Fantasy Football: Examining team running back usage and tendencies for 2023

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<div class="g-card"> <div class="m-article" data-gtm-id="article_page"> <div class="m-article__header"> <h1 class="g-h1">Fantasy Football: Examining team running back usage and tendencies for 2023</h1> </div> <div class="m-article__hero"> <figure> <picture class="m-article__hero-image"> <source media="(max-width: 375px)" srcset="https://media.pff.com/2022/12/USATSI_19578339_168392742_lowres.jpg?w=359&h=202, https://media.pff.com/2022/12/USATSI_19578339_168392742_lowres.jpg?w=718&h=404 2x"> <source media="(max-width: 575px)" srcset="https://media.pff.com/2022/12/USATSI_19578339_168392742_lowres.jpg?w=576&h=324, https://media.pff.com/2022/12/USATSI_19578339_168392742_lowres.jpg?w=1152&h=648 2x"> <img src="https://media.pff.com/2022/12/USATSI_19578339_168392742_lowres.jpg?w=1200&h=675" alt="" srcset="https://media.pff.com/2022/12/USATSI_19578339_168392742_lowres.jpg?w=1200&h=675, https://media.pff.com/2022/12/USATSI_19578339_168392742_lowres.jpg?w=1912&h=1076 2x"> </picture> <figcaption> <div class="m-article__hero-caption"> <p class="m-excerpt m-excerpt--small g-mb-0">Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill (17) hands off to running back Derrick Henry (22) against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports</p> </div> </figcaption> </figure> </div> <div class="m-article__byline"> <span class="m-micro-copy"> By <a data-gtm-id="article_author" href="/analyst/jonathon-macri">Jonathon Macri</a> <br /> <time datetime="2023-05-16T09:00:35Z">Posted May 16, 2023 5:00 am EDT</time> <span class="u-hide-first"> </span> </span> </div> <div class="m-article__main"> <article class="m-article__content" data-gtm-id="article_content"> <div class="m-longform-copy"> <ul> <li><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/tennessee-titans/31" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><b>Tennessee Titans</b></a><b> and </b><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/las-vegas-raiders/23" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><b>Las Vegas Raiders</b></a><b> have no issues leaning on one back: </b><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/derrick-henry/10679" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Derrick Henry</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/josh-jacobs/45953" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Josh Jacobs</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">’ volume-heavy roles should keep them in the RB1 range for 2023.</span></li> <li><b>Sean Payton’s offense projects for one running back to play a significant role: </b><span style="font-weight: 400;">If </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/javonte-williams/77803" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Javonte Williams</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> isn’t ready to start the year, can </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/samaje-perine/11869" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Samaje Perine</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> emerge as a massive value in fantasy?</span></li> <li><b>The </b><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/atlanta-falcons/2" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><b>Atlanta Falcons</b></a><b>‘ potential change in philosophy: </b><span style="font-weight: 400;">The most run-heavy team had the lowest carry rate for their top running back last season, but </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/bijan-robinson/123126/draft-profile" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Bijan Robinson</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">’s arrival figures to buck that trend.</span></li> </ul> <h6><b></b><strong>Estimated reading time: 10 minutes</strong></h6> <hr /> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The 300-plus carry running backs are rare in the modern NFL, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t still workhorse roles available in certain offenses. Diving into the data from the previous year's play-calling tendencies, this piece is designed to help fantasy managers get a clearer picture of how each team may deploy their running backs, specifically, their top running back, in order to separate the potential workhorses from those in more of a committee. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">A few notes about this data set:</span></p> <ul> <li style="font-weight: 400;" aria-level="1"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Data is pulled from the currently expected play-caller of each team’s most recent sample in that same/similar role (i.e. Sean Payton’s 2021 season).</span></li> <li style="font-weight: 400;" aria-level="1"><span style="font-weight: 400;">For those that do not have a history of offensive play-calling in the NFL, data will be pulled from their most recent coaching tree (i.e. </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">Brian Johnson</span><span style="font-weight: 400;"> in Philadelphia).</span></li> <li style="font-weight: 400;" aria-level="1"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Only running back carries are accounted for, leaving out quarterback and wide receiver rushing attempts.</span></li> <li style="font-weight: 400;" aria-level="1"><span style="font-weight: 400;">RB1, 2, and 3 are meant to highlight what the top running back on each team averaged in carries per week, and are not assigned to one specific player, just the back with the most carries each week.</span></li> <li style="font-weight: 400;" aria-level="1"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Only rushing touches are accounted for while receiving data will be referenced in a separate article this week on <a href="http://pff.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PFF</a>.</span></li> <li style="font-weight: 400;" aria-level="1"><span style="font-weight: 400;">These are not concrete projections. Due to this being based on each play-callers most recent usage, there should be some expectation that offenses can change and evolve. It is meant as a starting point based on past tendencies.</span></li> </ul> <p><a href="https://www.pff.com/draft/nfl-mock-draft-simulator" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-483501 size-full" src="https://media.pff.com/2023/03/mark-banner-scaled.jpg" alt="" width="2560" height="707" srcset="https://media.pff.com/2023/03/mark-banner-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://media.pff.com/2023/03/mark-banner-300x83.jpg 300w, https://media.pff.com/2023/03/mark-banner-1024x283.jpg 1024w, https://media.pff.com/2023/03/mark-banner-768x212.jpg 768w, https://media.pff.com/2023/03/mark-banner-1536x424.jpg 1536w, https://media.pff.com/2023/03/mark-banner-2048x565.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 706px) 89vw, (max-width: 767px) 82vw, 740px" /></a></p> <h3><b>Tier 1: Greater than 85% of rushing attempts define a workhorse back</b></h3> <div class="g-table-wrapper"> <table style="text-align: center;"> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>TEAM</b></td> <td><b>RB1 %</b></td> <td><b>RB2 %</b></td> <td><b>RB3 %</b></td> <td><b>CHANGE IN OFFENSIVE PLAY-CALLER</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/las-vegas-raiders/23" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Las Vegas Raiders</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">89.6%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">9.4%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">1.0%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/tennessee-titans/31" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Tennessee Titans</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">87.6%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">10.4%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">1.9%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Tim Kelly is the new OC. Data is still from 2022 Titans.</span></i></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Considering the seasons that </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/josh-jacobs/45953" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Josh Jacobs</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/derrick-henry/10679" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Derrick Henry</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> had in 2022, it shouldn’t be a surprise to see their respective offenses lean heavily on those top running backs, and they are primed to do so again in 2023. What also shouldn’t come as a surprise is that only two teams in the league averaged a greater than 85% rushing share to their top back on a weekly basis.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Having effective talents like Jacobs and Henry certainly helps a team's willingness to lean into using just one back in a true workhorse role, but not having significant options behind them also plays a part. The Raiders didn’t add to their backfield this season, which should allow Jacobs to remain undisturbed as a top-10 fantasy running back for 2023.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Rumors of Henry being on the trade block this offseason have swirled in and out of the news cycle, but as of right now, he appears to be locked into another workhorse role in Tennessee, making him a top-10 fantasy running back. The Titans did spend a third-round pick in this draft on Tulane's </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/tyjae-spears/97195/draft-profile" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Tyjae Spears</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and should Henry actually get moved or miss time, he would likely be in for a greater fantasy boost than any other running back in the league. Adding Spears to rosters late in drafts as one of the best handcuff options available is a wise move.</span></p> <hr /> <h3><b>Tier 2: 80% – 85% of rushing attempts are essentially a workhorse role</b></h3> <div class="g-table-wrapper"> <table style="text-align: center;"> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>TEAM</b></td> <td><b>RB1 %</b></td> <td><b>RB2 %</b></td> <td><b>RB3 %</b></td> <td><b>CHANGE IN OFFENSIVE PLAY-CALLER</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/new-england-patriots/19" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">New England Patriots</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">82.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">16.2%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">1.1%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Bill O’Brien is the new OC. 2020 Texans’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/denver-broncos/10" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Denver Broncos</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">81.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">17.2%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">1.3%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Sean Payton is the new HC. 2021 Saints’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/cincinnati-bengals/7" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Cincinnati Bengals</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">81.4%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">17.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">0.9%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/new-york-giants/21" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">New York Giants</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">80.3%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">15.6%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">4.1%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">There really aren’t many better opportunity shares than getting over 80% of a team’s rushing attempts, and these four teams round out the top six in the league that have a recent history of that deployment.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Both the Patriots and Broncos will have new offensive play-callers in 2023, with Bill O’Brien taking over in New England and Sean Payton taking over in Denver. Neither coach was involved in play-calling duties this past season but going back to their previous history in those roles, both leaned heavily on one back on a weekly basis, specifically, </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/david-johnson/9519" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">David Johnson</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> for O’Brien, and </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/alvin-kamara/11822" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Alvin Kamara</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> for Payton. This bodes well for </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson/98689" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Rhamondre Stevenson</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">’s RB1 potential after the Patriots deployed closer to a 70-30% split last season. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">News of </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/javonte-williams/77803" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Javonte Williams</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">’ availability to start the season was most recently positive, </span><a href="https://www.nfl.com/news/broncos-sean-payton-hopeful-javonte-williams-is-ready-for-training-camp" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">giving some optimism that he’ll be ready for Week 1</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, but this is still far from a guarantee. In the meantime, </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/samaje-perine/11869" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Samaje Perine</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> has shown he could step into a volume-heavy role when needed, as he did in Weeks 12 and 13 last season during </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/joe-mixon/11803" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Joe Mixon</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">’s absence in Cincinnati. He is one of the ideal running back depth pieces to target as an RB4 option in drafts, especially if the uncertainty surrounding Williams’ availability continues into draft season.</span></p> <p><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/joe-mixon/11803" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Joe Mixon</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/saquon-barkley/45791" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Saquon Barkley</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> are also set to be relied on at a high rate once again on their respective teams. While the RB1 rushing attempt percentage is close, it should be noted that the Giants were above-average in rushing rate last season (40.6%) while the Bengals were closer to the bottom of the league (34.2%), so Barkley’s opportunity to touch the ball should be considered the difference in his top-12 ranking versus Mixon typically being more in the RB2 range.</span></p> <hr /> <h3><b>Tier 3: The comfortable above-average 70%-plus range</b></h3> <div class="g-table-wrapper"> <table style="text-align: center;"> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>TEAM</b></td> <td><b>RB1 %</b></td> <td><b>RB2 %</b></td> <td><b>RB3 %</b></td> <td><b>CHANGE IN OFFENSIVE PLAY-CALLER</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/seattle-seahawks/29" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Seattle Seahawks</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">79.4%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">16.3%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">3.6%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/tampa-bay-buccaneers/30" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Tampa Bay Buccaneers</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">79.4%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">16.3%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">3.6%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Dave Canales is the new OC. 2022 Seahawks data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/carolina-panthers/5" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Carolina Panthers</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">77.8%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">18.5%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">3.7%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Frank Reich is the new HC. 2022 Colts’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/minnesota-vikings/18" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Minnesota Vikings</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">76.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">20.6%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">1.8%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/new-orleans-saints/20" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">New Orleans Saints</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">74.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">24.5%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">0.7%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/pittsburgh-steelers/25" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Pittsburgh Steelers</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">74.1%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">23.6%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">2.4%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/dallas-cowboys/9" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Dallas Cowboys</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">71.2%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">22.3%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">6.5%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Mike McCarthy (HC) to take over play-calling. 2018 Packers data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/jacksonville-jaguars/15" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Jacksonville Jaguars</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">72.2%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">23.8%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">3.9%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/indianapolis-colts/14" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Indianapolis Colts</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">70.8%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">21.5%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">7.7%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Shane Steichen is the new HC. 2022 Eagles’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/philadelphia-eagles/24" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Philadelphia Eagles</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">70.8%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">21.5%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">7.7%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Brian Johnson</span></i> is the<i><span style="font-weight: 400;"> new OC. 2022 Eagles’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The Seahawks and Buccaneers are the first teams to share the same usage data from last season as Dave Canales takes over as Tampa’s play-caller coming from the Seahawks coaching tree. This won’t be uncommon in this exercise and is why it should only be considered as one of many tools in preparing for fantasy drafts as we leave room for adjustments in projections through various other tools and rankings. Seattle, specifically, is going to be an interesting backfield to watch play out after it spent its second-straight second-round pick on a running back, adding </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/zach-charbonnet/97630/draft-profile" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Zach Charbonnet</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> to <a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/kenneth-walker/97199" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kenneth Walker III</a> and muddying things up a bit. Walker should still be considered the heavy favorite to lead them, but Charbonnet’s presence holds him back from the top-12 running back range in drafts.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Mike McCarthy is set to start the year as the play-caller for the Cowboys with Kellen Moore off to Los Angeles, which creates a more ideal usage, based on his last play-calling stint in 2018 with the Packers. </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/tony-pollard/27126" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Tony Pollard</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> is set to thrive as Dallas’ clear RB1 for the first time in his career, and fantasy rankings reflect that with him inside the top-12 at his position.</span></p> <p><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/dalvin-cook/11796" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Dalvin Cook</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/najee-harris/57121" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Najee Harris</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/alvin-kamara/11822" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Alvin Kamara</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor/57488" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Jonathan Taylor</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> should have no problem seeing high-end volume once again this season, assuming health and availability. Kamara, specifically, could be facing a suspension that would cause him to miss multiple weeks, and in what was a primarily two-back scheme last season, </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/jamaal-williams/11889" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Jamaal Williams</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and even undrafted rookie </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/kendre-miller/123091/draft-profile" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Kendre Miller</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> should be on fantasy managers’ radars for 2023.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Both </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/miles-sanders/40555" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Miles Sanders</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/rashaad-penny/27414" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Rashaad Penny</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> join new teams and join this group as potential high-rushing volume backs with a shot to exceed their RB2 draft capital. Sanders becomes especially intriguing on Carolina. Without an obvious passing down back on the roster, he should dominate touches in the run and passing game for the Panthers.</span></p> <hr /> <h3><b>Tier 4: Not really workhorse usage but still plenty of opportunity for a star running back</b></h3> <div class="g-table-wrapper"> <table style="text-align: center;"> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>TEAM</b></td> <td><b>RB1 %</b></td> <td><b>RB2 %</b></td> <td><b>RB3 %</b></td> <td><b>CHANGE IN OFFENSIVE PLAY-CALLER</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/arizona-cardinals/1" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Arizona Cardinals</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">69.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">28.4%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">1.9%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Drew Peltzing is the new OC. 2022 Browns’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/cleveland-browns/8" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Cleveland Browns</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">69.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">28.4%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">1.9%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/miami-dolphins/17" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Miami Dolphins</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">68.5%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">29.8%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">1.7%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/chicago-bears/6" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Chicago Bears</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">67.0%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">31.5%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">1.5%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/houston-texans/13" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Houston Texans</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">65.1%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">29.0%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">5.0%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Bobby Slowik is the new OC. 2022 49ers’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/san-francisco-49ers/28" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">San Francisco 49ers</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">65.1%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">29.0%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">5.0%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/buffalo-bills/4" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Buffalo Bills</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">64.9%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">30.8%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">4.4%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/new-york-jets/22" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">New York Jets</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">62.4%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">30.6%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">7.0%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Nathaniel Hackett is the new OC. 2022 Broncos’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/detroit-lions/11" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Detroit Lions</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">61.9%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">26.8%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">11.3%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/kansas-city-chiefs/16" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Kansas City Chiefs</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">61.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">29.9%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">8.5%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Matt Nagy is the new OC. Data is still from 2022 Chiefs.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/washington-commanders/32" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Washington Commanders</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">61.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">29.9%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">8.5%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Eric Bienemy = new OC. 2022 Chiefs’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/los-angeles-rams/26" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Los Angeles Rams</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">61.1%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">31.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">7.1%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Mike LaFleur = new OC. 2022 Jets’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The large majority of offenses (12 teams) live in this middle range, which isn’t necessarily a bad thing depending on who that running back happens to be and how often the team will run the ball. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Thinking about </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/nick-chubb/45783" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Nick Chubb</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/khalil-herbert/41668" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Khalil Herbert</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/jahmyr-gibbs/122474/draft-profile" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Jahmyr Gibbs</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and obviously </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/christian-mccaffrey/11763" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Christian McCaffrey</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, their teams were all top-12 in the NFL last season in run rate so while the percentage of carries is average relative to the rest of the league, the raw volume is enough to prop up their fantasy production further. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The teams in this range also allow their RB2 options to carry fantasy value in deeper leagues, as they average close to one-third of the carries on a weekly basis. This is where we may see some of them deployed as goal-line backs, which helps their touchdown potential. The Lions and </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/jamaal-williams/11889" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Jamaal Williams</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> were a perfect example of this last year, as he led the league in goal-to-go rushing attempts (38), which helped him lead the league in rushing touchdowns (17). </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/david-montgomery/45719" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">David Montgomery</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> could potentially take over that role in Detroit with Williams off to New Orleans. Montgomery ranked inside the top 10 among running backs in Chicago last season in goal-to-go rushing attempts (17), leaving an opportunity for perhaps, </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/roschon-johnson/99467/draft-profile" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Roschon Johnson</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> or </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/donta-foreman/11844" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">D’Onta Foreman</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> to take over in that regard in 2023.</span></p> <hr /> <h3><b>Tier 5: Sharing the load, but room for improvement</b></h3> <div class="g-table-wrapper"> <table style="text-align: center;"> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>TEAM</b></td> <td><b>RB1 %</b></td> <td><b>RB2 %</b></td> <td><b>RB3 %</b></td> <td><b>CHANGE IN OFFENSIVE PLAY-CALLER</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/los-angeles-chargers/27" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Los Angeles Chargers</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">59.2%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">37.8%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">3.0%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Kellen Moore is the new OC. 2022 Cowboys’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/green-bay-packers/12" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Green Bay Packers</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">59.1%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">38.7%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">2.1%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/baltimore-ravens/3" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Baltimore Ravens</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">58.9%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">28.8%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">12.2%</span></td> <td><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">Todd Monken is the new OC. 2019 Browns’ data used.</span></i></td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/teams/atlanta-falcons/2" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Atlanta Falcons</span></a></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">56.0%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">33.1%</span></td> <td><span style="font-weight: 400;">9.7%</span></td> <td></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The Falcons had the lowest deployment of a true RB1 last season, partly because there was no clear option to feature in a bell-cow role. Enter </span><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/bijan-robinson/123126/draft-profile" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Bijan Robinson</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, who the Falcons selected eighth overall in this year’s draft, making it more than likely those RB1 numbers increase quite a bit this coming season. While it’s difficult to imagine them going from the bottom to top tier in terms of RB1 deployment, the usage doesn’t need to see that much of an increase for a generational talent like Robinson to produce elite fantasy numbers. In the most run-heavy offense in the league and behind one of the best run-blocking offensive lines, a nearly 70% carry share should be more than enough for him to live up to his fantasy RB1 expectations.</span></p> <p><a href="https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/austin-ekeler/12164" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Austin Ekeler</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> shouldn’t expect too different of a carry share with Kellen Moore coming in this season. He averaged 60.5% of the team’s running back attempts last season as well and considering his work as a receiver, he shouldn’t be in any danger of a significant drop-off in production. </span></p> </div> </article> <footer class="m-article__footer" data-gtm-id="article_footer"> <div class="m-article__footer-section u-text-center"> <div class="g-ui-row g-ui-row--space-around"> <div class="g-ui-row__item"> <a href="https://www.pff.com/fantasy/articles"> <strong>Read More PFF Fantasy News & Analysis</strong> </a> </div> <div class="g-ui-row__item"> <span class="g-label g-mx-1">Share</span> <a class="g-mx-1" href="http://www.twitter.com/share?url=https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-examining-team-running-back-usage-and-tendencies-for-2023" target="_blank" class=""> <svg width="24" height="24" class="g-icon g-icon--link" aria-hidden="false" focusable="true" aria-label="Share on Twitter"> <use href="https://www.pff.com/images/icon-symbols.svg#g-icon-twitter"></use> </svg> </a> <a class="g-mx-1" href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-examining-team-running-back-usage-and-tendencies-for-2023" class=""> <svg width="24" height="24" class="g-icon g-icon--link" aria-hidden="false" focusable="true" aria-label="Share on Facebook"> <use href="https://www.pff.com/images/icon-symbols.svg#g-icon-facebook"></use> </svg> </a> </div> </div> </div> <div class="m-article__footer-section m-article__footer-section--hidden-lg-down"> <div class="m-sponsor m-sponsor--wide m-sponsor--ws" data-gtm-id="sponsor_fantasy_wide"> <a href="https://meetfabric.com/ugma?utm_source=pff&utm_medium=paid&utm_campaign=pff_banner_ad_ugma&utm_term=1456x180&utm_content=jumpstart" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener sponsored"> <picture> <source srcset="/images/sponsor/ws/pff_ugma_jumpstart_1456x180.png" media="(min-width: 600px)"> <img src="/images/sponsor/ws/pff_ugma_jumpstart_1456x180.png" alt="Safety worth way more than 2 points. 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(AP Photo/Kirk Irwin)","categories":[{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-28 12:15:02","excerpt":"Jon Macri reveals the Week 13 offensive and defensive line matchups that fantasy football managers should target with their lineups. ","id":561738,"league_week":"","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Jonathon Macri"],"name":"fantasy-football-week-13-ol-dl-matchups-to-target-and-avoid-2024","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-week-13-ol-dl-matchups-to-target-and-avoid-2024/","players":[],"premium_content":true,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":[],"thumbnail":"2024/11/Herbert-Justin-Alamy2-scaled.jpg","title":"Fantasy Football: Week 13 OL/DL matchups to target and avoid"},{"author":"Jonathon Macri","caption":"2YN7M69 Denver Broncos linebacker Nik Bonitto (15) celebrates a tackle for a loss against the Las Vegas Raiders during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Nov. 24, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)","categories":[{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-28 11:30:23","excerpt":"Week 13 of the 2024 NFL season is here, and so are our Week 13 IDP fantasy football rankings.","id":561697,"league_week":"nfl:13","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Jonathon Macri"],"name":"fantasy-football-week-13-idp-rankings-tiers-2024","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-week-13-idp-rankings-tiers-2024/","players":[],"premium_content":true,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":[],"thumbnail":"2024/11/2YN7M69-scaled.jpg","title":"Fantasy Football: Week 13 IDP rankings & tiers"},{"author":"Nic Bodiford","caption":"2YKJ2KN Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba (11) runs during an NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers, Sunday, November 17, 2024, in Santa Clara, Calif. (AP Photo/Scot Tucker)","categories":[{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-28 11:15:04","excerpt":"Seattle Seahawks breakout stud Jaxon Smith-Njigba is among the players to target in fantasy football Week 12, whereas New York Giants receiver Wan'Dale Robinson is one to avoid.","id":561730,"league_week":"nfl:13","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Nic Bodiford"],"name":"fantasy-football-week-13-three-wr-cb-matchups-target-avoid-2024","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-week-13-three-wr-cb-matchups-target-avoid-2024/","players":["129758","84140","101735","47895","84434"],"premium_content":true,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":[],"thumbnail":"2024/11/Smith-Njigba-Jaxon-Alamy-1-scaled.jpg","title":"Fantasy Football Week 13: 3 WR/CB matchups to target and 3 to avoid"},{"author":"Michelle Magdziuk","caption":"2YM58A8 Dallas Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle (23) attempts to break the tackle of Houston Texans linebacker Henry To'oTo'o (39) during an NFL football game in Arlington, Texas, Monday, Nov. 18, 2024. (AP Photo/Jerome Miron)","categories":[{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-28 10:30:55","excerpt":"Here are the top running back takeaways over the first 12 weeks of the 2024 season that could greatly impact fantasy points in Week 13 and beyond.","id":561765,"league_week":"","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Michelle Magdziuk"],"name":"fantasy-football-rb-report-touches-schemes-matchups-more-ahead-of-week-13","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-rb-report-touches-schemes-matchups-more-ahead-of-week-13/","players":[],"premium_content":false,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":[],"thumbnail":"2024/11/2YM58A8-scaled.jpg","title":"Fantasy Football RB Report: Touches, schemes, matchups, more ahead of Week 13"},{"author":"Nathan Jahnke","caption":"2YKK1PE Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey (15) runs during an NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)","categories":[{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-28 10:15:42","excerpt":"Wide receiver Ladd McConkey and running back Rico Dowdle are among the best fantasy football starts for Week 13 of the 2024 NFL season.","id":561753,"league_week":"","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Nathan Jahnke"],"name":"fantasy-football-start-sit-advice-week-13-2024","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-start-sit-advice-week-13-2024/","players":[],"premium_content":true,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":[],"thumbnail":"2024/11/McConkey-Ladd-Alamy-scaled.jpg","title":"NFL Week 13 fantasy football start ’em, sit ’em"},{"author":"Jonathon Macri","caption":"2YN79F0 Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton (14) signals first down against the Las Vegas Raiders during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Nov. 24, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)","categories":[{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-28 10:00:59","excerpt":"This fantasy football WR report is an extension of PFF's wide receiver grades, which also detail how each receiver performs against man and zone coverages.","id":561512,"league_week":"","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Jonathon Macri"],"name":"fantasy-football-wide-receiver-report-man-zone-coverage-performance-nfl-week-13-2024","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-wide-receiver-report-man-zone-coverage-performance-nfl-week-13-2024/","players":[],"premium_content":true,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":["28","25","24","22","21","32","31","30","29","20","19","18","17","26","27","23","16","15","14","13","12","11","10","9","8","7","2","3","4","5","6","1"],"thumbnail":"2024/11/Sutton-Courtland-Alamy-scaled.jpg","title":"Fantasy Football WR Report: Man, zone coverage performance ahead of NFL Week 13"},{"author":"Joseph Bryan","caption":"2YN6P19 November 24, 2024: Houston Texans wide receiver Tank Dell (3) makes a catch while being defended by Tennessee Titans cornerback Darrell Baker Jr. (39) during a game between the Tennessee Titans and the Houston Texans in Houston, TX. Trask Smith/CSM","categories":[{"id":23,"name":"DFS","slug":"dfs"},{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-28 09:00:49","excerpt":"Utilizing the \"Coach, I was open\" model and WOPR framework to look into the players who could break out in fantasy and DFS in Week 13.","id":561672,"league_week":"nfl:13","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Joseph Bryan"],"name":"fantasy-football-breakout-candidates-fantasy-dfs-week-13","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-breakout-candidates-fantasy-dfs-week-13/","players":[],"premium_content":false,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":[],"thumbnail":"2024/11/2YN6P19-scaled.jpg","title":"\"Route-based heroes\": Identifying players who could break out in fantasy and DFS in Week 13"},{"author":"Nathan Jahnke","caption":"2YK82EP New Orleans, United States. 18th Nov, 2024. New Orleans Saints tight end Taysom Hill (7) celebrates one of his three touchdowns against the Cleveland Browns at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans on Sunday, November 17, 2024. Photo by AJ Sisco/UPI. Credit: UPI/Alamy Live News","categories":[{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-28 01:30:55","excerpt":"Nathan Jahnke reveals his Week 13 fantasy football rankings. ","id":561506,"league_week":"","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Nathan Jahnke"],"name":"fantasy-football-rankings-2024-week-13","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-rankings-2024-week-13/","players":[],"premium_content":true,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":[],"thumbnail":"2024/11/Hill-Taysom-Alamy-1-scaled.jpg","title":"Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Week 13"},{"author":"Michelle Magdziuk","caption":"2YAEEJY Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud passes during the first half of an NFL football game against the New England Patriots, Sunday, Oct. 13, 2024, in Foxborough, Mass. (AP Photo/Steven Senne)","categories":[{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-27 23:42:50","excerpt":"This fantasy football start-sit article aims to identify sleepers and the best and worst performers of the week.","id":561741,"league_week":"","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Michelle Magdziuk"],"name":"fantasy-football-fire-ice-top-starts-sits-and-sleepers-in-fantasy-football-for-week-13","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-fire-ice-top-starts-sits-and-sleepers-in-fantasy-football-for-week-13/","players":[],"premium_content":false,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":[],"thumbnail":"2024/10/Stroud-C.J.-Alamy-scaled.jpg","title":"Fire & Ice: Top starts, sits and sleepers in fantasy football for Week 13"},{"author":"Nic Bodiford","caption":"2Y7CMHH Tampa Bay Buccaneers' Bucky Irving runs during the second half of an NFL football game against the Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday, Sept. 29, 2024, in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Jason Behnken)","categories":[{"id":4,"name":"Fantasy","slug":"fantasy"}],"content":"","date":"2024-11-27 10:45:21","excerpt":"Take advantage of these Week 13 matchups in fantasy football.","id":561485,"league_week":"","media":null,"multiple_authors":["Nic Bodiford"],"name":"fantasy-football-pass-run-funnel-report-defenses-to-exploit-in-week-13","named_article_type":"standard","permalink":"https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-pass-run-funnel-report-defenses-to-exploit-in-week-13/","players":[],"premium_content":true,"related_post_ids":[],"teams":[],"thumbnail":"2024/09/2Y7CMHH-scaled.jpg","title":"Fantasy Football Pass/Run Funnel Report: Defenses to exploit in Week 13"}],"vertical":"Fantasy"}"></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="g-span-12 g-span-3-lg g-start-10-lg"> <div id="news-vertical-tools" class="g-grid"> <div class="g-span-12" data-gtm-id="sponsor_fantasy"> <div class="m-sponsor m-sponsor--ws"> <a href="https://meetfabric.com/ugma?utm_source=pff&utm_medium=paid&utm_campaign=pff_banner_ad_ugma&utm_term=600x500&utm_content=jumpstart" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener sponsored"> <img src="/images/sponsor/ws/pff_ugma_jumpstart_600x500.png" alt="Safety worth way more than 2 points. 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