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Earth Systems Modeling | Department of Energy
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class="main-content usa-layout-docs usa-section node-type--topic" id="main-content" role="main" tabindex="-1"> <div class="grid-container"> <div class="grid-row"> </div> <div class=""> <div data-drupal-messages-fallback class="hidden"></div> </div> <div class="grid-row grid-gap"> <div class="usa-layout-docs__main desktop:grid-col-fill"> <div id="block-main-breadcrumbs" class="block block-system block-system-breadcrumb-block"> <nav class="usa-breadcrumb" role="navigation" aria-labelledby="system-breadcrumb"> <h2 id="system-breadcrumb" class="usa-sr-only">Breadcrumb</h2> <ol class="usa-breadcrumb__list"> <li class="usa-breadcrumb__list-item"> <a href="/" class="usa-breadcrumb__link"><span>Home</span></a> </li> <li class="usa-breadcrumb__list-item"> <a href="/" class="usa-breadcrumb__link"><span>Our Mission</span></a> </li> <li class="usa-breadcrumb__list-item"> <a href="/" class="usa-breadcrumb__link"><span>Climate</span></a> </li> <li class="usa-breadcrumb__list-item"> <span>Earth Systems Modeling</span> </li> </ol> </nav> </div> <div id="block-pagetitle" class="block block-core block-page-title-block"> <section class="hero hero--topic"> <div class="hero__img" style="background-image: url(https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2024-11/earth-systems-modeling-homepage-hero.jpg)"></div> <div class="grid-container"> <div class="hero__title"> <h1> <span class="field field--string field--title">Earth Systems Modeling</span> </h1> </div> </div> </section> </div> <div id="block-main-page-content" class="block block-system block-system-main-block"> <article about="/topics/earth-systems-modeling"> <div> <div class="callout"> <div class="grid-row grid-gap"> <div class="tablet:grid-col-1 grid-col-12 icon-col"> <i class="fa-solid fa-bolt"></i> </div> <div class="tablet:grid-col-11 grid-col-12 description-col"> Earth system models simulate how chemistry, biology, and physical forces work together across our globe. Climate system models (which are part of Earth system models) describe how seasonal to climate variations and other extremes have behaved over multiple years and decades. All components of Earth’s systems, such as the atmosphere, oceans, sea and land ice, and land and ecosystems affect these variations. Scientists run various scenarios with these models. The scenarios show how different human and environmental activities might affect future energy systems and how these energy systems might in turn influence Earth’s future. This information is useful to a broad range of potential stakeholders and decision makers involved with understanding and planning for a healthy economy and the resiliency of our nation’s diverse communities. </div> </div> </div> <section class="layout blade-section--boxed blade-section--fullwidth" > <div class="grid-container"> <div class="blade-color " > <div class="grid-row"> <div class="grid-col"> <div class="block block-layout-builder block-extra-field-blocknodetopiclinks"> </div> <div class="block block-layout-builder block-extra-field-blocknodetopiccontent-moderation-control"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="layout blade-section--fullwidth blade-section--default blade-section" id="highlights"> <div class="blade-color " > <div class="grid-container"> <div class="grid-row"> <div class="grid-col"> <div class="block block-layout-builder block-inline-blocktemplate"> <div><div class="paragraph-reference-heading-wrapper paragraph-reference-heading-wrapper--"><h2 class="block block-layout-builder block-inline-blocktemplate"> Highlights </h2></div></div> <div class="field field--entity_reference_revisions_entity_view field--field_paragraph_reference field field--name-field-paragraph-reference field--type-entity-reference-revisions field--label-hidden field__item"> <div class="paragraph paragraph--type--collection paragraph--view-mode--default"> <div class="paragraph__column"> <ul class="collection--img-text collection"><li class="collection-item"> <article about="/science/doe-explainsearth-system-and-climate-models" typeof="schema:WebPage"> <div class="collection-item--type-page collection-item-wrapper"> <div class="collection-item__image"> <div class="field field--media_thumbnail field--field_alternative_thumbnail field field--name-field-alternative-thumbnail field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <img loading="lazy" src="/sites/default/files/styles/full_article_width/public/2024-07/doe-explains-climate-earth-systems-models_0.png?itok=leGN_6UE" width="1350" height="639" alt="Earth system models include many interdependent components and processes to help us understand our planet. " typeof="foaf:Image" /> </div> </div> <div class="collection-item__icon"> <div class="fontawesome-icon"> <i class="fas fa-lightbulb" data-fa-transform="" data-fa-mask="" style=""></i> </div> </div> <div class="collection-item__title title-sm"> <a class="collection-item__link" href="/science/doe-explainsearth-system-and-climate-models"> <span property="schema:name" class="field field--string field--title">DOE Explains...Earth System and Climate Models</span> </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__summary"> <div class="field field--basic_string field--field_summary field field--name-field-summary field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">DOE Explains...Earth System and Climate Models</div> </div> <div class="collection-item__button"> <a class="collection-item__link usa-button usa-button--outline" href="/science/doe-explainsearth-system-and-climate-models"> Learn More <span class="usa-sr-only">about <span property="schema:name" class="field field--string field--title">DOE Explains...Earth System and Climate Models</span> </span> </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__date p2"> November 23, 2024 </div> </div> </article> </li><li class="collection-item"> <article> <div class="collection-item--type-external-resource collection-item-wrapper"> <div class="collection-item__image"> </div> <div class="collection-item__icon"> <div class="fontawesome-icon"> <i class="fas fa-lightbulb" data-fa-transform="" data-fa-mask="" style=""></i> </div> </div> <div class="collection-item__title title-sm"> <a class="collection-item__link" href="https://e3sm.org/"> The Energy Exascale Earth System Model </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__summary"> <div class="field field--basic_string field--field_media_summary field field--name-field-media-summary field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">The Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) is DOE’s state-of-the-art Earth system model designed specifically to run on DOE’s supercomputers. </div> </div> <div class="collection-item__button"> <a class="collection-item__link usa-button usa-button--outline" href="https://e3sm.org/"> Learn More <span class="usa-sr-only">about The Energy Exascale Earth System Model</span> </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__date p2"> <time datetime="2024-11-19T19:10:51Z">November 19, 2024</time> </div> </div> </article> </li><li class="collection-item"> <article> <div class="collection-item--type-external-resource collection-item-wrapper"> <div class="collection-item__image"> </div> <div class="collection-item__icon"> <div class="fontawesome-icon"> <i class="fas fa-lightbulb" data-fa-transform="" data-fa-mask="" style=""></i> </div> </div> <div class="collection-item__title title-sm"> <a class="collection-item__link" href="https://hyperfacets.ucdavis.edu/"> <div class="field field--string field--field_media_short_title field field--name-field-media-short-title field--type-string field--label-hidden field__item">HyperFACETS</div> </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__summary"> <div class="field field--basic_string field--field_media_summary field field--name-field-media-summary field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">In HyperFACETS, scientists are collaborating with regional decision makers to translate Earth and environmental modeling in a way that is both actionable and relevant to people.</div> </div> <div class="collection-item__button"> <a class="collection-item__link usa-button usa-button--outline" href="https://hyperfacets.ucdavis.edu/"> Learn More </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__date p2"> <time datetime="2024-11-05T21:38:23Z">November 5, 2024</time> </div> </div> </article> </li></ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="layout blade-section--fullwidth blade-section--blue blade-section blade-section--text--white" id="content-block"> <div class="blade-color " > <div class="grid-container"> <div class="grid-row"> <div class="grid-col"> <div class="block block-layout-builder block-inline-blocktemplate"> <div></div> <div class="field field--entity_reference_revisions_entity_view field--field_paragraph_reference field field--name-field-paragraph-reference field--type-entity-reference-revisions field--label-hidden field__item"> <div class="paragraph paragraph--type--two-column-image-and-text paragraph--view-mode--default"> <div class="grid-row grid-gap"> <div class=" tablet:grid-col-4 tablet:order-first "> <p class="title-2xl force-fullwidth--tablet">Early System Models Provide Insights into Our Changing World </p> </div> <div class=" tablet:grid-col-8 tablet:order-1"> <div class="field field--text_default field--field_card_text field field--name-field-card-text field--type-text-long field--label-hidden field__item"><p>Earth system models are computer simulations of the past and future atmospheric and environmental conditions. Climate is the long-term pattern of weather variables over decades, or even centuries.</p><p>Earth systems models incorporate relevant physics about how energy, gases, fluids, land and ice systems behave. They also integrate key information from measurements, experiments, laboratory analysis, and field observations in the real world. In addition to natural phenomenon, they also include information about human activities such as land and water use, energy production, industrial activity, and more.</p><p>DOE strives to produce very accurate predictions with ultra-high resolution. Scientists run various scenarios on these models to predict how different human activities influence the environment, the likelihood of extreme weather, and the suitability of land systems for energy and agriculture. </p><p>These predictions help us better understand how the planet works and deliver localized, precise, reliable results. They provide a range of information often tailored to specific stakeholders. Global models can increase our understanding of when ice sheets are likely to melt and how that will affect coastal systems and potential siting of future energy systems. Models can also provide regional or local decisionmakers with information about an area that may flood or experience heat waves. This information can help decision-makers consider where to place new or adapt existing electrical infrastructure and suitability of energy technologies.</p><p>The DOE Office of Science Biological and Environmental Research program supports many Earth system models, each with a different purpose. As these models are very complex, many of them also rely on the Office of Science’s supercomputing user facilities. One of these models is the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). Able to run on the world’s fastest computers, E3SM is the world’s highest resolution model that combines climate information with details on energy infrastructures. </p><p>Ongoing work helps improve the models’ accuracy and precision. The office also supports work where scientists collaborate with stakeholders to make the models as useful as possible to communities and decision-makers.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="layout blade-section--fullwidth blade-section--default blade-section" id="video"> <div class="blade-color " > <div class="grid-container"> <div class="grid-row"> <div class="grid-col"> <div class="block block-layout-builder block-inline-blocktemplate"> <div><div class="paragraph-reference-heading-wrapper paragraph-reference-heading-wrapper--"><h2 class="block block-layout-builder block-inline-blocktemplate"> Introduction to the Energy Exascale Earth System Model </h2></div></div> <div class="field field--entity_reference_revisions_entity_view field--field_paragraph_reference field field--name-field-paragraph-reference field--type-entity-reference-revisions field--label-hidden field__item"> <div class="paragraph paragraph--type--media paragraph--view-mode--default"> <div class="paragraph__column"> <div class="field field--entity_reference_entity_view field--field_media_embed field field--name-field-media-embed field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"><div> <div class="field field--video_embed_field_video field--field_media_video_embed_field field field--name-field-media-video-embed-field field--type-video-embed-field field--label-visually_hidden"> <div class="title usa-sr-only">Video Url</div> <div class="field__item"><div class="video-embed-field-provider-youtube video-embed-field-responsive-video"><iframe width="854" height="480" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" title="Energy Exascale Earth System Model " aria-label="Introduction to the Energy Exascale Earth System Model " src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/lTN4yKNrJws?autoplay=0&start=0&rel=0"></iframe> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="media--details"> <div class="media--attribution">U.S. Dept of Energy</div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="layout blade-section--fullwidth blade-section--blue blade-section blade-section--text--white" id="podcast"> <div class="blade-color " > <div class="grid-container"> <div class="grid-row"> <div class="grid-col"> <div class="block block-layout-builder block-inline-blocktemplate"> <div><div class="paragraph-reference-heading-wrapper paragraph-reference-heading-wrapper--"><h2 class="block block-layout-builder block-inline-blocktemplate"> Featured Podcast </h2></div></div> <div class="field field--entity_reference_revisions_entity_view field--field_paragraph_reference field field--name-field-paragraph-reference field--type-entity-reference-revisions field--label-hidden field__item"> <div class="paragraph paragraph--type--collection paragraph--view-mode--default"> <div class="paragraph__column"> <ul class="collection--img-text collection"><li class="collection-item"> <article about="/podcasts/direct-current-energygov-podcast/s4-e2-extremes-weather-changing-climate"> <div class="collection-item--type-podcast collection-item-wrapper"> <div class="collection-item__image"> <div class="field field--media_thumbnail field--field_alternative_thumbnail field field--name-field-alternative-thumbnail field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <img loading="lazy" src="/sites/default/files/styles/full_article_width/public/2023-07/Direct_Current_S4E2_Hero_0.jpg?itok=dkA7MTQV" width="1350" height="797" alt="Climate Modeling and Extreme Weather" typeof="foaf:Image" /> </div> </div> <div class="collection-item__icon"> <div class="fontawesome-icon"> <i class="fas fa-lightbulb" data-fa-transform="" data-fa-mask="" style=""></i> </div> </div> <div class="collection-item__title title-sm"> <a class="collection-item__link" href="/podcasts/direct-current-energygov-podcast/s4-e2-extremes-weather-changing-climate"> <span class="field field--string field--title">S4 E2: The Extremes of Weather in a Changing Climate</span> </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__summary"> <div class="field field--basic_string field--field_summary field field--name-field-summary field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">While intense storms have splashed across headlines throughout history, the frequency seems to be increasing. Interviews help us explain how climate modeling is helping scientists predict what may lie ahead. </div> </div> <div class="collection-item__button"> <a class="collection-item__link usa-button usa-button--outline" href="/podcasts/direct-current-energygov-podcast/s4-e2-extremes-weather-changing-climate"> Learn More <span class="usa-sr-only">about <span class="field field--string field--title">S4 E2: The Extremes of Weather in a Changing Climate</span> </span> </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__date p2"> May 1, 2024 </div> </div> </article> </li></ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="layout blade-section--fullwidth blade-section--default blade-section" id="press-releases"> <div class="blade-color " > <div class="grid-container"> <div class="grid-row"> <div class="grid-col"> <div class="block block-layout-builder block-inline-blocktemplate"> <div><div class="paragraph-reference-heading-wrapper 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href="/articles/doe-announces-10-million-support-climate-resilience-centers-across-america"> DOE Announces $10 Million to Support Climate Resilience Centers Across America </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__date p2"> August 15, 2024 </div> </div> </li> <li class="collection-item"> <div class="collection-item--type-press-releases collection-item-wrapper"> <div class="collection-item__topics micro"> <ul> <li>Bioenergy</li><li>Bioproduct Production</li><li>Transportation Biofuels</li><li>Climate Modeling</li><li>Renewable Energy</li></ul> </div> <div class="collection-item__title title-sm"> <a class="collection-item__link" href="/eere/bioenergy/articles/usda-releases-request-information-production-biofuel-feedstocks-using"> USDA Releases Request for Information on the Production of Biofuel Feedstocks using Climate-Smart Practices </a> </div> <div class="collection-item__date p2"> June 28, 2024 </div> </div> </li> <li class="collection-item"> <div 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