Mysteel周报：南方热卷价格下跌成交十分冷清（2024.7.19-7.26）-我的钢铁网

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/> <meta name="Description" content="概述：本周南方地区热轧板卷市场现货价格随盘面震荡，市场成交较差，整体需求疲软，预计近期市场或将以震荡弱势运行为主。【主要市场概述】广州热卷：本周广州热轧板卷价格震荡下行，目前主导钢厂4.75mm普卷价" /> <link rel="canonical" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/24072617/96D0C7363CCEA473_abc.html"> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/sui/sui.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/wsyCss.css?v=20221027" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/wsyCss20180930.css?v=17" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/permissions.css?v=11" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/css/common.css?v=20221212"> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/bxCss.css?v=201705190952"> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/addStyle.css?v=201704180942"> <link rel="stylesheet" href='//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/add.css?v=20181027'> <link rel="stylesheet" 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#ffffff;">热轧</span></a><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">板卷市场</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">现货价格随盘面震荡，市场成交较差，整体需求疲软，预计近期市场或将以震荡弱势运行为主。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">【主要市场概述】</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><img src="//img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/26/efd0e080de224e37a24887c43ab15a21.png" width="600" height="261.89189189189193" /><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal;"> </span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">广州热卷：本周广州<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010103-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>热轧</a>板卷价格震荡下行，目前主导钢厂4.75mm普卷价格在3510-3530元/吨，低合金卷价格在3580-3600元/吨之间，广州热卷均价较上周下跌150元/吨左右。市场方面，社会库存创年后新高，受螺纹踩踏影响，心态不乐观，部分商家出货谨慎。市场厚薄组距在200元/吨上下波动，资源少及薄卷自身特性导致组距变化较频繁；普低组距在100-130元/吨之间，维持不变。资源方面，主流钢厂继续集中到货，目前社库仍呈小幅增长态势。目前，广东热轧板卷现货库存在103.15万吨，较上周增加3.65万吨左右。综合来看，华南略华东区域价格高10元/吨，社会库存压力较大，预计下周广东热轧板卷价格或弱势运行。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">郑州热卷：本周郑州市场热卷价格出现较大幅度下行，本周盘面震荡弱势运行，现货市场较上周下跌160元/吨。主导钢厂4.75mm以上普卷报3450元/吨，低合金卷价格3650元/吨左右。市场方面，热卷10主力合约较上周下跌108点，现货市场跟随盘面下行大幅下调，近期市场到货较多，下游需求弱势，观望情绪浓厚。库存方面，本周成交一般，市场到货小幅增加，现郑州热轧板卷库存13万吨左右，较上周增0.7万吨。综合来看，近期市场价格弱势盘整，终端需求一般，市场观望情绪浓厚，预计价格或将震荡弱势运行。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">成都热卷：本周成都热卷价格较上周下跌140元/吨。以攀钢热卷为例，目前4.75mm*1500*C普卷报价为3580元/吨，低合金加价140，5.5mm*1500*C价格为3720元/吨。本周期货盘面走势弱，现货价格下跌速度较快，市场成交冷清。资源方面，本周到货情况，本地钢厂攀钢发货正常，重钢本周四开始检修停产，商家反馈到货很少，淡季需求少，成都热卷还是一个供多需少的格局。心态方面，本周整体看来，商家心态较悲观。据<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>同口径了解，截至7月25日当地热轧板卷库存在24.28万吨左右，较上周增加1.1万吨。综合来看，预计成都热卷市场价格将继续以震荡偏弱运行为主</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">南宁热卷：本周南宁热卷价格下跌，截至发稿，柳钢热卷Q235B 4.75*1500*C市场主流过磅报价3680元/吨左右，低合金加价150元/吨，价格较上周下跌70元/吨，本周外围市场价格跌幅较大，本地市场跟跌，市场需求表现总体比较一般，目前市场定价分歧较大，价格多可议。市场方面，本周盘面总体下跌，市场成交表现清淡，加之部分规格货源短缺，整周成交表现不佳。资源方面，目前市场到货量不高，本地市场库存总量偏低，商家提货意愿不强，后续市场延续少量到货。综合来看，目前市场部分下游受高温影响，需求不佳，预计下周广西热卷价格或弱势调整。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">长沙热卷：本周长沙热卷价格先跌后涨，截至今日仍较上周下跌100元/吨，市场成交一般。截至发稿，以涟钢热卷为例，Q235B，4.75*1500*C市场主流过磅价为3550元/吨，低合金加价150元/吨，实际成交有议价空间。市场方面，本周热卷主力合约震荡运行，前半周期货下行，市场一直有低价存在，需求偏弱，贸易商信心不足，市场跌价明显，整体成交偏差。本周最后一天期货回涨，价格小幅上调，但各贸易商情况不同，市场报价差距较大，多数仍需低价成交。资源方面，目前各钢厂到货较少，加上市场资源正常消化，库存小幅下降。据Mysteel同口径了解，截至7月26日当地热轧板卷库存在12.6万吨左右，较上周下降0.5万吨，综合来看，预计下周长沙热卷价格或将维持震荡运行。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">武汉热卷：本周武汉热卷价格较上周下跌120元/吨，盘面震荡下挫。以武钢为例，截止今日，4.75mm普卷报价在3530元/吨左右，5.75mm低合金报价在3660元/吨左右。资源方面，本周到货情况正常，近期社库稍微累库。据Mysteel同口径了解，目前当地热轧板卷库存在12.9万吨左右，较上周增加0.3万吨，需求较弱，成交整体情况较差。综上，预计下周武汉热卷价格或将维持震荡运行。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">【库存方面】本周南方热卷库存</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">增库</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">，据我网同口径调研显示，本周华中、西南、华南区域热卷库存为</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">206.55</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">万吨，</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">较上周增加8.17</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">万吨，具体为：广东</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">103</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">万吨，云南</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">12.47</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">万吨，贵州</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">2.5万</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">吨，重庆</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">13.1</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">万吨，四川</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">24.28</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">万吨，河南</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">13</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">万吨，湖北</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">12.9</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">万吨，湖南</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">12.6</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">万吨。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><img src="//img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/26/40643de9e7534f3aa4fcbb3c3a0d4729.png" width="600" height="273.6156351791531" /><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal;"> </span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">二、下周预测</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">1、供给来看：</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">部分钢厂发货正常，弱势需求下，市场消化速度很慢，库存增多，预计下周将有增库情况。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 3.75pt 21pt; text-indent: 21pt; padding: 0pt; background: #ffffff; text-align: left;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">2、需求来看：</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">目前处于行业淡季，多地为供多需少格局，本周需求很弱，预计下周需求表现仍较弱。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">3、心态方面：</span><span style="color: #333333; font-style: normal; background: #ffffff;">商家成交情况偏弱，市场低价成交也不多，下游需求较差，多数企业谨慎经营，心态保守。</span></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：胡佳丽 021-26090137 </br> 资讯监督：王晶晶 021-26093683 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a 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Mysteel周报：南方热卷价格下跌 成交十分冷清（2024.7.19-7.26）-我的钢铁网

Mysteel周报：南方热卷价格下跌成交十分冷清（2024.7.19-7.26）-我的钢铁网