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class="article-headline">中国との摩擦を避ければ、より深刻な事態を招く　CSIS「リスクの影」（上）</h1><div class="subheadline-wrapper"><h2 class="article-subheadline">有事を読み解く㉒</h2></div><div class="article-header__meta flex-responsive"><div class="article-meta align-items-center"><div class="article-meta-upper | flex flex-wrap align-items-center"><time dateTime="2024-11-26T01:00:00Z" class="margin-right align-self-end">2024/11/26 10:00</time><span class="restrictions"><img width="16" height="16" alt="有料会員記事" src="/pf/resources/icons/img_lock-gold.svg?d=867"/></span></div></div><div class="article-meta-lower flex flex-wrap align-items-center"><div class="author-container align-items-center"><div class="author-name flex align-items-center"><img class="author-image" width="32" height="32" src="/pf/resources/icons/sites/sankei_author_default.svg?d=867" alt="杉本康士の写真"/><div class="author-info"><a href="/author/ss0004/" class="author-info-link gtm-click" data-gtm-category="contents" data-gtm-action="move to author page" 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href="/article/20241126-ZL7WUIM6RFOXVFIQGSJQMDZYCM/photo/5SRDWSDCHNPAXM5ZDZSO2N2V6Y/"><div class="figure_image_inner_wrapper"><div class="figure_image_sizer" style="padding-top:92.62599999999999%"></div><img src="https://www.sankei.com/resizer/aYeBNphvN_wOEebi9JxM08hVl0g=/0x224/smart/filters:quality(70)/cloudfront-ap-northeast-1.images.arcpublishing.com/sankei/5SRDWSDCHNPAXM5ZDZSO2N2V6Y.jpg" height="224" alt="" class="figure_image_img max-width-full max-height-full" loading="eager"/></div></a></div></figure><p class="article-text ">中国が台湾に対する軍事的挑発を行った場合、第三国、とりわけ米国はどのように反応すべきか。多くの政策決定者は、戦争にエスカレートするリスクを回避し、長期的な視野に立った対抗措置を選択するかもしれない。しかし、台湾海峡をめぐる大国間関係では、慎重さがかえってあだとなりかねない－。米シンクタンクが2022年に発表した報告書は机上演習に基づき、従来と異なる発想で備える必要があると訴えた。</p><p class="article-text ">戦略国際問題研究所（CSIS）は22年2月、ベンジャミン・ジャンセン上席研究員ら3人の連名で「リスクの影」と題する報告書を発表した。21年秋に軍歴10年以上の専門家らが参加して計20回行った机上演習に基づき、平時でも有事でもないグレーゾーン作戦が戦争に発展する危険性について分析した。</p><h2 class="article-middle-headline headline_size-1 block font-bold overflow-auto padding-left-sm">金門島付近で爆発</h2></div></div><div id="fusion-static-enter:f0fkthM7XcsObM" style="display:none" data-fusion-component="f0fkthM7XcsObM"></div><div id="__member_offer_block"></div><div id="fusion-static-exit:f0fkthM7XcsObM" style="display:none" data-fusion-component="f0fkthM7XcsObM"></div><div data-fusion-lazy-id="f0f1nLE9XcsODi"><div class="article-footer-wrapper "><div class="lazyload-wrapper "><div class="llph" style="min-height:100px"></div></div><div class="article-footer-tools article-footer-tools-upper"><div class="article-footer-tagLabel">特集・連載：</div><div class="article-footer-tag-wrapper"><div class="article-footer-tag"><a class="article-tag | gtm-click small-button small-button-tag font-bold" href="/tag/series/politics_112/" data-gtm-category="contents" data-gtm-action="move to tag page" data-gtm-label="article footer tag link / {text}">有事を読み解く</a></div></div></div><div class="article-footer-tools article-footer-tools-lower"><div class="article-footer-tagLabel">ジャンル：</div><div class="section-container align-items-center"><ul class="flex flex-wrap section-list"><li class="section-list-item"><a href="/world/">国際</a></li><li class="section-list-item"><a href="/world/china/">中国・台湾</a></li><li class="section-list-item"><a href="/world/america/">北米</a></li></ul></div></div></div></div></article></main><div id="fusion-static-enter:f0frY0iiXcsOEb" style="display:none" data-fusion-component="f0frY0iiXcsOEb"></div><div class="custom-html-feature hide_on_tablet hide_on_mobile hide_on_desktop"><div id="piano_Parliament"></div></div><div id="fusion-static-exit:f0frY0iiXcsOEb" style="display:none" data-fusion-component="f0frY0iiXcsOEb"></div><div class="wrapper hide_on_mobile article-footer_2nd-wrapper article-tools"><div id="fusion-static-enter:f0fd6IpkXcsOJb" style="display:none" data-fusion-component="f0fd6IpkXcsOJb"></div><div class="share-icons-container"><div class="social-share-icons"><div class="twitter"><a 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中国との摩擦を避ければ、より深刻な事態を招く CSIS「リスクの影」（上） 有事を読み解く㉒ - 産経ニュース

中国との摩擦を避ければ、より深刻な事態を招く　CSIS「リスクの影」（上）　有事を読み解く㉒ - 産経ニュース