":"Shane Snider","name":"Shane Snider","companyName":"","role":"Senior Writer, InformationWeek","avatar":"https://eu-images.contentstack.com/v3/assets/blt69509c9116440be8/bltf4de7e5784b276a0/650d8d5ffac8e1d4a1f21f76/Shane_Snider_Profile.jpg","link":"/author/shane-snider","tagLine":"Senior Writer, InformationWeek","summary":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"Shane Snider is a veteran journalist with more than 20 years of industry experience. He started his career as a general assignment reporter and has covered government, business, education, technology and much more. He was a reporter for the Triangle Business Journal, Raleigh News and Observer and most recently a tech reporter for CRN. He was also a top wedding photographer for many years, traveling across the country and around the world. He lives in Raleigh with his wife and two children."}]}]}],"readTime":5,"newsletterSignUpPromo":{"title":"Never Miss a Beat: Get a snapshot of the issues affecting the IT industry straight to your inbox.","message":"","newsletterId":"blt8d3a84e50fd3381c","buttonText":"SIGN-UP","variant":"vertical","mode":"light"},"resourcesModule":{"title":"More Insights","linkLists":[{"listOption":"External Feed","listTitle":"Webinars","icon":"ChalkBoard","externalFeed":"https://smartbox.techweb.com/smartbox/externalsmartbox?site_id=300001\u0026taxonomy_ids=\u0026num_display=3\u0026article_type=upcoming_webinars","ctaButton":{"ctaButtonLink":"/resources?page=1\u0026types=Virtual+Event\u0026types=Webinar","ctaButtonText":"More Webinars"},"openInNewTab":true,"articles":[]},{"listOption":"External Feed","listTitle":"Reports","icon":"Document","externalFeed":"https://smartbox.techweb.com/smartbox/externalsmartbox?site_id=300001\u0026taxonomy_ids=\u0026num_display=5\u0026article_type=analytics","ctaButton":{"ctaButtonLink":"/resources?page=1\u0026types=Research+Report","ctaButtonText":"More Reports"},"openInNewTab":true,"articles":[{"title":"2024 InformationWeek US IT Salary Report","publishedDate":"May 29, 2024","url":"https://iw-resources.informationweek.com/c/pubRD.mpl?secure=1\u0026sr=pp\u0026_t=pp:\u0026qf=w_ingg253\u0026ch=sbx\u0026cid=_analytics_7.300006014\u0026_mc=_analytics_7.300006014","eventDate":""},{"title":"2022 State of ITOps and SecOps","publishedDate":"Jun 21, 2022","url":"https://iw-resources.informationweek.com/c/pubRD.mpl?secure=1\u0026sr=pp\u0026_t=pp:\u0026qf=w_ingg40\u0026ch=sbx\u0026cid=_analytics_7.300005937\u0026_mc=_analytics_7.300005937","eventDate":""}]}],"dateDisplay":"hide"},"socialShare":[{"type":"Reddit","url":"https://www.reddit.com/submit?url=https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai/the-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi\u0026title=The%20New%20Cold%20War%3A%20US%20Urged%20to%20Form%20%E2%80%98Manhattan%20Project%E2%80%99%20for%20AGI"},{"type":"Linkedin","url":"https://www.linkedin.com/sharing/share-offsite/?url=https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai/the-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi"},{"type":"Facebook","url":"http://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai/the-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi"},{"type":"Twitter","url":"http://www.twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://www.informationweek.com/machine-learning-ai/the-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi"},{"type":"Email","url":"mailto:?subject=The New Cold War: US Urged to Form ‘Manhattan Project’ for AGI\u0026body=I%20thought%20the%20following%20from%20InformationWeek%20might%20interest%20you.%0D%0A%0D%0A%20The%20New%20Cold%20War%3A%20US%20Urged%20to%20Form%20%E2%80%98Manhattan%20Project%E2%80%99%20for%20AGI%0D%0Ahttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.informationweek.com%2Fmachine-learning-ai%2Fthe-new-cold-war-us-urged-to-form-manhattan-project-for-agi"},{"type":"Print","url":"/"}],"publishedDate":"2024-11-21T19:29:36.000Z","keywords":[],"atAGlance":[],"bodyJson":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"A bi-partisan US congressional group this week released a "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.uscc.gov/annual-report/2024-annual-report-congress","target":"_self","rel":null,"class":null}}],"text":"report"},{"type":"text","text":" urging a “Manhattan Project” style effort to develop AI that will be able to outthink humans before China can win the AI arms race."}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"The US-China Economic and Security Review Commission outlined the challenges and threats facing the US as powerful AI systems continue to quickly proliferate. The group calls for the government to fund and collaborate with private tech firms to quickly develop artificial general intelligence (AGI)."}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"The “Manhattan Project” was the historic collaboration between government and the private sector during World War II that culminated in the development of the first atomic bombs, which the US infamously unleashed on Japan. The subsequent proliferation of nuclear weapons led to an arms race and policy of “mutually assured destruction” that has so far deterred wartime use, but sparked the Cold War between the United States and Russia."}]},{"type":"ad","pos":"300_1v_article"},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"While the Cold War with Russia ultimately ended in 1991, the nuclear stalemate caused by the arms pileup remains."}]},{"type":"ad","pos":"native_1v"},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"A new stalemate may be brewing as superpowers race to develop AGI, which ethicists warn could present an existential threat to humanity. Many have likened such a race to the plot of the “Terminator” movie, where the fictional company Cyberdyne Systems works with the US government to achieve a type of AGI that ultimately leads to a nuclear catastrophe."}]},{"type":"relatedArticle","content":[{"title":"How Can Decision Makers Trust Hallucinating AI?","url":"/machine-learning-ai/how-can-decision-makers-trust-hallucinating-ai-","target":"_self"}],"title":"Related"},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"The commission’s report doesn’t sugarcoat the possibilities. “The United States is locked in a long-term strategic competition with China to shape the rapidly evolving global technological landscape,” according to the report. The rise in emerging tech like AI could “alter the character of warfare” and for the country winning the race, would “tip the balance of power in its favor and reap economic benefits far into the 21"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"superscript"}],"text":"st"},{"type":"text","text":" century.”"}]},{"type":"ad","pos":"video_v"},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"textAlign":"left","level":2},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"AI Effort in China Expands"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"China’s State Council in 2017 unveiled its “New Artificial Intelligence Development Plan,” aiming to become the global leader in AI by 2030. The US still has an advantage, with more than 9,500 AI companies compared to China’s nearly 2,000 companies. Private investment in the US dwarfs China’s effort, with $605 billion invested, compared to China’s $86 billion, according to a report from the non-profit Information Technology \u0026 Innovation Foundation."}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"But China’s government has poured a total of $184 million into AI research, including facial recognition, natural language processing, machine learning, deep learning, neural networks, robotics, automation, computer vision, data science, and cognitive computing."}]},{"type":"relatedArticle","content":[{"title":"How AI is Revolutionizing Photography","url":"/machine-learning-ai/how-ai-is-revolutionizing-photography","target":"_self"}],"title":"Related"},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"While four US large language models (LLMs) sat on top of performance charts in April 2024, by June, only OpenAI’s GPT-4o and Claude 3.5 remained on top. The next five models were all from China-backed companies. “The gap between the leading models from the US industry leaders and those developed by China’s foremost tech giants and start-ups is quickly closing,” the report says."}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"textAlign":"left","level":2},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Where the US Should Focus"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"The report details areas that could make the biggest impact on the AI arms race where the US currently has an advantage, including advanced semiconductors, compute and cloud, AI models, and data. But China, the report contends, is making progress by subsidizing emerging technologies."}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"The group recommends a priority on AI defense development for national security, with contracting authority given to the executive branch. The commission urges US Congress to establish and fund the program, with the goal of winning the AGI development race."}]},{"type":"ad","pos":"native_2v"},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"The report also recommends banning certain technologies controlled by China, including autonomous humanoid robots, and products that could impact critical infrastructure. “US policy has begun to shift to recognize the importance of competition with China over these critical technologies,” the report states."}]},{"type":"relatedArticle","content":[{"title":"Prioritizing Responsible AI with ISO 42001 Compliance","url":"/machine-learning-ai/prioritizing-responsible-ai-with-iso-42001-compliance","target":"_self"}],"title":"Related"},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"Manoj Saxena, CEO and founder of Responsible AI Institute and InformationWeek Insight Circle member, says the power of AGI should not be underestimated as countries race toward innovation."}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"“One issue is rushing to develop AGI just to win a tech race and not understanding the unintended consequences that these AI systems could create,” he says. “…it could create a situation where we cannot control things, because we are accelerating without understanding what the AGI win would look like.”"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"Saxena says the AGI race may result in the need for another Geneva Convention, the global war treaties and humanitarian guidance that were greatly expanded after World War II."}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"But Saxena says a public-private collaboration may lead to better solutions. “As a country, we’re going to get not just the best and brightest minds working on this, most of which are in the private sector, but we will also get wider perspectives on ethical issues and potential harm and unintended consequences.”"}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"textAlign":"left","level":2},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"An AI Disaster in the Making?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"Small actors have limited access to the tightly controlled materials needed to make a nuclear weapon. AI, on the other hand, enjoys a relatively open and democratized environment. Ethicists worry that ease of access to powerful and potentially dangerous systems may widen the threat landscape."}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"RAI Institute’s Saxena says weaponization of AI is already occurring, and it might take a catastrophic event to push all parties to the table. “I think there is going to be some massive issues around AI going rogue, around autonomous weapon attacks that go out of control somewhere … Unfortunately, civilization progresses through a combination of regulations, enforcement, and disasters.”"}]},{"type":"ad","pos":"300_2v_article"},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"But in the case of AI, “regulations are far behind,” he says. “Enforcements are also far behind, and it's more likely than not that there will be some disasters … that will make us wake up and have some type of framework to limit these things.”"}]}],"contentType":"Article","uid":"blt7b45f95f9048a2b6","sponsored":{"logoUrl":"","url":"","alt":"","title":"","campaignURL":"","isSponsored":false,"gateWithSiteReg":false,"gateWithExternalForm":"None","externalFormID":""},"featuredImage":{"src":"https://eu-images.contentstack.com/v3/assets/blt69509c9116440be8/bltf49c02c531155ca8/673f7b21f8c46bd4922fbca9/AI_cold_war.jpg","alt":"Tech war between China and the USA. 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