Mysteel：浅析二季度东北钢管价格走势-我的钢铁网

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target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁水产量</a>“先抑后扬”</li> </ol> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/13/0733211.png" alt="C:/Users/Administrator/Desktop/图1：2024-2025年国内247家钢铁企业铁水日均产量.png图1：2024-2025年国内247家钢铁企业铁水日均产量" width="600" height="314" /></p> <p>从图上可知，据<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>247家钢铁企业统计可知，2025年一季度国内铁水日均产量呈现先降后升、波动回升的走势。根据周度数据调研可看出，全国铁水产量从1月初的88.39万吨震荡调整，而在3月7日升至89.27万吨，较年初增长约1%，与去年同期相比也是呈现了增长的态势。短期看，钢厂的复产积极性较高，叠加成材去库顺畅，铁水产量或延续回升，但在年同比增长的态势中仍要注意成材需求恢复节奏若不及预期，可能压制复产空间。</p> <ol> <li>二、原料<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010108-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>带钢</a>价格震荡趋弱运行</li> </ol> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/13/0733212.png" alt="C:/Users/Administrator/Desktop/图2：2024-2025年唐山355带钢价格.png图2：2024-2025年唐山355带钢价格" width="600" height="315" /></p> <p>从图中可以看出，唐山355带钢年同比下跌700-900元/吨的价格幅度，而在2025年2月下旬至3月中旬的这段时间，唐山355带钢价格呈现先急跌后震荡的走势，其中2月下旬呈现显著下跌，3月初呈现加速探底，而3月中旬则呈现窄幅波动的态势。一季度下游采购放缓叠加库存压力，主流管厂开工率较低，市场订单量不足，贸易商被迫降价出货，叠加3月份华北地区环保限产政策，市场处于供需弱平衡的状态，带钢价格呈现震荡运行态势，3月后缺乏持续上涨动力，对<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010903-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>焊管</a>成本支撑减弱。</p> <ol> <li>三、沈阳焊管价格震荡下行</li> </ol> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/13/0733213.png" alt="C:/Users/Administrator/Desktop/图3：2024-2025年沈阳焊管4寸_3.75mm价格.png图3：2024-2025年沈阳焊管4寸_3.75mm价格" width="600" height="315" /></p> <p>以沈阳焊管价格为例，从图中可知，2025年一季度沈阳焊管价格受需求恢复缓慢、库存压力及成本波动的影响，呈现出了震荡下行的态势。在2月份，沈阳焊管价格先降后稳，维持在3680元/吨内窄幅波动，但在3月份之后需求复苏不及预期，焊管价格加速下滑，价格触达年内低点3590元/吨。但随着气温回升以及下游工程项目集中开工，在3月底焊管需求量可能会有所提升，或将支撑焊管价格出现阶段性回升的可能。</p> <p><strong>综上所述，以沈阳焊管价格为例，2025年焊管价格呈现“先跌后稳再加速下跌”的走势，且目前焊管价格已跌至年内低位，短期市场仍受冬储的现货高库存以及下游端弱需求的压制影响，焊管价格价格或延续窄幅震荡，但二季度需关注下游复工进度及原料端的成本变化。建议主流管厂适当控制库存的周期，而现货贸易商按需补库，优先出货以规避风险，预计二季度东北焊管价格或小幅探涨。</strong></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：孙亚鑫 021-26090168 </br> 资讯监督：陈文花 021-26093859 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-159-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-159-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多<i class="arrow"></i> 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