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D.</a>; <a href="/authors/?q=ai%3Akim.ki-du%7Ckim.khan-dyk%7Ckim.kyung-don%7Ckim.kyoung-dae%7Ckim.kyue-d" title="Author Profile">Kim, K.-D.</a></div> <h2 class="title"> <strong>Estimation of confidence intervals of quantiles for the Weibull distribution.</strong> <i>(English)</i> <a class="label nowrap" href="/1061.62522">Zbl 1061.62522</a> </h2> <div class="source"> <a href="/serials/2608" title="Journal Profile">Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess.</a> <a href="/?q=in%3A76978" title="Articles in this Issue">15, No. 4, 284-309 (2001)</a>. </div> <div class="abstract">Summary: Estimation of confidence limits and intervals for the two- and three-parameter Weibull distributions are presented based on the methods of moment (MOM), probability weighted moments (PWM), and maximum likelihood (ML). The asymptotic variances of the MOM, PWM, and ML quantile estimators are derived as a function of the sample size, return period, and parameters. Such variances can be used for estimating the confidence limits and confidence intervals of the population quantiles. Except for the two-parameter Weibull model, the formulas obtained do not have simple forms but can be evaluated numerically. Simulation experiments were performed to verify the applicability of the derived confidence intervals of quantiles. The results show that overall, the ML method for estimating the confidence limits performs better than the other two methods in terms of bias and mean square error. This is specially so for \(\gamma\geq 0.5\) even for small sample sizes (e.g. \(N=10\)). However, the drawback of the ML method for determining the confidence limits is that it requires that the shape parameter be bigger than 2. The Weibull model based on the MOM, ML, and PWM estimation methods was applied to fit the distribution of annual 7-day low flows and 6-h maximum annual rainfall data. The results showed that the differences in the estimated quantiles based on the three methods are not large, generally are less than 10%. However, the differences between the confidence limits and confidence intervals obtained by the three estimation methods may be more significant. For instance, for the 7-day low flows the ratio between the estimated confidence interval to the estimated quantile based on ML is about 17% for \(T\geq 2\) while it is about 30% for estimation based on MOM and PWM methods. In addition, the analysis of the rainfall data using the three-parameter Weibull showed that while ML parameters can be estimated, the corresponding confidence limits and intervals could not be found because the shape parameter was smaller than 2.</div> <div class="clear"></div> <br> <div class="citations"><div class="clear"><a href="/?q=rf%3A1713936">Cited in <strong>6</strong> Documents</a></div></div> <div class="classification"> <h3>MSC:</h3> <table><tr> <td> <a class="mono" href="/classification/?q=cc%3A62F25" title="MSC2020">62F25</a> </td> <td class="space"> Parametric tolerance and confidence regions </td> </tr><tr> <td> <a class="mono" href="/classification/?q=cc%3A62P12" title="MSC2020">62P12</a> </td> <td class="space"> Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics </td> </tr></table> </div> <!-- Modal used to show zbmath metadata in different output formats--> <div class="modal fade" id="metadataModal" tabindex="-1" role="dialog" aria-labelledby="myModalLabel"> <div class="modal-dialog" role="document"> <div class="modal-content"> <div class="modal-header"> <button type="button" class="close" data-dismiss="modal" aria-label="Close"><span aria-hidden="true">&times;</span></button> <h4 class="modal-title" id="myModalLabel">Cite</h4> </div> <div class="modal-body"> <div class="form-group"> <label for="select-output" class="control-label">Format</label> <select id="select-output" class="form-control" aria-label="Select Metadata format"></select> </div> <div class="form-group"> <label for="metadataText" class="control-label">Result</label> <textarea class="form-control" id="metadataText" rows="10" style="min-width: 100%;max-width: 100%"></textarea> </div> <div id="metadata-alert" class="alert alert-danger" role="alert" style="display: none;"> <!-- alert for connection errors etc --> </div> </div> <div class="modal-footer"> <button type="button" class="btn btn-primary" onclick="copyMetadata()">Copy to clipboard</button> <button type="button" class="btn btn-default" data-dismiss="modal">Close</button> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="functions clearfix"> <div class="function"> <!-- Button trigger metadata modal --> <a type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-xs pdf" data-toggle="modal" data-target="#metadataModal" data-itemtype="Zbl" data-itemname="Zbl 1061.62522" data-ciurl="/ci/01713936" data-biburl="/bibtex/01713936.bib" data-amsurl="/amsrefs/01713936.bib" data-xmlurl="/xml/01713936.xml" > Cite </a> <a class="btn btn-default btn-xs pdf" data-container="body" type="button" href="/pdf/01713936.pdf" title="Zbl 1061.62522 as PDF">Review PDF</a> </div> <div class="fulltexts"> <span class="fulltext">Full Text:</span> <a class="btn btn-default btn-xs" type="button" href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s004770100071" aria-label="DOI for “Estimation of confidence intervals of quantiles for the Weibull distribution”" title="10.1007/s004770100071">DOI</a> </div> <div class="sfx" style="float: right;"> </div> </div> </article> </div></div> </div> </div> <div class="clearfix"></div> </div> </div> <div id="foot"><div class="copyright"> &copy; 2025 <a target="fiz" href="https://www.fiz-karlsruhe.de/en">FIZ Karlsruhe GmbH</a> <a href="/privacy-policy/">Privacy Policy</a> <a href="/legal-notices/">Legal Notices</a> <a href="/terms-conditions/">Terms &amp; Conditions</a> <div class="info"> <ul class="nav"> <li class="mastodon"> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/@zbMATH" target="_blank" class="no-new-tab-icon"> <img src="/static/mastodon.png" title="zbMATH at Mathstodon (opens in new tab)" alt="Mastodon logo"> </a> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="clearfix" style="height: 0px;"></div> </div> </div> <script src="https://static.zbmath.org/contrib/jquery/1.9.1/jquery.min.js"></script> <script src="https://static.zbmath.org/contrib/jquery-caret/1.5.2/jquery.caret.min.js"></script> <script src="/static/js/jquery-ui-1.10.1.custom.min.js"></script> <script src="https://static.zbmath.org/contrib/bootstrap/v3.3.7zb1/js/bootstrap.min.js"></script> <script src="https://static.zbmath.org/contrib/bootstrap-lightbox/v0.7.0/bootstrap-lightbox.min.js"></script> <script src="https://static.zbmath.org/contrib/retina/unknown/retina.js"></script> <script src="https://static.zbmath.org/contrib/bootstrap-select/v1.13.14/js/bootstrap-select.min.js"></script> <script> var SCRIPT_ROOT = ""; </script> <script src="/static/scripts.js?v=20240926"> </script> <script src="https://static.zbmath.org/contrib/mathjax/2.7.1/MathJax.js?config=TeX-AMS-MML_HTMLorMML"></script> <script type="text/x-mathjax-config"> MathJax.Hub.Config({ "HTML-CSS": { preferredFont: "TeX", availableFonts: [ "STIX", "TeX" ], linebreaks: { automatic: true }, EqnChunk: (MathJax.Hub.Browser.isMobile ? 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