Mysteel宏观周报：我国1月金融数据开门红，特朗普宣布对等关税-我的钢铁网

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<p><strong>宏观资讯：</strong>国常会支持新型消费加快发展；工信部发布《钢铁行业规范条件（2025年版）》；1月全国CPI同比上涨0.5%，PPI同比下降2.3%；1月份金融数据实现“开门红”；美国总统特朗普签署实施对等关税行动的命令；美国1月CPI同比增长3%，为2024年6月以来最大增幅。</p> <p><strong>数据跟踪：</strong>资金面上，本周央行公开市场实现净回笼5749亿元。周环比来看，本周<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>调研247家高炉产能利用率下降0.2%；全国110家洗煤厂开工率上涨31.4%；<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>螺纹钢</a>、<a href='https://m.100njz.com/market/p-968-----1001-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>水泥</a>、<a href='https://m.100njz.com/market/p-968-----1002-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>混凝土价格</a>下跌，<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/dianjietong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>电解铜</a>价格上涨；乘用车日均零售2.7万辆，下降31%；BDI下降2.8%。</p> <p><strong>金融市场：</strong>本周主要商品期货价格涨跌互现，其中，LME<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/xi/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锡</a>价格大幅上涨4.84%。全球股市中，中国和欧美股市全部上涨，其中，德国DAX30大幅上涨3.33%。美元指数收于106.79，下跌1.20%。</p> <p><a></a><strong>一、宏观资讯</strong></p> <p><a></a><strong>（一）热点聚焦</strong></p> <p>◎ 2月10日，国务院总理李强主持召开国务院常务会议，会议研究提振消费有关工作，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>把提振消费摆到更加突出位置；支持新型消费加快发展，促进“人工智能+消费”等</strong>。</span>会议还审议通过《2025年稳外资行动方案》，研究化解重点产业结构性矛盾政策措施。</p> <p>◎ 国家发改委、国家能源局发布《关于深化新能源上网电价市场化改革促进新能源高质量发展的通知》明确，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>推动新能源上网电量参与市场交易，</strong></span>新能源项目上网电量原则上全部进入电力市场，上网电价通过市场交易形成，新能源项目可报量报价参与交易，也可接受市场形成的价格。</p> <p>◎ 2月8日，为加快推动钢铁行业转型升级，促进行业高质量发展，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>工信部发布《钢铁行业规范条件（2025年版）》。</strong></span>立足钢铁行业高质量发展新阶段，细化符合行业高质量发展系列指标，建立分级分类管理体系，对钢铁企业实施“规范企业”和“引领型规范企业”两级评价。</p> <p>◎ 2月11日，工业和信息化部等十一部门印发《<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a>产业高质量发展实施方案（2025—2027年）》，到2027年，铜原料保障能力不断增强，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>力争国内铜矿资源量增长5%-10%，</strong></span>再生铜回收利用水平进一步提高。</p> <p>◎ 央行发布2024年第四季度中国货币政策执行报告。报告表示，下一阶段，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>实施好适度宽松的货币政策。</strong></span>综合运用多种货币政策工具，保持流动性充裕，使社会融资规模、货币供应量增长同经济增长、价格总水平预期目标相匹配。</p> <p><span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong><span style="color: #000000;">◎ </span>上期所制定钢铁期货高质量发展工作方案，分步骤优化全国交割仓库布局。</strong></span>第一步，优化设库和区域升贴水设置原则。第二步，在充分调研基础上，结合全国各区域消费、集散和运输情况，优化设库工作。第三步，在区域设库布局完善，且使用参与情况较好情况下，进一步优化相关机制。</p> <p>◎ 国家统计局：2025年1月份全国<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">CPI同比上涨0.5%</span>，</strong>涨幅比上月扩大0.4个百分点，为5个月来最高；<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">PPI同比下降2.3%</span>，</strong>降幅与上月相同。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/1439421.png" width="600" height="364" /></p> <p>◎ 央行：1月人民币贷款增加5.13万亿元，<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">M2同比增长7%</span>；</strong>1月社会融资规模增量为7.06万亿元，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>比上年同期多5833亿元</strong></span>；1月末社会融资规模存量为415.2万亿元，<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">同比增长8%</span>。</strong></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/1439422.png" width="600" height="336" /></p> <p>◎ 美国总统特朗普当地时间2月10日签署行政命令，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>宣布对所有进口至美国的钢铁和<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>征收25%关税。</strong></span>行政命令显示，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>新税率将于3月12日生效。 </strong></span></p> <p>◎ 当地时间2月13日，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>美国总统特朗普签署实施对等关税行动的命令。</strong></span>特朗普称将考虑对使用增值税制度的国家加征关税。特朗普表示，通过其他国家运送商品以避开关税的做法将不被接受。特朗普提名的商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克在白宫表示，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>对等关税行动可能4月2日前启动。</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong><span style="color: #000000;">◎ </span>美国1月CPI同比增长3%，为2024年6月以来最大增幅，高于市场预期。</strong></span>交易员预计美联储将减少政策宽松力度，将下次美联储降息时间从9月调整至12月。美国1月PPI同比升3.5%，环比升0.4%。</p> <p>◎ 美国劳工部公布的数据显示，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>截至2月8日当周，初请失业金人数为21.3万人，</strong></span>表明2月初就业市场保持稳定。今年到目前为止，申请失业救济的人数呈下降趋势，与处于历史上较低水平的失业率保持一致。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/1439423.png" width="600" height="392" /></p> <p>‌<a></a><strong>（二）热点速览</strong></p> <p>◎ 1月全国铁路固定资产投资完成439亿元，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>同比增长3.7%。</strong></span></p> <p>◎ 中国物流与采购联合会：2024年全国社会物流总额超360.6万亿元，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>同比增长5.8%，比2023年加快0.6个百分点，</strong></span>全年物流运行总体延续稳中有进的发展态势。</p> <p>◎ 2月11日，中国中小企业协会发布，1月中国中小企业发展指数为89.0，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>相比去年12月上升0.1点。</strong></span></p> <p>◎ 国家发改委：春节期间（1月28日-2月4日），全国汽车、家电家居、手机等数码产品以旧换新<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>销售量达到860万台（套）</strong></span>，销售额分别约66亿元、105亿元、141亿元。</p> <p>◎ 2025年1月，10个重点城市新建商品房成交（签约）面积总计682.46万平方米，环比下降52.6%，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>同比下降13.7%；</strong></span>二手房成交（签约）面积总计827.9万平方米，环比下降39.1%，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>同比增长2%。</strong></span></p> <p>◎ 工信部：2024年，中国家用电冰箱产量10395.7万台，<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">同比增长8.3%</span>；</strong>房间空气调节器产量26598.4万台，<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">同比增长9.7%</span>；</strong>家用洗衣机产量11736.5万台，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>同比增长8.8%。</strong></span></p> <p>◎ 乘联分会：1月全国乘用车市场零售179.4万辆，<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">同比下降12.1%</span>，</strong>环比下降31.9%。1月新能源乘用车零售销量达到74.4万辆，<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">同比增长10.5%</span>，</strong>环比下降42.9%。</p> <p>◎ 2025年1月，中国小松挖掘机开工小时数为66.2小时，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>同比下降17.2%，</strong></span>环比下降38.7%。</p> <p>◎ 据中国工程机械工业协会对挖掘机主要制造企业统计，1月销售各类挖掘机12512台，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>同比增长1.1%。</strong></span>其中，国内销量5405台，同比下降0.3%；出口量7107台，同比增长2.19%。</p> <p>◎ 奥维云网：<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>1月彩电线上零售额规模同比下降6.2%；</strong></span>冰箱、冰柜、洗衣机、独立式干衣机和空调线上零售额规模同比分别为-18.3%、1.3%、-11.1%、-7.2% 和-24.9%。<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>1月彩电线下零售额规模同比下降13.4%；</strong></span>冰箱、冰柜、洗衣机、独立式干衣机和空调线下零售额规模同比分别为-16.0%、+4.6%、-16.3%、-31.7%和+5.0%。</p> <p>◎ 俄罗斯总统普京和美国总统特朗普12日通电话，讨论乌克兰局势等问题。特朗普表示，<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">双方同意就结束俄乌冲突进行“紧密合作”</span>，</strong>并派遣各自团队“立即开始谈判”。</p> <p>◎ 美国纽约联储最新调查结果显示，美国1月一至三年期通胀预期持稳于3%，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>五年期通胀预期从2.7%上升至3%。</strong></span></p> <p>◎ 2月11日，美联储主席鲍威尔出席参议院金融、住房和城市事务委员会听证会。鲍威尔<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>重申无需急于调整利率。</strong></span>他表示，美联储将在夏末前完成框架审查，框架审查将不包括对通胀目标的关注，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>通胀目标仍将保持在2%。</strong></span></p> <p>◎ 2月11日，欧洲央行行长拉加德表示，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>预计通胀在今年内将回归我们的2%中期目标，</strong></span>且存在上行和下行风险；欧元区仍然具备经济复苏的条件。</p> <p><a></a><strong>二、数据跟踪</strong></p> <p><a></a><strong>（一）资金面</strong></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/1439424.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/1439425.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><a></a><strong>（二）行业数据</strong></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/1439426.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/1439427.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/1439428.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/1439429.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/14394210.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/14394211.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/14394212.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/14394213.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/14394214.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/14394215.png" width="600" height="416" /></p> <p><a></a><strong>三、金融市场概览</strong></p> <p>当周，<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">商品期货方面</span>，</strong>主要商品期货价格涨跌互现，其中，LME锡价格大幅上涨4.84%。<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">全球股市方面</span>，</strong>中国股市全部上涨，创业板指涨幅最大，为1.88%；欧美股市全部上涨，其中，德国DAX30大幅上涨0.33%。<strong><span style="color: #a52a2a;">外汇市场方面</span>，</strong>美元指数收于106.79，下跌1.20%。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/14394216.png" width="600" height="620" /></p> <p><a></a><strong>四、下周重点数据</strong><a></a><a></a><a></a></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/02/20/14394217.png" width="600" height="416" /></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：费斐 021-26093397 </br> 资讯监督：乐卫扬 021-26093827 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-360-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a 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