Mysteel：胜芳环保限产政策持续究竟对霸州镀锌带钢影响几何？-我的钢铁网

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href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010108-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>带钢</a>厂家影响不大，只有个别厂家停产，镀锌带开工率和产量变化较小。</p> <p>2024年11月7日，环保限产消息又起，胜芳环保局重点关注霸州厂家的停工情况，本次限产影响力度较大，除白名单企业在产外，其他镀锌带厂家基本都停工停产。除部分检修设备企业，停产企业已于11月15日左右全部复产。根据mysteel调研，截至2024年11月21日，廊坊再次发函预计于2024年11月21日18时启动Ⅱ级应急响应，解除时间另行通知。此轮京津冀多地环保限产对霸州镀锌影响如何，请跟随小编一起简要分析。 </p> <p>二、近年霸州镀锌带市场情况</p> <p>（一）限产力度较强，镀锌带厂家多数停产</p> <p>根据mysteel调研，近半年霸州100家镀锌带厂家产量维持在1.6-2万吨之间，产能利用率波动较小，2024年11月7日限产后，100家镀锌带厂家产能利用率下滑至24.4%，周环比减少18.69%，开工率下滑至20%，周环比减少15%。11月15日停产企业除设备检修外全部复产，产能利用率恢复至正常水平43.73%。11月21日环保限产消息又起后，部分企业停产，停产企业数量不多。</p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 134.932px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/11/22/02aa8eb8d6334037ab370efd15048a6e.png" width="600" height="134" /></p> <p>（二）限产停产后对价格影响不大</p> <p>近半年来霸州镀锌带价格随行情波动较明显，最低价格达到3430元/吨，最高价格达到4060元/吨，价差到630元/吨。由于十月一节前预期较强，下游囤货意愿较强，霸州镀锌带各厂家在手订单较好，价格迅速拉涨，但节后不及预期，价格又随之下滑至年度平均数水平。环保限产期间，由于几家A级企业未受到影响正常生产，市场镀锌带价格维持正常水平，无明显的异常波动。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/11/22/8df78a5f54f6453eb24ed468f5b42e59.png" alt="" width="600" height="285.38860103626945" /></p> <p>三、采访企业观点</p> <p>厂家A：本次环保限产检查力度比较大，自己家的2条线都停了，影响镀锌带产量吨，这几天也没再往市场报价，目前镀锌带库存还有不到1万，停产之前接的单子发货日期延后，11月21号廊坊再次发函启动Ⅱ级应急响应，根据现在的市场反馈，本次影响程度不大，只有个别企业停产，解除日期未定。</p> <p>厂家B：本企业是A级企业，环保限产对我们影响不大，自己家5条线全开着呢，镀锌带库存3万，原料<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010103-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>热轧</a>带钢库存储备1.5万，本次对本企业镀锌带产量无影响，随着淡季深入，接单情况逐步走弱，要是停产了企业得亏损，但是限产期间订单有所好转，市场正常报价、发货。现在还没有开始接明年的单子，对明年行情持悲观心态，今年原料冬储意愿不强，维持刚需。</p> <p>厂家C：本次环保限产力度较大，抓的比较严，被迫停产，企业本身停产意向不强，本次影响产量吨，目前利润大概不到100元，停产期间单子往后压，后续生产有压力，淡季接单也不好，下游管厂催货，复产后镀锌带陆续发货，还有部分积压。对后市预期并不强，本身企业接触下游，下游需求并不理想，今年原料冬储意愿不强，明年镀锌带维持生产，无产线淘汰和新上计划。</p> <p>四、总结</p> <p>综合来看，此次环保限产对霸州镀锌企业不同时间段有不同程度的影响，限产期间霸州镀锌带企业以及下游需求端管厂产量有所减少，下游终端企业拿货受阻，产量减少，成交放缓，商家挺价意愿有所减弱，镀锌企业订单积压，停止市场报价，发货受阻，整体来看，价格方面环保限产对于需求终端影响大于镀锌企业。</p> <p>展望后市，目前处于宏观真空期，前期政策在逐步落地，后市预期向好，但价格上涨无有力支撑，加之淡季逐步深入，供需基本面季节性转弱，终端需求逐步收缩，接单不畅，虽说原料热轧带钢成本也在回落，但实际利润被挤压，企业冬储意愿不强。后市或将在强预期弱现实的逻辑中震荡运行，关注后续政策落地以及需求的实际情况，谨慎操作。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：张芯瑞 021-26093687 </br> 资讯监督：郝宇 021-26090170 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span 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