Mysteel周报：本周国内焊管均价小幅上涨节后或迎开门红（1.17-1.24）-我的钢铁网

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style='color:#3861ab'>焊管</a>市场均价小幅趋强运行，周初部分市场跟进厂家报价，小年过后多处于“假期模式”，节前终端需求几无，贸易商暂停市场报价。原料<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010108-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>带钢</a>价格重回3250-3350元/吨价格区间。年后市场情况来看扰动因素仍较多，终端需求启动需要一定时间，今年原料带钢同比和去年水平相当，处于偏低水平。原料带钢价格已回归价值区间，节后需求启动后焊管市场价格或有继续探涨可能。</p> <p>一、本周回顾</p> <p>【价格方面】</p> <p>本周全国主要城市焊管价格稳中趋强运行，均价小幅上涨。据<a href="https://www.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Mysteel</a>数据显示：截至1月24日，全国28个主要城市<a href="https://hanguan.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">焊管</a>4寸*3.75mm平均价格为3740元/吨，周环比上涨14元/吨；<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010905-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>镀锌管</a>4寸*3.75mm平均价格为4391元/吨，周环比上涨17元/吨。</p> <p>表1：全国主要城市焊管、镀锌管价格汇总(单位：元/吨)</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/01/24/4bc20b8ed3364f35807b4ed0a37fbfde.png" width="600" height="229" /></p> <p>【管厂调价】</p> <p>本周全国主流管厂出厂价格以稳为主，部分管厂价格小幅上涨，本周管厂基本都已进入停产状态，随着管厂陆续放假，贸易商逐渐离市，市场处于有价无市状态，经过上周价格上涨，刺激部分贸易商补库操作，管厂多在本周加大生产补充库存，随着春节临近，市场放假管厂价格将继续持稳运行。</p> <p>表2：国内主流焊管厂挂牌价调整情况(单位：元/吨)</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/01/24/18bc9e9cffe441c6b3b67c0c2d1b70de.png" alt="企业微信截图_17377005787639(1)" width="600" height="167" /></p> <p><strong>【利润方面】</strong></p> <p>利润方面，以天津地区为例，本周焊管利润空间为184元/吨，周环比增加182元/吨，月环比增加168元/吨，年同比增加176元/吨；镀锌管利润为165.5元/吨，周环比增加163.9元/吨，月环比增加128.0元/吨，年同比增加152.4元/吨。</p> <p>图1：近年来镀锌管利润变化情况</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/01/24/1202e118e8dd404e8322c37373407576.png" width="533" height="296" /></p> <p><strong>【区域评述】</strong></p> <p><strong><a href="https://huabei.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">华北</a>市场：</strong>本周华北焊管价格稳中趋强运行，目前市场处于休市状态，暂无报价，节前原料价格上涨，部分市场在岗贸易商跟调报价，其中天津市场4寸*3.75mm焊管价格上涨40，报3550元/吨，邯郸市场4寸*3.75mm镀锌管价格上涨40，报4170元/吨。本周市场贸易商暂停报价，节前原料带钢价格趋强运行，部分市场稍有跟进。目前多数管厂生产已放假，多定于年后初七开工上班。节后需求来看，终端需求释放或仍偏慢。需求上量时间或处于3月之后，节后政策面对于价格扰动因素增加，仍需保持谨慎态度。</p> <p><strong>东北市场：</strong>本周东北焊管、镀锌管市场价格多数持稳，个别市场呈现上调的趋势。价格方面，焊管4寸*3.75mm沈阳市场价格3680元/吨；哈尔滨市场价格3700元/吨；长春市场价格3660元/吨。今年市场商家冬储操作谨慎，贸易商补货积极性一般。近期市场价格弱稳运行，原料带钢对管材价格支撑乏力的影响下，市场成交偏弱，贸易商心态偏谨慎，对后市持观望态度。当下库存维持低位，基本面整体表现尚可，管厂以及贸易商压力不大，对后市心态放缓。</p> <p><strong><a href="https://huadong.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">华东</a>市场：</strong>本周大多数华东地区主流市场焊管、镀锌管价格周环比持平，其中上海、南京、杭州市场镀锌管价格周环比均持平。本周原料价格整体呈现窄幅震荡运行趋势，原料瑞丰带钢价格周环持平，但市场出货停滞，商家处于休市状态，市场稳价为主。本周华东焊管社会库存呈现微幅增长，管厂库存小幅变动。管厂及贸易商陆续放假。</p> <p><strong>华南市场：</strong>广州焊管4寸3.75mm报4010元/吨，镀锌管4寸3.75mm报4830元/吨，周环比持平；南宁焊管4寸3.75mm报4050元/吨，周环比持平，镀锌管4寸3.75mm报4700元/吨，周环比持平。本周黑色期货震荡运行，原料355带钢价格周环比下调30元/吨，管厂价格基本持稳，本周管厂产量减少，厂内库存小幅累增，管厂原料库存增加。本周原料价格小幅下行，管厂陆续停产检修，管厂价格保持稳定。临近春节，市场基本已经放假，下游工地也已经停工，市场基本没有出货，价格保持稳定。</p> <p><strong><a href="https://huazhong.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">华中</a>市场：</strong>本周华中地区焊管、镀锌管价格持稳运行。原料带钢价格近日虽有所走弱，但随着市场逐步休市，下游需求释放寥寥，市场呈现有价无市，焊管价格难有变化。据最新调研节前市场冬储操作较少，社会库存整体增幅有限，且管厂已基本停产，当前供应压力不大，市场期望均已放至春节后行情。</p> <p><strong><a href="https://xinan.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">西南</a>市场：</strong>：本周瑞丰带钢价格周环比降10元/吨，云南地区带钢价格持稳。本周西南市场钢管价格稳中趋强运行。管厂方面：焊管产量大幅下降，厂内库存明显消化；<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010901-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>无缝管</a>厂产量大幅下降，厂库库存下滑。市场方面：本周期盘价格震荡下行，近期西南地区带钢价格坚挺运行，市场整体成交一般，临近春节假期，川渝地区贸易商多以出货为主，市场整体报价出现分化，其他区域市场基本进入休市状态。</p> <p><strong><a href="https://xibei.mysteel.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">西北</a>市场：</strong>本周西北地区焊管、镀锌管价格暂稳。原料方面，本周带钢价格窄幅震荡，管厂价格基本维稳，市场方面价格持稳，临近春节，市场鲜有成交，商家陆续放假，市场对价格关注度不高，库存方面，本周厂内库存、社会库存均处于低位，市场仍以规避风险为主，考虑到市场休市。</p> <p><strong>二、下周预测</strong></p> <p><strong>【供应方面】</strong></p> <p>本周焊管产量大幅缩减，厂内库存有所增加。本周焊管产量14.74万吨，周环比减少9.16万吨，产能利用率为26.63%，周环比下降16.55%；镀锌管产量12.56万吨，周环比减少7.27万吨，产能利用率为31.35%，周环比下降18.15%；临近春节，管厂已陆续停产，当前厂内库存虽有小幅增加，但整体水平偏低，节后或将继续维持按需生产。本周管厂库存（含镀锌管）为64.73万吨，较上周增长1.74%，月环比增长7.99%。</p> <p>表3：全国主要城市焊管、镀锌管产量、库存汇总(单位：万吨)</p> <p><strong><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/01/24/fc874393c4ce4e448b918ab89a2a6489.png" alt="企业微信截图_17377079842471" width="600" height="233" /></strong></p> <p><strong>【市场预测】</strong></p> <p>节前终端需求几无，原料带钢价格重回3250-3350元/吨价格区间。年前各地贸易商冬储拿货并不多，多以协议拿货为主。目前焊管市场处于休市状态，多数厂家已发布放假通知，贸易商暂停市场报价。年后市场情况来看扰动因素仍较多，终端需求启动需要一定时间，今年原料带钢同比和去年水平相当，处于偏低水平。政策面引导持续，明年开明或将处于顶部上涨空间大于底部下跌空间阶段。综上，预计节后焊管市场价格或迎来“开门红”行情。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block 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