Mysteel周报：机械原材料价格监测（2.28-3.7）-我的钢铁网

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<p><strong>核心观点：</strong>7日国内钢材指数（Myspic）综合指数报收126.16点，周环比下跌0.75%。供应方面，本周五大钢材品种供应834.28万吨，周环比降7.98万吨，降幅为0.95%。本周五大钢材总库存1860.29万吨，周环比降18.83万吨，降幅1%。消费方面，本周五大品种周消费量为853.11万吨，周环比增25.83万吨，增幅为3.1%。<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a>市方面：宏观方面，中国2月官方制造业PMI为50.2，前值为49.1中国1月官方非制造业PMI为50.4，前值为50.2，非制造业景气水平小幅回升。基本面方面，上周下游订单表现呈现下降趋势，随着<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜价</a>的走高，下游的新增订单数量普遍呈现下降趋势，不过也同样在价格上涨的影响下，部分下游企业开始提货前期的低价订单，在周内后两日整体提货表现有所回升，但是提货的绝对数量一般。<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>市方面：上周原<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝价</a>格强势上行，成本支撑ADC12 价格小幅上涨。但当前市场铝合金锭需求疲软，下游压铸企业订单不佳，开工率偏低，按需采购为主，对于高价 ADC12 货源有抵触心态，散单压价意愿强，也多寻低价货源成交。上周铝合金锭企业以长单交付为主、散单接单不足，厂内库存继续累库，贸易商多下浮出货，但实际成交也不理想，社会库存也出现微幅累库。</p> <p><strong>一、原材料品种价格监测</strong></p> <p>截止2024年3月7日，各原材料当日即时价格以及价格周环比情况如下：</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 600px; height: 272.601px;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/glinfo/2025/03/11/1351331.png" width="600" height="273" /></p> <p><strong>二、机械行业原材料基本面分析——钢材篇</strong></p> <p><strong>主要内容摘要①——</strong><strong><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010102-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>中厚板</a>：上周中板价格震荡下行,预计本周价格将震荡运行。</strong></p> <p>上周全国中厚板市场价格震荡下行。上周全国中板库存总量为264.76万吨，较上周减少7.97万吨，其中华北区域减量最多，减少4.64万吨。市场方面，目前下游需求释放力度有限，多数商家成交维持不畅，加上整周盘面震荡下行，市场心态维持谨慎，部分商户报价小幅探跌。资源方面，由于市场去库速度偏慢，加上存在北方材陆续到达，南方中厚板库存进一步增加。综合来看，考虑到目前下游需求表现一般，本周中厚板价格延续窄幅调整。</p> <p><strong>主要内容摘要②——</strong><strong>热卷：全国<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010103-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>热轧</a>板卷价格小幅下行市场需求弱势</strong></p> <p>上周国内热轧板卷价格下行，全国24个主要市场3.0mm热轧板卷价格均价为3487元/吨，环比下跌18元/吨；4.75mm热轧板卷均价为3428元/吨，环比下跌17元/吨。从各区域的库存数据看，降幅最大的区域是华中地区，环比降1.12万吨，增幅最大的区域是西南地区，环比增0.43万吨。上周市场盘面震荡运行，现货价格小幅下跌，近期市场需求较弱，商家及下游观望情绪浓厚，各地市场成交情况环比小幅度回暖，但总体同比依然较弱，库存小幅降库，仅西南区域小幅增库，其余地区降幅不等。近期市场供给基本持平，库存小幅下降，市场压力有所减小，重要会议期间，市场观望情绪浓厚，预计本周市场价格或将震荡运行为主。</p> <p><strong>主要内容摘要③</strong><strong>——</strong><strong><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010107-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>型钢</a>：上周全国型钢价格趋弱运行，预计本周价格仍有小幅增长空间</strong></p> <p>上周全国型钢价格趋弱运行，200*200<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010705-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>H型钢</a>全国均价3349元/吨，周环比上涨2元/吨；588*300H型钢3421元/吨，周环比持稳；5＃角钢3629元/吨，周环比下跌18元/吨；16＃槽钢为3597元/吨，周环比下跌11元/吨；25＃工字钢为3691元/吨，周环比下跌21元/吨。</p> <p>供应方面，上周全国工角槽产量29.18吨，周环比减少8.92万吨；在H型钢生产企业中，钢厂周实际产量24.45万吨，周环比下降9.41%。短期来看，受到环保影响，长流程及调坯轧钢厂生产复工可能性不强，一定意义上会缓解供给端的压力和厂内高位库存，促进厂库向社库的进一步转移。</p> <p>库存方面，上周厂库去库速度较快，贸易商适量补库，增加常备库存量。上周全国工角槽库存59.38万吨，周环比增加2.33万吨；全国H型钢库存74.66万吨，周环比减少0.01万吨。</p> <p>需求方面，基建项目因资金到位延迟开工缓慢，钢结构企业新增订单环比仅小幅增长，终端多按需采买。成品材价格近期涨跌频繁，导致贸易商的补库积极性不强，多为求稳心态。</p> <p>综合来看，行情走势不顺，原料仍有拖累，需求复苏尚需巩固。价格上行空间受制于需求恢复，而下行底部则受低库存和成本的支撑。短期看，供给端的压减一定程度上利多当前市场，需求虽恢复缓慢，但也在逐渐转好。而<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石</a>、双焦等原料价格回落致使<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0307-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>钢坯</a>成本支撑减弱，型钢成品材底部支撑力度有限。抛去矛盾点，消息面作为目前较强的外部刺激因素，一定程度上会加大盘面的波动幅度，但对于市场参与者来说，短时内的宽幅波动不能带动市场采买积极性，稳定的高位震荡及终端资金充裕才是促使贸易商补库的动机。综合来看，预计本周型钢市场价格走势一定程度上依存于盘面的波动，预计仍有小幅增长空间。</p> <p><strong>三、机械行业原材料基本面分析——有色篇</strong></p> <p><strong>主要内容摘要④——铜：</strong></p> <p>宏观方面，中国2月官方制造业PMI为50.2，前值为49.1中国1月官方非制造业PMI为50.4，前值为50.2，非制造业景气水平小幅回升。基本面方面，上周下游订单表现呈现下降趋势，随着铜价的走高，下游的新增订单数量普遍呈现下降趋势，不过也同样在价格上涨的影响下，部分下游企业开始提货前期的低价订单，在周内后两日整体提货表现有所回升，但是提货的绝对数量一般。</p> <p><strong>四、机械行业动态信息一览</strong></p> <p><strong>1</strong><strong>、海关总署：前2个月我国出口机电产品2.33万亿，占出口总值60%</strong></p> <p>据海关统计，2025年前两个月，我国货物贸易（下同）进出口总值6.54万亿元人民币，同比（下同）下降1.2%（与去年同期相比，今年前两个月少了2个工作日，剔除不可比因素影响，进出口增长1.7%）。其中，出口3.88万亿元，增长3.4%；进口2.66万亿元，下降7.3%。</p> <p>前两个月，我国出口机电产品2.33万亿元，增长5.4%，占我出口总值的60%。其中，自动数据处理设备及其零部件2176.8亿元，增长11.7%；集成电路1804.4亿元，增长13.2%；手机1340.8亿元，下降2.2%；汽车1160.2亿元，增长3.7%。同期，出口劳密产品6081.3亿元，下降8.2%，占15.7%。其中，服装及衣着附件1557.4亿元，下降5.8%；纺织品1525.5亿元，下降0.9%；塑料制品1089.8亿元，下降7.3%。出口<a href='https://m.myagric.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>农产品</a>1094.4亿元，增长4.2%。</p> <p><strong>2</strong><strong>、2025年2月工程机械市场指数快报</strong></p> <p>据中国工程机械工业协会统计：</p> <p>2025年2月工程机械主要产品月平均工作时长为46.4小时，同比增长70.3%，环比下降20.7%。其中：挖掘机44小时；装载机62.5小时；汽车起重机54.9小时；履带起重机55.8小时；塔式起重机22.4小时；压路机13.1小时；摊铺机8.13小时；旋挖钻机41.1小时；非公路矿用自卸车77.2小时；<a href='https://m.100njz.com/market/p-968-----1002-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>混凝土</a>泵车11.2小时；搅拌车20.4小时；叉车54.9小时。</p> <p>2025年2月工程机械主要产品月开工率为44.6%，同比增加12.3个百分点，环比下降6.22个百分点。其中：挖掘机47.3%；装载机50.9%；汽车起重机58%；履带起重机53.6%；塔式起重机22.9%；压路机22.8%；摊铺机19.8%；旋挖钻机35.8%；非公路矿用自卸车33.8%；混凝土泵车14.1%；搅拌车16.2%；叉车47.6%。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：刘儒 021-26096617 </br> 资讯监督：胡赛男 021-26093781 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-293-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-293-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多<i class="arrow"></i> </a> </div> <div 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