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svg{vertical-align:middle;}.bbc-nhbdtu{color:#000000;fill:currentColor;}@media screen and (forced-colors: active){.bbc-nhbdtu{fill:linkText;}}@media (max-width: 37.4375rem){.bbc-1wfoy8h{white-space:nowrap;overflow-x:scroll;scroll-behavior:auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch;scrollbar-width:none;-ms-overflow-style:none;}.bbc-1wfoy8h::-webkit-scrollbar{display:none;}.bbc-1wfoy8h:focus-visible{outline:none;}.bbc-1wfoy8h:focus-visible::after{outline:0.1875rem solid #000000;content:'';position:absolute;width:100%;height:100%;}.bbc-1wfoy8h:after{content:' ';height:100%;width:3rem;position:absolute;left:0;bottom:0;z-index:3;overflow:hidden;pointer-events:none;background:linear-gradient( to left, rgba(255, 255, 255, 0) 0%, rgba(255, 255, 255, 1) 100% );}@media (min-width: 25rem){.bbc-1wfoy8h:after{width:6rem;}}}.bbc-11krpir{list-style-type:none;padding:0;margin:0;position:relative;}@media (min-width: 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37.5rem){.bbc-lafk41{font-size:0.75rem;line-height:1.125rem;}}.bbc-lafk41 span{font-size:0.75rem;}.bbc-11gwi9x{color:#141414;font-size:0.9375rem;line-height:1.375rem;font-family:"BBC Reith Qalam","Times New Roman",Arial,Verdana,Geneva,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-style:normal;font-weight:400;color:#545658;margin-top:0.5rem;margin-inline:0.5rem 0;padding-inline:0.5rem;width:calc(100% - 0.5rem);border-inline-start:0.0625rem solid #6E6E73;}@media (min-width: 20rem) and (max-width: 37.4375rem){.bbc-11gwi9x{font-size:0.9375rem;line-height:1.375rem;}}@media (min-width: 37.5rem){.bbc-11gwi9x{font-size:0.875rem;line-height:1.375rem;}}@media (min-width: 25rem) and (max-width: 37.4375rem){.bbc-11gwi9x{width:calc(100% - 1rem);margin-inline:1rem 0;padding-inline:0.5rem 1rem;}}@media (min-width: 63rem){.bbc-11gwi9x{width:100%;margin:0.5rem 0 0;padding-inline:0.5rem 0;}}.bbc-11gwi9x>span>p{padding-bottom:1.5rem;margin:0;}.bbc-11gwi9x>span>p:last-child{padding-bottom:0;}.bbc-1gjryo4{font-size:0.9375rem;line-height:1.5rem;font-family:"BBC Reith Qalam","Times New Roman",Arial,Verdana,Geneva,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;color:#141414;padding-bottom:1.5rem;margin:0;}@media (min-width: 20rem) and (max-width: 37.4375rem){.bbc-1gjryo4{font-size:1rem;line-height:1.625rem;}}@media (min-width: 37.5rem){.bbc-1gjryo4{font-size:1rem;line-height:1.625rem;}}@media (min-width: 63rem){.bbc-1gjryo4{padding-left:2.5rem;}}.bbc-hl5nhs{font-size:1.25rem;line-height:1.75rem;font-family:"BBC Reith Qalam","Times New Roman",Arial,Verdana,Geneva,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-weight:700;font-style:normal;color:#141414;padding:0.5rem 0;margin:calc(1.5rem - 0.5rem) 0;scroll-margin-top:1rem;}@media (min-width: 20rem) and (max-width: 37.4375rem){.bbc-hl5nhs{font-size:1.5rem;line-height:2.125rem;}}@media (min-width: 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37.5rem){.bbc-1vq693g{font-size:0.8125rem;}}.bbc-1vq693g:not(:focus):not(:active){-webkit-clip-path:inset(100%);clip-path:inset(100%);clip:rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);height:1px;overflow:hidden;position:absolute;width:1px;margin:0;}.bbc-1nwk127{position:relative;z-index:0;color:#141414;margin-top:2rem;margin:0;padding:0;}@media (min-width: 37.5rem){.bbc-1nwk127{margin-top:1.5rem;}}@media (min-width: 63rem){.bbc-1nwk127{margin-bottom:1.5rem;}}@media (min-width: 37.5rem){.bbc-1nwk127{margin:0 0 0.5rem;}}.bbc-a5e1ct{margin:0;padding:0;scroll-margin-top:1rem;}.bbc-a5e1ct:focus-visible{outline:0.1875rem solid #000000;box-shadow:0 0 0 0.1875rem #FFFFFF;outline-offset:0.1875rem;}.bbc-1fttcpj{display:-webkit-box;display:-webkit-flex;display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex;-webkit-flex-direction:column;-ms-flex-direction:column;flex-direction:column;}.bbc-127x8fy{display:-webkit-box;display:-webkit-flex;display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex;-webkit-box-flex-flow:row nowrap;-webkit-flex-flow:row 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(min-width: 37.5rem){.bbc-13nmxlq{margin:0;}}@media (min-width: 37.5rem){.bbc-13nmxlq{padding-left:1rem;}}@supports (display: grid){.bbc-1p4354k{display:grid;position:initial;width:initial;margin:0;}@media (max-width: 14.9375rem){.bbc-1p4354k{grid-template-columns:repeat(1, 1fr);grid-column-end:span 1;grid-column-gap:0.5rem;}}@media (min-width: 15rem) and (max-width: 24.9375rem){.bbc-1p4354k{grid-template-columns:repeat(1, 1fr);grid-column-end:span 1;grid-column-gap:0.5rem;}}@media (min-width: 25rem) and (max-width: 37.4375rem){.bbc-1p4354k{grid-template-columns:repeat(1, 1fr);grid-column-end:span 1;grid-column-gap:0.5rem;}}@media (min-width: 37.5rem) and (max-width: 62.9375rem){.bbc-1p4354k{grid-template-columns:repeat(1, 1fr);grid-column-end:span 1;grid-column-gap:1rem;}}@media (min-width: 63rem) and (max-width: 79.9375rem){.bbc-1p4354k{grid-template-columns:repeat(1, 1fr);grid-column-end:span 1;grid-column-gap:1rem;}}@media (min-width: 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aria-label="آگهی" aria-hidden="true" role="region" data-e2e="advertisement" class="bbc-13j0x7y"><div id="dotcom-leaderboard" class="dotcom-ad"></div></section><div class="bbc-bg8vrv"><div class="bbc-1cvxiy9"><main role="main" class="bbc-fa0wmp"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1pfktyq ebmt73l0"><h1 id="content" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-1w6gp7v e1p3vdyi0">تسلیحات جدید و تهدیدات هستهای؛ هفتهای سرنوشتساز در جنگ اوکراین</h1></div><section role="region" aria-labelledby="article-byline" class="bbc-1vjaf6b"><strong id="article-byline" aria-hidden="true" class="bbc-m04vo2">اطلاعات مقاله</strong><ul role="list" class="bbc-1rvtlej"><li><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">نویسنده, </span><span class="bbc-9scsxr">پل آدامز </span></span></li><li><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">شغل, <!-- --> </span><span class="bbc-1aw1vpy"> خبرنگار دیپلماتیک </span></span></li><li><span role="text" class="bbc-xvbtix"><span class="bbc-akpv9f">در <!-- --> </span><span class="bbc-1xq57ru"> گزارش از دنیپرو</span></span></li><li class="bbc-v8pmqw"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><time dateTime="2024-11-25" class="bbc-1eu2r82 e1mklfmt0">۵ آذر ۱۴۰۳ - ۲۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴</time></div></li></ul></section><figure class="bbc-1qn0xuy"><div class="bbc-j1srjl" style="padding-bottom:56.34%"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/640/cpsprodpb/9bf6/live/424740d0-aa56-11ef-9739-6bd0dfdfa161.png.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/9bf6/live/424740d0-aa56-11ef-9739-6bd0dfdfa161.png.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/9bf6/live/424740d0-aa56-11ef-9739-6bd0dfdfa161.png.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/480/cpsprodpb/9bf6/live/424740d0-aa56-11ef-9739-6bd0dfdfa161.png.webp 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/624/cpsprodpb/9bf6/live/424740d0-aa56-11ef-9739-6bd0dfdfa161.png.webp 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/800/cpsprodpb/9bf6/live/424740d0-aa56-11ef-9739-6bd0dfdfa161.png.webp 800w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 760px, 100vw" alt="خانهای در حال سوختن و زنی در خیابانی خلوت در حال فریاد زدن" loading="lazy" width="946" height="533" style="aspect-ratio:946 / 533" class="bbc-139onq"/><p class="bbc-lafk41" role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">منبع تصویر، </span><span lang="en-GB">Getty Images</span></p></div><figcaption class="bbc-11gwi9x" dir="rtl"><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">توضیح تصویر، </span><span data-testid="caption-paragraph">هفته گذشته جنگ اوکراین به هزارمین روز خود رسید</span></span></figcaption></figure><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">شرایط در جنگ اوکراین و روسیه هیچگاه تا این حد حساس نبوده است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">در هفتهای که جنگ به هزارمین روز خود رسید، قدرتهای غربی به شکل قابل توجهی زرادخانه نظامی اوکراین را تقویت کردند و کرملین شدیدترین تهدیدهای هستهای خود را مطرح کرد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">در اینجا رخدادهای هفته گذشته، و معنا و پیامدهای آن را مرور میکنیم.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><h2 id="غرب-اوکراین-را-تقویت-میکند" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-hl5nhs eglt09e0">غرب اوکراین را تقویت میکند</h2></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">اواخر شب یکشنبه، گزارشهایی منتشر شد که نشان میداد جو بایدن، رئیسجمهور آمریکا، در آخرین هفتههای ریاست جمهوری خود، به اوکراین اجازه داده است از موشکهای دوربرد اتکمز (ATACMS) برای حمله به اهداف داخل خاک روسیه استفاده کند.</p></div><section aria-label="2 آگهی" aria-hidden="true" role="region" data-e2e="advertisement" class="bbc-geybui"><div id="dotcom-mpu" class="dotcom-ad"></div></section><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">این اقدام تحول بزرگی در سیاستهای واشنگتن بود که درخواستهای قبلی اوکراین برای استفاده از این موشکها در خارج از مرزهایش را رد کرده بود.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1xx10yg ebmt73l0"><section data-e2e="recommendations-heading" role="region" aria-labelledby="recommendations-heading" class="bbc-1saxq9t etbfg571"><div class="bbc-bjn8wh eveec6k2"><a href="#end-of-recommendations" class="bbc-1vq693g eveec6k1">Skip مطالب پیشنهادی and continue reading</a><div class="etbfg570 bbc-1nwk127 e1m6nvxw1"><strong class="bbc-a5e1ct e1m6nvxw0"><span class="bbc-1fttcpj e1fapd9x4"><span class="bbc-127x8fy e1fapd9x2"><span dir="rtl" id="recommendations-heading" class="bbc-13nmxlq e1fapd9x1">مطالب پیشنهادی</span></span></span></strong></div><ul dir="rtl" class="ebmt73l0 bbc-1ulo99h e13i2e3d0" role="list"><li dir="rtl" class="ebmt73l0 bbc-14u3acj e13i2e3d2" role="listitem"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1p4354k ebmt73l0"><div data-e2e="story-promo-wrapper" class="bbc-pusxqu eyj10mi4"><div class="bbc-18x5xq4 eyj10mi3"><div style="padding-bottom:56.125%" data-e2e="image-placeholder" class="bbc-997y1y eihqrxw0"><div class="lazyload-wrapper "><div 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role="listitem"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1p4354k ebmt73l0"><div data-e2e="story-promo-wrapper" class="bbc-pusxqu eyj10mi4"><div class="bbc-18x5xq4 eyj10mi3"><div style="padding-bottom:56.278139069534774%" data-e2e="image-placeholder" class="bbc-997y1y eihqrxw0"><div class="lazyload-wrapper "><div class="lazyload-placeholder"></div></div></div></div><div class="bbc-14nqykl eyj10mi2"><div class="bbc-74135d eyj10mi0"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cy8n134qx4xo" class="bbc-1qrye4j eyj10mi1">چرا آمریکا به اوکراین اجازه داده از موشکهای دوربرد برای حمله به خاک روسیه استفاده کند؟</a></div></div></div></div></li><li dir="rtl" class="ebmt73l0 bbc-14u3acj e13i2e3d2" role="listitem"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1p4354k ebmt73l0"><div data-e2e="story-promo-wrapper" class="bbc-pusxqu eyj10mi4"><div class="bbc-18x5xq4 eyj10mi3"><div style="padding-bottom:56.17673579801623%" data-e2e="image-placeholder" class="bbc-997y1y eihqrxw0"><div class="lazyload-wrapper "><div class="lazyload-placeholder"></div></div></div></div><div class="bbc-14nqykl eyj10mi2"><div class="bbc-74135d eyj10mi0"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cx24xx4evy7o" class="bbc-1qrye4j eyj10mi1">روسیه در مقابل نیرو و سلاح یک میلیون بشکه نفت خام به کره شمالی تحویل داده است</a></div></div></div></div></li></ul><p tabindex="-1" id="end-of-recommendations" class="bbc-10a2avq eveec6k0">End of مطالب پیشنهادی</p></div></section></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">پس از درز خبر این تصمیم به رسانهها، موجی از موشکهای آمریکایی از اوکراین به سوی منطقه بریانسک در روسیه شلیک شد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">کرملین اعلام کرد که در این حملات شش موشک شلیک شده که پنج تای آن رهگیری و منهدم شدهاند. اما مقامهای آمریکایی که نخواستند نامشان فاش شود، مدعی شدند هشت موشک شلیک شده و از این میان تنها دو موشک رهگیری شدهاند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">صرف نظر از جزئیات شلیکها این رویداد لحظهای تاریخی را رقم زد: موشکهای ساخت آمریکا برای اولین بار خاک روسیه را هدف قرار دادند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">سپس در روز چهارشنبه، اوکراین موشکهای «سایه طوفان» ساخت بریتانیا را به سوی اهدافی در منطقه کورسک روسیه شلیک کرد، جایی که نیروهای اوکراینی حدود ۶۰۰ کیلومتر مربع از خاک روسیه را تصرف کردهاند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">در ادامه هفته بایدن با صدور مجوز استفاده از مینهای ضد نفر، بخش نهایی از روند تقویت زرادخانه اوکراین را تکمیل کرد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">این مینهای ساده، بحثبرانگیز اما بسیار موثر، بخشی حیاتی از تدابیر دفاعی اوکراین در خط مقدم شرقی را تشکیل میدهند و ارتش اوکراین امیدوار است با استفاده از این مینها پیشروی نیروهای روسیه را کندتر کند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">با سه تصمیم سریع در چند روز سرنوشتساز، غرب به جهان نشان داد که حمایت از اوکراین به این زودیها کاهش نخواهد یافت.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><h2 id="روسیه-سطح-تهدیدات-هستهای-را-افزایش-میدهد" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-hl5nhs eglt09e0">روسیه سطح تهدیدات هستهای را افزایش میدهد</h2></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">اگر متحدان غربی اوکراین این هفته سطح تنش را بالا بردند، مسکو نیز به نوبه خود همین کار را کرد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">روز سهشنبه، در هزارمین روز جنگ، ولادیمیر پوتین، رئیس جمهور روسیه، تغییراتی را در دکترین هستهای این کشور اعمال کرد و آستانه استفاده از تسلیحات هستهای را کاهش داد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">در این رویکرد جدید گفته شده است که هرگونه حمله از سوی یک کشور غیرهستهای، اگر با حمایت یک قدرت هستهای انجام شود، به عنوان حملهای مشترک به روسیه تلقی خواهد شد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">کرملین سپس پاسخ خود را یک قدم فراتر برد و نوع جدیدی از موشک به نام «اورِشنیک» را برای حمله به شهر دنیپرو در اوکراین به کار گرفت.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">پوتین گفت که این موشک با سرعتی معادل ۱۰ برابر سرعت صوت حرکت میکند و ادعا کرد که هیچ راهی برای مقابله با آن وجود ندارد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">بیشتر ناظران اتفاق نظر دارند که این حمله به هدف فرستادن پیامی هشدارآمیز طراحی شده بود: این که روسیه، اگر بخواهد، میتواند از این موشک جدید برای حمل سلاح هستهای استفاده کند.</p></div><figure class="bbc-1qn0xuy"><div class="bbc-j1srjl" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/640/cpsprodpb/652f/live/bd385630-aa56-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.png.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/652f/live/bd385630-aa56-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.png.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/652f/live/bd385630-aa56-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.png.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/480/cpsprodpb/652f/live/bd385630-aa56-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.png.webp 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/624/cpsprodpb/652f/live/bd385630-aa56-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.png.webp 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/800/cpsprodpb/652f/live/bd385630-aa56-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.png.webp 800w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 760px, 100vw" alt="تعدادی از مردم به متروها در زیرزمین پناه بردند" loading="lazy" width="976" height="549" style="aspect-ratio:976 / 549" class="bbc-139onq"/><p class="bbc-lafk41" role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">منبع تصویر، </span><span lang="en-GB">Getty Images</span></p></div><figcaption class="bbc-11gwi9x" dir="rtl"><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">توضیح تصویر، </span><span data-testid="caption-paragraph">صبح روز پنجشنبه بعد از شلیک موشک «اورشنیک» به سوی دنیپرو، هزاران نفر به سوی پناهگاهها هجوم بردند</span></span></figcaption></figure><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">چنین تهدیدهایی در گذشته ممکن بود نگرانی جدی برای غرب ایجاد کند. اما الان دیگر چنین تاثیری ندارد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">از زمان آغاز درگیری در حدود سه سال پیش، پوتین بارها خطوط قرمز هستهای خود را تعیین کرده، و غرب بارها آنها را زیر پا گذاشته است. به نظر میرسد بسیاری در غرب به این تهدیدات هستهای عادت کردهاند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">اما چرا رهبران غربی اکنون احساس آمادگی میکنند که بر سر تهدیدات هستهای روسیه قمار کنند؟ دلیل آن چین است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">پکن به شریک حیاتی مسکو در تلاشهایش برای کاهش تاثیرات تحریمهای اعمالشده از سوی آمریکا و دیگر کشورها تبدیل شده است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">غرب بر این باور است که چین در برابر استفاده از تسلیحات هستهای، با وحشت واکنش نشان خواهد داد و این امر پوتین را از عملی کردن تهدیدهای هستهایش باز خواهد داشت.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><h2 id="یک-درگیری-جهانی" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-hl5nhs eglt09e0">یک درگیری جهانی؟</h2></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">در یک سخنرانی کم سابقه تلویزیونی در شامگاه پنجشنبه، رئیسجمهور روسیه هشدار داد که این جنگ «ویژگیهایی با ابعاد جهانی» پیدا کرده است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">دونالد توسک نخست وزیر لهستان هم در ارزیابی مشابهی گفت: «تهدید درگیری جهانی، جدی و واقعی است.»</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">آمریکا و بریتانیا اکنون بیش از هر زمان دیگری درگیر جنگ هستند، و همزمان اعزام نیروهای کره شمالی برای جنگ در کنار روسیه، یک قدرت هستهای دیگر را وارد درگیری کرده است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">کیم جونگ اون، رهبر کره شمالی، روز پنجشنبه گفت «هرگز پیش از این» تهدید یک جنگ هستهای تا این اندازه جدی نبوده است. او آمریکا را به دلیل در پیش گرفتن سیاست «تهاجمی و خصمانه» در مقابل پیونگ یانگ مقصر دانست.</p></div><figure class="bbc-1qn0xuy"><div class="bbc-j1srjl" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/640/cpsprodpb/1d8c/live/0271bde0-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/1d8c/live/0271bde0-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/1d8c/live/0271bde0-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/480/cpsprodpb/1d8c/live/0271bde0-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/624/cpsprodpb/1d8c/live/0271bde0-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/800/cpsprodpb/1d8c/live/0271bde0-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 800w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 760px, 100vw" alt="یک سرباز از مقابل فروشگاهی ویران میگذرد " loading="lazy" width="976" height="549" style="aspect-ratio:976 / 549" class="bbc-139onq"/><p class="bbc-lafk41" role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">منبع تصویر، </span><span lang="en-GB">Getty Images</span></p></div><figcaption class="bbc-11gwi9x" dir="rtl"><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">توضیح تصویر، </span><span data-testid="caption-paragraph">گفته میشود نیروهای کرهشمالی در منطقه کورسک در کنار نیروهای روسیه در حال جنگیدن هستند</span></span></figcaption></figure><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><h2 id="بایدن-میرود،-ترامپ-میآید" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-hl5nhs eglt09e0">بایدن میرود، ترامپ میآید</h2></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">اما چرا الان شاهد چنین تحولاتی هستیم؟</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">احتمالا دلیل آن شروع کار قریبالوقوع دونالد ترامپ، رئیسجمهور منتخب آمریکا است که قرار است روز ۲۰ ژانویه (کمتر از دو ماه دیگر) وارد کاخ سفید شود.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">ترامپ در جریان کارزار انتخاباتی خود وعده داده بود که جنگ را طی «۲۴ ساعت» به پایان خواهد رساند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">افراد نزدیک به او، از جمله جیدی ونس، معاونش، به این موضوع اشاره کردهاند که بازگشت ترامپ به معنای لزوم مصالحههایی از سوی اوکراین خواهد بود، که احتمالا واگذاری قلمروهای دونباس و کریمه از جمله آنها است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">این موضع با رویکرد دولت جو بایدن در تضاد است. تصمیمهای این هفته او نشان داد که قصد دارد پیش از ورود ترامپ به کاخ سفید حداکثر کمکهای ممکن را در اختیار اوکراین بگذارد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">اما بعضی نسبت به چشمانداز بحران اوکراین بعد از به قدرت رسیدن ترامپ امیدوارتر هستند.</p></div><figure class="bbc-1qn0xuy"><div class="bbc-j1srjl" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/640/cpsprodpb/3b82/live/3b494930-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/3b82/live/3b494930-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/3b82/live/3b494930-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/480/cpsprodpb/3b82/live/3b494930-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/624/cpsprodpb/3b82/live/3b494930-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/800/cpsprodpb/3b82/live/3b494930-aa57-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.png.webp 800w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 760px, 100vw" alt="زلنسکی در لباس نظامی مقابل یک خانه ویران شده" loading="lazy" width="976" height="549" style="aspect-ratio:976 / 549" class="bbc-139onq"/><p class="bbc-lafk41" role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">منبع تصویر، </span><span lang="en-GB">Getty Images</span></p></div><figcaption class="bbc-11gwi9x" dir="rtl"><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">توضیح تصویر، </span><span data-testid="caption-paragraph">زلنسکی گفته است که جنگ احتمالا با آغاز به کار دونالد ترامپ در مقام ریاستجمهوری «زودتر پایان خواهد یافت»</span></span></figcaption></figure><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">ولودیمیر زلنسکی، رئیسجمهور اوکراین، خود گفته است که کییف مایل است جنگ را از طریق «روشهای دیپلماتیک» در سال ۲۰۲۵ به پایان برساند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">دمیترو کولبا، وزیر امور خارجه سابق اوکراین، هفته گذشته به بیبیسی گفت: «رئیس جمهور ترامپ بدون شک با یک هدف پیش خواهد رفت، که آن نشان دادن قدرت و رهبری خود و ثابت کردن این موضوع است که میتواند مشکلاتی را که قبلیها از حل آن ناتوان بودند، حل و فصل کند.»</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">او افزود: «همانطور که سقوط افغانستان ضربهای شدید به اعتبار سیاست خارجی دولت بایدن وارد کرد، اگر سناریویی که شما مطرح کردید از سوی رئیس جمهور ترامپ به اجرا گذاشته شود، اوکراین به افغانستان ترامپ، با پیامدهایی مشابه تبدیل خواهد شد.»</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">«و فکر نمیکنم این چیزی باشد که او به دنبال آن است.»</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">تحولات هفته گذشته ممکن است آغاز تشدید کنترلناپذیر جنگ نباشد، اما شروع رقابت برای به دست آوردن دست بالا در مذاکرات احتمالی آینده برای پایان جنگ باشد.</p></div></main><aside data-testid="related-topics" aria-labelledby="related-topics" role="complementary" class="bbc-1l5nxv5 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آنلاین</a></h3><time dateTime="2024-11-27" class="bbc-lzs1ev e1mklfmt0">۷ آذر ۱۴۰۳ - ۲۷ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴</time></div></div></div></li></ul></section></div></div></div><section role="region" aria-labelledby="Most-Read" data-e2e="most-read" data-testid="most-read" class="bbc-1pg0aej"><div class="bbc-1rpw6bb e1m6nvxw1"><h2 id="section-label-heading-Most-Read" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-a5e1ct e1m6nvxw0"><span class="bbc-1fttcpj e1fapd9x4"><span class="bbc-127x8fy e1fapd9x2"><span dir="rtl" id="Most-Read" class="bbc-13nmxlq e1fapd9x1">پربینندهترینها</span></span></span></h2></div><ol role="list" class="bbc-stivil ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1yj6spp"><span class="bbc-109858a">۱</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/c3rxg1jgw97o" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">پیشروی نیروهای مخالف بشار اسد در شمال غرب سوریه؛یک فرمانده سپاه در نزدیکی حلب کشته شد</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-bmg00o"><span class="bbc-109858a">۲</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cgejwn5z3q5o" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">چرا آمریکا تنها کشوری است که از تصویب کنوانسیون حقوق کودک خودداری میکند؟</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1yj6spp"><span class="bbc-109858a">۳</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cdxy1qxw2elo" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">دانیل خلیفه به اتهام جاسوسی برای ایران مجرم شناخته شد</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-bmg00o"><span class="bbc-109858a">۴</span></div><div dir="rtl" 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class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-sgu2a"><span class="bbc-109858a">۷</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/crk4g2e2ezmo" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">مامور اعدام آدولف آیشمن، جنایتکار آلمان نازی درگذشت</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1cq4npg"><span class="bbc-109858a">۸</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cn5wvz05rp3o" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">«لولیتاخوانی در تهران»؛ زنان و انقلاب ایران</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-sgu2a"><span class="bbc-109858a">۹</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cn01dzp5933o" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">نخستین درمان نوین حملات آسم در نیم قرن گذشته</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-666nu5"><span class="bbc-109858a">۱۰</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/clyj45xd4ero" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">پزشکیان فردای اعلام انتصاب پسرش: یک عده با توصیه آمدهاند و مدیر و کارشناس شدهاند</a></div></div></li></ol></section></div></div><footer role="contentinfo" class="bbc-1lvqtkx e1njnjcp0"><div class="ep1mqcj0 bbc-5g7yny e10yv9r12"><div class="bbc-1dg7u9h e10yv9r13"><a href="/persian" id="footer" class="focusIndicatorRemove bbc-1re47cx e10yv9r11" aria-labelledby="BrandLink-footer"><svg id="brandSvgFooter" viewBox="140 140 1333 145" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" height="32" class="bbc-1jefi8v e10yv9r10"><g fill-rule="evenodd" stroke="#000" 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است.","attributes":[]},"position":[19,1,1]}]},"position":[19,1]},{"id":"88eda2b2","type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"دونالد توسک نخست وزیر لهستان هم در ارزیابی مشابهی گفت: «تهدید درگیری جهانی، جدی و واقعی است.»","blocks":[{"id":"c788f9bb","type":"fragment","model":{"text":"دونالد توسک نخست وزیر لهستان هم در ارزیابی مشابهی گفت: «تهدید درگیری جهانی، جدی و واقعی است.»","attributes":[]},"position":[19,2,1]}]},"position":[19,2]},{"id":"059853fe","type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"آمریکا و بریتانیا اکنون بیش از هر زمان دیگری درگیر جنگ هستند، و همزمان اعزام نیروهای کره شمالی برای جنگ در کنار روسیه، یک قدرت هستهای دیگر را وارد درگیری کرده است.","blocks":[{"id":"256694b4","type":"fragment","model":{"text":"آمریکا و بریتانیا اکنون بیش از هر زمان دیگری درگیر جنگ هستند، و همزمان اعزام نیروهای کره شمالی برای جنگ در کنار روسیه، یک قدرت هستهای دیگر را وارد درگیری کرده است.","attributes":[]},"position":[19,3,1]}]},"position":[19,3]},{"id":"72437f02","type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"کیم جونگ اون، رهبر کره شمالی، روز پنجشنبه گفت «هرگز پیش از این» تهدید یک جنگ هستهای تا این اندازه جدی نبوده است. او آمریکا را به دلیل در پیش گرفتن سیاست «تهاجمی و خصمانه» در مقابل پیونگ یانگ مقصر دانست.","blocks":[{"id":"aa124526","type":"fragment","model":{"text":"کیم جونگ اون، رهبر کره شمالی، روز پنجشنبه گفت «هرگز پیش از این» تهدید یک جنگ هستهای تا این اندازه جدی نبوده است. او آمریکا را به دلیل در پیش گرفتن سیاست «تهاجمی و خصمانه» در مقابل پیونگ یانگ مقصر دانست.","attributes":[]},"position":[19,4,1]}]},"position":[19,4]}]},"position":[19]},{"id":"dd3cd446","type":"image","model":{"blocks":[{"id":"220955d6","type":"caption","model":{"blocks":[{"id":"55914d1f","type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"id":"53aec4d5","type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"گفته میشود نیروهای کرهشمالی در منطقه کورسک در کنار نیروهای روسیه در حال جنگیدن هستند","blocks":[{"id":"9d421f41","type":"fragment","model":{"text":"گفته میشود نیروهای کرهشمالی در منطقه کورسک در کنار نیروهای روسیه در حال جنگیدن 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