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0 8px 0 rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.15);--yds-shadow-md:0 0 16px 0 rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.15);--yds-shadow-lg:0 0 24px 0 rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.41);--ukko-background:#ffffff;--ukko-background-contrast:#131415;--feature-story-background:#000000;--ukko-grey-background:#f1f2f4;--ukko-navigation-background:#ffffff;--ukko-navigation-shadow:linear-gradient(0deg,rgba(19,20,21,0%),rgba(19,20,21,5%));--ukko-news-briefly-background:#ffffff;--ukko-default-item-background:#ffffff;--ukko-dark-item-background:#131415;--selko-footer-background:#e8e9eb;--ukko-overlay-background:#131415;--ukko-group-header-emphasis-background:#e90e43;--ukko-pulsating-dot:#e90e43;--ukko-link:#0a3276;--ukko-visited-link:#878a8b;--ukko-default-text:#131415;--ukko-dark-text:#f8f9fa;--ukko-text-contrast:#f8f9fa;--ukko-feature-story-text:#f8f9fa;--ukko-separator:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.09);--ukko-dark-group-separator:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.13);--ukko-alert:#e90e43;--ukko-focus:var(--yds-color-border-primary-focus);--ukko-location-select-option-hover:#f1f2f4;--ukko-location-select-option-focus:#ffffff;--ukko-location-select-scrollbar-background:#878a8b;--ukko-byline-background-color:#3d5483;--ukko-byline-journalistic-background-color:#ffffff;--ukko-byline-text-color:#f8f9fa;--ukko-kicker-journalistic-background:#4b075b;--ukko-live-udpates-separator:#d8d9db;--ukko-default-play-button-background:#ffffff;--ukko-default-play-button-icon-color:#000000;--ukko-default-play-button-text-color:#f8f9fa;--ukko-inverse-play-button-background:#000000;--ukko-inverse-play-button-icon-color:#ffffff;--ukko-inverse-play-button-text-color:#000000;--ukko-weather-warnings-background:#f8f9fa;--ukko-pollen-even-row-background:#f8f9fa;--ukko-playlist-header:#131415;--ukko-playlist-button-background:#f1f2f4;--ukko-playlist-button-color:#131415;--ukko-placeholder-gradient-color-1:#ecedef;--ukko-placeholder-gradient-color-2:#e0e1e3;-webkit-print-color-scheme:light dark;color-scheme:light dark;}/*!sc*/ @media (prefers-color-scheme:dark){.auto-detect-ukko-theme{--yds-color-background:#131415;--yds-color-background-variant:#1f2123;--yds-color-background-negative:#ffffff;--yds-color-background-navigation:#000000;--yds-color-background-control:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.53);--yds-color-background-control-disabled:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.21);--yds-color-background-input:#131415;--yds-color-background-highlight:#0b3f4b;--yds-color-background-interactive:#292b2d;--yds-color-background-dialog:#1f2123;--yds-color-background-dialog-overlay:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.7);--yds-color-background-info-primary:#d8d9db;--yds-color-background-info-secondary:#292b2d;--yds-color-background-success:#33d59b;--yds-color-background-warning:#feb054;--yds-color-background-error:#f5517a;--yds-color-background-opinion-article:#3d5483;--yds-color-background-story:#1f2123;--yds-color-background-list:#131415;--yds-color-text-default:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-text-negative:#131415;--yds-color-text-input-placeholder:#878a8b;--yds-color-text-high-emphasis:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.85);--yds-color-text-medium-emphasis:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.71);--yds-color-text-disabled:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.3);--yds-color-text-light:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-text-dark:#131415;--yds-color-text-light-high-contrast:#ffffff;--yds-color-action-primary:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-action-primary-variant:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.71);--yds-color-action-secondary:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.08);--yds-color-action-secondary-variant:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.17);--yds-color-action-disabled:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.21);--yds-color-action-danger-primary:#f77898;--yds-color-action-danger-primary-variant:#f5517a;--yds-color-border:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-border-disabled:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.3);--yds-color-border-primary-focus:#29ccde;--yds-color-border-secondary-focus:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-border-separator:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.13);--yds-color-illustrative-icons-icon-primary:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-illustrative-icons-icon-secondary:#009cb5;--yds-color-player-progress-bar:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.3);--yds-color-player-progress-indicator:#29ccde;--yds-color-spinner-default:#ffffff;--yds-color-spinner-negative:#131415;--yds-color-spinner-highlight-default:#29ccde;--yds-color-spinner-highlight-negative:#009cb5;--yds-color-spinner-background-default:#292b2d;--yds-color-spinner-background-negative:#d8d9db;--yds-color-feedback-highlight:#29ccde;--yds-color-feedback-error:#f5517a;--yds-color-feedback-warning:#ff9c31;--yds-color-feedback-success:#03e592;--yds-color-feedback-live:#e90e43;--yds-color-logo-yle-background-brand:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-logo-tv1:#3311aa;--yds-color-logo-tv-2:#cb0fd0;--yds-color-logo-yle-teema:#fe8300;--yds-color-logo-yle-fem:#a3bd2f;--yds-color-logo-lastenareena:#feb500;--yds-color-logo-yle-radio-1:#dc006a;--yds-color-logo-yle-radio-suomi:#00b9eb;--yds-color-logo-yle-x:#fd2b77;--yds-color-logo-yle-x3m:#ff4c20;--yds-color-logo-yle-vega:#169bd4;--yds-color-logo-yle-klassinen:#0f7b87;--yds-color-logo-yle-sami-radio:#0049bf;--yds-color-logo-areena:#29ccde;--yds-color-logo-yle-background-default:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-logo-yle-text:#131415;--yds-color-logo-background:#ffffff;--yds-color-logo-nega:#ffffff;--yds-color-logo-text:#000000;--yds-color-logo-yle:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-brand-yle:#00b4c8;--yds-color-tag-live:#e90e43;--yds-color-tag-default:#ffffff;--yds-color-tag-opinion:#3d5483;--yds-color-tag-yle-corporate:#00809c;--yds-color-tag-primary-action:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-tag-primary-action-variant:rgba(255, 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0.29);--yds-color-tietaja-background-variant-2:#292b2d;--yds-color-tietaja-text-score:#29ccde;--yds-color-tietaja-border-highlight:#29ccde;--yds-infographic-weather-icon-cloud-light:#d8d9db;--yds-infographic-weather-icon-cloud-mid:#878a8b;--yds-infographic-weather-icon-cloud-dark:#4a4f54;--yds-infographic-weather-icon-moon:#95c6ff;--yds-infographic-weather-icon-droplet:#ffffff;--yds-infographic-weather-icon-sun:#ffc400;--yds-infographic-text-default:#f8f9fa;--yds-infographic-background:#131415;--yds-infographic-tooltip-background:#ffffff;--yds-infographic-gridline:#4a4f54;--yds-infographic-text-negative:#131415;--yds-infographic-text-secondary:#b4b6b7;--yds-infographic-text-dark:#131415;--yds-infographic-text-light:#f8f9fa;--yds-infographic-text-plus:#29ccde;--yds-infographic-text-minus:#f26659;--yds-infographic-news-default-1:#7c59fa;--yds-infographic-news-default-2:#29ccde;--yds-infographic-news-default-3:#ffe387;--yds-infographic-news-default-4:#ff8f33;--yds-infographic-news-default-5:#9436b5;--yds-infographic-news-default-6:#fff3e2;--yds-infographic-news-monochrome-1:#e6e5ff;--yds-infographic-news-monochrome-2:#d3cbfb;--yds-infographic-news-monochrome-3:#b7a8fa;--yds-infographic-news-monochrome-4:#9479fb;--yds-infographic-news-monochrome-5:#694bd7;--yds-infographic-news-monochrome-6:#413091;--yds-infographic-sports-default-1:#5541ed;--yds-infographic-sports-default-2:#ea3e85;--yds-infographic-sports-default-3:#d4ff42;--yds-infographic-sports-default-4:#8578f2;--yds-infographic-sports-default-5:#f7abcb;--yds-infographic-sports-default-6:#ebfe8d;--yds-infographic-sports-monochrome-1:#eeeeff;--yds-infographic-sports-monochrome-2:#ddd9fc;--yds-infographic-sports-monochrome-3:#b3abf7;--yds-infographic-sports-monochrome-4:#8578f2;--yds-infographic-sports-monochrome-5:#5541ed;--yds-infographic-sports-monochrome-6:#372bb1;--yds-infographic-accent-news:#f26659;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-kok-primary:#096de3;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-kok-secondary:#0d4e9b;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-ps-primary:#6fb4fc;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-ps-secondary:#146498;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-sdp-primary:#ff5a5a;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-sdp-secondary:#a13e3f;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-vihr-primary:#8fce29;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-vihr-secondary:#5e8421;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-kesk-primary:#099327;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-kesk-secondary:#0d6020;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-vas-primary:#e22a73;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-vas-secondary:#8f214d;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-rkp-primary:#ffdc5d;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-rkp-secondary:#a1914a;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-kd-primary:#923de8;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-kd-secondary:#5f2c94;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-liik-primary:#cf83c8;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-liik-secondary:#7a5177;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-others-primary:#aeb0b1;--yds-infographic-political-party-fi-others-secondary:#616263;--yds-infographic-scale-strongly-agree:#29ccde;--yds-infographic-scale-agree:#9cebf4;--yds-infographic-scale-neutral:#e8e9eb;--yds-infographic-scale-disagree:#f79c94;--yds-infographic-scale-strongly-disagree:#f26659;--yds-infographic-survey-yes:#29ccde;--yds-infographic-survey-no:#f26659;--yds-infographic-survey-empty:#e8e9eb;--yds-infographic-survey-neutral:#b4b6b7;--yds-shadow-sm:0 0 8px 0 rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.70);--yds-shadow-md:0 0 16px 0 rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.70);--yds-shadow-lg:0 0 24px 0 rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.87);--ukko-background:#131415;--ukko-background-contrast:#ffffff;--ukko-grey-background:var(--yds-color-background);--ukko-navigation-background:var(--yds-color-background-variant);--ukko-navigation-shadow:linear-gradient(0deg,rgba(0,0,0,0%),rgba(0,0,0,15%));--ukko-news-briefly-background:var(--yds-color-background-variant);--ukko-default-item-background:var(--yds-color-background-variant);--ukko-dark-item-background:var(--yds-color-background-variant);--selko-footer-background:#1f2123;--ukko-link:#ccdef5;--ukko-focus:var(--yds-color-border-primary-focus);--ukko-visited-link:#b4b6b7;--ukko-default-text:#f8f9fa;--ukko-text-contrast:#131415;--ukko-separator:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.13);--ukko-alert:#e90e43;--ukko-location-select-option-hover:#292b2d;--ukko-default-play-button-background:#ffffff;--ukko-default-play-button-icon-color:#000000;--ukko-default-play-button-text-color:#f8f9fa;--ukko-inverse-play-button-background:#ffffff;--ukko-inverse-play-button-icon-color:#000000;--ukko-inverse-play-button-text-color:#f8f9fa;--ukko-weather-warnings-background:#323639;--ukko-pollen-even-row-background:#323639;--ukko-byline-journalistic-background-color:var(--yds-color-background);--ukko-placeholder-gradient-color-1:#191b1c;--ukko-placeholder-gradient-color-2:#1f2123;}}/*!sc*/ .dark-ukko-theme{-webkit-print-color-scheme:dark;color-scheme:dark;--yds-color-background:#131415;--yds-color-background-variant:#1f2123;--yds-color-background-negative:#ffffff;--yds-color-background-navigation:#000000;--yds-color-background-control:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.53);--yds-color-background-control-disabled:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.21);--yds-color-background-input:#131415;--yds-color-background-highlight:#0b3f4b;--yds-color-background-interactive:#292b2d;--yds-color-background-dialog:#1f2123;--yds-color-background-dialog-overlay:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.7);--yds-color-background-info-primary:#d8d9db;--yds-color-background-info-secondary:#292b2d;--yds-color-background-success:#33d59b;--yds-color-background-warning:#feb054;--yds-color-background-error:#f5517a;--yds-color-background-opinion-article:#3d5483;--yds-color-background-story:#1f2123;--yds-color-background-list:#131415;--yds-color-text-default:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-text-negative:#131415;--yds-color-text-input-placeholder:#878a8b;--yds-color-text-high-emphasis:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.85);--yds-color-text-medium-emphasis:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.71);--yds-color-text-disabled:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.3);--yds-color-text-light:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-text-dark:#131415;--yds-color-text-light-high-contrast:#ffffff;--yds-color-action-primary:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-action-primary-variant:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.71);--yds-color-action-secondary:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.08);--yds-color-action-secondary-variant:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.17);--yds-color-action-disabled:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.21);--yds-color-action-danger-primary:#f77898;--yds-color-action-danger-primary-variant:#f5517a;--yds-color-border:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-border-disabled:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.3);--yds-color-border-primary-focus:#29ccde;--yds-color-border-secondary-focus:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-border-separator:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.13);--yds-color-illustrative-icons-icon-primary:#f8f9fa;--yds-color-illustrative-icons-icon-secondary:#009cb5;--yds-color-player-progress-bar:rgba(255, 255, 255, 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class="ArticlePage__ArticlePageMainColumn-sc-d019dc0d-0 ePodpb"><div class="GridSystem__GridCell-sc-aec765a1-0 ArticlePage__ArticleGridCell-sc-d019dc0d-1 gsGJfu jivZPe"><div data-testid="article-wrapper" class="ArticleWrapper__Wrapper-sc-bbdc12b4-0 fUdway"><article class="yle__article arkki-theme-default" data-vrsproduct="uutiset"><header class="yle__article__header"><div class="sc-ewMzwg taepJ"><a href="https://yle.fi/t/18-204933/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Talous" class="ydscr__sc-w5hh4y-0 ftZGBr sc-gjXmFk eZuwUz">Talous</a></div><h1 class="sc-hUAZgl asJKO yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--1">Asuntolainojen korot laskuun – analyytikko: Mitä pidempään Trumpin tullit jatkuvat, sitä enemmän korot laskevat</h1><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-dslWvo hUYdmX cpEiOg yle__article__paragraph">Trumpin kaaoksessa on pieni hopeareunus asuntovelallisille: korot laskevat. Se ei silti ole hyvä uutinen, toteaa ekonomisti.</p><figure class="sc-jcvEFQ hSACyE yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20154316","@context":"https://schema.org","video":{"@type":"VideoObject","description":"Euribor-korkojen ennuste","name":"Euriborin puolen vuoden ennuste","thumbnailUrl":"https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/c_fill,g_faces,w_1200/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/13-1-74246720-1744026361495","uploadDate":"2025-04-07T14:00:00+03:00","embedUrl":"https://player-v2.yle.fi/test.html#1-74246720"}}</script><div class="sc-jIiDBi sc-lncAYT krYthw iRuPSi"><div><div data-testid="video-player" class="sc-incsXD eVBFQr"></div></div></div><figcaption class="sc-fCSSOr kGprtX"><span>Euribor-korkojen ennuste</span></figcaption></figure><div class="sc-lertIE kTspkI"><ul aria-label="Tekijä" class="sc-cYoYeT kAbMlH"><li class="sc-lkbiLU fbQXTy"><span class="sc-dOUtaJ fLwwxC">Heikki Valkama</span></li></ul></div><div class="sc-bCCZMN ijFeZj"><div class="sc-ggPeai lantjH yle__article__date"><time class="sc-dmFEqP eNQWpc yle__article__date--published" dateTime="2025-04-07T14:54:30+03:00">14:54</time><span aria-hidden="true" class="sc-eqpSQc qVrFL">•</span><time class="sc-dmFEqP eNQWpc yle__article__date--modified" dateTime="2025-04-07T15:24:54+03:00">Päivitetty 15:24</time></div></div><div class="sc-kXkCoi dDYHXD"><button data-testid="default-article-audio-placeholder" class="sc-HzvkS Okeff"><span aria-disabled="false" class="ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-0 ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-1 exIoZf huiFxY"><span class="ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-4 ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-6 fVOhsW kTNNhq yds-button__icon"><svg width="24" height="24" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" aria-hidden="true"><path fill="currentColor" fill-rule="evenodd" d="M5.52 2.122a1 1 0 0 1 1.02.037l14 9a1 1 0 0 1 0 1.682l-14 9A1 1 0 0 1 5 21V3a1 1 0 0 1 .52-.878" clip-rule="evenodd"></path></svg></span></span><span class="sc-iPzZWv koWch">Kuuntele juttu 4:47</span></button><div aria-hidden="true" class="sc-dRRvfZ fcPqiN"><div data-testid="default-article-audio-player"></div></div><div class="sc-ZpFXC ikbtJF"></div></div></header><section class="yle__article__content"><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Donald Trumpin ilmoittamat uudet tullit aiheuttavat epävarmuutta markkinoilla ja lisäävät paineita Euroopan keskuspankille jatkaa ohjauskorkojen laskua.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Nordean pääanalyytikko <strong class="sc-fQMTnL jFPcdh yle__article__strong">Jan von Gerich</strong> arvioi, että vaikutukset euroalueen talousnäkymissä näkyvät suoraan Euroopan keskuspankin eli EKP:n rahapolitiikassa.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">– Lähtökohta on se, että mitä pidempään ja vakavampana nämä Trumpin tullit jatkuvat, sitä enemmän korot laskevat, von Gerich sanoo.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Markkinat arvioivat korkojen laskevan ainakin vielä vuoden ajan.</p><div class="sc-cHtFsA ebtxiN yle__article__infogram"> <div class="infogram-embed" data-id="e6431ce7-23e3-416e-ac1b-b7c7975d98bf" data-type="interactive" data-title="Tuoreen ennusteen mukaan korot laskevat ensi vuodelle saakka." ></div> </div><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Siis: Trumpin tullit heikentävät kasvunäkymiä, mikä puoltaa matalampia korkoja. Inflaatiopaineet vähenevät, joten EKP:llä on enemmän tilaa jatkaa koronlaskuja, von Gerich sanoo.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Samaa toteaa Suomen yrittäjien pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-fQMTnL jFPcdh yle__article__strong">Juhana Brotherus</strong>.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">– Nyt meillä on tämmöinen yleinen taantuman pelko, ei pelkästään Euroopassa ja Yhdysvalloissa, vaan globaalisti. Näissä oloissa korko-odotukset ovat tulleet selkeästi alaspäin, Brotherus toteaa.</p><figure class="sc-jcvEFQ hSACyE yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20154316","@context":"https://schema.org","video":{"@type":"VideoObject","description":"Korot laskevat, mitä se merkitsee?","name":"Korot laskussa","thumbnailUrl":"https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/c_fill,g_faces,w_1200/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-12750456627fd090140a","uploadDate":"2025-04-07T14:06:07+03:00","embedUrl":"https://player-v2.yle.fi/test.html#1-74238715"}}</script><div class="sc-jIiDBi sc-lncAYT krYthw iRuPSi"><div><div data-testid="video-player" class="sc-incsXD eVBFQr"></div></div></div><figcaption class="sc-fCSSOr kGprtX"><span>Korot laskevat, mitä se merkitsee?</span></figcaption></figure><h2 class="sc-flQbIK iMPmBE yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">Korot laskevat, miten käy työpaikkojen?</h2><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Euroopan keskuspankilta odotetaan ensi viikolla maltillista 0,25 prosenttiyksikön koronlaskua.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Tulliuutiset ovat kasvattaneet todennäköisyyttä sille, että koronlaskuja nähdään pidempään kuin aiemmin ajateltiin. Vielä ennen tullikäännettä markkinoilla keskusteltiin jopa siitä, lasketaanko korkoja enää lainkaan.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">– Ennen näitä tulliuutisia ajateltiin, että korkopohja alkaa olla aika lähellä, että korkojen lasku olisi jo pääosin takana. Nyt voikin olla, että korot laskevat vielä vähän pidemmän aikaa, von Gerich sanoo.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Tosin ensi viikon torstaihin on vielä pitkä aika. Tai siis pitkä aika siinä mielessä, että Trumpin hallinto voi runsaassa viikossa saada vaikka millaista jälkeä aikaan.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">– Kuten olemme nähneet jo viimeisten kolmen päivän aikana, markkinoilla voi tapahtua paljonkin ennen sitä, Juhana Brotherus muistuttaa.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Hänen mukaansa koronlaskun lisäksi on kiinnostavaa seurata, miten keskuspankit suhtautuvat tilanteeseen laajemmin</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">– Eli mitä palokunta ajattelee roihuavasta maastopalosta, Brotherus sanoo.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Koronakriisin aikaan keskuspankit toimivat yhteisrintamassa: ne tarjosivat hätärahoitusta ja lisäsivät markkinoiden likviditeettiä. Näin ne estivät finanssimarkkinoiden jähmettymisen, jolla olisi voinut olla vakavia seurauksia, Brotherus muistuttaa.</p><div class="sc-cHtFsA ebtxiN yle__article__infogram"> <div class="infogram-embed" data-id="c4e1cb9d-d896-4eb3-90cc-2e68e150ff18" data-type="interactive" data-title="" ></div> </div><h2 class="sc-flQbIK iMPmBE yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">Asuntovelalliselle lisää helpotusta, mutta ei syytä riemuun</h2><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Tavalliselle suomalaiselle asuntovelalliselle tilanne voi siis tuoda helpotusta. Silti von Gerich muistuttaa, että halvempi korkotaso ei ole hyvä uutinen, jos se johtuu heikentyvästä taloudesta.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">– Nyt näyttää siltä, että korot voivatkin laskea vielä vähän pidempään. Mutta jos se tapahtuu siksi, että euroalueella ja Suomessa menee taloudellisesti huonommin, ei se tietenkään ole hyvä uutinen kokonaisuudessaan, hän toteaa.</p><figure class="sc-jcvEFQ hSACyE yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20154316","@context":"https://schema.org","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","description":"Nordean pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich sanoo, että tilanne on niin sekava, että ennusteiden tekeminen on tavallista hankalampaa.","copyrightHolder":"Kristofer Andersson / Yle","url":"https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.5,c_fill,g_faces,h_511,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-1179981651a9db98dd0e","keywords":"Nordea,talous,analyytikot,pankki,Talouskriisi,Asuntolainan korko,korko,korkopolitiikka"}}</script><div class="sc-jIiDBi sc-lncAYT krYthw jGhOBf"><div class="sc-gtlvkJ ddgSYf"><div class="sc-jHswkR cEPfYZ"><picture><source data-testid="source-for-S" media="(max-width: 767px)" srcSet="https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.5,c_fill,g_faces,h_511,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1696243480/39-1179981651a9db98dd0e 2x,https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.5,c_fill,g_faces,h_511,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1696243480/39-1179981651a9db98dd0e 1x"/><source data-testid="source-for-M" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcSet="https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.5,c_fill,g_faces,h_424,w_636/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1696243480/39-1179981651a9db98dd0e 2x,https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.5,c_fill,g_faces,h_424,w_636/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1696243480/39-1179981651a9db98dd0e 1x"/><img alt="Nordean pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich katsoo lähikuvassa kameraan Nordean pääkonttorin edessä." src="https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/c_crop,h_3375,w_6000,x_0,y_125/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_431,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1696243480/39-1179981651a9db98dd0e" loading="lazy" class="sc-cSaEAk cdhOGu"/></picture></div><div class="sc-beKSRx hHCGQd"><button aria-disabled="false" class="ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-0 ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-2 hkXxLi eEigQy"><span class="ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-7 evfPYu yds-button__content">Avaa kuvien katselu</span></button></div></div></div><figcaption class="sc-fCSSOr kGprtX"><span>Nordean pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich sanoo, että tilanne on niin sekava, että ennusteiden tekeminen on tavallista hankalampaa.</span><span> Kuva: Kristofer Andersson / Yle</span></figcaption></figure><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Samaa sanoo Brotherus.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">– Tämä kriisi on toki negatiivinen, mutta jos siitä etsii edes ohutta hopeareunaa, niin se on asuntovelallisille: korot ovat nyt laskemassa, ja todennäköisesti nopeammin kuin ilman tätä tilannetta, Brotherus sanoo.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Hän muistuttaa, että koronlaskun hyöty voi jäädä toissijaiseksi.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">– Jos oma työpaikka on riippuvainen viennistä Yhdysvaltoihin tai kansainvälisille markkinoille, voi huoli työpaikan säilymisestä painaa enemmän kuin korkojen aleneminen. Ja laajemmassa mittakaavassa heikompi talouskasvu tarkoittaa meille kaikille hitaampaa tulokehitystä – palkat nousevat hitaammin, ja se tuntuu lopulta kaikkien arjessa, Brotherus sanoo.</p><figure class="sc-jcvEFQ hSACyE yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20154316","@context":"https://schema.org","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","description":"Juhana Brotherus arvioi, että keskuspankit saattavat pian rauhoitella markkinoita.","copyrightHolder":"Jyrki Ojala","url":"https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.502824858757062,c_fill,g_faces,h_510,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-11721856503005cac04f","keywords":"Ekonomisti"}}</script><div class="sc-jIiDBi sc-lncAYT krYthw hBqGEj"><div class="sc-gtlvkJ ddgSYf"><div class="sc-jHswkR cEPfYZ"><picture><source data-testid="source-for-S" media="(max-width: 767px)" srcSet="https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.502824858757062,c_fill,g_faces,h_510,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1694695618/39-11721856503005cac04f 2x,https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.502824858757062,c_fill,g_faces,h_510,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1694695618/39-11721856503005cac04f 1x"/><source data-testid="source-for-M" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcSet="https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.502824858757062,c_fill,g_faces,h_423,w_636/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1694695618/39-11721856503005cac04f 2x,https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.502824858757062,c_fill,g_faces,h_423,w_636/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1694695618/39-11721856503005cac04f 1x"/><img alt="Juhana Brotherus, Yrittäjien pääekonomisti seisoo Hietalahden torilla kauppahallin edessä kameraan katsoen." src="https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/c_crop,h_1032,w_1834,x_175,y_97/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_431,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1694695618/39-11721856503005cac04f" loading="lazy" class="sc-cSaEAk cdhOGu"/></picture></div><div class="sc-beKSRx hHCGQd"><button aria-disabled="false" class="ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-0 ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-2 hkXxLi eEigQy"><span class="ydscr__sc-17sr1bx-7 evfPYu yds-button__content">Avaa kuvien katselu</span></button></div></div></div><figcaption class="sc-fCSSOr kGprtX"><span>Juhana Brotherus arvioi, että keskuspankit saattavat pian rauhoitella markkinoita.</span><span> Kuva: Jyrki Ojala</span></figcaption></figure><h2 class="sc-flQbIK iMPmBE yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">Trumpin poukkoilu vaikeuttaa ennustamista</h2><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Trumpin linja on kuitenkin vaikeasti ennustettava. Von Gerich korostaa, että nyt elämme tilanteessa, jossa muutokset voivat tapahtua nopeasti – sekä ylös että alas.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">– Ennustaminen perustuu skenaarioihin. On oltava vaihtoehdot pahemmalle ja paremmalle kehitykselle. Mutta mitään yksittäistä polkua ei voi pitää varmana, kun kyseessä on näin poukkoileva ja poliittisesti latautunut tilanne.</p><p class="sc-ktvNQe sc-WwxRR hUYdmX eUVjgm yle__article__paragraph">Allaolevalla videolla Danske Bankin pääanalyytikko <strong class="sc-fQMTnL jFPcdh yle__article__strong">Minna Kuusisto</strong> vastaa kysymykseen, millainen viesti heillä on niille suomalaisille, joilla on sijoituksia osakkeissa ja rahastoissa.</p><figure class="sc-jcvEFQ hSACyE yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20154316","@context":"https://schema.org","video":{"@type":"VideoObject","description":"Danske Bankin pääanalyytikko Minna Kuusisto kertoo, kuinka suomalaisten sijoittajien","name":"Millainen viesti Danske Bankin pääanalyytikolla on suomalaissijoittajille?","thumbnailUrl":"https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/c_fill,g_faces,w_1200/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-144728367f3cec2c98b5","uploadDate":"2025-04-07T17:46:22+03:00","embedUrl":"https://player-v2.yle.fi/test.html#1-74261256"}}</script><div class="sc-jIiDBi sc-lncAYT krYthw iRuPSi"><div><div data-testid="video-player" class="sc-incsXD eVBFQr"></div></div></div><figcaption class="sc-fCSSOr kGprtX"><span>Danske Bankin pääanalyytikko Minna Kuusisto kertoo, kuinka suomalaisten sijoittajien</span></figcaption></figure></section><footer class="yle__article__footer"><div class="sc-ejHFSJ dThUXz"></div><div><div class="sc-hORkcV fsUWYd"><a href="https://yle.fi/t/18-204933/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Talous" class="ydscr__sc-w5hh4y-0 kHxMQu sc-gjXmFk eZuwUz">Talous</a><a href="https://yle.fi/t/18-214632/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Korko" class="ydscr__sc-w5hh4y-0 kHxMQu sc-gjXmFk eZuwUz">Korko</a><a href="https://yle.fi/t/18-216671/fi" 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Se ei silti ole hyvä uutinen, toteaa ekonomisti.","type":"text"},{"text":"Donald Trumpin ilmoittamat uudet tullit aiheuttavat epävarmuutta markkinoilla ja lisäävät paineita Euroopan keskuspankille jatkaa ohjauskorkojen laskua.","type":"text"},{"text":"Nordean pääanalyytikko **Jan von Gerich** arvioi, että vaikutukset euroalueen talousnäkymissä näkyvät suoraan Euroopan keskuspankin eli EKP:n rahapolitiikassa.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Lähtökohta on se, että mitä pidempään ja vakavampana nämä Trumpin tullit jatkuvat, sitä enemmän korot laskevat, von Gerich sanoo.","type":"text"},{"text":"Markkinat arvioivat korkojen laskevan ainakin vielä vuoden ajan.","type":"text"},{"alt":"Tuoreen ennusteen mukaan korot laskevat ensi vuodelle saakka.","infogramId":"e6431ce7-23e3-416e-ac1b-b7c7975d98bf","type":"infogram"},{"text":"Siis: Trumpin tullit heikentävät kasvunäkymiä, mikä puoltaa matalampia korkoja. Inflaatiopaineet vähenevät, joten EKP:llä on enemmän tilaa jatkaa koronlaskuja, von Gerich sanoo.","type":"text"},{"text":"Samaa toteaa Suomen yrittäjien pääekonomisti **Juhana Brotherus**.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Nyt meillä on tämmöinen yleinen taantuman pelko, ei pelkästään Euroopassa ja Yhdysvalloissa, vaan globaalisti. Näissä oloissa korko-odotukset ovat tulleet selkeästi alaspäin, Brotherus toteaa.","type":"text"},{"caption":"Korot laskevat, mitä se merkitsee?","type":"video","id":"1-74238715","programResponse":{"description":{"main":{"fin":"Suomen yrittäjien pääekonomisti Juhana Brotherus arvioi, että korkojen lasku jatkuu odotettua pidempään."}},"series":{"title":{"main":{"swe":"Nyhetsvideor","fin":"Uutisvideot"}},"image":{"cover":{"fin":{"type":"Image","id":"39-1297102665f4c71c5277","version":1744044475}},"main":{"fin":{"type":"Image","id":"39-1297102665f4c71c5277","version":1744044475}}}},"publications":[{"tags":["archive"],"service":{"type":"Service","id":"yle-areena"},"publisher":{"type":"Service","id":"yle-areena"},"startTime":"2025-04-07T14:06:07+03:00","geoRestriction":"None","type":"Publication","id":"4-74238716","kind":"Ondemand","protectionLevel":{"key":"none","type":"ContentProtectionPolicy","id":"22-0"},"media":{"videoTrack":{"format":"HD","aspectRatio":"1:1","type":"VideoTrack","duration":"PT42S"},"captionTracks":[{"type":"CaptionTrack","language":"fin","kind":"hardOfHearing"}],"downloadable":false,"type":"Video","duration":"PT42S","audioTracks":[{"format":"stereo","type":"AudioTrack","duration":"PT42S","language":"fin"}],"id":"67-4a31dd388ee6412eb9e7447666d88620","available":true}}],"title":{"main":{"fin":"Korot laskussa"}},"id":"1-74238715","image":{"main":{"fin":{"type":"Image","id":"39-12750456627fd090140a","version":1744029531}}}}},{"text":"Korot laskevat, miten käy työpaikkojen?","level":2,"type":"heading"},{"text":"Euroopan keskuspankilta odotetaan ensi viikolla maltillista 0,25 prosenttiyksikön koronlaskua.","type":"text"},{"text":"Tulliuutiset ovat kasvattaneet todennäköisyyttä sille, että koronlaskuja nähdään pidempään kuin aiemmin ajateltiin. Vielä ennen tullikäännettä markkinoilla keskusteltiin jopa siitä, lasketaanko korkoja enää lainkaan.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Ennen näitä tulliuutisia ajateltiin, että korkopohja alkaa olla aika lähellä, että korkojen lasku olisi jo pääosin takana. Nyt voikin olla, että korot laskevat vielä vähän pidemmän aikaa, von Gerich sanoo.","type":"text"},{"text":"Tosin ensi viikon torstaihin on vielä pitkä aika. Tai siis pitkä aika siinä mielessä, että Trumpin hallinto voi runsaassa viikossa saada vaikka millaista jälkeä aikaan.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Kuten olemme nähneet jo viimeisten kolmen päivän aikana, markkinoilla voi tapahtua paljonkin ennen sitä, Juhana Brotherus muistuttaa.","type":"text"},{"text":"Hänen mukaansa koronlaskun lisäksi on kiinnostavaa seurata, miten keskuspankit suhtautuvat tilanteeseen laajemmin","type":"text"},{"text":"– Eli mitä palokunta ajattelee roihuavasta maastopalosta, Brotherus sanoo.","type":"text"},{"text":"Koronakriisin aikaan keskuspankit toimivat yhteisrintamassa: ne tarjosivat hätärahoitusta ja lisäsivät markkinoiden likviditeettiä. 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Ja laajemmassa mittakaavassa heikompi talouskasvu tarkoittaa meille kaikille hitaampaa tulokehitystä – palkat nousevat hitaammin, ja se tuntuu lopulta kaikkien arjessa, Brotherus sanoo.","type":"text"},{"displayStyle":"normal","alt":"Juhana Brotherus, Yrittäjien pääekonomisti seisoo Hietalahden torilla kauppahallin edessä kameraan katsoen.","source":"Jyrki Ojala","aspect":1.502824858757062,"caption":"Juhana Brotherus arvioi, että keskuspankit saattavat pian rauhoitella markkinoita.","id":"39-11721856503005cac04f","type":"image","alts":[{"language":"fin","value":"Juhana Brotherus, Yrittäjien pääekonomisti seisoo Hietalahden torilla kauppahallin edessä kameraan katsoen."}],"blurhash":"LOF=:kRpS|E1u6WtRjsoF%IVxZt6","tags":[{"label":[{"language":"eng","value":"Ekonomisti"},{"language":"fin","value":"Ekonomisti"},{"language":"swe","value":"Ekonomisti"}],"extId":"18-316033"}],"copyright":[{"language":"und","value":"Jyrki Ojala"}],"crops":[{"name":"16:9","aspect":1.78,"coordinates":{"x":175,"y":97,"width":1834,"height":1032}}],"height":1416,"licence":{"id":"6","name":[{"language":"und","value":"Yle"}],"properties":[]},"created":"2023-09-14T15:45:16+03:00","modified":"2023-09-14T15:47:01+03:00","version":"1694695618","width":2128,"recommendedFormat":"jpg"},{"text":"Trumpin poukkoilu vaikeuttaa ennustamista","level":2,"type":"heading"},{"text":"Trumpin linja on kuitenkin vaikeasti ennustettava. 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Hän voitti Yhdysvaltain vuoden 2016 presidentinvaalit valitsijamiehin 306–232 vastaehdokkaanaan demokraatti Hillary Clinton ja vannoi virkavalansa 20. tammikuuta 2017.\nTrump on poliittisesti etupäässä oikeistokonservatiivi ja populisti. Hän lupasi vaalikampanjassaan muun muassa asettaa Yhdysvaltain edut etusijalle, vähentää laitonta maahanmuuttoa, laskea veroja ja lisätä työpaikkoja. Trump on kiistelty persoona, joka tunnetaan suorasta kielenkäytöstään.\nTrump on julkaissut yli 14 kirjaa, joista useimmat käsittelevät liike-elämässä menestymistä.\nYhdysvaltalaisen Forbesin maailman vaikutusvaltaisimpien henkilöiden listalla Trump oli vuonna 2016 maailman toiseksi vaikutusvaltaisin henkilö.","sv":"Donald John Trump (engelskt uttal: [ˈdɒnəld d͡ʒɒn tɹʌmp] ( lyssna)), född 14 juni 1946 i New York, är en amerikansk republikansk politiker samt USA:s 45:e och nuvarande president. Han har tidigare varit verksam som affärsman, företagsledare och tv-personlighet. Han tillträdde ämbetet som president den 20 januari 2017 efter att ha vunnit presidentvalet 2016.Vid sin presidentinstallation var Trump den äldsta nytillträdande presidenten i USA:s historia. Han var då åtta månader äldre än Ronald Reagan när denne påbörjade sin första presidentperiod 1981. Han är den första presidenten som vid sitt tillträde saknat såväl politisk som militär erfarenhet. Han är även en av de längsta presidenterna. Trump är den president i USA:s historia som haft störst privat förmögenhet samt den tredje presidenten som valt att avstå från presidentlönen och donera den till välgörande ändamål.Trump är född och uppvuxen i Queens i New York. Han avlade 1968 en kandidatexamen i nationalekonomi med inriktning finans på Wharton School vid University of Pennsylvania. Före presidentskapet var han känd som styrelseordförande och vd för Trump Organization åren 1971–2017. Under hans ledning expanderade företaget och utvecklades från att ha fokuserat på mindre hyresbostäder till att bli ett multinationellt konglomerat med verksamhet i flera olika länder och inom branscher för bland annat fastigheter, hotell, kasinon, finansiella tjänster och golfanläggningar. Han mötte ekonomiska motgångar under lågkonjunkturen under tidigt 1990-tal, då han under en period hade en negativ nettoförmögenhet, efter misslyckanden med sina kasinon i Atlantic City. Han arbetade därefter bit för bit upp sin förmögenhet. I Forbes lista över världens rikaste personer 2018 placerades Trump på 766:e plats i världen och 260:e plats i USA med en uppskattad förmögenhet på 3,1 miljarder dollar (motsvarande 30 miljarder kronor). Sedan presidentkampanjen 2016 har hans förmögenhet minskat med cirka 1,5 miljarder dollar. Trump var före presidentskapet även känd som tv-person sedan han varit verkställande producent för NBC:s The Apprentice åren 2004–2015. Han började framträda som politisk debattör under 1980-talet. Han kandiderade i presidentvalet 2000 för Reform Party, men drog tillbaka kandidaturen under partiets primärval.Under tiden som USA:s president har Trump genomfört flera av sina vallöften. Inrikespolitiskt har han har bland annat: utsett Gorsuch och Kavanaugh till nya domare i USA:s högsta domstol och infört restriktioner i immigrationspolitiken; avskedat FBI-chefen Comey för osanna vittnesmål; genomfört en stor skattereform med skattelättnader för hushåll och företag sedan 1980-talet; infört betald föräldraförsäkring; utlyst drogberoendet av opioider som en nationell hälsokris; stärkt landets gränssäkerhet och fortsatt byggandet av en mur längst gränsen mot Mexiko; samt genomfört en fängelsereform som fått brett stöd över partigränserna. Utrikespolitiskt har han bland annat: beordrat robotattacker mot mål i Syrien som svar på al-Assads påstådda användning av kemiska vapen i inbördeskriget; förklarat ISIS besegrade i Syrien; lämnat Iranavtalet; erkänt Jerusalem som Israels huvudstad och flyttat den amerikanska ambassaden dit; haft en hård retorik mot Kina för vad han menar varit orättvisa handelsvillkor, samt mot Nordkoreas högste ledare Kim Jong-un för deras kärnvapenprogram, vilket ledde till att de träffades vid ett historiskt toppmöte i Singapore; omförhandlat NAFTA-avtalet; samt slutit det nya frihandelsavtalet USMCA med Mexiko och Kanada.Samtidigt har Trump fått massiv kritik som president. I samband med hans installation ägde en internationell protest rum, hans presidentorder för en restriktiv immigrationspolitik har mötts med politiskt motstånd, liksom hans stöd för NRA och andra tillägget i konstitutionen. Erkännandet av Jerusalem som Israels huvudstad har lett till diplomatiska fördömanden, hans hårda retorik mot Nordkorea och Kina har kritiserats och planerna på att lämna Parisavtalet har fått kritik. Konspirationsteorin om hans påstådda band med Ryssland under presidentkampanjen 2016 utreddes i närmare två år utan att bevis hittades. Under hela Trumps presidentskap har demokraterna kommit med hot om att ställa honom inför riksrätt. Demokraterna i representanthuset röstade den 19 december 2019 igenom att inleda en process om att ställa Trump inför riksrätt för anklagelser om att han skulle ha hållit inne med bistånd till Ukraina. Den 5 februari 2020 friades han av senaten på båda åtalspunkterna om maktmissbruk och förhindrande av kongressens arbete. Republikanerna har majoritet i senaten och den republikan som röstade för att fälla Trump var Mitt Romney.","en":"Donald John Trump is an American real estate developer, television personality, politician, and author. 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