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Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman)
<!DOCTYPE html> <!--[if IE 8]> <html class="ie ie8"> <![endif]--> <!--[if IE 9]> <html class="ie ie9"> <![endif]--> <!--[if gt IE 9]><!--> <html> <!--<![endif]--> <head> <meta charset="utf-8" /> <title>Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman)</title> <!-- favicon --> <link rel="shortcut icon" type="image/ico" href="./data/ijsom/coversheet/favicon.ico" /> <!-- mobile settings --> <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, maximum-scale=1, initial-scale=1, user-scalable=0" /> <!--[if IE]><meta http-equiv='X-UA-Compatible' content='IE=edge,chrome=1'><![endif]--> <!-- user defined metatags --> <meta name="keywords" content="Agent-based simulation,Bullwhip effect,Demand forecasting,Supply chain,MASQ model" /> <meta name="description" content="Simulating decision-making process of agents of supply chain is affected by various economic and social factors. In this study it is tried to use the agent based simulation which is a conceptual and computational model and investigates the behavior of the agents of the milk and its products supply chain using data for the year 2016 by emphasizing on dairy farmers against the policy increasing raw milk prices. In this regard, bullwhip effect is one of the important issues raised in supply chain. The present study investigates the presence or absence of bullwhip effect in the milk supply chain and its products, using moving average method and order-up-to-level R. Improvement in supply chain performance is one of the major issues in the current world. Lack of coordination in the supply chain is the main drawback of supply chain that many researchers have proposed different methodologies to overcome it. In addition, the application of agent-based simulation has been investigated in order to improve performance indicator in supply chain. The results obtained from the present study indicated that there is the bullwhip effect in the supply chain, then, the agent managed supply chain has been proposed in order to improve one of the performance indicators in the supply chain. Using centrality in decision-making in the supply chain and agent-based simulation, the results indicated that bullwhip effect is reduced or eliminated for the dairy products. Such results highlight the importance and high potential of agent-based simulation in improving the performance indicator of chain." /> <meta name="title" content="Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman)" /> <meta name="googlebot" content="NOODP" /> <meta name="citation_title" content="Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman)" /> <meta name="citation_author" content="Naghavi, Somayeh" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural, University of Jiroft, Jiroft, Iran" /> <meta name="citation_author" content="Karbasi, Alireza" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Department of Agricultural Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran" /> <meta name="citation_author" content="Daneshvar Kakhki, Mahmoud" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Department of Agricultural Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran" /> <meta name="citation_abstract" content="Simulating decision-making process of agents of supply chain is affected by various economic and social factors. In this study it is tried to use the agent based simulation which is a conceptual and computational model and investigates the behavior of the agents of the milk and its products supply chain using data for the year 2016 by emphasizing on dairy farmers against the policy increasing raw milk prices. In this regard, bullwhip effect is one of the important issues raised in supply chain. The present study investigates the presence or absence of bullwhip effect in the milk supply chain and its products, using moving average method and order-up-to-level R. Improvement in supply chain performance is one of the major issues in the current world. Lack of coordination in the supply chain is the main drawback of supply chain that many researchers have proposed different methodologies to overcome it. In addition, the application of agent-based simulation has been investigated in order to improve performance indicator in supply chain. The results obtained from the present study indicated that there is the bullwhip effect in the supply chain, then, the agent managed supply chain has been proposed in order to improve one of the performance indicators in the supply chain. Using centrality in decision-making in the supply chain and agent-based simulation, the results indicated that bullwhip effect is reduced or eliminated for the dairy products. Such results highlight the importance and high potential of agent-based simulation in improving the performance indicator of chain." /> <meta name="citation_id" content="2821" /> <meta name="citation_publication_date" content="2020/08/01" /> <meta name="citation_date" content="2020-08-01" /> <meta name="citation_journal_title" content="International Journal of Supply and Operations Management" /> <meta name="citation_issn" content="23831359" /> <meta name="citation_volume" content="7" /> <meta name="citation_issue" content="3" /> <meta name="citation_firstpage" content="279" /> <meta name="citation_lastpage" content="294" /> <meta name="citation_publisher" content="Kharazmi University" /> <meta name="citation_doi" content="10.22034/IJSOM.2020.3.6" /> <meta name="DC.Identifier" content="10.22034/IJSOM.2020.3.6" /> <meta name="citation_abstract_html_url" content="http://www.ijsom.com/article_2821.html" /> <meta name="citation_pdf_url" content="http://www.ijsom.com/article_2821_63ee28e966ad4794cb4ced0b2e4d2d45.pdf" /> <meta name="DC.Title" content="Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman)" /> <meta name="DC.Source" content="International Journal of Supply and Operations Management" /> <meta name="DC.Date" content="01/08/2020" /> <meta name="DC.Date.issued" content="2020-08-01" /> <meta name="DC.Format" content="application/pdf" /> <meta name="DC.Contributor" content="Naghavi, Somayeh" /> <meta name="DC.Contributor" content="Karbasi, Alireza" /> <meta name="DC.Contributor" content="Daneshvar Kakhki, Mahmoud" /> <meta name="og:title" content="Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman)" /> <meta name="og:description" content="Simulating decision-making process of agents of supply chain is affected by various economic and social factors. In this study it is tried to use the agent based simulation which is a conceptual and computational model and investigates the behavior of the agents of the milk and its products supply chain using data for the year 2016 by emphasizing on dairy farmers against the policy increasing raw milk prices. In this regard, bullwhip effect is one of the important issues raised in supply chain. The present study investigates the presence or absence of bullwhip effect in the milk supply chain and its products, using moving average method and order-up-to-level R. Improvement in supply chain performance is one of the major issues in the current world. Lack of coordination in the supply chain is the main drawback of supply chain that many researchers have proposed different methodologies to overcome it. In addition, the application of agent-based simulation has been investigated in order to improve performance indicator in supply chain. The results obtained from the present study indicated that there is the bullwhip effect in the supply chain, then, the agent managed supply chain has been proposed in order to improve one of the performance indicators in the supply chain. Using centrality in decision-making in the supply chain and agent-based simulation, the results indicated that bullwhip effect is reduced or eliminated for the dairy products. Such results highlight the importance and high potential of agent-based simulation in improving the performance indicator of chain." /> <meta name="og:url" content="http://www.ijsom.com/article_2821.html" /> <!-- WEB FONTS : use %7C instead of | (pipe) --> <link href="./themes/base/front/assets/css/social-icon-font.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <!-- CORE CSS --> <link href="./themes/base/front/assets/plugins/bootstrap/css/bootstrap.min.css?v=0.02" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="./themes/old/front/assets/css/header.css?v=0.05" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="./themes/old/front/assets/css/footer.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="./inc/css/essentials.css?v=0.2" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="./inc/css/cookieconsent.min.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="./inc/css/print.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="print"/> <!-- RTL CSS --> <link 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<h1 class="margin-bottom-20 size-18 ltr"><span class="article_title bold"> Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman)</span></h1> <div> <div class="margin-bottom-3"> </div> <p class="margin-bottom-3">Document Type : Case Study</p> <p class="padding-0" style="margin:12px -2px 0 -2px"><strong>Authors</strong></p> <ul class="list-inline list-inline-seprator margin-bottom-6 ltr"> <li class="padding-3"> <a href="./?_action=article&au=118500&_au=Somayeh++Naghavi">Somayeh Naghavi</a> <sup><a href="mailto:somnaghavi@ujiroft.ac.ir" data-toggle="tooltip" data-placement="bottom" title="Email to Corresponding Author"><i class="fa fa-envelope-o" ></i></a></sup> <sup><a href="#aff1" >1</a></sup> </li> <li class="padding-3"> <a href="./?_action=article&au=118501&_au=Alireza++Karbasi">Alireza Karbasi</a> <sup><a href="#aff2" >2</a></sup> </li> <li class="padding-3"> <a href="./?_action=article&au=118502&_au=Mahmoud++Daneshvar+Kakhki">Mahmoud Daneshvar Kakhki</a> <sup><a href="#aff2" >2</a></sup> </li> </ul> <p class="margin-bottom-3 ltr" id="aff1"> <sup>1</sup> Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural, University of Jiroft, Jiroft, Iran </p> <p class="margin-bottom-3 ltr" id="aff2"> <sup>2</sup> Department of Agricultural Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran </p> <div class="margin-bottom-3 ltr" id="ar_doi" title="DOI"><i class="ai ai-doi size-25 text-orange"></i> <span dir="ltr"><a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.22034/IJSOM.2020.3.6">10.22034/IJSOM.2020.3.6</a></span></div> <p style="margin:12px -2px 0 -2px"><strong>Abstract</strong></p> <div class="padding_abstract justify ltr">Simulating decision-making process of agents of supply chain is affected by various economic and social factors. In this study it is tried to use the agent based simulation which is a conceptual and computational model and investigates the behavior of the agents of the milk and its products supply chain using data for the year 2016 by emphasizing on dairy farmers against the policy increasing raw milk prices. In this regard, bullwhip effect is one of the important issues raised in supply chain. The present study investigates the presence or absence of bullwhip effect in the milk supply chain and its products, using moving average method and order-up-to-level R. Improvement in supply chain performance is one of the major issues in the current world. Lack of coordination in the supply chain is the main drawback of supply chain that many researchers have proposed different methodologies to overcome it. In addition, the application of agent-based simulation has been investigated in order to improve performance indicator in supply chain. The results obtained from the present study indicated that there is the bullwhip effect in the supply chain, then, the agent managed supply chain has been proposed in order to improve one of the performance indicators in the supply chain. Using centrality in decision-making in the supply chain and agent-based simulation, the results indicated that bullwhip effect is reduced or eliminated for the dairy products. Such results highlight the importance and high potential of agent-based simulation in improving the performance indicator of chain.</div> <p class="padding-0" style="margin:12px -2px 0 -2px"><strong>Keywords</strong></p> <ul class="block list-inline list-inline-seprator margin-bottom-6 ltr"> <li class="padding-3"> <a class="tag_a" href="./?_action=article&kw=106107&_kw=Agent-based+simulation" >Agent-based simulation</a> </li> <li class="padding-3"> <a class="tag_a" href="./?_action=article&kw=102142&_kw=Bullwhip+effect" >Bullwhip effect</a> </li> <li class="padding-3"> <a class="tag_a" href="./?_action=article&kw=105798&_kw=Demand+forecasting" >Demand forecasting</a> </li> <li class="padding-3"> <a class="tag_a" href="./?_action=article&kw=105097&_kw=Supply+chain" >Supply chain</a> </li> <li class="padding-3"> <a class="tag_a" href="./?_action=article&kw=106108&_kw=MASQ+model" >MASQ model</a> </li> </ul> </div> <hr> <div class="page_break"></div> <div class="panel"> <div class="panel-heading card-header"> <h4 class="panel-title "> <a data-toggle="collapse" data-parent="#accordions" href="#collapsesRef"><i class="fa fa-plus"></i> References</a> </h4> </div> <div id="collapsesRef" class="panel-collapse collapse"> <div class="panel-body justify"> <div class="padding-3 margin-top-3 ltr justify">Ajitha, S., Kumar, T.V. and Rajanikanth, K. 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(2006).Agent-Based Distributed Manufacturing Process and Scheduling: A state- of- the –Art Surve. <em>IEEe Transaction on system, man, And Cybernetics-Part C: applications and Reviews</em>, Vol. 36, pp. 563-577. </div> <div class="padding-3 margin-top-3 ltr justify">Sumari, S R., Ibrahim, N.H., Zakaria, A.H. and Hamid A. H.(2013). Comparing three-simulation model using taxonomy: system dynamic simulation, discrete event simulation and agent based simulation. <em>International Journal of Management Excellence</em>, Vol. 1, pp. 54-59.</div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <!-- /CENTER --> <!-- LEFT --> <div class="col-lg-3 col-md-3 col-sm-4"> <div class="panel panel-default my_panel-default margin-bottom-10"> <div class="panel-body ar_info_pnl" id="ar_info_pnl_cover"> <div id="pnl_cover"> <div class="row" > <div class="col-xs-6 col-md-6 nomargin-bottom"> <a href="javascript:loadModal('International Journal of Supply and Operations Management', './data/ijsom/coversheet/cover_en.jpg')"> <img src="data/ijsom/coversheet/cover_en.jpg" alt="International Journal of Supply and Operations Management" style="width: 100%;"> </a> </div> <div class="col-xs-6 col-md-6 nomargin-bottom"> <h6><a href="./issue_521_524.html">Volume 7, Issue 3</a><br/>August 2020<div id="sp_ar_pages">Pages <span 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Body --> <div class="modal-body"> <p>Naghavi, S., Karbasi, A., & Daneshvar Kakhki, M. (2020). Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman). <em>International Journal of Supply and Operations Management</em>, 7(3), 279-294. doi: 10.22034/IJSOM.2020.3.6</p> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="cite-mla" class="modal fade" tabindex="-1" role="dialog" aria-labelledby="myModalLabel" aria-hidden="true"> <div class="modal-dialog"> <div class="modal-content"> <!-- Modal Header --> <div class="modal-header"> <button type="button" class="close" data-dismiss="modal" aria-label="Close"><span aria-hidden="true">×</span></button> <h4 class="modal-title" id="myModalLabel">MLA</h4> </div> <!-- Modal Body --> <div class="modal-body"> <p>Somayeh Naghavi; Alireza Karbasi; Mahmoud Daneshvar Kakhki. "Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman)". <em>International Journal of Supply and Operations Management</em>, 7, 3, 2020, 279-294. doi: 10.22034/IJSOM.2020.3.6</p> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="cite-harvard" class="modal fade" tabindex="-1" role="dialog" aria-labelledby="myModalLabel" aria-hidden="true"> <div class="modal-dialog"> <div class="modal-content"> <!-- Modal Header --> <div class="modal-header"> <button type="button" class="close" data-dismiss="modal" aria-label="Close"><span aria-hidden="true">×</span></button> <h4 class="modal-title" id="myModalLabel">HARVARD</h4> </div> <!-- Modal Body --> <div class="modal-body"> <p>Naghavi, S., Karbasi, A., Daneshvar Kakhki, M. (2020). 'Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman)', <em>International Journal of Supply and Operations Management</em>, 7(3), pp. 279-294. doi: 10.22034/IJSOM.2020.3.6</p> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="cite-vancouver" class="modal fade" tabindex="-1" role="dialog" aria-labelledby="myModalLabel" aria-hidden="true"> <div class="modal-dialog"> <div class="modal-content"> <!-- Modal Header --> <div class="modal-header"> <button type="button" class="close" data-dismiss="modal" aria-label="Close"><span aria-hidden="true">×</span></button> <h4 class="modal-title" id="myModalLabel">VANCOUVER</h4> </div> <!-- Modal Body --> <div class="modal-body"> <p>Naghavi, S., Karbasi, A., Daneshvar Kakhki, M. Agent Based Modelling of Milk and its Productions Supply Chain and Bullwhip Effect Phenomena (Case Study: Kerman). <em>International Journal of Supply and Operations Management</em>, 2020; 7(3): 279-294. doi: 10.22034/IJSOM.2020.3.6</p> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <!-- /MAIN CONTENT --> <!-- Subscribe --> <section class="alternate padding-xxs"> </section> <!-- /Subscribe --> <!-- FOOTER --> <div class="container"> <footer id="footer"> <div class="scrollup" id="scroll" href="#"><span></span></div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-md-2"> <!-- Links --> <h4 class="">Explore Journal</h4> <ul class="footer-links list-unstyled"> <li id="fli_home"><a href="./">Home</a></li> <li id="fli_about"><a href="./journal/about">About Journal</a></li> <li id="fli_Edb"><a href="./journal/editorial.board">Editorial Board</a></li> <li id="fli_submit"><a href="./author">Submit Manuscript</a></li> <li id="fli_contactus"><a href="./journal/contact.us">Contact Us</a></li> <li id="fli_glossary"><a href="./journal/glossary">Glossary</a></li> <li id="fli_order_hrdj"><a href="./journal/subscription.form">Hard Copy Subscription</a></li> <li id="fli_sitemap"><a href="./sitemap.xml?usr">Sitemap</a></li> </ul> <!-- /Links --> </div> <div class="col-md-3"> <!-- Latest News --> <h4 class="">Latest News</h4> <ul class="footer-posts list-unstyled"> <li> <a href="./news?newsCode=173">SD of ISC: Sustainable Development of Intelligent Supply Chains based on Trends and Future Directions: Application of Novel Solution Techniques</a> <small class="ltr">2023-03-05</small> </li> </ul> <!-- /Latest News --> </div> <div class="col-md-3"> <!-- Footer Note --> <div><p><a title="Linkedin" href="http://www.linkedin.com/company/ijsom?trk=eml-cp_mktg-btn-welcome-20120607%2F"><img src="images/linkedin.jpg" alt="linkedin" /></a></p></div> <!-- /Footer Note --> </div> <div class="col-md-4"> <!-- Newsletter Form --> <h4 class="">Newsletter Subscription</h4> <p>Subscribe to the journal newsletter and receive the latest news and updates</p> <form class="validate" action="" method="post" data-success="Subscription saved successfully." data-toastr-position="bottom-right"> <input type="hidden" name="_token" value="05ee6ea7b8ab18c55127cee36348553fddc8816ce7e1ce57"/> <div class="input-group"> <span class="input-group-addon"><i class="fa fa-envelope"></i></span> <input type="email" id="email" name="email" required="required" class="form-control required sbs_email" placeholder="Enter your Email" oninvalid="this.setCustomValidity('Enter a valid email address.')" oninput="this.setCustomValidity('')"> <span class="input-group-btn"> <button class="btn btn-primary mybtn" type="submit">Subscribe</button> </span> </div> </form> <!-- /Newsletter Form --> <!-- Social Icons --> <div class="margin-top-20"> <a class="noborder" href="" target="_blank" class="social-icon social-icon-border social-facebook pull-left block" data-toggle="tooltip" data-placement="top" title="Facebook"> <i class="fa fa-facebook-square" aria-hidden="true"></i> </a> <a class="noborder" href="" target="_blank" class="social-icon social-icon-border social-facebook pull-left block" data-toggle="tooltip" data-placement="top" title="Twitter"> <i class="fa fa-twitter-square" aria-hidden="true"></i> </a> <a class="noborder" href="" target="_blank" class="social-icon social-icon-border social-facebook pull-left block" data-toggle="tooltip" data-placement="top" title="Linkedin"> <i class="fa fa-linkedin-square" aria-hidden="true"></i> </a> <a class="noborder" href="./ju.rss" class="social-icon social-icon-border social-rss pull-left block" data-toggle="tooltip" data-placement="top" title="Rss"><i class="fa fa-rss-square" aria-hidden="true"></i></a> </div> </div> </div> <div class="copyright" style="position: relative"> <ul class="nomargin list-inline mobile-block"> <li>© Journal Management System. <span id='sp_crt'>Powered by <a target='_blank' href='https://www.sinaweb.net/'>Sinaweb</a></span></li> </ul> </div> </footer> </div> <!-- /FOOTER --> </div> <!-- /wrapper --> <!-- SCROLL TO TOP --> <a href="#" id="toTop_old"></a> <!-- PRELOADER --> <div id="preloader"> <div class="inner"> <span class="loader"></span> </div> </div><!-- /PRELOADER --> <!-- JAVASCRIPT FILES --> <script type="text/javascript">var plugin_path = './themes/base/front/assets/plugins/';</script> <script type="text/javascript" src="./themes/base/front/assets/js/scripts.js?v=0.02"></script> <!-- user defined scripts--> <!-- Extra Script Scripts --> <script type="text/javascript"> $('ul.nav li.dropdown').hover(function() { if (window.matchMedia('(max-width: 767px)').matches) return; 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