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srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fproduct%2Fdesktop%2Fherobanner1600x530_argusureaanalyticspage.jpg%3Fh%3D530%26iar%3D0%26w%3D1600%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D27FDF8A1A2E23F440C94CF42383DAF41&w=1920&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fproduct%2Fdesktop%2Fherobanner1600x530_argusureaanalyticspage.jpg%3Fh%3D530%26iar%3D0%26w%3D1600%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D27FDF8A1A2E23F440C94CF42383DAF41&w=3840&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fproduct%2Fdesktop%2Fherobanner1600x530_argusureaanalyticspage.jpg%3Fh%3D530%26iar%3D0%26w%3D1600%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D27FDF8A1A2E23F440C94CF42383DAF41&w=3840&q=75"/><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="390" height="623" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="HeroBanner_image__dejfl d-lg-none qa-banner-image" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fproduct%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_argusureaanalyticspage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D1F25D32F09F58A11EF4D80E2AB98BF2F&w=640&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fproduct%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_argusureaanalyticspage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D1F25D32F09F58A11EF4D80E2AB98BF2F&w=828&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fproduct%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_argusureaanalyticspage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D1F25D32F09F58A11EF4D80E2AB98BF2F&w=828&q=75"/><div class="HeroBanner_container___RcE5 container"><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-6 offset-lg-1"><div class="HeroBanner_titleAndDescription__0Cj9_"><h1 class="qa-banner-title">Argus Urea Analytics</h1><div class="h4 qa-banner-description">Medium to long-term analysis and outlook for the urea market, covering prices, supply, demand, costs, trade and projects</div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component small grey "><div class="component-content"><div class="PageSubnavigation_container__yH3q7 qa-subnavigation-bar container"><div class="PageSubnavigation_outer__ocRn_"><div class="PageSubnavigation_bar__Cf50a"><a href="#overview" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Overview</a><a href="#features" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Key features</a><a href="#customers" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Customers that benefit</a><a href="#specs" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Product specifications</a><a href="#prices" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Key price assessments</a><a href="#related" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Related documents</a><button type="button" class="PageSubnavigation_showMore__2Z47G cta "></button></div></div><div class="PageSubnavigation_drawer__lxQUi grey " style="left:0px"><div class="container"><div class="PageSubnavigation_drawerInner__Q_bJs"><div class="PageSubnavigation_drawerItems__AwukY"><a href="#overview" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Overview</a><a href="#features" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Key features</a><a href="#customers" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Customers that benefit</a><a href="#specs" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Product specifications</a><a href="#prices" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Key price assessments</a><a href="#related" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Related documents</a></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component component-padding PageIntroduction_pageIntroduction__BoFDD white" id="overview"><div class="component-content"><div class="container"><div class="PageIntroduction_row__DH0rm row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-8"><div class="qa-pageintroduction-section"><h2 class="qa-pageintroduction-title">Overview</h2><div class="PageIntroduction_description__hOYK7"><div class="qa-pageintroduction-textfield"><p>The Argus Urea Analytics service connects you with industry-leading urea market intelligence. The service includes quarterly reports and data with 15-year forecasts for supply, demand, trade and prices, and one longer-term annual report with 25-year price forecasts (based on Long Run Marginal Cost analysis).<br /> <br /> We empower urea market participants to make informed business decisions. Use the service to:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Inform your business plans:</strong> Get robust, actionable and industry leading insight on medium to long-term market developments and outlook</li> <li><strong>Mitigate risk to your business:</strong> Stay up to date with potential regulations, policy changes and market fundamentals challenges</li> <li><strong>Access comprehensive market data:</strong> Explore extensive raw data to assist your research and planning – and integrate the data into your models</li> <li><strong>Find your next big opportunity: </strong>Our proprietary datasets and expert insight help you identify and capitalise on future opportunities</li> </ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component component-padding ColumnImage_columnImage__HgzLW position-center grey" id="features"><div class="component-content"><div class="container"><div class="ColumnImage_heading__l3LQA"><h2 class="qa-benefits-title h1">Key features</h2></div><div class="ColumnImage_results__h4thb row"><div class="qa-benefits-items col-12 col-lg-4"><div class="ColumnImage_item__wkWBY"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="120" height="120" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-benefits-item-image ColumnImage_image__zKXF9" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---graph-2---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D64FE4385ED90EAA39FA94A74660D93A3&w=128&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---graph-2---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D64FE4385ED90EAA39FA94A74660D93A3&w=256&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---graph-2---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D64FE4385ED90EAA39FA94A74660D93A3&w=256&q=75"/><h3 class="qa-benefits-item-title h4">Price forecasts: 15-years and 25-years</h3><p class="qa-benefits-item-description ColumnImage_description__t04js">Quarterly 15-year and 25-year forecasts are provided for urea benchmark prices, including Middle East fob non US granular, Middle East fob all granular, Egypt fob (N. Africa granular), Baltic fob granular, US Gulf fob barge granular, Middle East fob prills, Black sea fob prills, Baltic Sea fob prills, Baltic fob prills, China fob prills, Brazil cfr granular</p></div></div><div class="qa-benefits-items col-12 col-lg-4"><div class="ColumnImage_item__wkWBY"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="120" height="120" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-benefits-item-image ColumnImage_image__zKXF9" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---supply-_-demand---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D16A18E196630B3CF260D4AED05CB3A85&w=128&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---supply-_-demand---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D16A18E196630B3CF260D4AED05CB3A85&w=256&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---supply-_-demand---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D16A18E196630B3CF260D4AED05CB3A85&w=256&q=75"/><h3 class="qa-benefits-item-title h4">Supply and demand forecasts: 15-years</h3><p class="qa-benefits-item-description ColumnImage_description__t04js">Quarterly 15-year forecasts and in-depth analysis is provided for urea supply and demand (includes urea capacity tracker and forecast, and crop prices analysis). Demand analysis includes country and region focus, covering urea, TGU, agriculture, biofuels. Short and medium-term urea supply/demand balance is included</p></div></div><div class="qa-benefits-items col-12 col-lg-4"><div class="ColumnImage_item__wkWBY"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="120" height="120" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-benefits-item-image ColumnImage_image__zKXF9" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---price-forecast---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DB91A424AF836950967A2B25074ADB7A4&w=128&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---price-forecast---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DB91A424AF836950967A2B25074ADB7A4&w=256&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---price-forecast---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DB91A424AF836950967A2B25074ADB7A4&w=256&q=75"/><h3 class="qa-benefits-item-title h4">Trade forecasts: 15-years</h3><p class="qa-benefits-item-description ColumnImage_description__t04js">Import and export analysis and 15-year forecasts for key countries/regions including Morocco, China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Middle East, North America and India with a trade balance for selected key countries/regions</p></div></div><div class="qa-benefits-items col-12 col-lg-4"><div class="ColumnImage_item__wkWBY"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="120" height="120" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-benefits-item-image ColumnImage_image__zKXF9" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---documents---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D79A986438889907B6A03883E971932D6&w=128&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---documents---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D79A986438889907B6A03883E971932D6&w=256&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---documents---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D79A986438889907B6A03883E971932D6&w=256&q=75"/><h3 class="qa-benefits-item-title h4">Cost curves analysis</h3><p class="qa-benefits-item-description ColumnImage_description__t04js">The service includes Argus traded supply curves for the previous year, current year and 5 years ahead (fob basis) for all key urea plants, updated quarterly. A unique, interactive online cost curve tool to analyse and interrogate cost curve data is included as well.</p></div></div><div class="qa-benefits-items col-12 col-lg-4"><div class="ColumnImage_item__wkWBY"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="120" height="120" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-benefits-item-image ColumnImage_image__zKXF9" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---market-insight---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D4E64472F743CC1C2A315018EA3E34EBB&w=128&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---market-insight---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D4E64472F743CC1C2A315018EA3E34EBB&w=256&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---market-insight---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D4E64472F743CC1C2A315018EA3E34EBB&w=256&q=75"/><h3 class="qa-benefits-item-title h4">Costs/inputs analysis and forecasts</h3><p class="qa-benefits-item-description ColumnImage_description__t04js">The service includes quarterly analysis and forecast of European natural gas markets, North America gas markets, coal markets and crude markets</p></div></div><div class="qa-benefits-items col-12 col-lg-4"><div class="ColumnImage_item__wkWBY"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="120" height="120" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-benefits-item-image ColumnImage_image__zKXF9" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---trade-flow---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DDF110384B9C5145F660BDEBACC3AE724&w=128&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---trade-flow---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DDF110384B9C5145F660BDEBACC3AE724&w=256&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---trade-flow---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DDF110384B9C5145F660BDEBACC3AE724&w=256&q=75"/><h3 class="qa-benefits-item-title h4">Project analysis/spotlight feature</h3><p class="qa-benefits-item-description ColumnImage_description__t04js">Each quarterly issue of the service includes an in-depth project review (including full cost analysis, financial review and evaluation of cash flow) or spotlight features (including country focused investment cases)</p></div></div><div class="qa-benefits-items col-12 col-lg-4"><div class="ColumnImage_item__wkWBY"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="120" height="120" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-benefits-item-image ColumnImage_image__zKXF9" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---methodology---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D0803CEA699A09FAE1C0EB94EAFBE7EFD&w=128&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---methodology---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D0803CEA699A09FAE1C0EB94EAFBE7EFD&w=256&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---methodology---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D0803CEA699A09FAE1C0EB94EAFBE7EFD&w=256&q=75"/><h3 class="qa-benefits-item-title h4">Best-in-class methodology</h3><p class="qa-benefits-item-description ColumnImage_description__t04js">Our key methodologies include our demand forecasting model based on calorie and crop forecasts to guide our view of future fertilizer consumption and our Long-Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) multi-factor model to assess the level of prices beyond the current investment cycle. <br/></p></div></div><div class="qa-benefits-items col-12 col-lg-4"><div class="ColumnImage_item__wkWBY"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="120" height="120" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-benefits-item-image ColumnImage_image__zKXF9" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---price-report---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DEACA62E811F6E36E3DCE5776898298F6&w=128&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---price-report---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DEACA62E811F6E36E3DCE5776898298F6&w=256&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---price-report---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DEACA62E811F6E36E3DCE5776898298F6&w=256&q=75"/><h3 class="qa-benefits-item-title h4">Quarterly reports</h3><p class="qa-benefits-item-description ColumnImage_description__t04js">Narrative and graphical analysis of what is driving the urea market and how it is likely to evolve, ensuring you will be more confident in making critical decisions. Includes key insight on supply, demand, costs, trade and projects, with 15-year forecasts for supply, demand and prices.</p></div></div><div class="qa-benefits-items col-12 col-lg-4"><div class="ColumnImage_item__wkWBY"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="120" height="120" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-benefits-item-image ColumnImage_image__zKXF9" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---compliance---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D1B60AD70D1DE235C3885F6EED6E56AD2&w=128&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---compliance---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D1B60AD70D1DE235C3885F6EED6E56AD2&w=256&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2Ficons%2Fargus-media---icon---compliance---large.png%3Fh%3D120%26iar%3D0%26w%3D120%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D1B60AD70D1DE235C3885F6EED6E56AD2&w=256&q=75"/><h3 class="qa-benefits-item-title h4">Annual long-term report</h3><p class="qa-benefits-item-description ColumnImage_description__t04js">Detailed, long-form analysis of all the historical and long-term urea market trends. Use the report to reveal the connections between underlying market drivers and use these insights to develop more robust strategies. Includes 25-year price forecast based on Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) analysis.</p></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component component-padding ColumnText_columnText__LkARY white" id="customers"><div class="component-content"><div class="container"><div class="qa-columntext-intro ColumnText_intro__gigTR row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-9"><h2 class="section-heading">Customers that benefit</h2><div class="ColumnText_description__uBODH">Market participants with exposure to the global urea market will find the Argus Urea Analytics service essential. Below are examples of clients that use this service:</div></div></div><div class="ColumnText_panels__SuTAc row"><div class="qa-columntext-panels col-12 col-lg-6"><div class="qa-columntext-panel-text ColumnText_description__uBODH"><ul> <li> <h3>Producers and suppliers  </h3> </li> <li> <h3>Traders </h3> </li> <li> <h3>Energy and utilities companies</h3> </li> <li> <h3>Shipping and port authorities</h3> </li> <li> <h3>Procurement teams</h3> </li> </ul></div></div><div class="qa-columntext-panels col-12 col-lg-6"><div class="qa-columntext-panel-text ColumnText_description__uBODH"><ul> <li> <h3>Industry analysts </h3> </li> <li> <h3>Governments </h3> </li> <li> <h3>Financial institutions including bankers and investors </h3> </li> <li> <h3>Wholesalers </h3> </li> <li> <h3>Co-ops and retailers</h3> </li> </ul></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component component-padding navy" id="specs"><div class="component-content"><div class="container"><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-7"><h2 class="qa-accordion-title section-heading">Product specifications</h2></div></div><div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-fe60d0a3-a781-442f-ac4a-bac1e764d018-panel-0" id="accordion-fe60d0a3-a781-442f-ac4a-bac1e764d018-button-0" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Urea price forecasts</h3></button><div id="accordion-fe60d0a3-a781-442f-ac4a-bac1e764d018-button-0" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-fe60d0a3-a781-442f-ac4a-bac1e764d018-button-0" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh"><p>Quarterly 15-year and 25-year forecasts are provided for urea benchmark prices, including:</p> <ul> <li>Middle East fob non US granular</li> <li>Middle East fob all granular</li> <li>Egypt fob (N. Africa granular)</li> <li>Baltic fob granular</li> <li>US Gulf fob barge granular</li> <li>Middle East fob prills</li> <li>Black sea fob prills</li> <li>Baltic Sea fob prills</li> <li>Baltic fob prills</li> <li>China fob prills</li> <li>Brazil cfr granular</li> </ul></div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-2f7634ae-abad-47c3-a7f2-2a47fda4d9ab-panel-1" id="accordion-2f7634ae-abad-47c3-a7f2-2a47fda4d9ab-button-1" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Proprietary Argus dataset</h3></button><div id="accordion-2f7634ae-abad-47c3-a7f2-2a47fda4d9ab-button-1" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-2f7634ae-abad-47c3-a7f2-2a47fda4d9ab-button-1" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh"><ul> <li>Capacity by Plant (15 year history, 15 year forecast)</li> <li>Total Capacity by country (5 year history, 15 year forecast)</li> <li>Total Production by country (15 year history, 15 year forecast)</li> <li>Total Consumption by country (15 year history, 15 year forecast)</li> <li>Total Imports by country (15 year history, 15 year forecast)</li> <li>Total Exports by country (15 year history, 15 year forecast)</li> <li>Costs by Plant</li> <li>Trade Matrix 2019</li> <li>Trade Matrix 2020</li> <li>Trade Matrix 2021</li> <li>Trade Matrix 2022</li> <li>Urea Prices forecast (25 year forecast)</li> <li>Energy Prices forecast (20 year forecast)</li> <li>Gas Prices by Country (20 year forecast)</li> </ul></div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-bc75f42f-d848-49ca-8ff2-171891e205b9-panel-2" id="accordion-bc75f42f-d848-49ca-8ff2-171891e205b9-button-2" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Projects tracker</h3></button><div id="accordion-bc75f42f-d848-49ca-8ff2-171891e205b9-button-2" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-bc75f42f-d848-49ca-8ff2-171891e205b9-button-2" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh"><p>The Argus Urea Analytics projects tracker is a visual guide to Argus’ expert view of selected projects. The Projects tracker includes:</p> <p><strong>Project specifications</strong></p> <ul> <li>Company name </li> <li>Project location site</li> <li>Country</li> <li>Project capacity (t/d, Days, ‘000 t/yr)</li> </ul> <p><strong>Forecast rating</strong></p> <ul> <li>Firm</li> <li>Probable</li> <li>Possible</li> <li>Speculative</li> </ul> <p><strong>Project Milestones and status</strong></p> <ul> <li>Contracts EPC</li> <li>Gas supply</li> <li>Financing</li> <li>Groundwork</li> <li>Construction</li> <li>Commissioning</li> </ul> <p><strong>Start of commercial operations</strong></p> <ul> <li>Original target</li> <li>Argus forecast</li> </ul></div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-fde632d9-1ad9-4381-95ee-be3b4e661244-panel-3" id="accordion-fde632d9-1ad9-4381-95ee-be3b4e661244-button-3" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Supply and demand forecasts: 15-years</h3></button><div id="accordion-fde632d9-1ad9-4381-95ee-be3b4e661244-button-3" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-fde632d9-1ad9-4381-95ee-be3b4e661244-button-3" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh">Quarterly 15-year forecasts and in-depth analysis is provided for urea supply and demand (includes urea capacity tracker and forecast, and crop prices analysis). Demand analysis includes country and region focus, covering urea, TGU, agriculture, biofuels. Short and medium-term urea supply/demand balance is included.</div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-92dc7c8b-742f-44c7-bb9f-0e3d092b176e-panel-4" id="accordion-92dc7c8b-742f-44c7-bb9f-0e3d092b176e-button-4" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Trade forecasts: 15-years</h3></button><div id="accordion-92dc7c8b-742f-44c7-bb9f-0e3d092b176e-button-4" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-92dc7c8b-742f-44c7-bb9f-0e3d092b176e-button-4" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh">Import and export analysis and 15-year forecasts for key countries and regions, including China, Europe, Latin America, Southeast Asia and Australia, with a trade balance for a selection of key countries/regions.</div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-98bef270-d5d8-4474-a4ce-ad98293c6786-panel-5" id="accordion-98bef270-d5d8-4474-a4ce-ad98293c6786-button-5" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Cost curves analysis</h3></button><div id="accordion-98bef270-d5d8-4474-a4ce-ad98293c6786-button-5" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-98bef270-d5d8-4474-a4ce-ad98293c6786-button-5" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh"><p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">The service includes Argus traded supply curves for the previous year, current year and 5 years ahead (fob basis) for all key urea plants, updated quarterly. A unique, interactive online cost curve tool to analyse and interrogate cost curve data is included as well.</p></div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-fdb78751-fe1c-4b4e-9903-2ab9186b35b2-panel-6" id="accordion-fdb78751-fe1c-4b4e-9903-2ab9186b35b2-button-6" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Costs/inputs analysis and forecasts</h3></button><div id="accordion-fdb78751-fe1c-4b4e-9903-2ab9186b35b2-button-6" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-fdb78751-fe1c-4b4e-9903-2ab9186b35b2-button-6" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh"><p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">The service includes quarterly analysis and forecast of:</p> <ul> <li>European natural gas markets</li> <li>North America gas markets</li> <li>Coal markets</li> <li>Crude markets</li> </ul> <p> </p></div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-c2d9c574-27d6-4aa9-ae0c-6e2cd9970d49-panel-7" id="accordion-c2d9c574-27d6-4aa9-ae0c-6e2cd9970d49-button-7" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Project analysis/spotlight feature </h3></button><div id="accordion-c2d9c574-27d6-4aa9-ae0c-6e2cd9970d49-button-7" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-c2d9c574-27d6-4aa9-ae0c-6e2cd9970d49-button-7" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh">Each quarterly issue of the service includes an in-depth project review (including full cost analysis, financial review and evaluation of cash flow) or spotlight features (including country focused investment cases).</div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-63c6c3c1-61f7-47ef-8915-aa1d0a92a820-panel-8" id="accordion-63c6c3c1-61f7-47ef-8915-aa1d0a92a820-button-8" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Best-in-class methodology</h3></button><div id="accordion-63c6c3c1-61f7-47ef-8915-aa1d0a92a820-button-8" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-63c6c3c1-61f7-47ef-8915-aa1d0a92a820-button-8" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh"><p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">Our key methodologies include:</p> <p style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">A demand forecasting model based on calorie and crop forecasts providing a view of future fertilizer consumption, and our LRMC multi-factor model that assesses the level of prices beyond the current investment cycle.</p> <ul> <li style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">Short-term forecasts by month and quarter linked to energy and raw material prices, crop prices, currency exchange rate fluctuations and the merchant supply-demand balance</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">Short-Run Marginal Cost forecast and supply-demand balance, with project gateway assessment for the current investment cycle (5-7 years ahead)</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">Our longer-term forecast is based on LRMC analysis, which is updated annually, taking you beyond the current investment cycle</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">Our medium and long-term forecasts are connected using a mean-reversion model</li> </ul></div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-7bd59288-b5eb-4aba-97fb-3547666b3680-panel-9" id="accordion-7bd59288-b5eb-4aba-97fb-3547666b3680-button-9" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Quarterly reports</h3></button><div id="accordion-7bd59288-b5eb-4aba-97fb-3547666b3680-button-9" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-7bd59288-b5eb-4aba-97fb-3547666b3680-button-9" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh">Narrative and graphical quarterly analysis of what is driving the urea market and how it is likely to evolve, ensuring you will be more confident in making critical decisions. Includes key insight on supply, demand, costs, trade and projects, with 15-year forecasts for supply, demand and prices.<br /></div></div><div class="qa-accordion-items Accordion_item__wwVZ1 "><button type="button" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="accordion-eb4c2204-5f18-4f1e-a578-b562f2f3265d-panel-10" id="accordion-eb4c2204-5f18-4f1e-a578-b562f2f3265d-button-10" class="Accordion_button__6ui4x"><h3 class="qa-accordion-item-title Accordion_heading__GP7y0 large cta">Annual long-term report</h3></button><div id="accordion-eb4c2204-5f18-4f1e-a578-b562f2f3265d-button-10" role="region" aria-labelledby="accordion-eb4c2204-5f18-4f1e-a578-b562f2f3265d-button-10" class="qa-accordion-item-content Accordion_description__7Jnfh">Understand the connections between underlying market drivers and use these insights to develop more robust strategies. Includes 25-year price forecast based on Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) analysis.</div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component component-padding white" id="prices"><div class="component-content"><div class="container"><div class="row"><div class="ContentCarousel_intro__GOQMj col-12 col-lg-8 mx-auto"><h2 class="qa-contentcarousel-header">Key price assessments</h2><p class="qa-contentcarousel-description">Argus urea price assessments are recognised by the market as trusted and reliable indicators of the real market value. Explore some of our most widely used and relevant price assessments.</p></div></div></div><div class="ContentCarousel_carousel__skHV_"><div class="container"><div class="row"><div class="col-lg-10 offset-lg-1 d-none d-lg-block"><div class="Carousel_carousel__cxmDM "><div class="Carousel_viewport__hzjLs"><div class="Carousel_slides__11lIX"><div class="qa-slide-items current"><a class="ContentCarousel_card__dJMK_ qa-contentcarousel-items" href="/es/methodology/key-commodity-prices/argus-china-fob-prilled-urea"><div><h3 class="h4 qa-contentcarousel-item-title">Argus China fob prilled urea</h3><p class="ContentCarousel_text__B6H_a qa-contentcarousel-item-description">The Argus China fob prilled urea assessment is a leading spot price reference for the urea sector. Argus publishes this assessment on both a weekly and daily basis, covering prilled urea shipped from a range of ports across China.</p></div><span class="cta undefined qa-contentcarousel-item-cta"></span></a></div></div></div></div></div><div class="col-12 d-lg-none"><div class="Carousel_carousel__cxmDM pagination qa-slide-pagination"><div class="Carousel_viewport__hzjLs"><div class="Carousel_slides__11lIX"><div class="qa-slide-items current"><a class="ContentCarousel_card__dJMK_ qa-contentcarousel-items" href="/es/methodology/key-commodity-prices/argus-china-fob-prilled-urea"><div><h3 class="h4 qa-contentcarousel-item-title">Argus China fob prilled urea</h3><p class="ContentCarousel_text__B6H_a qa-contentcarousel-item-description">The Argus China fob prilled urea assessment is a leading spot price reference for the urea sector. 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