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Analyst consensus | Randstad
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Two weeks prior to our earnings call, these will be published on our website.<br /> <br /> </div> </div> </div> </div> </header> <div data-drupal-messages-fallback class="hidden"></div> <main role="main"> <div > <article> <div> <div class="block data-table bg-variant-white"> <div class="block__wrapper wrapper"> <div class="block__header"> <h2 class="block__title">analyst consensus</h2> <p>Q3 2024</p> </div> <div class="block__content"> <div id="tablefield-wrapper-paragraph-3118-field_table-0" class="tablefield-wrapper"> <div class="data-table__accordion hidden--from-l"> <ul class="link-list link-list--single accordion"> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> revenue <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>revenue</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>5,938</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>6,085</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>6,002</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>6,009</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>24,034</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>24,837</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> reported growth YoY <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>reported growth YoY</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>-8.9%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>-5.9%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>-4.1%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>-3.0%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>-5.5%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>3.0%</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> organic growth per working day YoY <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>organic growth per working day YoY</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>-7.8%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>-7.5%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>-5.6%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>-3.6%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>-6.0%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>3.4%</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> gross profit <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>gross profit</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>1,199</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>1,203</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>1,195</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>1,206</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>4,803</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>5,058</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> gross margin <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>gross margin</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>20.2%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>19.8%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>19.9%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>20.1%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>20.0%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>20.4%</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> operating expenses (before amortization / one-offs) <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>operating expenses (before amortization / one-offs)</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>1,022</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>1,022</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>1,003</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>994</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>4,041</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>4,108</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> EBITA (before one-offs) <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>EBITA (before one-offs)</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>177</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>181</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>192</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>212</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>762</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>950</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> EBITA margin <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>EBITA margin</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>3.0%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>3.0%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>3.2%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>3.5%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>3.2%</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>3.8%</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> net income (before amortization / one-offs) <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>net income (before amortization / one-offs)</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>123</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>118</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>130</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>143</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>515</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>657</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> <li class="link-list__item"> <div class="collapsible__trigger" data-rs-collapsible="" role="button" aria-expanded="false" data-rs-toggable=""> <div class="link-list__link"> EPS (before amortization / one-offs, diluted) € <span class="icon toggle-arrow"> <svg> <use xlink:href="/themes/custom/bluex/dist/assets/image/icons.svg#chevron-down"></use> </svg> </span> </div> </div> <div class="collapsible__content" data-rs-collapsible-content="" aria-hidden="true"> <ul class="data-table__content"> <li> <span class="text--alternative">€ mln</span> <span>EPS (before amortization / one-offs, diluted) €</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q1 2024A</span> <span>0.69</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q2 2024A</span> <span>0.67</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q3 2024E</span> <span>0.73</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">Q4 2024E</span> <span>0.81</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2024E</span> <span>2.91</span> </li> <li> <span class="text--alternative">FY 2025E</span> <span>3.71</span> </li> </ul> </div> </li> </ul> </div> <table class="data-table__table hidden--until-l"> <thead> <tr> <th> <span>€ mln</span> </th> <th> <span>Q1 2024A</span> </th> <th> <span>Q2 2024A</span> </th> <th> <span>Q3 2024E</span> </th> <th> <span>Q4 2024E</span> </th> <th> <span>FY 2024E</span> </th> <th> <span>FY 2025E</span> </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">revenue</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">5,938</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">6,085</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">6,002</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">6,009</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">24,034</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">24,837</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">reported growth YoY</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-8.9%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-5.9%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-4.1%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-3.0%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-5.5%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">3.0%</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">organic growth per working day YoY</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-7.8%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-7.5%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-5.6%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-3.6%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">-6.0%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">3.4%</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">gross profit</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">1,199</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">1,203</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">1,195</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">1,206</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">4,803</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">5,058</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">gross margin</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">20.2%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">19.8%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">19.9%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">20.1%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">20.0%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">20.4%</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">operating expenses (before amortization / one-offs)</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">1,022</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">1,022</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">1,003</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">994</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">4,041</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">4,108</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">EBITA (before one-offs)</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">177</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">181</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">192</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">212</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">762</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">950</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">EBITA margin</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">3.0%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">3.0%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">3.2%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">3.5%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">3.2%</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">3.8%</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">net income (before amortization / one-offs)</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">123</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">118</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">130</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">143</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">515</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">657</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <div class="body-copy">EPS (before amortization / one-offs, diluted) €</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">0.69</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">0.67</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">0.73</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">0.81</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">2.91</div> </td> <td> <div class="body-copy">3.71</div> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="block"> <div class="block bg-brand--white"> <div class="block__wrapper wrapper"> <div class="block__content block__content--s body-copy color-preset--red"> <div class="box-horizontal-scroll"> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-left: 50px">* consensus based on averages</p> <p><b>updated and published on October 10th, 2024</b></p> <ul> <li>Q3 2024: 10 analysts participated</li> <li>FY 2024: 8 analysts participated</li> <li>FY 2025: 9 analysts participated</li> <li>range Q3 2024 EBITA estimate: 199m highest, 185m lowest</li> </ul> <p> <br><br></p> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="block bg-variant-brand-tertiary bluex-body-copy"> <div class="block__wrapper wrapper"> <div class="block__header"> <h2 class="block__title"> IFRS 16 </h2> <p>restated comparable tables</p> </div> <div 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