CINXE.COM

<!DOCTYPE html><html><head><meta charset=UTF-8><meta http-equiv=X-UA-Compatible content="ie=edge"><meta name=referrer content=no-referrer><title>美联储高官主张降息，除非出现经济过热的迹象-期货快讯-一期货</title><meta name=keywords content=APP首页精选,工行外汇金银油,美元,外汇><meta name=description content=芝加哥联邦储备主席周一古尔斯比表示：“除非有一些令人信服的过热证据，否则我认为联邦基金利率有理由继续下降。”><script> /* 判断PC端与WAP端*/ </script><link rel=stylesheet href=/css/newsContent-1fe267a6bc.css><link rel=stylesheet href=/css/common-fd5b0d38b6.css><link rel=stylesheet href=/css/iconfont/iconfont.css></head><body><div class=jqs style="display: none"><script src=/js/jquery-1.8.3.min.js></script><script src=/js/jquery.cookie.min.js></script><script src=/js/socket.io.min.js></script><script src=/js/jquery.idTabs.min.js></script><script src=/js/laydate/laydate.js></script><script src=/js/layer/layer.js></script><script src=/js/mCustomScrollbar.min.js></script><script src=/js/highstock.min.js></script><script src=/js/loginPublic-9c8424cd64.js></script><script src=/js/public-92d9f8d803.js></script><script src=/js/tools-f0e3924824.js></script><script src="/css/iconfont/iconfont.js?it=202007880"></script><script src="https://s4.cnzz.com/z_stat.php?id=1278815084" type=text/javascript></script><script type=text/javascript> var apiQUrl = 'https://api-q.fx678img.com' var imgPath = "\/img" imgPath = imgPath + "/"; var jsPath = "\/js" jsPath = jsPath + "/"; var equipment = (navigator.userAgent.match(/(Mobile)/i)) if(equipment) { if(window.location.href.indexOf('news/') != -1){ var id = window.location.href.split('.html')[0].split('news/')[1] window.location.href="https://m.1qh.cn/news?newsId=" +id; }else if(window.location.href.indexOf('kx/') != -1){ var id = window.location.href.split('.html')[0].split('kx/')[1] window.location.href="https://m.1qh.cn/kxIn?newsId=" +id; }else if(window.location.href.indexOf('rl/') != -1 && window.location.href.indexOf('rl/date') == -1){ var id = window.location.href.split('.html')[0].split('rl/')[1] window.location.href="https://m.1qh.cn/rlIn?idxId=" +id; }else if(window.location.href.indexOf('symbol/') != -1){ var id = window.location.href.split('symbol/')[1] window.location.href="https://m.1qh.cn/symbol?symbolCode=" +id; }else{ window.location.href="https://m.1qh.cn"; } } </script><script> $(function () { $("#anaheader").mouseenter(function () { $("#homeMarket ul").removeClass("header-toggle"); $(".analysis-tool").addClass("header-toggle"); }); $("#anaheader").mouseleave(function () { $("#homeMarket ul").removeClass("header-toggle"); $(".analysis-tool").removeClass("header-toggle"); }); $("#homeMarket").mouseenter(function () { $(".analysis-tool").removeClass("header-toggle"); $("#homeMarket ul").toggleClass("header-toggle"); }); $("#homeMarket").mouseleave(function () { $(".analysis-tool").removeClass("header-toggle"); $("#homeMarket ul").removeClass("header-toggle"); }); }) </script></div><div id=common-headerCN><div class=homepage-header><div class=homepage-header_content><div class=homepage-header_left>一期货1qh.cn金融衍生品专业服务品牌</div><ul class="homepage-header_right clearfix"><li><a href=javascript:void(0); title=wecandoitforev-baidujingyan onclick=joinFavorite(window.location,document.title);>收藏首页</a></li><li><a href=javascript:;>APP客户端</a><div id=homepage-app><p></p><span></span><svg class=icon aria-hidden=true><use xlink:href=#icon-APPxiazai></use></svg><div>扫码下载一期货APP</div></div></li><li><a href=/product target=_blank>PC客户端</a></li><li class=non-login id=login_btn><a href=/login>登录</a></li><li class=non-login><a href=/register target=_blank>注册</a></li><li class=logined style="display: none" onclick=logOut()><a href=javascript:void(0)>退出</a></li></ul></div></div><div class="w1200 clearfix"><div class=w1200-header_left><div><a href=/ class="l logo" alt=一期货><svg class="icon iconCNlogo2" aria-hidden=true><use xlink:href=#icon-1qihuologo></use></svg></a></div><ul class="l headerCN-nav"><li class=" "><a href=/ target=_blank>首页</a></li><li class="hactived"><a href=/kx target=_blank>期货快讯</a></li><li class=" "><a href=/news target=_blank>期货要闻</a></li><li class=" "><a href=/report target=_blank>研报查询</a></li><li class=" "><a href=/rl target=_blank>期货日历</a></li><li class=" "><a href=/quote target=_blank>期货行情</a></li><li id=anaheader class=" "><a href="/operate/position.html?symbol=RB&contract=rb2110&type=long" target=_blank>期货套利</a><div class="analysis-tool clearfix"><div><div class=analysis-content_title><i class="iconfont icon-chicang"></i> <span class=analysis-color>持仓分析</span></div><ul class=analysis-content_bottom style=" "><li><a href="/operate/position.html?symbol=RB&contract=rb2110&type=long"><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>期货公司持仓</b></a></li><li><a href=/operate/cftcPosition.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>CFTC持仓</b></a></li></ul></div><div><div class=analysis-content_title><i class="iconfont icon-taoli"></i> <span>套利分析</span></div><ul class=analysis-content_bottom><li><a href=/tools/spread.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>跨期价差</b></a></li><li><a href=/tools/freeSpread.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>自由价差</b></a></li><li><a href=/tools/freeRatio.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>自由价比</b></a></li><li><a href=/tools/priceMatrix.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>套利价差矩阵</b></a></li></ul></div><div><div class=analysis-content_title><i class="iconfont icon-cangdan"></i> <span class=analysis-color>仓单工具</span></div><ul class=analysis-content_bottom style=" "><li><a href=/operate/warehouse-receipt-daily.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>仓单日报</b></a></li><li><a href=/operate/warehouse-receipt-search.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>仓单查询</b></a></li></ul></div><div><div class=analysis-content_title><i class="iconfont icon-zijin"></i> <span class=analysis-color>资金分析</span></div><ul class=analysis-content_bottom style=" "><li><a href="/tools.html?column=fund_analysis&type=flow"><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>期货品种资金流向</b></a></li><li><a href="/tools.html?column=fund_analysis&type=precipitation"><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>期货品种沉淀资金</b></a></li><li><a href="/tools.html?column=fund_analysis&type=turnOver"><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>成交排行榜</b></a></li></ul></div><div><div class=analysis-content_title><i class="iconfont icon-chicang"></i> <span class=analysis-color>期现分析</span></div><ul class=analysis-content_bottom style=" "><li><a href=/operate/basis-analysis.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>基差分析</b></a></li><li><a href=/operate/basis-structure.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>期限结构</b></a></li></ul></div></div></li><li class=" "><a href=/markets/foreign/code/QGC.html target=_blank>操盘数据</a></li><li id=homeMarket class=" "><a href=/Invest target=_blank>期货投资</a><ul><li><a href=/Invest><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>找期货公司</b></a></li><li><a href=/Commodity/62.html><i class="iconfont icon-navzuosanjiao"></i><b>查期货品种</b></a></li></ul></li><li class=" "><a href=/account target=_blank>期货开户</a></li><li class=" "><a href=/live target=_blank>期货直播</a></li></ul></div></div></div><div class=common-bg><div class="main-content w1200 mb20 clearfix"><div class="l w860-mr20 artical-content_left"><div class="sub-menu kx-artical_menu"><a href=/>期货首页</a> <img src=/img/sub_nav_arrow.png> <a href=/ class=kx-current_select target=_blank>期货文章</a></div><h1 class=news-content_h1>美联储高官主张降息，除非出现经济过热的迹象</h1><div class=news-time><span>2024-11-26 09:52:22</span> <span style=color:#d10420;>来源:【原创】</span> </div><div class="main-bg news-content clearfix"><div class="l news-content--main" style="width:794px;border: none;"><div class=lead><b>导语：</b>芝加哥联邦储备主席周一古尔斯比表示：“除非有一些令人信服的过热证据，否则我认为联邦基金利率有理由继续下降。”</div><div class=content-txt>芝加哥联邦储备主席古尔斯比表示，他预计美联储将继续降息，朝着既不限制也不促进经济活动的立场迈进。<br><br><B>古尔斯比周一（11月25日）表示：“除非有一些令人信服的过热证据，否则我认为联邦基金利率有理由继续下降。”他指的是央行的基准利率。</B><br><br><img src=https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20241126/sy_1qh_2024112609465661.jpg onload=imgresize(this); style=cursor:pointer; alt=图片点击可在新窗口打开查看 onclick=javascript:window.open(this.src); /><br><br>古尔斯比补充道：“这将以多快的速度发生，将取决于前景和环境。但对我来说，整个过程非常清楚，我们正走在一条道路上，这条道路将导致降息，更接近你可能称之为中性的水平。”<br><br>他表示，他对中性利率的预测接近官方的预估中值，9月份的预估为2.9%。<br><br>周二，美联储将公布制定利率的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）11月6日至7日的会议记录。在这次会议上，政策制定者下调了央行的基准利率0.25个百分点，此前9月份曾下调了0.5个百分点。<br><br>考虑到美国经济表现出持续韧性，且近期通胀数据坚挺，几位官员敦促对未来的降息采取谨慎态度。美联储主席鲍威尔本月早些时候表示，经济没有发出官员们需要急于降息的信号。<br><br><B>在12月会议之前，决策者将有更多数据需要消化，包括美联储青睐的通胀指标和就业报告。古尔斯比周一表示，重要的是不要从一个月的数据中“得出任何结论”。</B><br><br>他说：“我认为最近几个月的总体情况是，通胀经常低于预期，但不远高于2%的目标。”他指的是美联储的物价增长目标。</div><p class=hint>[免责声明] 本文仅代表作者本人观点，与一期货无关。一期货网对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证，且不构成任何投资建议，请读者仅作参考，并自行承担全部风险与责任。</p></div></div><p class=w860-mr20_line></p></div><div class="l w320 article-index"><div class=news-personal--intro><div class="top clearfix"><div class="l pic"><img src=https://htupload.fx678img.com/upload/portrait/20210830/173c1c28ce6f0641f449cfc7287d01a6.png> </div><div class=r><p class=name>梦中有蝶</p><p></p></div></div><div class=abstract>人皆知有用之用，而莫知无用之用</div><p class=intro-tit1>发表文章 <i class="iconfont icon-zuosanjiao"></i> <span>4170</span> 篇</p><p class=intro-tit2>他的热门文章 <i class="iconfont icon-zuosanjiao"></i></p><ul><li><a href="/news/202502171056271711.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><p>经济学家对澳洲联储降息的信心低于市场预期</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502141308151717.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><p>俄乌同意开始和平谈判，打压油价和美元等避险货币</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502141119421717.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><p>金价有望继续刷新历史高位，但白银格局料更为强劲</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502131421451717.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><p>特朗普发帖呼吁降低利率，鲍威尔没有直接回应</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502131308301712.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><p>美国经济可能面临滞胀特朗普政策加剧焦虑</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502131038561715.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><p>策略师：受经济不确定性的支撑金价或轻松触及3000美元</p></a></li></ul></div><div class=recommend-post--r><div class=tit><i class="iconfont icon-zuosanjiao"></i><h3>期货头条</h3></div><ul class=recommend-post--content><li><a href="/news/202502171437449060.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><div class="l cover"><img src=https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20240807/sy_1qh_2024080711514519.jpg> </div><p>2月17日现货黄金技术分析:冲高回落之后，多头还有希望？</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502171420042069.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><div class="l cover"><img src=https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20240807/sy_1qh_2024080713002293.jpg> </div><p>特朗普“小额豁免”政策急刹车，美国物流系统陷入混乱</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502171325272068.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><div class="l cover"><img src=https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20250217/sy_1qh_2025021713241229.png> </div><p>技术分析：美国原油价格将跌至每桶68.94美元</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502171056271711.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><div class="l cover"><img src=https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20250217/sy_1qh_2025021710323964.jpg> </div><p>经济学家对澳洲联储降息的信心低于市场预期</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502171051192066.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><div class="l cover"><img src=https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20250217/sy_1qh_2025021710494468.png> </div><p>技术分析：布伦特原油有望跌至72.91美元至73.36美元区间</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502171012282063.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><div class="l cover"><img src=https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20240626/sy_1qh_2024062616580760.jpg> </div><p>马克龙紧急召集欧洲峰会，乌克兰危机成焦点！欧洲团结再受考验</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502170943542064.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><div class="l cover"><img src=https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20240807/sy_1qh_2024080712575762.jpg> </div><p>欧盟强硬回击特朗普关税政策：不合理，将坚定反击！</p></a></li><li><a href="/news/202502170913162062.html" target=_blank class=clearfix><div class="l cover"><img src=https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20240807/sy_1qh_2024080712575215.jpg> </div><p>欧盟拟对美食品进口设限，特朗普毫不在乎，欧元或面临下行压力？</p></a></li></ul></div></div></div></div><div id=common-footer><div class=common-footer_bottom><div class=common-footer_top><div class=common-top_title>友情链接</div></div><div class=common-bottom_title>友情提示</div><div class=common-bottom_content><p></p><div>任何在本网站刊载的信息包括但不限于资讯、评论、预测、图表、指标、信号等只作为参考，您须自主做出投资决定，并对该决定负责。本网站所含数据未必实时、准确，所以价格可能并不准确且可能与实际市场价格行情存在差异，该价格仅为指示性价格反映行情走势，不宜为交易目的使用。投资者依据本网站提供的信息、资料及图表等信息进行交易行为所造成的损失与本网站无关。<div><a href=/corp/aboutUs.html target=_blank>关于我们</a></div></div></div><div class=common-bottom_bottom><a target=_blank href="http://www.beian.gov.cn/portal/registerSystemInfo?recordcode=31010702007019"><img src=/img/guohui.png>沪公网安备 31010702007019号</a> <a href="https://beian.miit.gov.cn/" target=_blank>沪ICP备18008872号-10</a> <a href=javascript:void(0)>增值电信业务经营许可证沪B2-20210778</a> <a>广播电视节目制作经营许可证 (沪)字第04469号</a> <a>网络文化经营许可证沪网文(2021) 1748-174号</a> <a>沪金信备〔2022〕1号</a> <a>汇通网集团版权所有</a></div></div><script type=text/javascript src="https://s9.cnzz.com/z_stat.php?id=1279950538&web_id=1279950538"></script><script> var _hmt = _hmt || []; (function() { var hm = document.createElement("script"); hm.src = "https://hm.baidu.com/hm.js?3d2497c3cd27af323fb62a2ed52bdd95"; var s = document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0]; s.parentNode.insertBefore(hm, s); $("#common-footer>a").text('') })(); </script></div><script> $(".news-content--main img").removeAttr("onclick").removeAttr("onload").removeAttr("alt") $(".news-content--main").on("click", 'img', function () { showImg($(this).attr("src")) }) function updatePraise() { // var visitUrl="http://localhost:8070/gitphp/NewsCenter/src/public/index.php/ht/praiseCount"; var visitUrl = "/News/clickPraise"; var newsId = "202411260952171717"; $.ajax({ type: "get", dataType: "json", url: visitUrl, data: {newsId: newsId}, success: function (data) { // var praise_now=parseInt($("#praise_count").text()); if (data.code == 200) { layer.msg('点赞成功，谢谢亲!'); // var praise_count=praise_now +1; // $("#praise_count").text(praise_count); /* praise_status=1; if($(obj).hasClass("like")){ $(obj).removeClass("like").addClass("liked"); } $(obj).attr("onclick","deletePraise(this);");*/ } else { layer.msg('操作失败!'); } } }); } </script></body></html>