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【华夏时报】上半年煤企盈利大幅缩水！四大龙头同比少赚94亿元-我的钢铁网
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<p>中信证券分析指出，2024年，煤炭板块中期业绩虽然同比下滑明显，但第二季度也有公司存在超预期的表现，且后续在煤价底部预期明确、部分公司产量恢复正常等因素推动下，预期板块第三季度业绩或逐步趋稳。</p> <p><span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>上海钢联煤焦事业部煤炭分析师张雯雯告诉《华夏时报》记者，后期<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050201-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>动力煤</a>价格整体上将震荡偏弱运行，间歇性由于下游补库等原因价格会有小幅波动，无论向上还是向下，都难有大的趋势性行情。</strong></span></p> <p><strong>四大龙头同比少赚94亿元</strong></p> <p>从已披露的信息来看，在众多煤企中，“煤炭一哥”中国神华仍旧是盈利最为丰厚的企业，2024年上半年，公司营收规模达1680.78亿元，同比微降0.81%；归母净利润为295.04亿元，同比减少11.34%。陕西煤业次之，上半年净利润为105.56亿元，紧随其后的是中煤能源和兖矿能源，今年上半年，这两家企业分别盈利97.88亿元和75.68亿元。</p> <p>据《华夏时报》记者统计，对比2023年以及2022年两个年度的中报数据，四大煤炭龙头企业合计分别少赚了94.87亿元和397.4亿元。排在第五位的电投能源，与兖矿能源虽只差一个名次，但利润差别却十分显著，电投能源上半年净利润为29.44亿元。</p> <p>上半年净利润排名最高的十家上市煤企中，潞安环能利润降幅最多，达到57.96%，其次是山西焦煤，同比下降56.47%，二者均呈现腰斩态势。此外，据统计，上半年，归母净利润10亿元以上煤企共计15家。</p> <p>煤企业绩普遍下挫与煤炭价格的下行密切相关。不少煤企在中报中，也强调了煤炭市场价格下滑情况。</p> <p>例如，中国神华指出，受煤炭市场供需形势影响，集团煤炭平均销售价格下降5.8%，煤炭销售收入同比有所下降。陕西煤业财报中也透露，上半年，公司煤炭售价为574.96元/吨，同比下降73.46元/吨，降幅11.33%。</p> <p>另外，中煤能源表示，公司自产商品煤平均销售价格下跌40元/吨，自产商品煤毛利率下降4.5%。潞安环能也指出，营收下降主要系本期商品煤价格降低、销量下降，商品煤收入减少所致。</p> <p><strong>煤炭市场“量价齐跌”</strong></p> <p>煤价方面，据了解，2024年上半年，国内动力煤市场整体经历先跌后反弹、进而又偏弱调整的过程，煤价较2023年提前触底。</p> <p>煤炭分析师赵丽对《华夏时报》记者表示，“就2020年四季度后煤炭价格变化情况来看，当前国内煤价整体处于较低水平，主要是国内煤炭供应量稳步增加、进口量也保持在较高水平，国内煤炭供应比较充足。”</p> <p>赵丽进一步分析表示，国内用煤需求受经济增速下滑、双碳目标制约等因素影响，用煤需求增长受限，国内煤炭市场供需格局偏宽松，煤价整体承压回落，截至8月30日，山西大同Q5500大卡动力煤市场年均价为734.2元/吨，较2023年同期降6.23%。</p> <p><span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>张雯雯也对《华夏时报》记者表示，我国动力煤国内产量与进口量都维持相对高位，煤炭供应表现宽松，加之今年光伏与水电对火电压制作用明显，1-8月动力煤现货价格重心震荡下移，秦皇岛Q5500均价871元/吨，较去年降111元/吨。</strong></span></p> <p>产量上，记者了解到，上述排名前四的龙头企业中，除中煤能源产销出现下降外，其余三个龙头煤企产量和销售不减反增。</p> <p>具体来看，2024年上半年，中国神华实现商品煤产量163.2百万吨，同比增加1.6%；煤炭销售量为229.7百万吨，同比增加5.4%。陕西煤业上半年实现煤炭产量8640.67万吨，同比增加233.93万吨，增幅2.78%；实现煤炭销量13154.99万吨，同比增加294.89万吨，增幅2.29%。兖矿能源上半年生产商品煤6908万吨，同比增加8.2%；销售煤炭6788万吨，同比增加2.9%。</p> <p>但整体来看，2024年上半年，煤炭市场“量价齐跌”，总体情况不如去年同期。在安全监管不断加码、煤炭需求不足、进口煤冲击等多重因素影响下，我国原煤产量出现了小幅下滑，规模以上企业原煤产量22.7亿吨，同比减少1.7%。</p> <p><strong>后期煤价如何</strong><strong>走？</strong></p> <p><span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>张雯雯告诉《华夏时报》记者，“进入三季度后，国内煤炭供应仍偏宽松，进口煤价格优势明显，预计后期沿海地区对动力煤进口量将维持高位；需求方面，下游电厂化工等用煤企业对于供应端不存在担忧，在短期内煤炭没有大幅拉涨的预期下，库存控制维持常规水平，无大规模集中补库行为。”</strong></span></p> <p>库存方面，据记者了解，8月以来电企库存虽持续下降，但截至目前，库存水平除略低于去年同期外，仍远高于其他历史年份。</p> <p>中国神华方面认为，下半年迎峰度夏、迎峰度冬等季节性因素及宏观政策推动经济复苏，预计国内用煤需求较上半年有所改善。预计下半年国内煤炭产量同比增速将继续修复，降幅逐步收窄。整体来看，预计全年煤炭产量或较去年基本持平。</p> <p>对于后续的煤炭行情，赵丽则对《华夏时报》记者表示，就2024年四季度行情来看，国内煤矿生产稳定、进口煤数量持续高位，国内煤炭供应比较充足；而经济复苏不及预期，国内能源消费量增长相对迟缓，虽有金九银十、迎峰度冬等传统用煤旺季支撑，用煤需求存在改善空间，但整体支撑仍偏弱。</p> <p>赵丽预计，2024年下半年国内动力煤市场供需关系整体或仍较宽松，煤价仍存下行压力，部分时间段受需求端支撑增强影响煤价或有反弹，但反弹空间受限，波动空间或多在30元/吨以内。</p> <!--指标说明附件--> <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：费斐 021-26093397 </br> 资讯监督：乐卫扬 021-26093827 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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