每日钢市：期钢尾盘翻红，钢坯涨10元，钢价或止跌企稳-我的钢铁网

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src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/20/9d25a0e3558740b8b0120ca715272a0a.png" alt="1742463565508" width="600" height="610" /></p> <p>3月20日，期螺主力合约收盘价3176涨0.22%，DIF与DEA向下，RSI三线指标位于31-41，处于布林带中轨与下轨之间运行。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/20/c3fc1c082162464dbb713cd8c7f12a51.png" alt="1742454733541" width="600" height="247" /></p> <p>3月20日，国内2家钢厂下调<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>建筑钢材</a>出厂价10-30元/吨。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/20/cd20ff4fcc1b4fb5a7b24b37836e49a9.png" alt="1742461531013" width="600" height="209" /></p> <p><strong>二、品种钢材每日价格行情</strong></p> <p><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>螺纹钢</a>：3月20日，全国31个主要城市20mm三级抗震螺纹钢均价3333元/吨，较上个交易日下跌2元/吨。本周螺纹钢产量小幅下跌，库存继续下降，表观需求量上升，数据偏利好。短期来看，目前市场供需基本面虽有好转，但需求恢复情况仍然低于市场预期，同时近期钢厂利润尚可，短期仍有增产的动能。综合来看，预计21日国内建筑钢材价格或将震荡运行为主。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/20/be53aee301ec448eb4a311d56e11f570.png" alt="1742463585390" width="600" height="446" /></p> <p><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010103-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>热轧</a>板卷：3月20日，全国24个主要城市4.75mm热轧板卷均价3408元/吨，较上一交易日上涨1元/吨。短期来看，基本面继续好转，对价格起到支撑作用，但钢厂在利润驱动下很难实现自主减产，后续成材压力或会增加，供需矛盾逐步累计，难以对价格形成上行推力。预计21日全国热轧板卷价格震荡运行。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/20/b770dac1fc6044719fb3c49ecc66cd60.png" alt="1742463597641" width="600" height="337" /></p> <p><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010104-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>冷轧</a>板卷：3月20日，全国24个主要城市1.0mm冷卷均价4147元/吨，较上一交易日下跌8元/吨。<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>监测29个城市库存，本周冷轧板卷社会库存209.20万吨，周环比减少2.70万吨，月环比减少2.87万吨，库存持续去化。预计21日国内冷轧板卷价格或将窄幅震荡运行。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/20/4df3622efb5248e0a38854cec1349c73.png" alt="1742463612992" width="600" height="343" /></p> <p><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010102-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>中厚板</a>：3月20日，全国24个主要城市20mm<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010302-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>普板</a>均价3516元/吨，较上一交易日下跌1元/吨。下游需求释放程度不佳，采货谨慎多家询价，真实成交单基本在市场低价。由于近期部分中厚板钢厂打折发货，供应端带来的压力相对减少，奈何市场需求负反馈影响较为明显，传统“金三”过去三分之二，商户整体对后市仍旧较为迷茫。综合来看，预计21日中厚板价格维持震荡运行。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/20/26e32ad41bd842b8a6c08ee86f45af19.png" alt="1742463624206" width="600" height="446" /></p> <p><strong>三、原燃料每日价格行情</strong></p> <p><a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石</a>：3月20日，山东港口进口铁矿价格暂稳。区域内贸易商报价积极性较弱，截至目前成交较少；山东远月市场交投情绪较为冷清；买盘方面，区域内钢厂多维持低库存运行，部分钢厂逢低补库。目前<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/price/p-10481--1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>PB粉</a>主流在762-765；<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/price/p-10484--1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>超特粉</a>主流在635左右；<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/price/p-10488--1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>PB块</a>主流在890。</p> <p><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0306-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>废钢</a>：3月20日，全国45个主要城市重废平均价2112元/吨，较上一交易日价格下调9元/吨。20日期螺触底回升但呈现减仓上涨，说明业者谨慎观望心态占据主导。当前价格跌破产废端心理价位，部分产废商家捂货惜售心态渐浓，且工地资金到位情况限制开工进程，所以货场毛料到货量较往年下滑明显，不过在终端需求恢复迟缓与废钢性价比缺失情况下，废钢商家交投积极性几乎归零，因此进出货均维持低位水平。综合来看，短期国内废钢市场仍将延续弱势震荡。</p> <p><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0501-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>焦炭</a>：3月20日，<a href="https://jiaotan.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">焦炭市场价格</a>偏弱运行。供应端，焦企生产情况稳定，原料持续让步为焦企留出利润空间，短期内焦企并无减产预期，原料端煤价持续承压下探。国家统计局数据显示，2025年1-2中国原煤产量为76532.8万吨，同比增长7.7%。矿端尚未透露减产预期，焦煤供应宽松情况仍会持续一段时间。</p> <p><strong>四、钢材市场价格预测</strong></p> <p><strong>供给方面：</strong>据Mysteel调研，本周五大品种钢材产量865.42万吨，周环比增加12.21万吨。其中，螺纹钢产量减少，线材、热轧板卷、冷轧板卷、中厚板产量增加。</p> <p><strong>库存方面：</strong>本周五大品种钢材总库存量1788.09万吨，周环比减少41.53万吨。其中，钢厂库存量498.81万吨，周环比减少10.90万吨；社会库存量1289.28万吨，周环比减少30.63万吨。</p> <p>从基本面来看，3月份钢市供需压力不大，虽然库存去化速度偏慢，但仍在下降通道。钢市信心不足的地方，主要在房地产新开工依旧疲弱，内外需求不振，而供给端未有约束措施。</p> <p>考虑到开工季需求还未到峰值，随着近日厂商降价去库存，低价资源成交或有好转，期钢出现探底回升，短期钢价有望止跌企稳。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：沈一冰 021-26093395 </br> 资讯监督：乐卫扬 021-26093827 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4649-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4649-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多<i class="arrow"></i> </a> </div> <div class="list-block recommend-list"> <ul> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/25032010/0A1228168AF57C38_abc.html" external> Mysteel：2025年美联储降息节奏推演——“走走停停”特征或重现 </a> </div> <div class="news-time">2025-03-20</div> </li> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/25032008/E6EE49EB6F1B96A8_abc.html" 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