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HKSuggestConfiguration, gotoLookupN); suggestHK.options[12] = false; changeViewInputs("stock"); $("countrySelect").value = "stock"; </script> </div>  </div>   <a name="Main"></a> <div class="Main">  <div class="blkContainer">  <div class="blkContainerPblk"> <div class="blkContainerSblk"> <h1 id="artibodyTitle">如何制订股指期货买卖策略</h1> <div class="artInfo"><span id="art_source">http://www.sina.com.cn</span>  <span id="pub_date">2007年08月29日 07:54</span>  <span id="media_name"><a href=http://www.p5w.net target="_blank">全景网络－证券时报</a></span></div>   <div class="blkContainerSblkCon" id="artibody">  <div class="moduleSingleImg01"> <center></center><br /> </div>  <p>　　平安期货冯子沣</p> <p>　　趋势是期货投资中最重要的原则之一，特别是对于没有定价能力的个人投资者。如果买卖方向与当时的价格趋势相反，只有恰好买中最低点或者是卖中最高点才有获利的机会，其余时期内，损失的概率远远大于获利的概率。因此，制订股指期货投资策略的第一步是认清趋势，确定买卖的基本方向。</p> <p>　　然后通过之前的交易数据，如K线组合、重要的移动平均线、成交量与持仓量等，确定几个与当时价格比较接近的关键阻力与支撑位置，一般可以设置3到4个关键位置。首先，该位置可以作为目前持仓的止损点或者是止赢点。如果价格的实际走向与之前判断的不一致，在跌破关键的支撑位置后并没有出现有力的反弹，可以考虑止损。同样，价格在突破关键的阻力位置后无力再挑战下一个高点，这时候可以考虑获利平仓。</p> <p>　　其次，关键位置可以作为顺序加仓的参考价格。有经验的期货投资者大多建议将资金分成若干部分，采取等金额或者是从多到少的倒金字塔式分批开仓。在买入第一部分后，如果价格向上突破下一个阻力位置，可以继续买入，直到完成建仓目标为止。在建仓过程中同时将止损点不断推高，比如买入第二部分后，买入价格就成了止损点，即使在该价格止损，买入的第一部分仓位仍然是获利的。</p> <p>　　如何合理设置止损和加仓价格就显得非常重要了，平均线是期货投资中最常用的工具。使用的周期长短与投资周期有关，一般参考日线、60分钟线、30分钟线，再短的周期更适合当日进出的短线交易。另外成交密集区和整数价格也是参考因素之一。关于如何设置合理的区间，期货投资有一个1-3法则，当潜在收益是潜在损失的3倍时，就值得投资。投资者可以参考该规则设置止损和加仓价格，策略中的加权平均买入价格的最大可能收益应该大于3倍于最大可能损失。</p> <p>　　最后也是最重要的是，在投资过程中一定要严守纪律。有不少投资者尽管在开市前已经制订了详细的操作纪律，但到了实际操作中受价格剧烈变动的影响，又陷入追涨杀跌的短线操作中，如果节奏没有掌握好，容易陷入止损-追涨-止损的恶性循环当中。同时对于资金的分配同样要严格遵守纪律，如果与大趋势反向操作，动用的资金不能超过25%，如果需要持仓过夜的话，持仓合约金额最好不要超过总资产的30%，这样保证在判断失误的情况下仍然有机会翻身。 </p>  <style> .info_hyfl {margin:20px 34px 0px; height:20px; line-height:20px; font-size:14px;} .news_hyfl {border:1px solid #C1D9F4; margin:20px auto; padding:5px; background:#fff; 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