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</button> </div> <div class="info-overlay__body authors-overlay__body"> <div class="authors-overlay__list"> <div class="authors-overlay__author"> <div class="authors-overlay__author-header"> <div class="authors-overlay__author-header-text"> <h4 class="authors-overlay__author-name">Sara Oline Martini Jørgensen</h4> <p class="authors-overlay__author-title">Journalist</p> </div> <div class="authors-overlay__author-header-image"> <div class="authors-overlay__author-image-wrap authors-overlay__author-image"> <img width="150" height="150" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-150x150.jpg.webp" class="attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail" alt="Sara Oline Martini Jørgensen" decoding="async" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-150x150.jpg.webp 150w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-640x640.jpg.webp 640w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-125x125.jpg.webp 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<span class="post-meta__separator">\</span> <div class="post-header__category-wrapper label-wrapper"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/genre/ny-forskning-viser/" class="post-header__category label" title="Gå til Ny forskning viser"> Ny forskning viser </a> </div> </div> </div> <h1 class="post-header__title" itemprop="name headline">Klimachok: Sådan flyttede stormen Bodil danske vælgere</h1> <div class="post__excerpt"> <p>I de berørte områder steg opbakningen til klimavenlige partier. Men det er uklart, om det skyldes selve stormen, eller måden politikerne efterfølgende håndterede den på, indvender forsker.</p> </div> <div class="post-featured "> <div class="post-featured__image-wrap"> <picture class="post-featured__picture"><source media="(min-width: 1025px)" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-1280x720.jpg.webp 1440w" /><source media="(min-width: 721px)" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-904x508.jpg.webp 1024w" /><source media="(min-width: 401px)" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-768x432.jpg.webp 720w" /><source srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-375x211.jpg.webp 400w" /><img width="1280" height="720" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-1280x720.jpg.webp" class="post-featured__image attachment-videnskabwp-post-featured-xl size-videnskabwp-post-featured-xl wp-post-image" alt="Billede af bil i vand stormen Bodil" data-picture="post-featured" data-picture-class="post-featured__image post-featured__picture" data-picture-image-class="post-featured__image post-featured__image" decoding="sync" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-1280x720.jpg.webp 1280w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-640x360.jpg.webp 640w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-300x169.jpg.webp 300w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-575x324.jpg.webp 575w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-800x450.jpg.webp 800w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-1190x669.jpg.webp 1190w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-375x211.jpg.webp 375w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-768x432.jpg.webp 768w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-904x508.jpg.webp 904w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-1024x576.jpg.webp 1024w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-1440x810.jpg.webp 1440w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-bil-i-vand-stormen-bodil-1920x1080.jpg.webp 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px" /></picture> </div> </div> <div class="post-image-meta"> <p>En dansk forsker har undersøgt, hvordan den voldsomme storm Bodil påvirkede stemmeafgivningen ved det efterfølgende folketingsvalg. (Foto: Malene Plank Sommer)</p> </div> </div> </section> <div class="topbanner_wrapper"> <div class="ad-disclaimer">Annonce:</div> <div class="ad-wrapper-desktop"> <div id="cncpt-lb1"></div> </div> <div class="ad-wrapper-mobile"> <div id="cncpt-mob1"></div> </div> </div> <div id="primary" class="primary" aria-label="Primært indhold"> <main id="main" class="site-main" role="main"> <article id="article-261272" class="post-wrapper post-261272 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry post_author-fabian-holt post_author-sara-oline-martini-joergensen post_author-simon-elsborg-nygaard post_author-soeren-damsbo-svendsen genre-ny-forskning-viser serie-anbefalet theme-politik theme-klima theme-kultur-samfund"> <div class="post-sidebar post-sidebar--left"> <div class="beyond-words-player__wrapper"> <p class="beyond-words-player__title"> <span class="beyond-words-player__backslash backslash">\</span> Automatisk oplæsning </p> <div data-beyondwords-player="true" 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href="mailto:?subject=Klimachok%3A+S%C3%A5dan+flyttede+stormen+Bodil+danske+v%C3%A6lgere&body=https%3A%2F%2Fvidenskab.dk%2Fkultur-samfund%2Fklimachok-saadan-flyttede-stormen-bodil-danske-vaelgere%2F" class="share-socialmedia__link share-socialmedia__link--email" title="Del på email"> <span class="screen-reader-text">Del på email</span> <span class="share-socialmedia__icon icon-share-mail"></span> </a> <a href="#" onclick="window.print()" class="share-socialmedia__link share-socialmedia__link--print" title="Print"> <span class="screen-reader-text">Print</span> <span class="share-socialmedia__icon icon-share-print"></span> </a> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="post-sidebar post-sidebar--right"> <div class="sidebar-info authors"> <div class="sidebar-info__inner authors__inner"> <p class="sidebar-info__title authors__title"> <span class="sidebar-info__backslash authors__backslash backslash">\</span> Artiklen er skrevet af </p> <div class="authors__list"> <div class="author"> <div class="author__text"> <span class="author__name">Sara Oline Martini Jørgensen</span> <span class="author__title">Journalist</span> </div> <div class="author__image-wrap"> <span class="author__image-info-icon icon-info"></span> <img width="150" height="150" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-150x150.jpg.webp" class="attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail" alt="Sara Oline Martini Jørgensen" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-150x150.jpg.webp 150w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-640x640.jpg.webp 640w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-125x125.jpg.webp 125w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-360x360.jpg.webp 360w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-375x375.jpg.webp 375w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-768x768.jpg.webp 768w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/profilbillede-1024x1024.jpg.webp 1024w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="genre-info-ny-forskning-viser" class="sidebar-info genre-info genre-info--ny-forskning-viser"> <div class="sidebar-info__inner genre-info__inner"> <p class="sidebar-info__title genre-info__title"> <span class="sidebar-info__backslash genre-info__backslash backslash">\</span> Ny forskning viser </p> <p class="genre-info__text">Nuancer, perspektiv og stærke, uafhængige kilder kendetegner Videnskab.dk's artikler i genren 'Ny forskning viser'. Læs om vores journalistiske metoder her.…</p> <div class="sidebar-info__footer genre-info__footer-info"> <span class="sidebar-info__footer-icon genre-info__footer-info-icon icon-info"></span> <span class="sidebar-info__footer-text genre-info__footer-info-text">Læs mere</span> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="post-content"> <p data-beyondwords-marker="a3b54e51-17f6-4d2b-b407-9635b311d5ad">Den 5. december 2013 ramte stormen Bodil og efterlod sig et kaos. Områder lå under vand, flere blev kvæstet, og én person døde som følge af den orkanlignende storm. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="bf37c237-b9fc-45e4-888c-1dc67297e3c7">I de områder, der blev særligt berørte af stormen, steg opbakningen efterfølgende til de klimavenlige partier. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="079896cb-70a9-4373-8746-87dad9589ee7">Det viser et nyt dansk studie, der er <a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-024-09984-0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">udgivet i tidsskriftet Political Behaviour</a>.</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="499dd669-e8d6-4f71-b613-20f2f2fb97f1">Stemmeafgivningen på de klimavenlige partier steg med 2-3 procentpoint fra folketingsvalget i 2011 til valget i 2015. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="f78f5a06-e3dc-4d11-93df-8b6ee4a6814a">Det er gennem det at stemme, at den almindelige borger kan hjælpe klimaet. Individuelle adfærdsændringer kan være gode og meningsfulde, men det er de store, kollektive forandringer, der gør forskellen, ifølge forskeren bag det nye studie, Søren Damsbo-Svendsen.</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="26646673-1f1b-4689-a0c0-77bb7492585b">»Man kan argumentere for, at klimaforandringer er ret vigtige – og det er afgørende, at der handles proaktivt. Derfor er det positivt, at oplevelser som stormen Bodil, kan få folk til at ‘vågne op’,« siger Søren Damsbo-Svendsen til Videnskab.dk. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="b50ee5bf-be16-47d2-a589-f68bf1879be2">»Ikke i den forstand at vi nødvendigvis tænker noget bestemt eller når til bestemte konklusioner. Bare at vi tager stilling og får mulighed for at handle,« tilføjer han.</p> <div class="videnskabwp-blocks advertisements"> <div class="videnskabwp-blocks__inner advertisements__inner"> <div class="ad-disclaimer">Annonce:</div> <div class="ad-wrapper-desktop"> <div id="cncpt-lb2"></div> </div> <div class="ad-wrapper-mobile"> <div id="cncpt-mob2"></div> </div> </div> </div> <h2 data-beyondwords-marker="e531e5fb-6f53-4236-bc9b-47bc5ad14165" class="wp-block-heading">Studiets metode og resultat </h2> <p data-beyondwords-marker="d117ef51-115f-4acb-b746-ad9d83541490">Søren Damsbo-Svendsen har undersøgt, hvordan valgdistrikter, der har været udsat for oversvømmelser i forbindelse med stormen Bodil, har stemt før og efter hændelsen. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="297feb1a-813a-4c5b-9db0-cea94397b1e5">De berørte områder var blandt andet Roskilde Fjord-området og Norddjurs.</p> <figure data-beyondwords-marker="071a2884-adf4-4fb1-aaae-8477f7da5018" class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="837" height="1024" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/11109-2024-9984-fig1-html-837x1024.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-262127" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/11109-2024-9984-fig1-html-837x1024.webp 837w, https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/11109-2024-9984-fig1-html-245x300.webp 245w, https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/11109-2024-9984-fig1-html-768x940.webp 768w, https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/11109-2024-9984-fig1-html.webp 922w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 837px) 100vw, 837px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">De sorte områder var de mest berørte af stormen Bodil. Derefter kommer mørkeblå og så videre. Påvirkningen er opgjort efter antallet af private forsikringssager vedrørende stormflod i området. (Illustration: <a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-024-09984-0#Fig1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Søren Damsbo-Svendsen</a>)</figcaption></figure> <p data-beyondwords-marker="ca0e6037-503e-4516-99d2-67958c0a3ec7">Han kom frem til, at der var sket en stigning på to-tre procentpoint i de områder. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="54121f95-0a7f-43d2-9ecb-f0c6ed9a0460">Han har sammenlignet med andre valgdistrikter, der minder om, men som ikke har været berørt af klimahændelsen, for at »overbevise sig selv og andre om, at den her stigning skyldes stormfloden,« siger han. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="1a4c33f9-967a-4ff7-b38f-7603fcafe2ea">I studiet har Søren Damsbo-Svendsen defineret de klimavenlige partier ud fra, hvad vælgernes opfattelser er af partiet. Det er altså ikke baseret på partiernes partiprogram, eller hvad de rent faktisk har gjort eller fået igennem politisk på klimaområdet. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="b01e94f5-09a0-476d-a255-8881b844470b">I studiet er de klimavenlige partier:</p> <ul data-beyondwords-marker="81fb5cf5-218b-4f0e-9eb5-87db8c011903" class="wp-block-list"> <li data-beyondwords-marker="36e2f335-97c9-4d6b-9fe9-ffac714bce25">Radikale Venstre</li> <li data-beyondwords-marker="ff07cefe-f94d-4978-80e2-3676a203ad89">Socialdemokratiet</li> <li data-beyondwords-marker="7c21920f-0ef8-41a2-a2e6-a56bfa8d9be1">Socialistisk Folkeparti (SF)</li> <li data-beyondwords-marker="e37bfa03-e5b4-4403-9488-1c830b7c6f9a">Enhedslisten</li> <li data-beyondwords-marker="db560782-2ac4-4f6f-b0f0-fe5c04cb568f">Alternativet</li> </ul> <h2 data-beyondwords-marker="4d8f8ea7-bc63-4e34-b2f9-d08378a1e1a7" class="wp-block-heading">Et klimachok</h2> <p data-beyondwords-marker="3f49d92b-a55b-4e18-b4ed-a625ff3b8696">»Det er vigtig forskning, og det er vælgerundersøgelser som denne, der skal med i værktøjskassen, når vi skal se på demokratiske klimaløsninger,« siger Fabian Holt. </p> <div class="videnskabwp-blocks advertisements"> <div class="videnskabwp-blocks__inner advertisements__inner"> <div class="ad-disclaimer">Annonce:</div> <div class="ad-wrapper-desktop"> <div id="cncpt-lb3"></div> </div> <div class="ad-wrapper-mobile"> <div id="cncpt-mob3"></div> </div> </div> </div> <p data-beyondwords-marker="a4bebeb1-0151-4da2-97b6-19307f4ca4f1">Han er lektor ved Institut for Kommunikation og Humanistisk Videnskab på Roskilde Universitet, hvor han blandt andet forsker i politisk kommunikation i klimakrisen. Han har ikke selv været involveret i studiet. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="ce3131b1-85d9-45c9-ac33-70886f5bf4c2">Han mener, at studiet kredser om et vigtigt spørgsmål: Hvad skal der til for at skabe politiske forandringer, når det kommer til klima?</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="bcc87cfd-3225-407b-92bb-cc2359a19a0d">Der er forskellige opfattelser i videnskaben af, hvad der motiverer folk til at stemme klimarelateret, forklarer Fabian Holt. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="2e9a2add-87f0-47a2-b1cb-69ee6754b82c">Nogle mener, at det her klimachok, som stormen Bodil er et eksempel på, kan påvirke ens verden og dermed ens stemmeadfærd, forklarer han videre. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="eea26991-1102-4b55-b6a0-50b861e1d400">»En anden forklaring lyder på, at det ikke er selve hændelsen, men måden hændelsen bliver politiseret på, der ændrer stemmeadfærd,« siger Fabian Holt. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="ef92f556-7d71-4433-9f20-be273a222d7b">Det er altså måden politikere og medier omtaler og handler på i forhold til hændelsen, der kan have betydning for, hvordan folk stemmer. </p> <div data-beyondwords-marker="1f41b20e-7870-420e-bf9c-bec6cb0d6414" id="block_b61ceeb2-6923-4900-af2a-7ea1a4f89627" class="videnskabwp-blocks read-also read-also--block_b61ceeb2-6923-4900-af2a-7ea1a4f89627"><div class="videnskabwp-blocks__inner read-also__inner"><h2 class="block-title"> <span class="read-also__backslash backslash" style="">\</span> Læs også </h2> <div class="card-list card-list--horizontal" id="block-"> <div class="card card--horizontal card--section-1 card--has-image"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/naturvidenskab/stormfloden-i-1872-kan-hjaelpe-os-med-at-forstaa-hvilken-fremtid-klimaforandringerne-bringer/" class="card__inner" aria-labelledby="card-title"> <div class="card__image-wrapper"> <img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="125" height="125" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/oestvendt-orkan-13.-november-1872--illustration-i-illustreret-tidende--fra-det-kgl.-bibliotekst-billedsamling-125x125.jpg.webp" class="attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="Illustration af stormfloden 13. november 1872" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/oestvendt-orkan-13.-november-1872--illustration-i-illustreret-tidende--fra-det-kgl.-bibliotekst-billedsamling-125x125.jpg.webp 125w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/oestvendt-orkan-13.-november-1872--illustration-i-illustreret-tidende--fra-det-kgl.-bibliotekst-billedsamling-150x150.jpg.webp 150w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/oestvendt-orkan-13.-november-1872--illustration-i-illustreret-tidende--fra-det-kgl.-bibliotekst-billedsamling-640x640.jpg.webp 640w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/oestvendt-orkan-13.-november-1872--illustration-i-illustreret-tidende--fra-det-kgl.-bibliotekst-billedsamling-360x360.jpg.webp 360w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/oestvendt-orkan-13.-november-1872--illustration-i-illustreret-tidende--fra-det-kgl.-bibliotekst-billedsamling-375x375.jpg.webp 375w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/oestvendt-orkan-13.-november-1872--illustration-i-illustreret-tidende--fra-det-kgl.-bibliotekst-billedsamling-768x768.jpg.webp 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 125px) 100vw, 125px" /> </div> <div class="card__content"> <h3 class="card__title">Stormfloden i 1872 kan hjælpe os med at forstå, hvilken fremtid klimaforandringerne bringer</h3> </div> </a> </div> </div> </div></div> <p data-beyondwords-marker="1c86880c-b9fe-47a9-9eec-f2415ec64c45">For bæredytighedssykolog Simon Elsborg Nygaard er det ikke overraskende, at studiet er kommet frem til, at en hændelse som Bodil påvirker folks stemmeadfærd.</p> <div class="videnskabwp-blocks advertisements"> <div class="videnskabwp-blocks__inner advertisements__inner"> <div class="ad-disclaimer">Annonce:</div> <div class="ad-wrapper-desktop"> <div id="cncpt-lb4"></div> </div> <div class="ad-wrapper-mobile"> <div id="cncpt-mob4"></div> </div> </div> </div> <p data-beyondwords-marker="3f9affed-452e-4a7a-a622-c164701e3f04">Når klima bliver mere konkret og nært – både i tid og rum – så bliver man mere villig til at ændre sin politiske stemme, forklarer han. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="bd5b2f4f-dbd8-44e3-9d47-50308c4e16ce">»Vi har en tendens til at tænke, at klimaforandringer er fjernt i tid og noget, der sker på den anden side af kloden, men når vi kan se det i vores egen kælder og lugte og mærke det, bliver det konkret,« siger Simon Elsborg Nygaard, der er selvstændig bæredygtighedspsykolog og ekstern lektor ved Psykologisk Institut på Aarhus Universitet.</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="dda14f81-35d1-434f-a064-030802bc75d6">Jo tættere på klimaforandringer kommer, jo mere påvirker det ens stemmeadfærd, mener han.</p> <h2 data-beyondwords-marker="8703d3a7-4004-41b4-94bb-7ea2adf8b7e6" class="wp-block-heading">Politisk kommunikation er vigtig</h2> <p data-beyondwords-marker="7fecf8b6-c4a1-4105-a330-9afd442081be">Det er svært at sige, om studiets resultater udelukkende skyldes selve hændelsen eller den politiske fortælling om hændelsen, forklarer Fabian Holt.</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="4acf8e22-9c93-461e-a739-a4630da3eb43">»Man kan ikke være sikker på, at det er selve hændelsen, før man har undersøgt, hvordan beslutningsprocessen har været,« siger han. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="9db8ad94-1542-4f29-afce-4442b27f523a">Til det svarer studiets forfatter Søren Damsbo-Svendsen:</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="de96603a-614d-4f6b-b01b-2d64c5cd559e">»Jeg er helt enig i, at man ikke kan adskille vejrhændelsen fra den politiske fortælling. De former hinanden. Men det er hændelsen, der starter fortællingen, og det er den samlede effekt af hændelsen, inklusive effekten af den politiske fortælling om vejrhændelsen, som jeg undersøger.«</p> <div class="videnskabwp-blocks advertisements"> <div class="videnskabwp-blocks__inner advertisements__inner"> <div class="ad-disclaimer">Annonce:</div> <div class="ad-wrapper-desktop"> <div id="cncpt-lb5"></div> </div> <div class="ad-wrapper-mobile"> <div id="cncpt-mob5"></div> </div> </div> </div> <figure data-beyondwords-marker="eba825e4-6767-4192-bb2e-f25ea4cdb1ff" class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="768" height="1024" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-stormen-bodil-i-gaagade-768x1024.jpg.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-263508" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-stormen-bodil-i-gaagade-768x1024.jpg.webp 768w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-stormen-bodil-i-gaagade-225x300.jpg.webp 225w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-stormen-bodil-i-gaagade-1152x1536.jpg.webp 1152w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-stormen-bodil-i-gaagade-1536x2048.jpg.webp 1536w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-stormen-bodil-i-gaagade-480x640.jpg.webp 480w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/billede-af-stormen-bodil-i-gaagade-scaled.jpg.webp 1920w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Det er, når vi kan se klimaforandringerne i vores kælder, lugte og mærke dem, at de bliver konkrete – og kan flytte vores stemmer, lyder det fra forsker. Her et billede af konsekvenserne af stormen Bodil. (Foto: Malene Plank Sommer)</figcaption></figure> <p data-beyondwords-marker="5977465d-3c68-45a1-87a7-ef0cffa22425">Fabian Holt påpeger, at der er flere steder i verden, som har været ude for voldsomme naturkatastrofer som skovbrande og oversvømmelser, men hvor de berørte borgere altså ikke stemmer mere venstreorienteret – eller mere klimavenligt af den grund.</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="b8416a58-c071-4993-a11a-6ce1cd8cda68">»I områder i USA, der har været udsat for klimakriser meget værre end dem i Danmark, har man lige valgt Trump som præsident, som vil træde ud af Parisaftalen og siger ‘drill baby drill’,« nævner Fabian Holt som eksempel. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="98ea3c90-d50d-47e4-97af-afadd99e0a70">»Politisk kommunikation er vigtigt, og ved valget i USA vandt økonomien over klimaet,« tilføjer han.</p> <div data-beyondwords-marker="5d13d735-f968-4293-a9d5-813f0ebc1bd5" id="block_7d217b77-c9b5-4efc-9cf7-8e6cd371ca50" class="videnskabwp-blocks read-also read-also--block_7d217b77-c9b5-4efc-9cf7-8e6cd371ca50"><div class="videnskabwp-blocks__inner read-also__inner"><h2 class="block-title"> <span class="read-also__backslash backslash" style="">\</span> Læs også </h2> <div class="card-list card-list--horizontal" id="block-"> <div class="card card--horizontal card--section-1 card--has-image"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/kultur-samfund/biden-fik-historisk-klimapakke-paa-plads-i-usa-kan-trump-rulle-den-tilbage/" class="card__inner" aria-labelledby="card-title"> <div class="card__image-wrapper"> <img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="125" height="125" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/klimapolitik-usa-125x125.jpg.webp" class="attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/klimapolitik-usa-125x125.jpg.webp 125w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/klimapolitik-usa-150x150.jpg.webp 150w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/klimapolitik-usa-640x640.jpg.webp 640w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/klimapolitik-usa-360x360.jpg.webp 360w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/klimapolitik-usa-375x375.jpg.webp 375w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 125px) 100vw, 125px" /> </div> <div class="card__content"> <h3 class="card__title">Biden fik historisk klimapakke på plads i USA – kan Trump rulle den tilbage?</h3> </div> </a> </div> </div> </div></div> <p data-beyondwords-marker="fb14a26e-02bc-45bd-86ca-8a7f4df80e35">Det mener Søren Damsbo-Svendsen dog ikke, at man kan bruge som argument:</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="fb82eaf5-f7ce-44db-864d-2b00ae54ca5d">»Det rigtige spørgsmål er, om de havde stemt endnu mindre klimabevidst, hvis ikke de havde været ramt af klimakatastrofer – og det ved vi ikke endnu – men videnskaben kan hjælpe os med at svare på det.«</p> <h2 data-beyondwords-marker="14f95743-d26d-443c-8ff3-c02accdb1241" class="wp-block-heading">Det er ikke nok</h2> <p data-beyondwords-marker="8c30b916-736e-40f5-bf4e-ce016438c37f">Sørens Damsbo-Svendsen mener også, at vi er langt fra en situation, hvor klimahændelser for alvor rykker på stemmerne. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="153bb7d4-e636-484c-8bb2-aeefd94c449d">»Vi skal se et 10-20 gange større skift i stemmeafgivningen, før det begynder at rykke på noget – og så skal andre lande følge med,« siger han. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="368131dc-189c-497e-b297-0386ad6a118c">Udenlandske studier finder blandede resultater, når de har testet noget lignende. Nogle finder samme tendens som i det danske studie, mens andre ikke gør. </p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="7f6c5fb0-990f-472c-8289-c85718858534"><a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-science-research-and-methods/article/do-natural-disasters-help-the-environment-how-voters-respond-and-what-that-means/EE56E76D32DC096EF81512D84A685E44" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Et studie fra 2020</a> fandt eksempelvis, at oversvømmelser i Schweiz fik opbakningen til klimavenlige partier til at vokse med 20 procentpoint.</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="f209bd7b-bb78-49c2-9d7f-88c657d2cdd3">Omvendt fandt <a href="https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/726917" target="_blank" rel="noopener">et studie fra 2024</a>, at voldsomme oversvømmelser i Tyskland i 2021 ikke førte til øget opbakning til det klimavenlige parti De Grønne.</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="cc9b9559-f884-43eb-a5cd-ab5fc1306896">Søren Damsbo-Svendsen mener alligevel, at der er grund til optimisme.</p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="81b69a70-b1d5-40d6-a3f2-f28cfd7cb22f">»Der er en tendens til, at folk, der blev berørt af stormen, har taget det med sig i en vis grad – i takt med at flere vil få de her oplevelser, kan det være, at flere tager stilling,« siger han.</p> <div data-beyondwords-marker="cd9019c1-90e1-4301-8c8b-df8b011318ec" id="block_f7fa1b29-c502-4754-9554-18743104f12f" class="videnskabwp-blocks read-also read-also--block_f7fa1b29-c502-4754-9554-18743104f12f"><div class="videnskabwp-blocks__inner read-also__inner"><h2 class="block-title"> <span class="read-also__backslash backslash" style="">\</span> Læs også </h2> <div class="card-list card-list--horizontal" id="block-"> <div class="card card--horizontal card--section-1 card--has-image"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/kultur-samfund/klimahandling-politikere-kan-faa-vaelgerne-til-at-skifte-holdning/" class="card__inner" aria-labelledby="card-title"> <div class="card__image-wrapper"> <img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="125" height="125" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/mette-frederiksen-125x125.jpg.webp" class="attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="Når Mette Frederiksen og andre partiledere viser lederskab og handler, kan de få vælgerne til at skifte holdning og bakke op om tiltag såsom klimaafgifter, der har økonomiske konsekvenser, viser forskning." srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/mette-frederiksen-125x125.jpg.webp 125w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/mette-frederiksen-150x150.jpg.webp 150w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/mette-frederiksen-640x640.jpg.webp 640w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/mette-frederiksen-360x360.jpg.webp 360w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/mette-frederiksen-375x375.jpg.webp 375w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 125px) 100vw, 125px" /> </div> <div class="card__content"> <h3 class="card__title">Klimahandling: Politikere kan få vælgerne til at skifte holdning</h3> </div> </a> </div> <div class="card card--horizontal card--section-1 card--has-image"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/naturvidenskab/er-danskerne-alarmerede-eller-ligeglade-nyt-studie-afsloerer-vores-holdninger-til-klimaet/" class="card__inner" aria-labelledby="card-title"> <div class="card__image-wrapper"> <img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="125" height="125" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/danske-klimaholdninger-cover-125x125.png.webp" class="attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="Globus med forskellige emojier rundt om" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/danske-klimaholdninger-cover-125x125.png.webp 125w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/danske-klimaholdninger-cover-150x150.png.webp 150w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/danske-klimaholdninger-cover-640x640.png.webp 640w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/danske-klimaholdninger-cover-360x360.png.webp 360w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/danske-klimaholdninger-cover-375x375.png.webp 375w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/danske-klimaholdninger-cover-768x768.png.webp 768w,https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/danske-klimaholdninger-cover-1024x1024.png.webp 1024w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 125px) 100vw, 125px" /> </div> <div class="card__content"> <h3 class="card__title">Er du alarmeret eller ligeglad? Nyt studie afslører danskernes holdninger til klimaet</h3> </div> </a> </div> <div class="card card--horizontal card--section-1 card--has-image"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/kultur-samfund/forskere-folkeligt-pres-er-afgoerende-for-ambitioes-klimapolitik/" class="card__inner" aria-labelledby="card-title"> <div class="card__image-wrapper"> <img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="125" height="125" src="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/demonstration-christiansborg-aktivisme-virker-forskning-0-125x125.jpg" class="attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="Klimamarch, demonstration, klima, Christiansborg, aktivisme, forskning" srcset="https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/demonstration-christiansborg-aktivisme-virker-forskning-0-125x125.jpg 125w, https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/demonstration-christiansborg-aktivisme-virker-forskning-0-150x150.jpg 150w, https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/demonstration-christiansborg-aktivisme-virker-forskning-0-360x360.jpg 360w, https://videnskab.dk/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/demonstration-christiansborg-aktivisme-virker-forskning-0-375x375.jpg 375w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 125px) 100vw, 125px" /> </div> <div class="card__content"> <h3 class="card__title">Forskere: Folkeligt pres er afgørende for ambitiøs klimapolitik</h3> </div> </a> </div> </div> </div></div> <div data-beyondwords-marker="5228bf6f-1e4f-448c-ab4a-d205ef9b3524" id="block_94959ff6-6a0a-49e9-8a97-23dce482ba25" class="videnskabwp-blocks source source--block_94959ff6-6a0a-49e9-8a97-23dce482ba25"><div class="videnskabwp-blocks__inner source__inner"><div class="source__content"> <h3 class="source__title"> \ Kilder </h3> <p data-beyondwords-marker="1df238fe-a74b-4314-bc4a-cd514d5e92ee"><a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-024-09984-0#citeas" target="_blank" rel="noopener">“Pro-climate Voting in Response to Local Flooding”, Springer Nature, (2024), DOI: 10.1007/s11109-024-09984-0</a></p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="fa54e523-40a8-4b4e-ab61-314eda230688"><a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-science-research-and-methods/article/do-natural-disasters-help-the-environment-how-voters-respond-and-what-that-means/EE56E76D32DC096EF81512D84A685E44" target="_blank" rel="noopener">“Do natural disasters help the environment? How voters respond and what that means”, Political Science Research and Methods, (2020), DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2020.25</a></p> <p data-beyondwords-marker="96af4353-588c-4176-812a-c32f7346a949"><a href="https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/726917" target="_blank" rel="noopener">“Natural Disasters and Green Party Support”, The Journal of Politics, (2024), DOI: 10.1086/726917</a></p> <div class="source__authors"> <h3 class="source__title"> \ Læs mere om </h3> <div class="source__author"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/profil/fabian-holt/"> Fabian Holt </a> </div> <div class="source__author"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/profil/sara-oline-martini-joergensen/"> Sara Oline Martini Jørgensen </a> </div> <div class="source__author"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/profil/simon-elsborg-nygaard/"> Simon Elsborg Nygaard </a> </div> <div class="source__author"> <a href="https://videnskab.dk/profil/soeren-damsbo-svendsen/"> Søren Damsbo-Svendsen </a> </div> </div> <div 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