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来源：Gartner<br /> <br /> Gartner预测，到2025年底，全球<a href="http://www.eechina.com/keyword/电动汽车" target="_blank" class="relatedlink">电动汽车</a>（EV）保有量将达到8500 万辆，包含汽车、公共汽车、货车和重型卡车。<br /> <br /> Gartner高级研究总监Jonathan Davenport表示：“尽管过去几个月电动汽车市场遇到了一些阻碍，但我们仍然预计，2024年全球电动汽车保有量将达到6400万辆，并将在2025年增长33%。许多公司高估了自己过渡到电动汽车的速度，导致福特、通用汽车、捷豹路虎以及丰田等公司延迟推出新的电动汽车车型。中国（58%）和欧洲（24%）的电动汽车销量增长将是2025年全球电动汽车保有量增长的主要原因，预计这两个市场的电动汽车保有量将占到全球电动汽车总保有量的82%。”<br /> <br /> 预计到2025年底，全球纯电动汽车（BEV）总保有量将接近6200万辆，较2024年增长35%。插电式混合动力汽车（PHEV）的增长速度略有放缓，在2025年将达到2300万辆，较2024年增长28%（见表一）。<br /> <br /> 表一、2023-2025年全球各类电动汽车保有量（单位：辆）<br /> <br /> <ignore_js_op> <img id="aimg_316423" aid="316423" src="static/image/common/none.gif" zoomfile="data/attachment/forum/202411/21/153036wlyklrry5rkckc9r.gif" file="data/attachment/forum/202411/21/153036wlyklrry5rkckc9r.gif" class="zoom" onclick="zoom(this, this.src, 0, 0, 0)" width="650" inpost="1" onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})" /> <div class="tip tip_4 aimg_tip" id="aimg_316423_menu" style="position: absolute; display: none" disautofocus="true"> <div class="xs0"> <p><strong>1.gif</strong></p> </div> <div class="tip_horn"></div> </div> </ignore_js_op> <br /> 来源：Gartner（2024年10月） <br /> <br /> 从地区来看，预计到 2025年乃至未来十年，中国的电动汽车保有量仍将高于世界其他地区的总保有量。欧洲和北美地区对电动汽车的需求将稳步增长，预计这两个地区到 2024年将占到全球电动汽车保有量的 36%。Gartner预测，到2025年，中国电动汽车保有量将达到4900万辆，欧洲和北美分别为2060万辆和1040万辆。<br /> <br /> 到2030年，汽车制造商将能够回收95%的电动汽车电池，从而降低原材料短缺风险<br /> <br /> 随着电动汽车销量的逐年增长，原材料短缺问题将难以解决。Davenport表示：“如果能够大力开展回收工作，充分利用废旧电池中的材料和制造生产过程中产生的废料，再加上欧盟强制回收电池的措施，可以减少更多矿物开采的需求。”<br /> <br /> “由于电池中稀有金属的浓度高于天然矿石，因此废旧电池可以被视为一种高度富集的矿石。如果能够大规模回收废电池，这些废旧电池就可以通过降低电池价格来提高电动汽车的整体商业可行性。此举还有一个额外的好处，即废旧电池不会以不道德的方式处理或被填埋。”<br /> <br /> Gartner预测，到2030年，汽车制造商将能够回收95%的电动汽车电池，从而降低原材料短缺风险。</td></tr></table> </div> <div id="comment_1219366" class="cm"> </div> <div id="post_rate_div_1219366"></div> </div> </div> <script type="text/javascript" reload="1"> aimgcount[1219366] = ['316423']; attachimggroup(1219366); var 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